Thisiswhatbankerscallspeculation,whichoftencausesvariationsintheexchangesforashortperiodindependentlyofthebalanceoftrade;butinthelongrunwemustgetbacktothisbalancewhichfixestheconstantanduniformruleofexchange。Andthoughthespeculationsandcreditsofbankersmaysometimesdelaythetransportofthesumswhichonecityorstateowestoanother,intheenditisalwaysnecessarytopaythedebtandsendthebalanceoftradeinspecietotheplacewhereitisdue。
IfEnglandgainsregularlyabalanceoftradewithPortugalandalwayslosesabalancewithHollandtheratesofexchangewithHollandandPortugalwillmakethisevident:itwillbeseenthatatLondontheexchangeonLisbonisbelowparandthatPortugalisindebtedtoEngland。ItwillbeseenalsothattheexchangeonAmsterdamisaboveparandthatEnglandisindebtedtoHolland。Butthequantityofthedebtcannotbeseenfromtheexchanges。ItwillnotbeseenwhetherthebalanceofsilverdrawnfromPortugalwillbegreaterorlessthanwhathastobesenttoHolland。
ThereishoweveronethingwhichwillalwaysshowatLondonwhetherEnglandgainsorlosesthegeneralbalanceofhertrade(bygeneralbalanceisunderstoodthedifferenceoftheindividualbalanceswithalltheforeignstateswhichtradewithEngland),andthatisthepriceofgoldandsilvermetalbutespeciallyofgold(nowthattheproportionbetweengoldandsilverincoinedmoneydiffersfromthemarketrate,aswillbeexplainedinthenextchapter)。IfthepriceofgoldmetalintheLondonmarket,whichisthecentreofEnglishtrade,islowerthanthepriceattheTowerwhereguineasorgoldcoinsareminted,oratthesamepriceasthesecoinsintrinsically,andifgoldmetalistakentotheTowerinexchangefortheirvalueinguineasormintedcoins,itisacertainproofthatEnglandisagainerinthegeneralbalanceofhertrade。ItprovesthatthegoldtakenfromPortugalsufficesnotonlytopaythebalancewhichEnglandsendsintoHolland,Sweden,Muscovy,andtheotherstateswheresheisindebted,butthatthereremainssomeofthegoldtobesenttotheMint,andthequantityorsumofthisgeneralbalanceoftradeisknownfromthatofthespeciecoinedattheTowerofLondon。
ButifthegoldmetalissoldintheLondonmarketabovetheTowerprice,whichisusually?。18。0anounce,themetalwillnolongerbetakentotheMint,andthisisacertainsignthatsomuchgoldisnotdrawnfromabroad(fromPortugalforinstance)
asmustbesentintotheothercountrieswhereEnglandisindebted。ItisaproofthatthegeneralbalanceoftradeisagainstEngland。ThiswouldnotbeknownbutfortheprohibitioninEnglandtosendgoldcoinoutofthecountry。ButthisprohibitionisthereasonwhythetimidLondonbankersprefertobuygoldmetal(whichtheyareallowedtosendabroad)at?。18。0
upto?anounceforexportratherthansendoutguineasorgoldcoinsat?。18。0againstthelawandattheriskofconfiscation。
Someofthemtakethisrisk,othersmeltthegoldcoinstosendthemoutasbullion,anditisimpossibletojudgehowmuchgoldEnglandloseswhenthegeneralbalanceoftradeisagainsther。
InFrancethecostofmintingisdeducted,usually1?percent,i。e。thepriceforcoinisalwayshigherthanforuncoinedmetal。ToknowwhetherFrancelosesinthegeneralvalanceofhertrade,itwillsufficetoknowwhetherthebankerssendFrenchcoinsabroad。Iftheydosoitisaproofthattheydonotfindbulliontobuyforexport,sincethebullionthoughatalowerpricethancoinedmoneyinFrance,isofgreatervaluethanthesecoinsinforeigncountriesbyatleast1?percent。
Thoughtheexchangesrarelyvaryapartfromthebalanceoftradebetweenonecountryandothers,andthoughthisbalanceisnaturallythemeredifferenceinvalueofthegoodsandmerchandisewhichthestatesendstoothercountriesandreceivesfromthem,yetthereareoftencircumstancesandaccidentalcauseswhichcauseconsiderablesumstobeconveyedfromonestatetoanotherwithoutanyquestionofmerchandiseortrade,andthesecausesaffecttheexchangesjustasthebalanceoftradewoulddo。
Sucharethesumsofmoneywhichonestatesendsintoanotherforitssecretservicesandpoliticalaims,forsubsidiestoallies,fortheupkeepoftroops,Ambassadors,noblemenwhotravel,etc。,capitalwhichtheinhabitantsofonestatesendtoanothertoinvestinpublicorprivatefunds,theinterestwhichtheseinhabitantsreceiveannuallyfromsuchinvestments,etc。
Theexchangesvarywithalltheseaccidentalcausesandfollowtheruleofthetransportofsilverrequired。Inconsideringthebalanceoftrademattersofthiskindarenotseparated,andindeeditwouldbeverydifficulttoseparatethem。Theyhaveverycertainlyaninfluenceontheincreaseanddecreaseofcirculatingmoneyinastateandonitscomparativestrengthandpower。
Mysubjectdoesnotallowmetoenlargeontheeffectsoftheseaccidentalcauses:IconfinemyselfalwaystothesimpleviewsofcommercelestIshouldcomplicatemysubject,whichistoomuchencumberedbythemultiplicityofthefactswhichrelatetoit。
Exchangesrisemoreorlessaboveparinproportiontothegreatorsmallcostsandrisksofthetransportofmoneyandthisbeinggrantedtheynaturallyrisemuchmoreaboveparinthecitiesorstateswhereitisforbiddentoexportmoneythaninthosewhereitsexportisfree。
SupposethatPortugalconsumesregularlyeveryyearconsiderablequantitiesofwoollenandothermanufacturesofEngland,aswellforitsownpeopleasforthoseofBrazil,thatitpaysforthempartlyinwine,oils,etc。,butforthesurpluspaymentthereisaregularbalanceoftraderemittedfromLisbontoLondon。IftheKingofPortugalrigorouslyprohibitsunderpenaltynotonlyofconfiscationbutoflifethetransportofanygoldorsilvermetaloutofhisStates,theterrorofthisprohibitionwillinthefirstplacestoptheBankersfrommeddlingaboutsendingthebalance。ThepriceoftheEnglishmanufactureswillbekeptinhandatLisbon。TheEnglishmerchantsunabletoreceivetheirfundsfromLisbonwillsendnomorecloththither。Theresultwillbethatclothwillbecomeextraordinarilydear。ThoughtheirpricehasnotgoneupinEnglandtheyceasetobesenttoLisbonbecausetheirvaluecannotberecovered。TohavetheseclothsthePortuguesenobilityandotherswhocannotdowithoutthemwilloffertwicetheusualprice,butastheycannotgetenoughofthemwithoutsendingmoneyoutofPortugal,theincreasedpriceofclothwillbecometheprofitofanyonewhoinspiteoftheprohibitionwillexportgoldorsilver。ThiswillencouragevariousJewsandotherstotakegoldandsilvertoEnglishvesselsintheportofLisbon,evenattheriskoftheirlives。Theywillgainatfirst100or50percentinthistrafficandthisprofitispaidbythePortugueseinthehighpricetheygiveforthecloth。Theywillgraduallyfamiliarisethemselveswiththismanoeuvreafterhavingoftenpractiseditsuccessfully,andatlengthmoneywillbeseentobeputonboardEnglishshipsforapaymentof2or1percent。
