KingsmighthelpProvidence。AnewTrajanwoulddeservetobecalledthefatherofhispeople,ifheincreasedthemarriage-rate。Malthusrepliesthatthestatisticswhichtheworthymanhimselfproducedshowedconclusivelythatthemarriagesdependeduponthedeaths。Thebirthsfillupthevacancies,andtheprincewhoincreasedthepopulationbeforevacanciesarosewouldsimplyincreasetherateofmortality。60Ifyouwanttoincreaseyourbirth-ratewithoutabsolutelyproducingfamine,asheremarksafterwards,61makeyourtownsunhealthy,andencouragesettlementbymarshes。Youmightthusdoublethemortality,andwemightallmarryprematurelywithoutbeingabsolutelystarved。Hisownaimisnottosecurethegreatestnumberofbirths,buttobesurethatthegreatestnumberofthosebornmaybesupported。62TheingeniousM。Muret,again,hadfoundaSwissparishinwhichthemeanlifewasthehighestandthefecunditysmallestknown。HepiouslyconjecturesthatitmaybealawofGodthat’theforceoflifeineachcountryshouldbeintheinverseratioofitsfecundity。’Heneedsnotbetakehimselftoamiracle,saysMalthus。63Thecaseissimplythatinasmallandhealthyvillage,wherepeoplehadbecomeawareoftheimportanceofthe’preventivecheck,’theyoungpeopleputoffmarriagetilltherewasroomforthem,andconsequentlybothloweredthebirthrateandraisedtheaveragedurationoflife。
Nothing,saysMalthusveryforcibly,hascausedmoreerrorsthantheconfusionbetween’relativeandpositive,andbetweencauseandeffect。’64Heishereansweringtheargumentthatbecausethepoorwhohadcowswerethemostindustrious,thewaytomakethemindustriouswastogivethemcows。Malthusthinksitmoreprobablethatindustrygotthecowthanthatthecowproducedindustry。
Thisisatriflinginstanceofaverygeneraltruth。Peoplehadbeencontenttonoticethedeathscausedbywaranddisease,andtoinferatoncethatwhatcauseddeathmustdiminishpopulation。Malthusshowsthenecessityofobservingothercollateralresults。Thegapmaybemadesogreatastodiminishpopulation;butitmaybecompensatedbyamorerapidreproduction;
or,therapidityofreproductionmayitselfbethecauseofthedisease;
sothattoremoveonekindofmortalitymaybeonsomeoccasiontointroduceothers。Thestreamisdammedononebreachtoflowmorestronglythroughotheroutlets。65
Thisis,Iconceive,tosaysimplythatMalthuswasintroducingareallyscientificmethod。Thefactstakeninthetrueorderbecameatonceintelligibleinsteadofsuggestingmysteriousandirregularinterferences。Earlierwritershadbeencontenttosingleoutoneparticularsetofphenomenawithoutattendingtoitsplaceinthemoregeneralandcomplexprocesses,ofwhichtheyformedanintegralpart。Infanticide,asHumehadpointedout,mighttendtoincreasepopulation。66Inprospect,itmightencouragepeopletohavebabies;andwhenbabiescame,naturalaffectionmightpreventtheactualcarryingoutoftheintention。Tojudgeoftheactualeffect,wehavetoconsiderthewholeoftheconcretecase。Itmaybecarriedout,asapparentlyintheSouthSeaislands,sogenerallyastolimitpopulation;oritmaybe,asinChina,anindicationthatthepressureissogreatthatanumberofinfantsbecomesuperfluous。Itssuppressionmight,intheonecase,leadtoanincreaseofthepopulation;intheother,totheincreaseofotherformsofmortality。Malthus’sinvestigationsillustratethenecessityofreferringeveryparticularprocesstoitsplaceinthewholesystem,ofnotinghowanygivenchangemightsetupasetofactionsandreactionsinvirtueofthegeneralelasticityofpopulation,andthusofconstantlyreferringateverysteptothegeneralconditionsofhumanlife。Hesucceededinmakingmanypointsclear,andofshowinghowhastilymanyinferenceshadbeendrawn。Heexplained,forexample,whytherevolutionarywarshadnotdiminishedthepopulationofFrance,inspiteofthegreatnumberofdeaths,67andthusgaveanexampleofasoundmethodofinquirywhichhasexercisedagreatinfluenceuponlaterobservers。Malthuswasconstantlymisunderstoodandmisrepresented,andhisopponentsoftenallegeasfatalobjectionstohisdoctrinetheveryfactsbywhichitwasreallysupported。Butwemay,Ithink,say,thatsincehiswritingnoseriouseconomicalwriterhasadoptedtheoldhastyguesses,orhasventuredtoproposeatheorywithoutregardtotheprinciplesofwhichhefirstbroughtoutthefullsignificance。
V。POLITICALAPPLICATION
