Allowmetopushthesereflectionsalittlefurther,andtoobservetoyourlordship,thatiftheproposalofsendingthearchdukeintoSpainhadbeenacceptedintimebytheimperialcourt,andtakeneffectandbecomeameasureoftheconfederacy,thatwarindeedwouldhavebeenprotracted;
butFrancecouldnothavehinderedthepassageofthisprinceandhisGermanforces:andourfleetwouldhavebeenbetteremployedinescortingthem,andincoveringthecoastsofSpainandofthedominionsofthatcrownbothinEuropeandinAmerica,thanitwasinsomanyunmeaningexpeditionsfromthebattleofLaHoguetotheendofthewar。Franceindeedwouldhavemadeherutmosteffortstohavehadsatisfactiononherpretensions,asillfoundedastheywere。Shewouldhaveendedthatwar,aswebeganthenext,whenwedemandedareasonablesatisfactionfortheemperor:andthoughIthinkthattheallieswouldhavehadinverymanyrespects,moreadvantageindefendingSpain,thaninattackingFrance;yet,uponasuppositionthatthedefencewouldhavebeenasillconductedastheattackwas,andthatbyconsequence,whetherCharlestheSecondhadlivedtotheconclusionofthiswar,orhaddiedbeforeit,thewarmusthaveendedinsomepartitionorother;thispartitionwouldhavebeenmadebytheSpaniardsthemselves。TheyhadbeenforcedtocompoundwithFranceonherformerpretensions,andtheymustandtheywouldhavecompoundedonthese,withanAustrianprinceonthethrone,justastheycompounded,andprobablymuchbetterthantheycompounded,onthepretensionswesupportedagainstthem,whentheyhadaprinceofBourbonontheirthrone。FrancewouldnothavedistressedtheSpaniards,norhaveoverruntheirmonarchy,iftheyhadbeenunited;andtheywouldhavebeenunitedinthiscase,andsupportedbythewholeconfederacy;aswedistressedbothFranceandthem,overruntheirmonarchyinonehemisphere,andmighthavedonesoinboth,whentheyweredisunited,andsupportedbyFrancealone。
Francewouldnothaveacted,insuchnegotiations,theridiculouspartwhichtheemperoractedinthosethatledtothepeaceofUtrecht,norhavemadeherbargainworsebyneglectingtomakeitintime。Butthewarendingasitdid,thoughIcannotseehowkingWilliamcouldavoidleavingthecrownofSpainandthatentiremonarchyatthediscretionofLouistheFourteenth,otherwisethanbycompoundingtopreventanewwarhewasinnosortpreparedtomake;yetitisundeniable,thatbyconsentingtoapartitionoftheirmonarchy,hethrewtheSpaniardsintothearmsofFrance。Thefirstpartitionmighthavetakenplace,perhaps,iftheelectoralprinceofBavariahadlived,whomtheFrenchandSpaniardstoowouldhaveseenmuchmorewillinglythanthearchdukeonthethroneofSpain。Foramongallthepartiesintowhichthatcourtwasdividedinonethousandsixhundredandninety-eight,whenthistreatywasmade,thatofAustriawasgrowntheweakest,bythedisgusttakenataGermanqueen,andattherapacityandinsolenceofherfavorites。
TheFrenchwerelookeduponwithesteemandkindnessatMadrid;buttheGermanswerebecome,orgrowingtobe,objectsofcontempttotheministers,andofaversiontothepeople。Theelectoralprincediedinonethousandsixhundredandninety-nine。ThestarofAustria,sofataltoallthosewhowereobstaclestotheambitionofthathouse,prevailed;astheelectorexpressedhimselfinthefirstpangsofhisgrief。Thestateofthingschangedverymuchbythisdeath。ThearchdukewastohaveSpainandtheIndies,accordingtoasecondpartition:andtheSpaniards,whohadexpressedgreatresentmentatthefirst,werepushedbeyondtheirbearingbythis。Theysoonappearedtobeso;forthesecondtreatyofpartitionwassignedinMarchonethousandsevenhundred;andthewillwasmade,tothebestofmyremembrance,intheOctoberfollowing。Ishallnotenterhereintomanyparticularsconcerningthesegreatevents。Theywillberelatedfaithfully,andIhopefullyexplained,inaworkwhichyourlordshipmaytakethetroubleveryprobablyofperusingsometimeorother,andwhichIshallratherleave,thangivetothepublic——