TheKingofPortugallaysdownthelaworprohibition。Hissubjects,evenhiscourtiers,paythecostoftheriskruntocircumventandeludeit。Noadvantagethenisgainedbysuchalaw,onthecontraryitcausesareallosstoPortugalsinceitcausesmoremoneyofthestatetogoabroadthaniftherewerenosuchlaw。
Forthosewhogainbythismanoeuvre,whetherJewsorothers,sendtheirprofitsabroad,andwhentheyhaveenoughofthemorwhentheytakefrighttheyoftenthemselvesfollowtheirmoney。
Ifsomeoftheselawbreakersweretakenintheact,theirgoodsconfiscatedandtheirlivesforfeited,thiscircumstanceandexecutioninsteadofstoppingtheexportofmoneywouldonlyincreaseit,becausethosewhoformerlyweresatisfiedwith1or2percentforexportingmoneywillask20or50percent,andsotheexportmustalwaysgoontopaythebalance。
IdonotknowwhetherIhavesucceededinmakingthesereasonscleartothosewhohavenoideaoftrade。Iknowthatforthosewhohavepracticalknowledgeofitnothingiseasiertounderstand,andthattheyarerightlyastonishedthatthosewhogovernstatesandadministerthefinancesofgreatkingdomshavesolittleknowledgeofthenatureofexchangesastoforbidtheexportofbullionandspecieofgoldandsilver。
Theonlywaytokeeptheminastateissotoconductforeigntradethatthebalanceisnotadversetothestate。
Chapter4
OfthevariationsintheproportionofvalueswithregardtothemetalswhichserveasmoneyIfmetalswereaseasilyfoundaswatercommonlyiseverybodywouldtakewhathewantedofthemandtheywouldhavehardlyanyvalue。Themetalswhicharemostplentifulandcosttheleasttroubletoproducearealsothecheapest。Ironseemsthemostnecessary,butasitiscommonlyfoundinEuropewithlesstroubleandlabourthancopperitismuchcheaper。
Copper,silver,andgoldarethethreemetalsingeneraluseformoney。Copperminesarethemostabundantandcostlessinlandandlabourtowork。TherichestcopperminestodayareinSweden。80ouncesofcopperareneededtheretopayforanounceofsilver。Itisalsotobeobservedthatthecopperextractedfromsomeminesismoreperfectandlustrousthanwhatisobtainedfromothers。ThecopperofJapanandSwedenisbrighterthanthatofEngland。ThatofSpainwas,inthetimeoftheRomans,betterthanthatofCyprus。Butgoldandsilver,fromwhatevermineextracted,arealwaysofthesameperfectionwhenrefined。
Thevalueofcopper,asofeverythingelse,isproportionabletothelandandlabourwhichenterintoitsproduction。Besidetheordinaryusestowhichitisput,likepotsandpans,kitchenutensils,locks,etc。itisinnearlyallstatesusedasmoneyinsmallpurchases。InSwedenitisusedeveninlargepaymentswhensilverisscarcethere。DuringthefirstfivecenturiesofRomeitwastheonlymoney。Silveronlybegantobeemployedinexchangeintheyear484。Theratioofcoppertosilverwasthenratedinthemintsat72to1:inthecoinageof512at80to1:in537,64to1:in586at48to1;in663byDrususand672bySullaat53to1:in712byMarcusAntoniusand724byAugustus56to1:inAD54underNero60to1:in160ADunderAntoninus64to1;inthetimeofConstantineAD330,120and125to1:intheageofJustinianaboutAD550at100to1。Sincethenithasalwaysvariedbelowtheratioof100
to1intheEuropeanmints。
Todaywhencoppermoneyisonlyusedinsmalldealings,whetheralloyedwithcalaminetomakeyellowcopperasinEngland,orwithasmallportionofsilverasinFranceandGermanyitisgenerallyratedinthe,proportionof40to1,thoughthemarketpriceofcopperisordinarilytothatofsilveras80or100to1。Thereasonisthatthecostofcoiningisgenerallydeductedfromtheweightofthecopper。Whenthereisnottoomuchofthissmallmoneyforeffectingthepettyexchangesinthestate,coinsofcopperorcopperandalloypasswithoutdifficultyinspiteoftheirdefectinintrinsicvalue。
Butwhenitisattemptedtopasstheminaforeigncountrytheywillonlybetakenattheweightofthecopperandthesilveralloy。Eveninstateswherethroughtheavariceorignoranceofthegovernors,currencyisgiventotoogreataquantityofthissmallcashforthetransactionofsmalldealings,anditisorderedthatitshouldbereceiveduptoacertainlimitinlargepaymentsitisunwillinglyacceptedandsmallcashisatadiscountinsilvercoin,asinthetokenmoneyandArditesinSpaininlarge,payments。Yetsmallcoinsalwayspasswithoutdifficultyinsmallpurchases,thevalueofthepaymentsbeingusuallysmallinthemselvesthelossisstillless。Thisiswhytheyareacceptedwithoutdifficulty,andthatcopperisexchangedforsmallsilvercoinsabovetheweightandintrinsicvalueofcopperinthestateitself,butnotinotherstates,eachstatehavingwherewithtocarryonitssmalldealingswithitsowncoppercoins。
Goldandsilver,likecopper,haveavalueproportionabletothelandandlabournecessaryfortheirproduction;andifthepublicassumesthecostofmintingthesemetalstheirvalueinbarsandincoinisidentical,theirmarketvalueandtheirmintvalueisthesame,theirvalueinthestateandinforeigncountriesisalwaysalike,dependingontheweightandfineness,thatisonweightaloneifthemetalsarepureandwithoutalloy。
Silvermineshavealwaysbeenfoundmoreabundantthanthoseofgold,butnotequallyinallcountriesoratalltimes。
Severalouncesofsilverhavealwaysbeenneededtobuyoneounceofgold,sometimesmoresometimeslessaccordingtotheabundanceofthesemetalsandthedemandforthem。IntheyearAUC310,13
ouncesofsilverwereneededinGreecetobuyanounceofgold,i。e。goldwastosilveras1to13:AUC400orthereabouts1to12,AUC4601to10inGreece,ItalyandthewholeofEurope。
Thisratioof1to10seemstohavepersistedfor3centuriestothedeathofAugustus,AUC767orAD14。UnderTiberiusgoldbecamescarceorsilvermoreplentiful,andtheratiograduallyroseto1to12,12?and13。UnderConstantineAD330andJustinianAD550itwas1to14。Laterhistoryismoreobscure。
Someauthorsthinkitwas1to18undercertainFrenchkings。InAD840underCharlestheBaldgoldandsilvercoinswerestruckat1to12。UnderStLouis,whodiedin1270theratiowas1to10:in1361,1to12:in1421over1to11:in1500under1to12:about1600,1to12:in1641,1to14:in1700,1to15:in1730,1to14?