ThisItaketoindicateonerealandpermanentvalueofMalthus’swritings。Heintroducedanewmethodofapproachingthegreatsocialproblems。Thevalueofthemethodmayremain,howeverinaccuratemaybetheassumptionsoffacts,the’tendency,’ifinterpretedtomeanthatpeoplearealwaysmultiplyingtoorapidly,maybeafigment,ifitistakenascallingattentiontooneessentialfactorinthecase,itisamostimportantguidetoinvestigation,thisbringsoutanothervitalpoint。ThebearingofthedoctrineuponthepoliticalaswellasupontheeconomicalviewsoftheUtilitariansisofconspicuousimportance。Malthus’sstarting-point,aswehaveseen,wastheoppositiontothedoctrineof’perfectibility。’Hardfacts,whichGodwinandCondorcethadneglected,werefataltotheirdreams。Youhave,urgedMalthus,neglectedcertainundeniabletruthsastotheunalterablequalitiesofhumannature,and,therefore,yourtheorieswillnotwork。Therevolutionistshadopposedanideal’stateofnature’totheactualarrangementsofsociety。Theyimaginedthatthe’stateofnature’representedthedesirableconsummation,andthattheconstitutionofthe’natural’ordercouldbedeterminedfromcertainabstractprinciples。Theequalityofman,andtheabsoluterightswhichcouldbeinferredbyakindofmathematicalprocess,suppliedthenecessarydogmaticbasis。Theantithesistothestateofnaturewastheartificialstate,markedbyinequality,andmanifestingitsspiritbyluxury。
Kings,priests,andnobleshadsomehowestablishedthisunnaturalorder;
andtosweepthemawaysummarilywasthewayofbringingthenaturalorderintofullactivity。Theidealsystemwasalreadypotentiallyinexistence,andwouldbecomeactualwhenmen’smindswereonceclearedfromsuperstition,andthepoliticalmadetocorrespondtothenaturalrightsofman。TothisMalthushadreplied,aswehaveseen,thatsocialinequalitywasnotamerearbitraryproductoffraudandforce,butanexpedientnecessarytorestraintheprimitiveinstinctsofmankind。HethuscoincideswithBentham’spreferenceof’security’to’equality,’andillustratestherealsignificanceofthatdoctrine,Propertyandmarriage,thoughtheyinvolveinequality,wereinstitutionsofessentialimportance,Godwinhadpushedhistheoriestoabsoluteanarchy;tothedestructionofalllaw,forlawingeneralrepresentedcoercionoraninterferencewiththestateofnature。Malthusvirtuallyassertedthatthemetaphysicaldoctrinewasinapplicablebecause,menbeingwhattheyare,theseconclusionswereincompatiblewitheventhefirststagesofsocialprogress。Thismeans,again,thatforthemetaphysicalmethodMalthusissubstitutingascientificmethod。Insteadofregardingallgovernmentasakindofmysteriousinterventionfromwithout,whichhassomehowintroducedafataldiscordintothenaturalorder,heinquireswhatarethefacts;howlawhasbeenevolved;andforwhatreason。Hisansweris,inbrief,thatlaw,order,andinequalityhavebeenabsolutelynecessaryinordertolimittendencieswhichwouldotherwisekeepmeninastateofhopelesspovertyanddepression。
Thisgivesthe’differentia’
oftheUtilitarianconsideredasonespeciesofthegenus’Radical。’Malthus’scriticismofPaineissignificant。68HeagreeswithPainethatthecauseofpopularrisingsis’wantofhappiness。’ButPaine,heremarks,was’inmanyimportantpointstotallyignorantofthestructureofsociety’;
andhasfallenintotheerrorofattributingallwantofhappinesstogovernment。
Consequently,Paineadvocatesaplanfordistributingtaxesamongthepoorestclasses,whichwouldaggravatetheevilsahundredfold。HefullyadmitswithPainethatmanhasrights。Thetruelineofanswerwouldbetoshowwhatthoserightsare。TogivethisanswerisnotMalthus’spresentbusiness;
butthereisoneright,atanyrate,whichamandoesnotandcannotpossess:
namely,the’righttosubsistencewhenhislabourwillnotfairlypurchaseit。’Hedoesnotpossessitbecausehecannotpossessit;totrytosecureitistotryto’reversethelawsofnature,’andthereforetoproducecruelsufferingbypractisingan’inhumandeceit。’TheAbbé;Raynalhadsaidthatamanhadarighttosubsist’beforeallsociallaws。’Manhadthesameright,repliedMalthus,ashehadtoliveahundredorathousandyears。Hemaylive,ifhecanwithoutinterferingwithothers。Sociallawshave,infact,enlargedthepowerofsubsistence;butneitherbeforenoraftertheirinstitutioncouldanunlimitednumbersubsist。Briefly,thequestionoffactcomesbeforethequestionofright,andthefaultoftherevolutionarytheoristswastosettletherightwithoutreferencetothepossibilityofmakingtherightcorrespondtothefact。