Somethinghowevermustbesaidmore,tocontinueandwindupthissummaryofthelatterperiodofmodernhistory。
Francethensawheradvantage,andimproveditnodoubt,thoughnotinthemanner,norwiththecircumstances,thatsomelivingscribblersofmemorialsandanecdoteshaveadvanced。ShehadsentoneoftheablestmenofhercourttothatofMadrid,themarshalofHarcourt,andshehadstipulatedinthesecondtreatyofpartition,thatthearchdukeshouldgoneitherintoSpainnortheduchyofMilan,duringthelifeofCharlestheSecond。Shewaswillingtohaveheroptionbetweenatreatyandawill。Bytheacceptationofthewill,allkingWilliam’smeasureswerebroke。Hewasunpreparedforwarasmuchaswhenhemadethesetreatiestopreventone;andifhemeantinmakingthem,whatsomewise,butrefiningmenhavesuspected,andwhatIconfessIseenoreasontobelieve,onlytogaintimebythedifficultyofexecutingthem,andtoprepareformakingwar,wheneverthedeathofthekingofSpainshouldalarmmankind,androusehisownsubjectsoutoftheirinactivityandneglectofforeigninterests;ifso,hewasdisappointedinthattoo;
forFrancetookpossessionofthewholemonarchyatonce,andwithuniversalconcurrence,atleastwithoutoppositionordifficulty,infavorofthedukeofAnjon。Bywhathasbeenobserved,orhintedratherveryshortly,andI
fearalittleconfusedly,itisplainthatreducingthepowerofFrance,andsecuringthewholeSpanishsuccessiontothehouseofAustria,weretwopointsthatkingWilliam,attheheadoftheBritishandDutchcommonwealthsandofthegreatestconfederacyEuropehadseen,wasobligedtogiveup。
AlltheacquisitionsthatFrancecaredtokeepforthemaintenanceofherpowerwereconfirmedtoherbythetreatyofRyswic:andkingWilliamallowed,indirectlyatleast,thepretensionsofthehouseofBourbontotheSpanishsuccession,asLouistheFourteenthallowed,inthesamemanner,thoseofthehouseofAustria,bythetreatiesofpartition。Strangesituation!inwhichnoexpedientremainedtoprepareforanevent,visiblysonear,andofsuchvastimportanceasthedeathofthekingofSpain,butapartitionofhismonarchy,withouthisconsent,orhisknowledge!IfkingWilliamhadnotmadehispartition,theemperorwouldhavemadeone,andwithaslittleregardtotrade,tothebarrierofthesevenprovinces,ortothegeneralsystemofEurope,ashadbeenshowedbyhimwhenhemadetheprivatetreatywithFrancealreadymentioned,inonethousandsixhundredandsixty-eight。
TheministersofViennawerenotwantingtoinsinuatetothoseofFranceoverturesofaseparatetreaty,asmoreconducivetotheircommonintereststhantheaccessionofhisimperialmajestytothatofpartition。ButthecouncilsofVersaillesjudgedveryreasonably,thatapartitionmadewithEnglandandHollandwouldbemoreeffectualthananyother,ifapartitionwastotakeplace:andthatsuchapartitionwouldbejustaseffectualasonemadewiththeemperor,tofurnishargumentstotheemissariesofFrance,andmotivestotheSpanishcouncils,ifawillinfavorofFrancecouldbeobtained。