ThequantityofgoldandsilverbroughtfromMexicoandPeruinthelastcenturyhasnotonlymadethesemetalsmoreplentifulbuthasincreasedthevalueofgoldcomparedwithsilverwhichhasbeenmoreabundant,sothatintheSpanishmints,followingthemarketprices,theratioisfixedat1to16。TheotherStatesofEuropehavefollowedprettycloselytheSpanishpriceintheirMints,someat1to15,othersat157/8,155/8,etc。
followingtheideasandviewsoftheDirectorsoftheMints。ButsincePortugalhasdrawngreatquantitiesofgoldfromBraziltheratiohascommencedtofallagainifnointheMintsatleastinthemarkets,andthisgivesagreatervaluetosilverthaninthepast。MoreoveragooddealofgoldisoftenbroughtfromtheEastIndiesinexchangeforthesilvertakenthitherfromEurope,becausetheratioismuchlowerinIndia。
InJapanwherethereareagoodmanysilverminestheratioofgoldtosilveristoday1to8:inChina1to10:intheothercountriesoftheIndiesonthisside1to11,1to12,1to13,and1to14aswegetnearertotheWestandtoEurope。ButiftheminesofBrazilcontinuetosupplysomuchgoldtheratiomayprobablyfalleventuallyto1to10eveninEuropewhichseemstomethemostnaturalifanythingbutchanceistheguidetotheratio。ItisquitecertainthatwhenallthegoldandsilverminesinEurope,AsiaandAfricawerethemostexploitedfortheRomanrepublictheratioof1to10wasthemostconstant。Ifallthegoldminesregularlyproducedatenthpartofwhatthesilverminesproduce,itcouldnotbedeterminedthatforthatreasontheratiobetweenthesetwometalswouldbeas1to10。Theratiowouldalwaysdependonthedemandandonthemarketprice。
Possiblyrichpeoplemightprefertocarrygoldmoneyintheirpocketsratherthansilverandmightdevelopeatasteforgildingsandgoldornamentsratherthansilver,thusincreasingthemarketpriceofgold。
Neithercouldtheratiobetweenthesemetalsbearrivedatbyconsideringthequantityofthemfoundinastate。Supposetheratio1to10inEnglandandthatthequantityofgoldandsilverincirculationtherewere20millionouncesofsilverand2
millionouncesofgold,thatwouldbeequalto40millionouncesofsilver,andsupposethat1millionouncesofgoldbeexportedfromEnglandoutofthe2millions,and10millionouncesofsilverbroughtininexchange,therewouldthenbe30millionouncesinofsilverandonly1millionouncesofgold,stillequivalentinallto40millionouncesofsilver。Ifthequantityofouncesbeconsideredthereare30millionsofsilverand1
millionofgold,andthereforeifthequantityofthetwometalsdecidedtheratioitwouldbeas1to30,butthatisimpossible。
Theratiointheneighbouringcountriesis1to10,anditwouldthereforecostonly10millionouncesofsilverwithatrifleforthecostofcarriagetobringbacktothestate1millionouncesofgoldinexchangefor10millionouncesofsilver。
Tojudgethenoftheratiobetweengoldandsilverthemarketpriceisalonedecisive:thenumberofthosewhoneedonemetalinexchangefortheother,andofthosewhoarewillingtomakesuchanexchange,determinestheratio。Itoftendependsonthehumourofmen:thebargainingisdoneroughlyandnotgeometrically。StillIdonotthinkthatonecanimagineanyrulebutthistoarriveatit。Atleastweknowthatinpracticeitistheonewhichdecides,asinthepriceandvalueofeverythingelse。Foreignmarketsaffectthepriceofgoldandsilvermorethantheydothepriceofanyothergoodsormerchandisebecausenothingistransportedwithgreatereaseandlessinjury。IftherewereafreeandregulartradebetweenEnglandandJapan,ifanumberofshipswereregularlyemployedinthistradeandthebalanceoftradewereinallrespectsequal,i。e。ifasmuchmerchandisewerealwayssentfromEnglandtoJapan,havingregardtopriceandvalue,aswasimportedfromJapan,itwouldendindrawingatlastallthegoldfromJapaninexchangeforsilver,andtheratiobetweengoldandsilverinJapanwouldbemadethesameasitisinEngland,subjectonlytotherisksofnavigation;forinourhypothesisthecostsofthevoyagewouldbesupportedbythetradeinmerchandise。
Takingtheratioat1to15inEnglandand1to8inJapantherewouldbemorethan87percenttogainbycarryingsilverfromEnglandtoJapanandbringingbackgold。Butthisdifferenceisnotenoughintheordinarycoursetopaythecostsofsolonganddifficultavoyage。
ItpaysbettertobringbackmerchandisefromJapanratherthangoldinexchangeforsilver。Itisonlythecostsandrisksofthetransportofgoldandsilverwhichcanleaveadifferenceintheratiobetweenthesemetalsindifferentstates:intheneareststatetheratiowilldifferverylittle,therewillbeadifferencefromonestatetoanotherof1,2or3percentandfromEnglandtoJapanthetotalofallthesedifferencesofratiowillamounttomorethan87percent。
Itisthemarketpricewhichdecidestheratioofthevalueofgoldtothatofsilver。Themarketpriceisthebaseofthisproportioninthevalueassignedtocoinsofgoldandsilver。Ifthemarketpricevariesconsiderably,thatofthecoinagemustbereformedtofollowthemarketrate。Ifthisbenotdoneconfusionanddisordersetininthecirculation,andcoinsofoneortheothermetalwillbetakenabovetheMintvalue。Thereareaninfinityofexamplesofthisinantiquity。ThereisaquiterecentoneinEnglandundertheregulationsmadeattheLondonMint。Theounceofsilver,eleventwelfthsfine,isworththere5s2dsterling。Sincetheratioofgoldtosilver(whichhadbeenfixedat1to16inimitationofSpain)hasfallento1to15and1to14?theounceofsilversoldat5s6dsterling,whilethegoldguineacontinuedtocirculateat21s6dsterling,whichcausedtheexportfromEnglandofallthesilvercrowns,shillingsandsixpenceswhichwerenotwornbycirculation,silvermoneybecamesoscarcein1728(thoughonlythemostwornpiecesremained)thatpeoplehadtochangeaguineaatalossofnearly5percent。ThetroubleandconfusionthusproducedintradeandcirculationobligedtheTreasurytorequestthecelebratedSirIsaacNewton,Master,oftheTowerMint,tomakeaReportonthemeasureshethoughtmostsuitabletoremedythisdisorder。
Therewasnothingeasier。ItwasonlynecessarytofollowthemarketpriceofsilverincoiningsilverattheTower。AndwhereastheratioofgoldtosilverwasofoldtimebythelawsandregulationsoftheTowerMint1to15?itwasonlynecessarytomakethesilvercoinslighterintheproportionofthemarketpricewhichhadfallenbelow1to15;and,toanticipatethevariationwhichthegoldofBrazilbringsaboutannuallyintheratiobetweenthesetwometals,itmightevenhavebeenpossibletofixitonthefootingof1to14?aswasdonein1725inFranceandastheywillbeforcedlatertodoinEnglanditself。
ItistruethatthecoinageinEnglandmightequallyhavebeenadjustedtothemarketpriceandratiobydiminishingthenominalvalueofgoldcoins。ThiswasthepolicyadoptedbySirIsaacNewtoninhisReport,andbyParliamentinconsequenceofthisReport。But,asIshallexplain,itwastheleastnaturalandthemostdisadvantageouspolicy。Firstlyitwasmorenaturaltoraisethepriceofsilvercoins,becausethepublichadalreadydonesointhemarket,theounceofsilverwhichwasworthonly62dsterlingattheMintbeingworthmorethan65dinthemarket,andallthesilvermoneybeingexportedexceptwhatthecirculationhadconsiderablyreducedinweight。OntheotherhanditwaslessdisadvantageoustotheEnglishnationtoraisethesilvermoneythantolowerthegoldmoneyconsideringthesumswhichEnglandowestheforeigner。
