首页 >出版文学> Letters on the Study and Use of History>第27章
  immediately,theexorbitantpowerofFrance,andofrenderingtheconquestofSpainpracticable?bothwhichmighthavebeenbroughtabout,andconsequentlytheavowedendsofthewarmighthavebeenanswered,byacceptingtheexpedientthatFranceoffered。“France,“
  itwassaid,“wasnotsincere:shemeantnothingmorethantoamuse,anddivide。“Thisreasonwasgivenatthetime;butsomeofthosewhogaveitthen,Ihaveseenashamedtoinsistonitsince。Francewasnotinaconditiontoactthepartshehadactedinformertreaties:andherdistresswasnobadpledgeofhersincerityonthisoccasion。Buttherewasabetterstill。Thestrongplacesthatshemusthaveputintothehandsoftheallies,wouldhaveexposedher,ontheleastbreachoffaith,tosee,notherfrontieralone,buteventheprovincesthatliebehindit,desolated:andprinceEugenemighthavehadthesatisfaction,itissaid,Iknownothowtruly,hedesired,ofmarchingwiththetorchinhishandtoVersailles。
  Yourlordshipwillobserve,thattheconferencesatGertruydenbergendinginthemannertheydid,theinflexibilityofthealliesgavenewlifeandspirittotheFrenchandSpanishnations,distressedandexhaustedastheywere。ThetroopsoftheformerwithdrawnoutofSpain,andtheSpaniardslefttodefendthemselvesastheycould,theSpaniardsaloneobligedustoretreatfromMadrid,anddefeatedusinourretreat。Butyourlordshipmaythinkperhaps,asIdo,thatifLouistheFourteenthhadboundhimselfbyasolemntreatytoabandonhisgrandson,hadpaidasubsidytodethronehim,andhadconsentedtoacknowledgeanotherkingofSpain,theSpaniardswouldnothaveexertedthesamezealforPhilip;theactionsofAlmenaraandSaragossamighthavebeendecisive,andthoseofBrihuegaandVillaViciosawouldnothavehappened。Afteralltheseevents,howcouldanyreasonablemanexpectthatawarshouldbesupportedwithadvantageinSpain,towhichthecourtofViennahadcontributednothingfromthefirst,scarcebreadtotheirarchduke;
  whichPortugalwagedfaintlyandwithdeficientquotas;andwhichtheDutchhadinamannerrenounced,byneglectingtorecruittheirforces?HowwasCharlestobeplacedontheSpanishthrone,orPhilipatleasttobedrivenoutofit?Bythesuccessoftheconfederatearmsinotherparts。Butwhatsuccess,sufficienttothispurpose,couldweexpect?Thisquestionmaybeansweredbest,byshowingwhatsuccesswehad。
  PortugalandSavoydidnothingbeforethedeathoftheemperorJoseph;
  anddeclaredinform,assoonashewasdead,thattheywouldcarryonthewarnolongertosetthecrownofSpainontheheadofCharles,sincethiswouldbetofightagainsttheveryprincipletheyhadfoughtfor。TheRhinewasasceneofinaction。Thesoleefforts,thatweretobringaboutthegreateventofdethroningPhilip,werethosewhichtheDukeofMarlboroughwasabletomake。Hetookthreetownsinonethousandsevenhundredandten,Aire,Methune,andSt。Venant:andone,Bouchain,inonethousandsevenhundredandeleven。Nowthisconquestbeinginfacttheonlyonetheconfederatesmadethatyear,Bouchainmaybesaidproperlyandtrulytohavecostournationverynearsevenmillionssterling:foryourlordshipwillfind,I
  believe,thatthechargeofthewarforthatyearamountedtonoless。ItistruethattheDukeofMarlboroughhadproposedaverygreatproject,bywhichincursionswouldhavebeenmadeduringthewinterintoFrance;thenextcampaignmighthavebeenopenedearlyonourside;andseveralothergreatandobviousadvantagesmighthavebeenobtained:buttheDutchrefusedtocontribute,evenlessthantheirproportion,forthequeenhadofferedtotakethedeficiencyonherself,totheexpenseofbarracksandforage;
  anddisappointedbytheirobstinacythewholedesign。