HenceMalthusdrawshismostemphaticpoliticalmoral。Theadmissionthatallevilisduetogovernmentisthewaytotyranny。Makemenbelievethatgovernmentistheonecauseofmisery,andtheywillinevitablythrowthewholeresponsibilityupontheirrulers;seekforredressbycureswhichaggravatethedisease;andstrengthenthehandsofthosewhopreferevendespotismtoanarchy。This,heintimates,istheexplanationoftherepressivemeasuresinwhichthecountry-gentlemenhadsupportedPitt。Thepeoplehadfanciedthatbydestroyinggovernmenttheywouldmakebreadcheap;governmentwasforcedtobetyrannicalinordertoresistrevolution;whileitssupporterswereledto’giveupsomeofthemostvaluableprivilegesofEnglishmen。’69Itisthenofvitalimportancetosettlewhatisandwhatisnottobesetdowntogovernment。Malthus,infact,holdsthattherealevilsareduetounderlyingcauseswhichcannotbedirectlyremoved,thoughtheymaybediminishedorincreased,bylegislators。Governmentcandosomethingbygivingsecuritytoproperty,andbymakinglawswhichwillraisetheself-respectofthelowerclasses。Buttheeffectofsuchlawsmustbeslowandgradual;andtheerrorwhichhasmostcontributedtothatdelayintheprogressoffreedom,whichis’sodishearteningtoeveryliberalmind,’70istheconfusionastothetruecausesofmisery。Thus,ashehasalreadyurged,professedeconomistscouldstillbelieve,solongafterthepublicationofAdamSmith’swork,thatitwas’inthepowerofthejusticesofthepeaceorevenoftheomnipotenceofparliamenttoalterbyafiatthewholecircumstancesofthecountry。’71Yetmenwhosawtheabsurdityoftryingtofixthepriceofprovisionswerereadytoproposetofixtherateofwages。Theydidnotseethatonetermoftheproportionimpliedtheother。Malthus’swholecriticismofthepoor-law,alreadynoticed,isacommentaryuponthistext。Itisconnectedwithageneraltheoryofhumannature。Theauthorofnature,hesays,haswiselymade’thepassionofself-lovebeyondexpressionstrongerthanthepassionofbenevolence。’72Hemeans,asheexplains,thateverymanhastopursuehisownwelfareandthatofhisfamilyashisprimaryobject。Benevolence,ofcourse,isthe’sourceofourpurestandmostrefinedpleasures,’andsoforth;butitshouldcomeinasasupplementtoself-love。Thereforewemustneveradmitthatmenhaveastrictrighttoreliefthatistoinjuretheveryessentialsocialforce。’Hardasitmayseeminindividualinstances,dependentpovertyoughttobehelddisgraceful。’73Thespiritofindependenceorself-helpistheonethingnecessary。’Thedesireofbetteringourconditionandthefearofmakingitworse,likethevismedicatrixinphysics,isthevismedicatrixnaturaeinpolitics,andiscontinuallycounteractingthedisordersarisingfromnarrowhumaninstitutions。’74Itisonlybecausethepoor-lawshavenotquitedestroyedit,thattheyhavenotquiteruinedthecountry。ThepithofMalthus’steachingisfairlyexpressedinhislastlettertoSenior。75Heholdsthattheimprovementintheconditionofthegreatmassofthelabouringclassesshouldbeconsideredasthemaininterestofsociety。Toimprovetheircondition,itisessentialtoimpressthemwiththeconvictionthattheycalldomuchmoreforthemselvesthanotherscandoforthem,andthattheonlysourceofpermanentimprovementistheimprovementoftheirmoralandreligioushabits。Whatgovernmentcando,therefore,istomaintainsuchinstitutionsasmaystrengthenthevismedicatrix,or’desiretobetterourcondition,’whichpoor-lawshaddirectlytendedtoweaken,HemaintainsinhislettertoSenior,thatthisdesireis’perfectlyfeeble’comparedwiththetendencyofthepopulationtoincrease,andoperatesinaveryslightdegreeuponthegreatmassofthelabouringclass。76Still,heholdsthatonthewholethe’preventivechecks’havebecomestrongerrelativelytothepositive,77and,atanyrate,allproposalsmustbejudgedbytheirtendencytostrengthenthepreventive。
Malthuswasnotathoroughgoingsupporterofthe’do-nothing’doctrine。Heapprovedofanationalsystemofeducation,andoftheearlyfactoryacts,thoughonlyasappliedtoinfantlabour。So,asweshallsee,didalltheUtilitarians。The’individualism,’
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