IfitissupposedthatEnglandowestheforeigner5millionssterlingofcapital,investedinthepublicfunds,itmaybeequallysupposedthattheForeignerpaidthisamountingoldattherateof21s6daguineaorinsilverat65dsterlingtheounce,accordingtothemarketprice。
These5millionshavethereforecosttheForeignerat21s6dtheguinea4,651,163guineas;butnowthattheguineaisreducedto21sthecapitaltoberepaidis4,761,904guineas,alosstoEnglandof110,741guineas,withoutcountingthelossontheinterestannuallypaid。
NewtontoldmeinanswertothisobjectionthataccordingtothefundamentallawsoftheKingdomsilverwasthetrueandonlymonetarystandardandthatassuchitcouldnotbealtered。
ItiseasytoanswerthatthepublichavingalteredthisLawbycustomandthepriceofthemarketithadceasedtobealaw,thatinthesecircumstancestherewasnoneedtoadherescrupulouslytoittothedetrimentofthenationandtopaytoforeignersmorethantheirdue。Ifthegoldcoinswerenotconsideredtruemoney,goldwouldhavesupportedthevariation,asinHollandandChinawheregoldislookeduponratherasmerchandisethanmoney。Ifthesilvercoinshadbeenraisedtotheirmarketpricewithouttouchinggoldtherewouldhavebeennolosstotheforeigner,andtherewouldhavebeenplentyofsilvercoinsincirculation。TheywouldhavebeencoinedattheMint,whereasnownomorewillbecoineduntilsomenewarrangementismade。
Byreducingthevalueofgold(broughtaboutbyNewton’sReportfrom21s6dto21s)theounceofsilverwhichwassoldintheLondonmarketbeforeat65penceand65?pencenolongersoldintruthbutat64d。ButasitwascoinedattheTowertheouncewasvaluedinthemarketat64dandifitwastakentotheTowertobecoineditwouldbeworthnomorethan62d。Sonomoreistaken。AfewshillingsorfifthsofcrownshavebeenstruckattheexpenseoftheSouthSeaCompany,losingthedifferenceofthemarketprice;buttheydisappearedassoonastheywereputintocirculation。Todaynosilvercoinscanbeseenincirculationiftheyareoffullmintweight,onlycoinswhicharewornanddonotexceedinweightthemarketprice。
Howeverthevalueofsilvercontinuestoriseimperceptiblyinthemarket。Theouncewhichwasworthonly64afterthereductionofwhichwehavespokenhasrisenagainto65?and66
inthemarket;andinordertohavesilvercoinincirculationandcoinedattheTower,itwillbenecessaryagaintoreducethevalueofthegoldguineafrom21sto20sandtolosetotheforeignerdoubleofwhatislostalreadyunlessitispreferredtofollowthenaturalcourseandtoadjustsilvercointothemarketprice。Onlythemarketpricecanfindtheratioofthevalueofgoldandsilverasofallothervalues。Newton’sreductionoftheguineato21swasdevisedonlytopreventthedisappearanceofthelightandworncoinswhichremainincirculation,andnottofixingoldandsilvercoinsthetrueratiooftheirprice,Imeanbytheirtrueratiothatwhichisfixedbymarketprices。Thispriceisalwaysthetouchstoneinthesematters。Itsvariationsareslowenoughtoallowtimetoregulatethemintsandpreventdisordersinthecirculation。
Insomecenturiesthevalueofsilverrisesslowlyagainstgold,inothersthevalueofgoldrisesagainstsilver。ThiswasthecaseintheageofConstantinewhoreducedallvaluestothatofgoldasthemorepermanent;butthevalueofsilverisgenerallythemorepermanentandgoldismoresubjecttovariation。
ChapterV
OftheaugmentationanddiminutionofcoinindenominationAccordingtotheprincipleswehaveestablishedthequantityofmoneycirculatinginexchangefixesanddeterminesthepriceofeverythinginaStatetakingintoaccounttherapidityorsluggishnessofcirculation。
WeoftenseehoweverintheincreasesanddecreasespractisedinFrancesuchstrangevariationsthatitmightbesupposedthatmarketpricescorrespondrathertothenominalvalueofcointhantoitsquantityinexchange,thequantityoflivrestournoisinmoneyofaccountratherthanthequantityofmarksandounces,whichseemsdirectlyopposedtoourprinciples。
Suppose,ashappenedin1714,ecuiscurrentfor5livresandtheKingArretwhichorderstheloweringoftheecufor20
months,viz1percentpermonthtonominalvalueto4livresinsteadof5。LetusseewillbenaturallytheconsequencesofthishavingregardtothespiritoftheNation。
Allthosewhoowemoneywillmakehastetopayitduringthediminutionssoasnottolosebythem。UndertakersandMerchantsfinditeasytoborrowwhichdecidestheleastableandtheleastincreasetheirenterprise。Theyborrowmoney,asfancy,withoutinterestandloadthemselveswithviolenceoftheirdemands。
Vendorshavegettingridoftheirmerchandiseformoneywhichdiminishintheirhandsinnominalvalue。Theytowardsforeignmerchandiseandimportconsiderablequantitiesofitfortheconsumptionofseveralyears。Allthiscausesmoneytocirculatemorerapidlyandraisesthepriceofeverything。ThenhighpricespreventtheforeignerfromtakingmerchandisefromFranceasusual。Francekeepsherownmerchandiseandatthesametimeimportsgreatquantities。Thisdoubleoperationisthereasonwhyconsiderableamountsofspeciemustbesentabroadtopaythebalance。
Therateofexchangeneverfailstoshowthisdisadvantage。
Exchangeiscommonlyseenat6and10percentagainstFranceduringthesediminutions。EnlightenedpeopleinFrancehoardtheirmoneyinthesetimes。TheKingfindsmeanstoborrowmuchmoneyonwhichhewillinglylosesthediminution,proposingtocompensatehimselfbyanaugmentationattheendofthediminution。
WiththisobjectafterseveraldiminutionstheybegintohoardmoneyintheKing’sTreasury,topostponethepayments,pensions,andarmypay。InthesecircumstancesmoneybecomesextremelyrareattheendofthediminutionsbothbyreasonofthesumshoardedbytheKingandvariousindividualsandbyreasonofthenominalvalueofthecoin,whichvalueisdiminished。Theamountssentabroadalsocontributegreatlytothescarcityofmoney,andthisscarcitygraduallybringsitaboutthatthemerchandisewithwhichtheundertakersareloadedupisofferedat50or60percentbelowthepricesprevailingatthetimeofthefirstdiminutions。Circulationfallsintoconvulsions。Hardlyenoughmoneycanbefoundtosendtomarket。
ManyUndertakersandMerchantsgobankruptandtheirmerchandiseissoldatbargainprices。
ThentheKingaugmentsanewthecoinage,settlesthenewecuorounceofsilverofthenewissueat5livres,beginswiththisnewcoinagetopaythetroopsandthepensions。TheoldcoinageisdemonetisedandreceivedattheMintatalowernominalvalue。
TheKingprofitsbythedifference。
ButallthesumsofnewcoinagewhichcomefromtheMintdonotrestoretheabundanceofmoneyincirculation。TheamountskepthoardedbyindividualsandthosesentabroadgreatlyexceedthenominalincreaseonthecoinagewhichcomesfromtheMint。