  Wewerethenamusedwithvisionaryschemesofmarchingourwholearmy,inayearortwomore,andafteratownortwomoreweretaken,directlytoParis,oratleastintheheartofFrance。Butwasthissoeasyorsosureagame?TheFrenchexpectedwewouldplayit。Theirgeneralshadvisitedtheseveralpoststheymighttake,whenourarmyshouldenterFrance,toretard,toincommode,todistressusinourmarch,andeventomakeadecisivestandandtogiveusbattle。ItakewhatIsayherefromindisputableauthority,thatofthepersonsconsultedandemployedinpreparingforthisgreatdistress。
  Hadwebeenbeaten,orhadwebeenforcedtoretiretowardsourownfrontierintheLowCountries,afterpenetratingintoFrance,thehopesonwhichweprotractedthewarwouldhavebeendisappointed,and,Ithink,themostsanguine,wouldhavethenrepentedrefusingtheoffersmadeatGertruydenberg。ButifwehadbeatentheFrench,foritwasscarcelylawfulinthosedaysofourpresumptiontosupposethecontrary;wouldthewholemonarchyofSpainhavebeenourimmediateandcertainprize?Suppose,andIsupposeitongoodgrounds,mylord,thattheFrenchhadresolvedtodefendtheircountryinchbyinch,andthatLouistheFourteenthhaddeterminedtoretirewithhiscourttoLyonsorelsewhere,andtodefendthepassageoftheLoire,whenhecouldnolongerdefendthatoftheSeine,ratherthansubmittothetermsimposedonhim:whatshouldwehavedoneinthiscase?Mustwenothaveacceptedsuchapeaceaswehadrefused;orhaveprotractedthewartillwehadconqueredFrancefirst,inordertoconquerSpainafterwards?DidwehopeforrevolutionsinFrance?WehadhopedfortheminSpain:andweshouldhavebeenbubblesofourhopesinboth。ThattherewasaspiritraisedagainstthegovernmentofLouistheFourteenth,inhiscourt,nay,inhisfamily,andthatstrangeschemesofprivateambitionwereformedandformingthere,Icannotdoubt:
  andsomeeffectsofthisspiritproducedperhapsthegreatestmortificationsthathesufferedinthelatterpartofhisreign。
  AlightinstanceofthisspiritisallIwillquoteatthistime。Isupped,intheyearonethousandsevenhundredandfifteen,atahouseinFrance,wheretwopersons,ofnosmallfigure,whohadbeeningreatcompanythatnight,arrivedverylate。Theconversationturnedontheeventsoftheprecedentwar,andthenegotiationsofthelatepeace。Intheprocessoftheconversationoneofthembrokeloose,andsaid,directinghisdiscoursetome,“Vousauriezpunousé;craserdanscetems-là;:pourquoinel’avez-vouspasfait?“Iansweredhimcoolly,“Parcequedanscetems-là;
  nousn’avonspluscraintvô;trepuissance。“Thisanecdote,tootrivialforhistory,mayfinditsplaceinaletter,andmayservetoconfirmwhatIhaveadmitted,thattherewerepersonseveninFrance,whoexpectedtofindtheirprivateaccountinthedistressoftheircountry。Butthesepersonswereafewmenofwildimaginationsandstrongpassions,moreenterprisingthancapable,andofmorenamethancredit。IngeneraltheendeavorsofLouistheFourteenth,andthesacrificesheofferedtomakeinordertoobtainapeace,hadattachedhispeoplemorethanevertohim:andifLouishaddeterminednottogoanyfartherthanhehadofferedatGertruydenberg,inabandoninghisgrandson,theFrenchnationwouldnothaveabandonedhim。
  ButtoresumewhatIhavesaidorhintedalready;thenecessaryconsequencesofprotractingthewarinordertodethronePhilip,fromtheyearonethousandsevenhundredandeleveninclusively,couldbenootherthanthese:ourdesignofpenetratingintoFrancemighthavebeendefeated,andhavebecomefataltousbyareverseoffortune:ourfirstsuccessmightnothaveobligedtheFrenchtosubmit;andwemighthavehadFrancetoconquer,afterwehadfailedinourfirstattempttoconquerSpain,andeveninordertoproceedtoasecond:theFrenchmighthavesubmitted,andtheSpaniardsnot:andwhilsttheformerhadbeenemployedtoforcethelatter,accordingtotheschemeoftheallies;orwhilst,thelattersubmittinglikewise,PhiliphadevacuatedSpain,thehighalliesmighthavegonetogetherbytheearsaboutdividingthespoil,anddisposingofthecrownofSpain。