Irepeatitagain;IcannotseewhatkingWilliamcoulddoinsuchcircumstancesashefoundhimselfinafterthirtyyearsstruggle,exceptwhathedid:neithercanIseehowhecoulddowhathedid,especiallyaftertheresentmentexpressedbytheSpaniards,andthefuriousmemorialpresentedbyCanalesontheconclusionofthefirsttreatyofpartition,withoutapprehendingthattheconsequencewouldbeawillinfavorofFrance。Hewasintheworstofallpoliticalcircumstances,inthatwhereinnoonegoodmeasureremainstobetaken;andoutofwhichheleftthetwonations,attheheadofwhomhehadbeensolong,tofightandnegotiatethemselvesandtheirconfederates,aswellastheycould。
Whenthiswillwasmadeandaccepted,LouistheFourteenthhadsucceeded,andthepowersinoppositiontohimhadfailed,inallthegreatobjectsofinterestandambition,whichtheyhadkeptinsightformorethanfortyyears;thatisfromthebeginningofthepresentperiod。Theactorschangedtheirpartsinthetragedythatfollowed。Thepower,thathadsolongandsocruellyattacked,wasnowtodefend,theSpanishmonarchy:andthepowersthathadsolongdefended,werenowtoattackit——Letusseehowthiswasbroughtabout:andthatwemayseeitthebetter,andmakeabetterjudgmentofallthatpassedfromthedeathofCharlestheSecondtothepeaceofUtrecht,letusgobacktothetimeofhisdeath,andconsiderthecircumstancesthatformedthiscomplicatedstateofaffairs,inthreeviews;aviewofright,aviewofpolicy,andaviewofpower。
TherightofsucceedingtothecrownofSpainwouldhavebeenundoubtedlyinthechildrenofMariaTheresa,thatis,inthehouseofBourbon;ifthisrighthadnotbeenbarredbythesolemnrenunciationssooftenmentioned。
ThepretensionsofthehouseofAustriawerefoundedontheserenunciations,ontheratificationofthembythePyreneantreaty,andtheconfirmationofthembythewillofPhiliptheFourth。ThepretensionsofthehouseofBourbonwerefoundedonasupposition,itwasindeednomore,andavainonetoo,thattheserenunciationswereintheirnaturenull。OnthisfootthedisputeofrightstoodduringthelifeofCharlestheSecond,andonthesameitwouldhavecontinuedtostandevenafterhisdeath,iftherenunciationshadremainedunshaken;ifhiswill,likethatofhisfather,hadconfirmedthem,andhadleftthecrown,inpursuanceofthemtothehouseofAustria。
ButthewillofCharlestheSecond,annullingtheserenunciations,tookawaythesolefoundationoftheAustrianpretensions;for,howeverthisactmightbeobtained,itwasjustasvalidashisfather’s,andwasconfirmedbytheuniversalconcurrenceoftheSpanishnationtothenewsettlementhemadeofthatcrown。Letitbe,asIthinkitoughttobe,granted,thatthetrueheirscouldnotclaimagainstrenunciationsthatwere,ifImaysosay,conditionsoftheirbirth:butCharlestheSecondhadcertainlyasgoodarighttochangethecourseofsuccessionagreeablytotheorderofnatureandtheconstitutionofthatmonarchy,afterhistrueheirswereborn,asPhiliptheFourthhadtochangeit,contrarytothisorderandthisconstitution,beforetheywereborn,oratanyothertime——Hehadasgoodaright,inshort,todispensewiththePyreneantreaty,andtosetitasideinthisrespect,ashisfatherhadtomakeit:sothattherenunciationsbeingannulledbythatpartytothePyreneantreatywhohadexactedthem,theycouldbedeemednolongerbinding,byvirtueofthistreaty,onthepartywhohadmadethem。