ThecheapnessofmerchandiseinFrancebeginstodrawthitherthemoneyoftheforeigner,whofindingit50or60ormorepercentcheapersendsgoldandsilvermetaltoFrancetobuyit。InthiswaytheforeignerwhosendshisbulliontotheMintrecoupshimselfeasilyfromthetaxpaidthereonthisbullion。Hefindsthedoubleadvantageofthelowpriceofthemerchandisehebuys,andthelossoftheMintchargefallsreallyontheFrenchinthesaleoftheirmerchandisetotheforeigner。Theyhavemerchandiseenoughforseveralyears’consumption。TheyreselltotheDutch,forexample,thespiceswhichtheyboughtofthemfortwothirdsofwhattheypaid。Allthistakesplacegradually,theforeignerdecidestobuythesemerchandisesfromFranceonlybecauseoftheircheapness。Thebalanceoftrade,whichwasagainstFranceatthetimeofthediminutionsturnsinherfavouratthetimeofaugmentation,andtheKingisabletoprofitby20percentormoreonallthebullionbroughtintoFranceandtakentotheMint。AsForeignersnowoweatradebalancetoFranceandhavenotintheircountrycoinsofthenewissuetheymusttaketheirbullionandcoinsoftheoldissuetotheMinttoobtainnewcoinsforpayment。ButthistradebalancewhichForeignersowetoFrancearisesonlyfromthemerchandisewhichtheyimportfromitatlowprices。
Franceisallroundthedupeoftheseoperations。Shepaysveryhighpricesforforeigngoodsduringthediminutions,sellsthembackatverylowpricesatthetimeoftheaugmentationtothesameforeigners,sellsherownmerchandiseatlowpriceswhichshehadkeptsohighduringthediminutionsandsoitwouldbedifficultforallthemoneywhichleftFranceduringthediminutionstocomebackduringtheaugmentation。Ifcoinsofthenewissuearecounterfeitedabroad,asisnearlyalwaysthecase,Francelosesthe20percentwhichtheKinghasestablishedastheMintcharge。ThisissomuchgainedfortheForeignerwhoprofitsfurtherbythelowpricesofmerchandiseinFrance。
TheKingmakesaconsiderableprofitbytheMinttax,butitcostsFrancethreetimesasmuchtoenablehimtomakethisprofit。
ItiswellunderstoodthatwhenthereisacurrentbalanceoftradeinfavourofFranceagainsttheforeignertheKingisabletoraiseataxof20percentormorebyanewcoinageandanincreaseinthenominalvalueofcoins。ButifthetradebalancewasagainstFranceatthetimeofthisnewcoinageandaugmentationtheoperationwouldhavenosuccessandtheKingwouldnotderiveagreatprofitfromit。Thereasonisthatinthiscaseitisnecessarytosendmoneycontinuallyabroad。Buttheoldecuisasgoodinforeigncountriesasthenew。ThatbeingsotheJewsandBankerswillgiveapremiumorbonusinsecretfortheoldcoinsandtheindividualwhocansellthemabovetheMintpricewillnottakethemthither。AttheMinttheygivehimonlyabout4livresforhisecu,buttheBankerwillgivehimatfirst4livres5sols,andthen4livres10,andatlast4livres15。Andthisishowitmayhappenthatanaugmentationofthecoinagemaylacksuccess。Itcanhardlyhappenwhentheraisingismadeaftertheloweringsindicated,becausethenthebalancenaturallyturnsinfavourofFrance,aswehaveexplained。
Theexperienceoftheaugmentationof1726mayservetoconfirmallthis。Thediminutionswhichhadprecededthisaugmentationweremadesuddenlywithoutwarning,whichpreventedtheordinaryoperationsofdiminutions。ThispreventedthetradebalancefromturningstronglyinfavourofFranceattheaugmentationof1726,fewpeopletooktheiroldcointotheMint,andtheprofitoftheMinttaxwhichwasinviewhadtobeabandoned。
ItisnotwithinmysubjecttoexplainthereasonsofMinistersforloweringthecoinagesuddenlynorthereasonswhichdeceivedthemintheirprojectoftheaugmentationof1726。I
havementionedtheincreasesanddecreasesinFranceonlybecausetheirresultsseemsometimestoclashwiththeprinciplesIhaveestablishedthatabundanceorscarcityofmoneyinaStateraisesorlowersallpricesproportionably。
Afterexplainingtheeffectsofloweringandraisingthecoinage,aspractisedinFrance,Imaintainthattheyneitherdestroynorweakenmyprinciples,forifIamtoldthatwhatcost20livresor5ouncesofsilverbeforetheloweringreferredtodoesnotevencost4ouncesor20livresofthenewmoneyaftertheaugmentation,Iwillassenttothiswithoutdepartingfrommyprinciples,becausethereislessmoneyincirculationthantherewasbeforethediminutions,asIhaveexplained。Thedifficultiesofexchangeinthetimesandoperationsofwhichwespeakcausevariationsinthepricesofthingsandinthatoftheinterestofmoneywhichcannotbetakenasaruleintheordinaryprinciplesofcirculationanddealing。
ThechangeinthenominalvalueofmoneyhasatalltimesbeentheeffectofsomedisasterorscarcityintheState,oroftheambitionofsomePrinceorindividual。IntheyearA。U。C。157
SolonincreasedthenominalvalueofthedrachmaofAthensafteraseditionandabolitionofdebt。BetweenA。U。C。490and512theRomanRepublicseveraltimesincreasedthenominalvalueofitscoppercoins,sothattheirascametobeworthsix。ThepretextwastoprovidefortheneedsoftheStateandtopaythedebtsincurredinthefirstPunicWar。Thisdidnotfailtocausegreatconfusion。In663LiviusDrusus,Tribuneofthepeople,increasedthenominalvalueofamount,andthisgaveoccasiontointroduceconfusionintoexchange。InA。U。C。712AntonyinhisTriumvirateincreasedthenominalofsilverby5percent,mixingironwiththesilver,tomeettheneedsoftheTriumvirate。ManyEmperorssubsequentlydebasedorincreasedcoinage。TheKingsofFranceatdifferenttimeshavedonelikewise。Thisiswhythelivretournois,whichwasapoundweightofsilverhassunktosolittlevalue。TheseproceedingshaveneverfailedtocausedisorderinStates。Itmatterslittleornothingwhatisthenominalvalueofcoinsprovideditbepermanent。ThepistoleofSpainisworth9livresorflorinsinHolland,about18livresinFrance,37livres10solsatVenice,50livresatParma。Inthesameproportionvaluesareexchangedbetweenthesedifferentcountries。Thepriceofeverythingincreasesgraduallywhenthenominalvalneofcoinsincreases,andtheactualquantityinweightandfinenessofthecoins,takingintoaccounttherapidityofcirculation,isthebaseandregulatorofvalues。A
Stateneithergainsnorlosesbytheraisingorloweringofthesecoinssolongasitkeepsthesamequantityofthem,thoughindividualsmaygainorlosebythevariationaccordingtotheirengagements。Allpeoplearefulloffalseprejudiceandfalseideasastothenominalvalueoftheircoinage。WehaveshownintheChapteronExchangesthattheinvariableruleofthemisthepriceandfinenessofthecurrentcoinsofdifferentcountries,marcformarcandounceforounce。IfaraisingorloweringofthenominalvaluechangesthisruleforatimeinFranceitisonlyduringacrisisanddifficultyintrade。Areturnisalwaysmadelittlebylittletointrinsicvalue,towhichpricesarenecessarilybroughtbothinthemarketandintheforeignexchanges。
ChapterVI
OfBanksandtheirCreditIfahundredeconomicalgentlemenorproprietorsofland,whoputbyeveryyearmoneyfromtheirsavingstobuylandonoccasion,depositeachone10,000ouncesofsilverwithagoldsmithorbankerinLondon,toavoidthetroubleofkeepingthismoneyintheirhousesandthetheftswhichmightbemadeofit,theywilltakefromthemnotespayableondemand。Oftentheywillleavetheirmoneytherealongtime,andevenwhentheyhavemadesomepurchasetheywillgivenoticetothebankersometimeinadvancetohavetheirmoneyreadywhentheformalitiesandlegaldocumentsarecomplete。
Inthesecircumstancesthebankerwilloftenbeabletolend90,000ouncesofthe100,000heowesthroughouttheyearandwillonlyneedtokeepinhand10,000ouncestomeetallthewithdrawals。Hehastodowithwealthyandeconomicalpersons;asfastasonethousandouncesaredemandedofhiminonedirection,athousandarebroughttohimfromanother。Itisenoughasaruleforhimtokeepinhandthetenthpartofhisdeposits。
TherehavebeenexamplesandexperiencesofthisinLondon。
Insteadoftheindividualsinquestionkeepinginhandalltheyearroundthegreatestpartof100,000ouncesthecustomofdepositingitwithabankercauses90,000ouncesofthe100,000
tobeputintocirculation。Thisisprimarilytheideaonecanformoftheutilityofbanksofthissort。Thebankersorgoldsmithscontributetoacceleratethecirculationofmoney。
Theylenditoutatinterestattheirownriskandperil,andyettheyareoroughttobealwaysreadytocashtheirnoteswhendesiredondemand。
Ifanindividualhas1000ouncestopaytoanotherhewillgivehiminpaymentthebanker’snoteforthatamount。Thisotherwillperhapsnotgoanddemandthemoneyofthebanker。Hewillkeepthenoteandgiveitonoccasiontoathirdpersoninpayment,andthisnotemaypassthroughseveralhandsinlargepaymentswithoutanyonegoingforalongtimetodemandthemoneyfromthebanker。Itwillbeonlysomeonewhohasnotcompleteconfidenceorhasseveralsmallsumstopaywhowilldemandtheamountofit。Inthisfirstexamplethecashofabankerisonlythetenthpartofhistrade。
If100individualsorlandownersdepositwithabankertheirincomeeverysixmonthsasitisreceived,andthendemandtheirmoneybackasandwhentheyhaveneedtospendit,thebankerwillbeinapositiontolendmuchmoreofthemoneywhichheowesandreceivesatthebeginningofthehalfyears,forashorttermofsomemonths,thanhewillbetowardstheendoftheseperiods。Andhisexperienceoftheconductofhisclientswillteachhimthathecanhardlylendduringthewholeyearmorethanaboutonehalfofthesumswhichheowes。Bankersofthiskindwillberuinedincreditiftheyfailforoneinstanttopaytheirnotesontheirfirstpresentation,andwhentheyareshortofcashinhandtheywillgiveanythingtohavemoneyatonce,thatistosayamuchhigherinterestthantheyreceiveonthesumstheyhavelent。Hencetheymakeitarulebasedontheirexperiencetokeepalwaysinhandenoughtomeetdemands,andrathermorethanless。ManyBankersofthiskind(andtheyarethegreatestnumber)alwayskeepinhandhalftheamountdepositedwiththemandlendtheotherhalfatinterestandputitintocirculation。InthissecondexampletheBankercauseshisnotesof100,000ouncesorecustocirculatewith50,000ecus,Ifhehasagreatflowofdepositsandgreatcreditthisincreasesconfidenceinhisnotes,andmakespeoplelesseagertocashthem,butonlydelays,hispaymentsafewdaysorweekswhenthenotesfallintothehandsofpersonswhoarenotaccustomedtodealwithhim,andheoughtalwaystoguidehimselfbythosewhoareaccustomedtoentrusttheirmoneytohim。Ifhisnotescomeintothehandsofthoseofhisownbusinesstheywillhavenothingmorepressingthantowithdrawthemoneyfromhim。
IfthosewhodepositmoneywiththeBankerareUndertakersandMerchantswhopayinlargesumsdailyandsoonafterdrawthemoutitwilloftenhappenthatiftheBankerdivertmorethanonethirdofhiscashhewillfindhimselfindifficultytomeetthedemands。
ItiseasytounderstandbytheseexamplesthatthesumsofmoneywhichaGoldsmithoraBankercanlendatinterestordivertfromhiscasharenaturallyproportionabletothepracticeandconductofhisclients;thatwhilewehaveseenBankerswhoweresafewithacashreserveofone-tenth,otherscanhardlykeeplessthanonehalfortwo-thirds,thoughtheircreditbeashighasthatofthefirst。
SometrustoneBanker,someanother。ThemostfortunateistheBankerwhohasforclientsrichgentlemenwhoarealwayslookingoutforsafeemploymentfortheirmoneywithoutwishingtoinvestitatinterestwhiletheywait。
AgeneralnationalbankhasthisadvantageoverthebankofasingleGoldsmiththatthereisalwaysmoreconfidenceinit。Thelargestdepositsarewillinglybroughttoit,evenfromthemostremotequartersofthecity,anditleavesgenerallytosmallBankersonlythedepositofpettysumsintheirneighbourhood。
EventherevenuesoftheStatearepaidintoitincountrieswherethePrinceisnotabsolute。Andthis,farfrominjuringcreditandconfidenceinit,servesonlytoincreasethem。
Ifpaymentsinanationalbankaremadebytransfersorclearingstherewillbethisadvantage,thattheyarenotsubjecttoforgeries,butiftheBankgivesnotesfalsenotesmaybemadeandcausedisorder。TherewillbealsothisdisadvantagethatthosewhoareinthequartersofthecityatadistancefromtheBankwillratherpayandreceiveinmoneythangothither,especiallythoseinthecountry。Butifthebanknotesaredispersedtheycanbeusedfarandnear。InthenationalBanksofVeniceandAmsterdampaymentismadeonlyinbookcredit,butinthatofLondonitismadeincredit,innotes,andinmoneyatthechoiceoftheindividuals,anditistodaythestrongestBank。
ItwillthenbeunderstoodthatalltheadvantageofBanks,publicorprivateinacity,istoacceleratethecirculationofmoneyandtopreventsomuchofitfrombeinghoardedasitwouldnaturallybeforseveralintervals。
ChapterVII
FurtherexplanationsandenquiriesastotheutilityofaNationalBankItisoflittleimportancetoexaminewhytheBankofVeniceandthatofAmsterdamkeeptheirbooksinmoneysofaccountdifferentfromcurrentmoney,andwhythereisalwaysanagioonconvertingthesebookcreditsintocurrency。Itisnotapointofanyserviceforcirculation。TheBankofEnglandhasnotfolloweditinthis。Itsaccounts,itsnotesanditspaymentsaremadeandarekeptincurrentcoin,whichseemstomemoreuniformandmorenaturalandnolessuseful。
IhavenotbeenabletoobtainexactinformationofthequantityofsumsordinarilybroughttotheseBanks,northeamountoftheirnotesandaccounts,loans,andsumskeptasreserve。Someonewhoisbetterinformedonthesepointswillbebetterabletodiscussthem。As,however,IknowfairlywellthatthesesumsarenotsohugeascommonlysupposedIwillnotomittogiveanideaofthem。
IfthebillsandnotesoftheBankofEnglandwhichseemstomethemostconsiderable,amountweeklyonanaverageto4,000,000ouncesofsilverorabout1millionsterling,andiftheyarecontenttokeepregularlyinreserveaquarteror?50,000sterlingor1millionouncesofsilverincoin,theutilityofthisBanktocirculationcorrespondstoanincreaseofthemoneyoftheStateby3millionouncesor?50,000sterlingwhichiswithoutdoubtaverylargesumandofverygreatutilityforthecirculationwhenithasneedtobespeededup:forIhaveremarkedelsewherethattherearecaseswhereitisbetterforthewelfareoftheStatetoretardthecirculationthantoaccelerateit。IhaveheardthatthenotesandbillsoftheBankofEnglandhaveriseninsomecasesto2millionssterling,butitseemstomethiscanonlyhavebeenbyextraordinaryaccident。
AndIthinktheutilityofthisBankcorrespondsingeneralonlytoaboutonetenthpartofallthemoneyincirculationinEngland。
Iftheexplanationsgiventomeinroundfiguresin1719onthereceiptsoftheBankofVenicearecorrectitmaybesaidofnationalbanksgenerallythattheirutilitynevercorrespondstothetenthpartofthecurrentmoneycirculatinginaState。ThisisapproximatelywhatIascertainedthere。
TherevenuesoftheStateofVenicemayamountannuallyto4
millionouncesofsilver,whichmustbepaidinBankmoney,andtheCollectorssetupforthatpurposewhoreceiveatBergamoandinthemostdistantplacestaxesinmoney,areobligedtochangethemintobankmoneywhentheymakepaymentofthemtotheRepublic。
AllpaymentsatVenicefornegociations,purchasesandsalesaboveacertainmodestsummustbylawbemadeinBankmoney。AlltheretailerswhohavecollectedcurrentmoneyintheirdealingsarecompelledtobuyBankmoneywithittomaketheirpaymentsforlargeamounts。AndthosewhoneedfortheirexpensesorforthedetailofsmallcirculationtogetbackcurrentmoneyhavetoselltheirBankmoneytoobtainit。
ItisfoundthatthesellersandbuyersoftheBankmoneyareregularlyequalwhenthetotalofallthecreditsorinscriptionsonthebooksoftheBankdonotexceedthevalueof800,000
ouncesofsilverorthereabout。
Timeandexperience(accordingtomyinformant)havegiventhisknowledgetotheVenetians。WhentheBankwasfirstsetupindividualsbroughttheirmoneytotheBanktohavecreditattheBankofthesamevalue。ThismoneydepositedattheBankwaslaterspentfortheneedsoftheRepublicandyettheBankmoneypreserveditsoriginalvaluebecausetherewereasmanypeoplewhohadneedtobuyitasthosewhohadneedtosellit。FinallytheStatebeingpressedformoneygavetotheWarContractorscreditsinBankmoneyinsteadofsilveranddoubledtheamountofitscredits。
ThenthenumberofsellersofBankmoneybeingmuchgreaterthanthebuyersBankmoneybegantobeatadiscountagainstsilverandfell20percentbelow。BythisdiscredittherevenueoftheRepublicfelloffonefifthandtheonlyremedyfoundforthisdisorderwastopledgepartoftheStaterevenuetoborrowBankmoneyatinterest。BytheseborrowingsofBankmoneyhalfofthemwerecancelledandthenthesellersandbuyersbeingaboutequaltheBankregaineditsoriginalcreditandthetotalofBankmoneywasbroughtbackto800,000ouncesofsilver。
ItisthusthatithasbeenascertainedthattheutilityoftheBankofVeniceasregardscirculationcorrespondstoabout800,000ouncesofsilver:andifitissupposedthatallthecurrentmoneyintheStatesofthatRepublicamountto8millionouncesofsilvertheutilityoftheBankcorrespondstoonetenthofthatsilver。
AnationalBankinthecapitalofagreatKingdomorStatemust,itseems,contributelesstotheutilityofcirculationbecauseofthedistanceofitsprovinces,thaninasmallState。
AndwhenmoneycirculatesthereingreaterabundancethanamongitsneighboursanationalBankdoesmoreharmthangood。Anabundanceoffictitiousandimaginarymoneycausesthesamedisadvantagesasanincreaseofrealmoneyincirculation,byraisingthepriceoflandandlabour,orbymakingworksandmanufacturesmoreexpensiveattheriskofsubsequentloss。Butthisfurtiveabundancevanishesatthefirstgustofdiscreetandprecipitatesdisorder。
TowardsthemiddleofthereignofLouisXIVtherewasmoremoneyincirculationinFrancethaninneighbouringcountries,andtheKing’srevenuewascollectedtherewithoutthehelpofaBank,aseasilyandconvenientlyasitiscollectedtodayinEnglandwiththehelpoftheBankofEngland。
IftheclearingsatLyonsinoneofitsfourfairsamountto80millionsoflivres,iftheyarebegunandfinishedwithasinglemillionofreadymoney,theyaredoubtlessofgreatconvenienceinsavingthetroubleofaninfinityoftransportsofsilverfromonehousetoanother。Butwiththatexceptionitseemsthatwiththissamemillionofcashwhichbeganandendedtheseclearingsitwouldbequitefeasibletoconductinthreemonthsallthepaymentsof80millions。
TheParisbankershaveoftenobservedthatthesamebagofmoneyhascomebacktothem4or5timesinthesamedaywhentheyhadagooddealtopayoutandreceive。
IthinkpubicbanksofverygreatutilityinsmallStatesandthosewheresilverisratherscarce,butoflittleserviceforthesolidadvantageofagreatState。
TheEmperorTiberius,aPrincestrictandeconomical,hadsavedupintheImperialTreasury2700millionsofsesterces,equalto25millionssterlingor100millionouncesofsilver,anenormoussumincoinforthosetimesandevenfortoday。ItistruethatintyingupsomuchmoneyheembarrassedthecirculationandthatsilverbecamescarceratRomethanithadbeen。
Tiberius,whoattributedthisscarcitytothemonopolyofContractorsandFinancierswhofarmedtheImperialrevenues,orderedbyanedictthattheyshouldbuylanduptoatleasttwothirdsoftheircapital。ThisEdict,insteadofanimatingthecirculationthrewitcompletelyintodisorder。AlltheFinanciershoardedandcalledintheircapitalunderthepretextofputtingthemselvesintoapositiontoobeytheEdictbybuyingland,whichinsteadofrisinginvaluesunktoamuchlowerpriceowingtothescarcity,ofsilverincirculation。Tiberiusremediedthisscarcitybylendingtoindividualsongoodsecurityonly300
millionsesterces,aninthpartofthemoneywhichhehadinhisTreasury。
IftheninthpartoftheTreasurysufficedatRometore-establishthecirculationitwouldseemthattheestablishmentofageneralBankinagreatKingdomwhereitsutilitywouldnevercorrespondtothetenthpartofthemoneyincirculationwhenitisnothoarded,wouldbeofnorealandpermanentadvantage,andthatconsideredinitsintrinsicvalueitcanonlyberegardedasanexpedientforgainingtime。
Butarealincreaseinthequantityofcirculatingmoneyisofadifferentnature。WehavealreadyspokenofitandtheTreasureofTiberiusgivesusagainoccasiontosayawordofithere,Thistreasureof2700millionsofsesterces,leftatthedeathofTiberius,wassquanderedbytheEmperorCaligulahissuccessorinlessthanayear。MoneywasneverseensoabundantatRome,Whatwastheresult?ThismassofmoneyplungedtheRomansintoluxuryandintoallsortsofcrimestopayforit。
Morethan60,000poundssterlinglefttheEmpireeveryyearforthemerchandiseoftheIndies,andinlessthan30yearstheEmpiregrewpoorandsilverbecameveryscarcetherewithoutanydismembermentorlossofaProvince。
ThoughIconsiderageneralBankisinrealityofverylittlesolidserviceinagreatStateIallowthattherearecircumstancesinwhichaBankmayhaveeffectswhichseemastonishing。
InacitywheretherearepublicdebtsforconsiderableamountsthefacilityofaBankenablesonetobuyandsellcapitalstockinamomentforenormoussumswithoutcausinganydisturbanceinthecirculation。IfatLondonapersonsellshisSouthSeastocktobuystockintheBankorintheEastIndiaCompany,orhopingthatinashorttimehewillbeabletobuyatalowerpricestockinthesameSouthSeaCompany,healwaystakesBanknotes,andgenerallymoneyisnotaskedforinrespectofthesenotesbutonlyfortheinterestonthem。Asonehardlyspendsone’scapitalthereisnoneedtochangeitintocoin,butoneisalwaysforcedtoasktheBankformoneyforsubsistencesincecashisneededforsmalldealings。
IfaLandownerwhohas1000ouncesofsilverpays200ofthemfortheinterestofpublicstockandspends800ouncesofthemhimself,thethousandounceswillalwaysrequirecoinage。Thisproprietorwillspend800andtheOwnersofthefundswillspend200ofthem。ButwhentheseProprietorsareinthehabitofspeculation,sellingandbuyingpublicstock,noreadysilverisneededfortheseoperations,banknotessuffice。Ifitwerenecessarytodrawhardcashoutofcirculationtoserveinthesepurchasesandsalesitwouldamounttoagreatsumandwouldoftenimpedethecirculation,orratheritwouldhappeninthatcasethatthestockscouldnotbesoldandboughtsooften。
ItisdoubtlesstheoriginofthesecapitalsormoneydepositedintheBankanddrawnoutonlyonrareoccasions,suchaswhenanownerofcapitalengagesinsometransactionorneedscashforsmallpurchases,whichexplainswhytheBankkeepsinreserveonlythefourthorsixthpartofthesilveragainstwhichitissuesnotes。IftheBankhadnotthefundsofmanyofthesecapitalsitwonldintheordinarycourseofcirculationfinditselfwouldintheordinarycourseofcirculationfinditselfcompelledlikeprivatebankstokeephalfitsdepositsinhandtobesolvent。ItistruethattheBankbooksanditsdealingsdonotdistinguishthosecapitalswhichpassthroughseveralhandsinthesalesandpurchasesmadeinChangeAlley。ThesenotesareoftenrenewedattheBankandchangedagainstothersinpurchases。Buttheexperienceofpurchasesandsalesofstockshowclearlythatthetotalofthemisconsiderable,andwithoutthesepurchasesandsalesthesumsdepositedattheBankwouldbecertainlysmaller。
ThismeansthatwhenaStateisnotindebtandhasnoneedofpurchasesandsalesofstockthehelpofaBankwillbelessnecessaryandlessimportant。
In1720thecapitalofpublicstockandofbubbleswhichweresnaresandenterprisesofprivatecompaniesatLondon,rosetothevalueof800millionssterling,yetthepurchasesandsalesofsuchpestilentialstockwerecarriedonwithoutdifficultythroughthequantityofnotesofallkindswhichwereissued,whilethesamepapermoneywasacceptedinpaymentofinterest。
Butassoonastheideaofgreatfortunesinducedmanyindividualstoincreasetheirexpenses,tobuycarriages,foreignlinenandsilk,cashwasneededforallthat,Imeanfortheexpenditureoftheinterest,andthisbrokeupallthesystems,ThisexampleshowsthatthepaperandcreditofpublicandprivateBanksmaycausesurprisingresultsineverythingwhichdoesnotconcernordinaryexpenditurefordrinkandfood,clothing,andotherfamilyrequirements,butthatintheregularcourseofthecirculationthehelpofBanksandcreditofthiskindismuchsmallerandlesssolidthanisgenerallysupposed。
Silveraloneisthetruesinewsofcirculation。
ChapterVIII
OftheRefinementsofCreditofGeneralBanksThenationalBankofLondoniscomposedofalargenumberofshareholderswhomakechoiceofDirectorstogovernitsoperations。TheirprimitiveadvantageconsistedinmakingayearlydistributionoftheprofitsmadebyinterestonthemoneylentoutoftheBankdeposits。Laterthepublicdebtwasincorporatedwithit,onwhichtheStatepaysanannualinterest。
InspiteofsuchasolidfoundationwhentheBankhadmadelargeadvancestotheStateandtheholdersofnoteswereapprehensivethattheBankwasindifficulties,arunontheBankhasbeenseenandholdersofnoteswentincrowdstotheBanktodrawoutmoney。ThesamethinghappenedonthecollapseoftheSouthSeaCompanyin1720。
TherefinementsintroducedtosupporttheBankandmoderateitsdiscreditwerefirsttosetupanumberofclerkstocountoutthemoneytothosebringingnotes,topayoutlargeamountsinsixpencesandshillingstogaintime,topaysomeparttoindividualholderswhohadbeenwaitingwholedaystotaketheirturn;butthemostconsiderablesumswerepaidtofriendswhotookthemawayandbroughtthembacksecretlytotheBanktorepeatthesamemanoeuvrethenextday。InthiswaytheBanksaveditsappearanceandgainedtimeuntilthepanicshouldabate。ButwhenthatdidnotsufficetheBankopenedasubscriptionengagingtrustyandsolventpeopletojoinasguarantorsoflargeamountstomaintainthecreditandcirculationoftheBanknotes。
ItwasbythislastrefinementthatthecreditoftheBankwasmaintainedin1720whentheSouthSeaCompanycollapsed。Assoonasitwaspubliclyknownthatthesubscriptionlistwasfilledbywealthyandpowerfulpeople,therunontheBankceasedanddepositswerebroughtinasusual。
IfaMinisterofStateinEngland,seekingtolowertherateofinterestorforotherreasons,forcesupthepriceofpublicstockinLondonandifhehasenoughcreditwiththeDirectorsoftheBank(undertheobligationofindemnifyingthemincaseofloss)togetthemtoissueaquantityofbanknoteswithoutbacking,beggingthemtousethesenotesthemselvestobuyseveralblocksandcapitalsofthepublicstock,thisstockwillnotfailtoriseinpricethroughtheseoperations,Andthosewhohavesoldstock,seeingthehighpricecontinue,willperhapsdecide(soasnottoleavetheirbanknotesidleandthinkingfromtherumoursspreadaboutthattherateofinterestwillfallandthestockgoupfurtherinprice)tobuyitbackatahigherpricethantheysolditfor,IfseveralpeopleseeingtheagentsoftheBanksbuythisstockstepinanddolikewisethinkingtoprofitlikethem,thepublicfundswillincreaseinpricetothepointwhichtheMinisterwishes。AnditmayhappenthattheBankwillcleverlyresellatahigherpriceallthestockithaspurchasedattheMinister’srequest,andwillnotonlymakealargeprofitonitbutwillretireandcancelalltheextraordinarybanknoteswhichithadissued。
IftheBankaloneraisesthepriceofpublicstockbybuyingit,itwillbysomuchdepressitwhenitresellstocancelitsexcessissueofnotes。ButitalwayshappensthatmanypeoplewishingtofollowtheAgentsoftheBankintheiroperationshelptokeepuptheprice。Someofthemgetcaughtforwantofunderstandingtheseoperations,inwhichthereenterinfiniterefinementsorrathertrickerywhichlieoutsidemysubject。
ItisthenundoubtedthataBankwiththecomplicityofaMinisterisabletoraiseandsupportthepriceofpublicstockandtolowertherateofinterestintheStateatthepleasureofthisMinisterwhenthestepsaretakendiscreetly,andthuspayofftheStatedebt。ButtheserefinementswhichopenthedoortomakinglargefortunesarerarelycarriedoutforthesoleadvantageoftheState,andthosewhotakepartinthemaregenerallycorrupted。Theexcessbanknotes,madeandissuedontheseoccasions,donotupsetthecirculation,becausebeingusedforthebuyingandsellingofstocktheydonotserveforhouseholdexpensesandarenotchangedintosilver。ButifsomepanicorunforeseencrisisdrovetheholderstodemandsilverfromtheBankthebombwouldburstanditwouldbeseenthatthesearedangerousoperations。