Totheseissueswerethingsbroughtbyprotractingthewar;byrefusingtomakepeace,ontheprinciplesofthegrandallianceatworst,inonethousandsevenhundredandsix;andbyrefusingtograntit,evenonthoseofthenewplan,inonethousandsevenhundredandten。SuchcontingenteventsasIhavementionedstoodinprospectbeforeus。Theendofthewarwasremovedoutofsight;andthey,whoclamoredratherthanarguedforthecontinuationofit,contentedthemselvestoaffirm,thatFrancewasnotenoughreduced,andthatnopeaceoughttobemadeaslongasaprinceofthehouseofBourbonremainedonaSpanishthrone。WhentheywouldthinkFranceenoughreduced,itwasimpossibletoguess。WhethertheyintendedtojointheImperialandSpanishcrownsontheheadofCharles,whohaddeclaredhisirrevocableresolutiontocontinuethewartilltheconditionsinsisteduponatGertruydenbergwereobtained:whethertheyintendedtobestowSpainandtheIndiesonsomeotherprince;andhowthisgreatalterationintheirownplanshouldbeeffectedbycommonconsent。howpossessionshouldbegiventoCharles,oranyotherprince,notonlyofSpainbutofallSpanishdominionsoutofEurope,wheretheattachmenttoPhilipwasatleastasstrongasinCastile,andwhereitwouldnotbesoeasy,thedistanceandextentofthesedominionsconsidered,toobligetheSpaniardstosubmittoanothergovernment:Thesepoints,andmanymoreequallynecessarytobedetermined,andequallydifficulttoprepare,wereneitherdeterminednorprepared;sothatwewerereducedtocarryonthewar,afterthedeathoftheemperorJoseph,withoutanypositiveschemeagreedto,astheschemeofthefuturepeace,bytheallies。Thatofthegrandalliancewehadlongbeforerenounced。
  Thatofthenewplanwasbecomeineligible;and,ifithadbeeneligible,itwouldhavebeenimpracticable,becauseofthedivisionitwouldhavecreatedamongthealliesthemselves:severalofwhomwouldnothaveconsented,notwithstandinghisirrevocableresolution,thattheemperorshouldbekingofSpain。Iknownotwhatparttheprotractersofthewar,inthedepthoftheirpolicy,intendedtotake。Ournationhadcontributed,andactedsolongunderthedirectionoftheircouncils,forthegrandeurofthehouseofAustria,likeoneofthehereditarykingdomsusurpedbythatfamily,thatitislawfultothinktheirintentionmightbetounitetheImperialandSpanishcrowns。ButI
  ratherthinktheyhadnoverydeterminateview,beyondthatofcontinuingthewaraslongastheycould。ThelateLordOxfordtoldme,thatmyLordSomersbeingpressed,Iknownotonwhatoccasionnorbywhom,ontheunnecessaryandruinouscontinuationofthewar;insteadofgivingreasonstoshowthenecessityofit,contentedhimselftoreply,thathehadbeenbredupinahatredofFrance。Thiswasastrangereplyforawiseman:andyetIknownotwhetherhecouldhavegivenabetterthen,onwhetheranyofhispupilscouldgiveabetternow。
  Thewhigpartyingeneralacquiredgreatandjustpopularity,inthereignofourCharlestheSecond,bytheclamortheyraisedagainsttheconductofthatprinceinforeignaffairs。Theywhosucceededtothenameratherthantheprinciplesofthisparty,aftertherevolution,andwhohavehadtheadministrationofthegovernmentintheirhandswithverylittleinterruptioneversince,pretendingtoactonthesameprinciple,haverunintoanextremeasviciousandascontrarytoalltherulesofgoodpolicy,asthatwhichtheirpredecessorsexclaimedagainst。Theoldwhigscomplainedoftheingloriousfigurewemade,whilstourcourtwasthebubble,andourkingthepensionerofFrance;andinsistedthatthegrowingambitionandpowerofLouistheFourteenthshouldbeopposedintime。Themodernwhigsboasted,andstillboast,ofthegloriousfigurewemade,whilstwereducedourselves,bytheircouncils,andundertheiradministrations,tobethebubblesofourpensioners,thatis,ofourallies:andwhilstwemeasuredoureffortsinwar,andthecontinuationofthem,withoutanyregardtotheinterestsandabilitiesofourowncountry,withoutajustandsoberregard,suchanoneascontemplatesobjectsintheirtruelightandseesthemintheirtruemagnitude,tothegeneralsystemofpowerinEurope;and,inshort,withaprincipalregardmerelytoparticularinterestsathomeandabroad。Isayathomeandabroad:
  becauseitisnotlesstrue,thattheyhavesacrificedthewealthoftheircountrytotheformingandmaintainingapartyathome,thanthattheyhavedonesototheformingandmaintaining,beyondallpretencesofnecessity,alliancesabroad。Thesegeneralassertionsmaybeeasilyjustifiedwithouthavingrecoursetoprivateanecdotes,asyourlordshipwillfindwhenyouconsiderthewholeseriesofourconductinthetwowars;inthatwhichpreceded,andthatwhichsucceededimmediatelythebeginningofthepresentcentury,butaboveallinthelastofthem。Intheadministrationsthatprecededtherevolution,tradehadflourished,andournationhadgrownopulent:butthegeneralinterestofEuropehadbeentoomuchneglectedbyus;andslavery,undertheumbrageofprerogative,hadbeenwell-nighestablishedamongus。
  Inthosethathavefollowed,taxesupontaxes,anddebtsupondebts,havebeenperpetuallyaccumulated,tillasmallnumberoffamilieshavegrownintoimmensewealth,andnationalbeggaryhasbeenbroughtuponus;underthespeciouspretenceofsupportingacommoncauseagainstFrance,reducingherexorbitantpower,andpoisingthatofEuropemoreequallyinthepublicbalance:laudabledesignsnodoubt,asfarastheywerereal,butsuchas,beingconvertedintomerepretences,havebeenproductiveofmuchevil;someofwhichwefeelandhavelongfelt,andsomewillextenditsconsequencestoourlatestposterity。Thereignofprerogativewasshort:andtheevilsandthedangers,towhichwewereexposedbyit,endedwithit。Butthereignoffalseandsquanderingpolicyhaslastedlong,itlastsstill,andwillfinallycompleteourruin。Beggaryhasbeentheconsequenceofslaveryinsomecountries:slaverywillbeprobablytheconsequenceofbeggaryinours;
  andifitisso,weknowatwhosedoortolayit。Ifwehadfinishedthewarinonethousandsevenhundredandsix,weshouldhavereconciled,likeawisepeople,ourforeignandourdomesticinterestsasnearlyaspossible:
  weshouldhavesecuredtheformersufficiently,andnothavesacrificedthelaterasentirelyaswedidbytheprosecutionofthewarafterwards。Youwillnotbeabletoseewithoutastonishment,howthechargeofthewarincreasedyearlyuponusfromthebeginningofit;norhowimmenseasumwepaidinthecourseofittosupplythedeficienciesofourconfederates。Yourastonishment,andindignationtoo,willincreasewhenyoucometocomparetheprogressthatwasmadefromtheyearonethousandsevenhundredandsixexclusively,withtheexpenseofmorethanthirtymillions,IdonotexaggeratethoughIwriteuponmemory,thatthisprogresscostustotheyearonethousandsevenhundredandeleveninclusivelyUponthisviewyourlordshipwillbepersuadedthatitwashightimetotaketheresolutionofmakingpeace,whenthequeenthoughtfittochangeherministrytowardstheendoftheyearonethousandsevenhundredandten。Itwashightimeindeedtosaveourcountryfromabsoluteinsolvencyandbankruptcy,byputtinganendtoaschemeofconduct,whichtheprejudicesofaparty,thewhimsyofsomeparticularmen,theprivateinterestofmore,andtheambitionandavariceofourallies,whohadbeeninvitedasitweretoascramblebythepreliminariesofonethousandsevenhundredandnine,alonemaintained。Thepersons,therefore,whocameintopoweratthistime,