Thesolequestionthatremainedthereforebetweentheserivalhouses,astoright,wasthis,whethertheengagementstakenbyLouistheFourteenthinthepartitiontreatiesobligedhimtoadheretothetermsofthelastoftheminallevents,andtodeprivehisfamilyofthesuccessionwhichthekingofSpainopened,andtheSpanishnationofferedtothem;ratherthantodepartfromacompositionhehadmade,onpretensionsthatweredisputablethen,butwerenowoutofdispute;itmaybesaid,anditwassaid,thatthetreatiesofpartitionbeingabsolute,withoutanyconditionorexceptionrelativetoanydispositionthekingofSpainhadmadeormightmakeofhissuccession,infavorofBourbonorAustria;thedispositionmadebyhiswill,infavoroftheDukeofAnjon,couldnotaffecttheengagementssolatelytakenbyLouistheFourteenthinthesetreaties,nordispensewithaliteralobservationofthem。Thismightbetrue,onstrictprinciplesofjustice;butIapprehendthatnoneofthesepowers,whoexclaimedsoloudlyagainsttheperfidyofFranceinthisuse,wouldhavebeenmorescrupulousinaparallelcase。Themaxim,“summumjusestsummainjuria,“wouldhavebeenquoted,andtherigidletteroftreatieswouldhavebeensoftenedbyanequitableinterpretationoftheirspiritandintention。Hisimperialmajesty,aboveall,hadnottheleastcolorofrighttoexclaimagainstFranceonthisoccasion;foringeneralifhisfamilywastobestrippedofallthedominionstheyhaveacquiredbybreachoffaith,andmeansmuchworsethantheacceptationofthewill,evenallowingalltheinvidiouscircumstancesimputedtotheconductofFrancetobetrue,theAustrianfamilywouldsinkfromtheirpresentgrandeurtothatlowstatetheywereintwoorthreecenturiesago。Inparticular,theemperor,whohadconstantlyrefusedtoaccedetothetreatiesofpartition,ortosubmittothedispositionsmadebythem,hadnottheleastplausiblepretencetoobjecttoLouistheFourteenth,thathedepartedfromthem。Thus,Ithink,therightofthetwohousesstoodonthedeathofCharlestheSecond。
TherightoftheSpaniards,anindependentnation,toregulatetheirownsuccession,ortoreceivetheprincewhomtheirdyingmonarchhadcalledtoit;andtherightofEnglandandHollandtoregulatethissuccession,todivideandparceloutthismonarchyindifferentlots,itwouldbeequallyfoolishtogoabouttoestablish。Oneistooevident,theothertooabsurd,toadmitofanyproof。Butenoughhasbeensaidconcerningright,whichwasintruthlittleregardedbyanyofthepartiesconcernedimmediatelyorremotelyinthewholecourseoftheseproceedings。Particularinterestswerealoneregarded,andthesewerepursuedasambition,fear,resentment,andvanitydirected:Imeantheambitionofthetwohousescontendingforsuperiorityofpower:thefearofEnglandandHollandlestthissuperiorityshouldbecometoogreatineither;theresentmentofSpainatthedismembermentofthatmonarchyprojectedbythepartitiontreaties;andthevanityofthatnation,aswellasoftheprincesofthehouseofBourbon:forasvanitymingledwithresentmenttomakethewill,vanityhadagreatshareindeterminingtheacceptationofit。
Letusnowconsiderthesameconjunctureinaviewofpolicy。ThepolicyoftheSpanishcouncilswasthis。Theycouldnotbrookthattheirmonarchyshouldbedivided:andthisprincipleisexpressedstronglyinthewillofCharlestheSecond,whereheexhortshissubjectsnottosufferanydismembermentordiminutionofamonarchyfoundedbyhispredecessorswithsomuchglory。
Tooweaktohinderthisdismembermentbytheirownstrength,toowellapprisedofthelittleforceandlittleviewsofthecourtofVienna,andtheiroldallieshavingengagedtoprocurethisdismembermentevenbyforceofarms: