IfFrancesendsclothtoHollandandreceivesfromherspices,ofequalvalue,thelandownerwhoconsumesthesespicespaysthevalueofthemtothegrocer,whopaysthesameamounttotheclothmaker,towhomitisdueinHollandfortheclothhehassentthere。Thisisdonebybillsofexchangewhichwillbeexplainedlater。ThesetwomoneypaymentstakeplaceinFranceapartfromtherentofthelandowner,andnomoneyleavesFranceonthataccount。AllotherclassesofsocietywhoconsumeDutchspices,similarlypaythegrocer,viz。thosewholiveonthefirstrent,thatisthelandowners,payfromthisrent,andthosewholiveontheothertworentsincountryorincitypaythegrocerdirectlyorindirectlyoutofthemoneywhichconductsthecirculationoftheserents。ThegroceragainpaysthismoneytothemanufacturerforhisbilluponHolland,andnoincreaseofmoneyisneededforcirculationinthestatebecauseofforeigntradewhenthebalanceisequal。Butifitisnotequal,ifmoremerchandiseissoldtoHollandthanisboughtback,orviceversa,moneyisneededforthesurpluswhichHollandmustsendtoFranceorFrancetoHolland。ThiswillincreaseordiminishtheamountofmoneycirculatinginFrance。
Itmayevenoccurthatwhenthebalancewiththeforeignerisequaltothetradewithhimmayretardthecirculationofreadymoneyandthereforerequireagreaterquantityofmoneybyreasonofthiscommerce。
Forexample,iftheFrenchladieswhowearFrenchstuffswishtowearDutchvelvets,whicharepaidforbytheclothsenttoHolland,theywillpayforthesevelvetstothemerchantswhoimportedthemfromHolland,andthesemerchantswillpaythemanufacturersofcloth。ThemoneythuspassesthroughmorehandsthaniftheseladiestooktheirmoneytothemanufacturersofclothandcontentedthemselveswiththefabricsofFrance。Whenthesamemoneypassesthroughthehandsofseveralundertakerstherapidityofcirculationissloweddown。Butitisdifficulttomakeanexactestimateofthissortofdelaywhichdependsuponvariouscircumstances。Thus,inourpresentexample,iftheladiespaythemerchantforthevelvettoday,andthemerchantpaythemanufacturertomorrowforhisbillonHolland,ifthemanufacturerpaythewoolmerchantthenextdayandthislastpaythefarmerthedayafter,itispossiblethatthefarmerwillkeepthemoneyinhandmorethantwomonthstomakeupthequarter’srentwhichhemustpayhislandlord。Thismoneymightintwomonthshavecirculatedthroughthehandsofahundredundertakerswithoutlockingupthecirculatingmediumneededbythestate。
Afterall,theprinciplerentofthelandownermustbeconsideredtobethemostnecessaryandconsiderablebranchofthemoneyinregardtocirculation。Ifhelivesinthecityandthefarmersellsinthesamecityallhisproduceandbuysthereallthemerchandisenecessaryforcountryuse,thereadymoneymayalwaysremaininthecity。Thefarmerwillsellthereproduceexceedinghalftheoutputofhisfarm;hewillpayhislandlordinthesamecitythemoneyvalueofonethirdofhisproduceandtheresttomerchantsorundertakersformerchandisetobeconsumedinthecountry。Evenhere,however,asthefarmersellshisproduceforlumpsums,whicharesubsequentlydistributedinretailpurchases,andareagaincollectedtoserveforlumppaymentstothefarmers,thecirculationhasalwaysthesameeffect(subjecttoitsrapidity)asifthefarmertooktothecountrythemoneyreceivedforhisproduceandsentitbackagaintothecity。
Thecirculationconsistsalwaysofthis,thatthelargesumswhichthefarmerreceivesonthesaleofhisproducearesplitupindetailandthenbroughttogetheragaintomakelargepayments。Whetherthismoneygopartlyoutofthecityorremainthereentirelyitmayberegardedasthecirculatingmediumbetweencityandcountry。Allthecirculationtakesplacebetweentheinhabitantsofthestate,andtheyareallfedandmaintainedineverywayfromtheproduceofthesoilandrawmaterialsofthecountry。
Itistruethatthewool,forexample,whichisbroughtfromthecountry,whenmadeupintoclothinthecityisworthfourtimesitsformervalue。Butthisincreaseofvalue,whichisthepriceofthelabouroftheworkmenandmanufacturesinthecity,isexchangedforthecountryproducewhichservesfortheirmaintenance。
ChapterFourFurtherReflectionontheRapidityorSlownessoftheCirculationofMoneyinExchangeLetussupposethatthefarmerpays1300ouncesofsilveraquartertohislandlord,whopaysoutofiteveryweek100
ouncestothebaker,butcher,etc。andthattheseeveryweekpaythefarmerthesehundredounces,sothatthefarmercollectseveryweekasmuchmoneyasthelandlordspends。Inthiscasetherewillbeonly100ouncesinconstantcirculation,theother1200ounceswillremaininhandpartlywiththelandlordandpartlywiththefarmer。
Butitrarelyhappensthatthelandlordsspendtheirrentsinafixedandregularproportion。InLondonassoonasalandlordreceiveshisrentheputsmostofitintothehandsofagoldsmithorbanker,wholendsitatinterest,sothatthispartisincirculation。Orelsethelandlordspendsagoodpartofituponvariousthingsneedfulforhishousehold,andbeforehegetshisnextquarter’srenthewillperhapsborrowmoney。Thusthemoneyofthefirstquarter’srentwillcirculateinathousandwaysbeforeitcanbebroughttogetheragainandreplacedinthehandsofthefarmertoservetopayhissecondquarter。
Whenthetimeforpayingthissecondquarterhascomethefarmerwillsellhisproduceinlargeamounts,andthosewhobuyhiscattle,corn,hay,etc。willalreadyhavecollectedindetailthepriceofthem。Themoneyofthefirstquarterwillthushavecirculatedintherivuletsofsmalltrafficfornearlythreemonths,beforebeingcollectedbytheretaildealers,andthesewillgiveittothefarmerwhowillpayhissecondquartertherewith。Itwouldseemfromthisthatlessreadymoneythanwehavesupposedwouldsufficeforthecirculationofastate。
Bartersmadebyevaluationdonotallcallformuchreadycash。Ifabrewersuppliesaclothierwiththebeerforhisfamily,andiftheclothierinturnsuppliesthebrewerwiththeclothesheneeds,bothatthemarketpricecurrentonthedayofdelivery,theonlyreadymoneyneededbetweenthesetwotradersistheamountofthedifferencebetweenthetwotransactions。
Ifamerchantinamarkettownsendstoacorrespondentinthecitycountryproduceforsale,andifthelattersendsbacktotheformerthecitymerchandiseconsumedinthecountry,thebusinesslastingthewholeyearbetweenthesetwodealers,andmutualconfidenceleadingthemtoplacetotheiraccountstheirproduceandmerchandiseattheirrespectivemarketprices,theonlyrealmoneyneededforthiscommercewillbethebalancewhichoneowestotheotherattheendoftheyear。Eventhenthisbalancemaybecarriedforwardtothenextyear,withouttheactualpaymentofanymoney。Alltheundertakersofacity,whohavecontinuallybusinesswitheachother,maypractisethismethod。Andtheseexchangesbyvaluationseemtoeconomisemuchcashincirculation,oratleasttoaccelerateitsmovementbymakingitunnecessaryinseveralhandsthroughwhichitwouldneedtopasswithoutthisconfidenceandthismethodofexchangebyvaluation。Itisnotwithoutreasonthatitiscommonlysaidcommercialcreditmakesmoneylessscarce。
Thegoldsmithsandpublicbankers,whosenotespasscurrentinpaymentlikereadymoney,contributealsotothespeedofcirculation,whichwouldberetardedifmoneywereneededinallthepaymentsforwhichthesenotessuffice:andalthoughthesegoldsmithsandbankersalwayskeepinhandagoodpartoftheactualmoneytheyhavereceivedfortheirnotes,theyalsoputintocirculationaconsiderableamountofthisactualmoneyasIshallexplainlaterindealingwithpublicbanks。
AllthesereflectionsseemtoprovethatthecirculationofastatecouldbeconductedwithmuchlessactualmoneythanI
havesupposednecessary;butthefollowinginductionsappeartocounterbalancethemandtocontributetotheslowingdownofthecirculation。
Iwillfirstobservethatallcountryproduceisfurnishedbylabourwhichmaypossibly,asalreadyoftensuggested,becarriedonwithlittleornoactualmoney。Butallmerchandiseismadeincitiesormarkettownsbythelabourofmenwhomustbepaidinactualmoney。Ifahousehascost100,000ouncesofsilvertobuild,allthissumorthegreatestpartofit,musthavebeenpaideveryweekinsmallamountstothebrickmaker,masons,carpenters,etc。directlyorindirectly。Theexpenseofthehumblefamilies,whoarealwaysthemostinnumberinacity,isnecessarilymadewithactualmoney。Inthesesmallexchangescredit,bookdebts,andbillscannothaveaplace。Themerchantsorretailersdemandcashforthethingstheysupply:oriftheygivecredittoafamilyforafewdaysormonthstheyrequireasubstantialmoneypayment。Acarriagebuilderwhosellsacarriagefor400ouncesofsilverinnotes,willhavetochangethemintoactualmoneytopayforallthematerialsandthemenwhohaveworkedonhiscarriageiftheyhaveworkedoncredit,or,ifhehaspaidthemalready,tostartanewone。Thesaleofthecarriagewillleavehisprofitandhewillspendthistomaintainhisfamily。Hecouldnotbesatisfiedwithnotesunlesshecanputsomethingasideorlayitoutatinterest。
Theconsumptionoftheinhabitantsofastateis,inasense,entirelyforfood。Lodging,clothing,furniture,etc。
correspondtothefoodofthemenwhohaveworkeduponthem;andinthecitiesalldrinkandfoodareofnecessitypaidforinhardcash。Inthefamiliesoflandownersinthecityfoodispaidforeverydayoreveryweek:wineintheirfamiliesispaidforeveryweekoreverymonth;hats,stockings,shoes,etc。areordinarilypaidforinactualmoney,atleastthepaymentscorrespondtocashforthemenwhohaveworkeduponthem。Allthesumswhichservetopaylargeamountsaredivided,distributed,andspreadinsmallpaymentscorrespondingtothemaintenanceoftheworkmen,manservants,etc。andallthesesumsarenecessarilycollectedandreunitedbytheundertakersandretailerswhoareemployedonthesubsistenceoftheinhabitantstomakelargepaymentswhentheybuytheproductsofthefarmers。Analehousekeepercollectsbysolsandlivresthesumshepaystothebrewer,whousesthemtopayforallthegrainandmaterialshebuysfromthecountry。Onecannotimagineanythingisboughtforreadymoneyinastate,likefurniture,merchandise,etc。thevalueofwhichdoesnotcorrespondtothemaintenanceofthosewhohaveworkeduponit。
Circulationinthecitiesiscarriedoutbyundertakersandalwayscorrespondsdirectlyorindirectlytothesubsistenceofthemenservants,workmen,etc。Itisnotconceivablethatitcanbeeffectedinsmalldetailwithoutcash。Notesmayserveascountersinlargepaymentsforacertaintime;butwhenthelargesumscometobedistributedandspreadintosmalltransactions,asisalwaysthecasesoonerorlaterinthecourseofcirculationinacity,notescannotservethepurposeandcashisneeded。
Allthisbeingpresupposed,alltheclassesinastatewhopracticesomeeconomy,saveandkeepoutofcirculationsmallamountsofcashtilltheyhaveenoughtoinvestatinterestorprofit。Manymiserlyandtimidpeopleburyandhoardcashforconsiderableperiods。
Manylandowners,undertakersandothers,alwayskeepsomecashintheirpocketsorsafesagainstunforeseenemergenciesandnottoberunoutofmoney。Ifagentlemanmakesithisremarkthatheneverhadlessthan20louisinhispocketthroughoutthewholeyear,itmaybesaidthatthispockethaskept20louisoutofcirculationforayear。Onedoesnotliketospenduptothelastsou,oneisgladnotbecompletelydenuded,andtoreceiveanewinstalmentbeforepayingevenadebtwiththemoneyonehas。
Thecapitalofminorsandofsuitorsisoftendepositedincashandkeptoutofcirculation。
Besidethelargepaymentswhichpassthroughthehandsofthefarmersinthequarterlytermsoftheyeartherearemanyothersfromoneundertakertoanotherinthesameterms,andothersatdifferenttimesfromborrowerstolendersofmoney。Allthesesumsarecollectedinretailtrade,arespreadabroadanewandcomebacksoonerorlatertothefarmer:buttheyseemtorequireamoreconsiderableamountofcashforcirculationthaniftheselargepaymentsweremadeindifferenttimesfromthosewhenthefarmersarepaidfortheirproduce。
Infinethereissogreatavarietyinthedifferentordersoftheinhabitantsofthestateandinthecorrespondingcirculationofactualmoney,thatitseemsimpossibletolaydownanythingpreciseorexactastotheproportionofmoneysufficientforthecirculation。IhaveadducedsomanyexamplesandinductionsonlytomakeitclearthatIamnotfaroutofthetruthinmyconclusion"thattheactualmoneynecessaryforthecirculationofthestatecorrespondsnearlytothevalueofthethirdofalltheannualrentsofthelandlords。"Whenthelandlordshavearentwhichamountstohalftheproduceormorethanathird,agreaterquantityofactualmoneyisneededforcirculation,otherthingsbeingequal。Whenthereisgreatconfidenceinthebanksandinbookcreditslessmoneywillsuffice,asalsowhentherapidityofcirculationisacceleratedinanyotherway。ButIshallshowlaterthatpublicbanksdonotaffordsomanyadvantagesasisusuallysupposed。
ChapterFiveOftheInequalityofthecirculationofhardmoneyinastateThecityalwayssuppliesvariousmerchandisestothecountry,andthelandownerswhoresideinthecityshouldalwaysreceivethereaboutathirdoftheproduceoftheirland。Thecountrythusowestothecitymorethanhalftheproduceoftheland。Thisdebtwouldalwaysexceedonehalfifalllandownerslivedinthecity,butasseveraloftheleastimportantliveinthecountryIsupposethatthebalanceordebtwhichcontinuallyreturnsfromthecountrytothecityisequaltohalftheproduceofthelandandispaidinthecitybyhalftheproductsofthecountrytransportedtoitandsoldtopaythisdebt。
Butallthecountrysideofastateorkingdomowesaconstantbalancetothecapital,aswellfortherentsofthemoreconsiderablelandownerswhoresidethereasforthetaxesofthestateorcrown,mostofwhicharespentinthecapital。Alltheprovincialcitiesoweaconstantbalancetothecapital,eitherforthestate,uponhousesorconsumption,orforthedifferentcommoditieswhichtheydrawfromthecapital。Ithappensalsothatseveralindividualsandlandownerswholiveintheprovincialcitiesgotospendsometimeinthecapital,forpleasure,orforthejudgmentoftheirlawsuitsinfinalappeal,orbecausetheysendtheirchildrenthitherforafashionableeducation。Consequentlyalltheseexpensesincurredinthecapitalaredrawnfromtheprovincialcities。
Itmaythereforebesaidthatallthecountrysideandallthecitiesofastateoweregularlyandannuallyabalanceordebttothecapital。Butasitisallpaidinmoneyitisevidentthattheprovincesalwaysoweconsiderablesumstothecapital;
fortheproductsandcommoditieswhichtheprovincessendtothecapitalaresoldthereformoney,andwiththismoneythedebtorbalanceinquestionispaid。
Supposenowthatthecirculationofmoneyintheprovincesandinthecapitalisequalbothinquantityofmoneyandspeedofcirculation。Thebalancewillbefirstsenttothecapitalincashandthiswilldiminishthequantityofmoneyintheprovincesandincreaseitinthecapital,andconsequentlytherawmaterialandcommoditieswillbedearerinthecapitalthanintheprovinces,onaccountofthegreaterabundanceofmoneyinthecapital。Thedifferenceofpricesinthecapitalandintheprovincesmustpayforthecostsandrisksoftransport,otherwisecashwillbesenttothecapitaltopaythebalanceandthiswillgoontillthepricesinthecapitalandtheprovincescometothelevelofthesecostsandrisks。Thenthemerchantsorundertakersofthemarkettownswillbuyatalowpricetheproductsofthevillagesandwillhavethemcarriedtothecapitaltobesoldthereatahigherprice:andthisdifferenceofpricewillnecessarilypayfortheupkeepofthehorsesandmenservantsandtheprofitoftheundertaker,orelsehewouldceasehisenterprise。
Itwillfollowfromthisthatthepriceofrawproduceofequalqualitywillalwaysbehigherinthecountryplaceswhicharenearestthecapitalthaninthosemoredistantinproportiontothecostsandrisksoftransport;andthatthecountriesadjacenttoseasandriversflowingintothecapitalwillgetabetterpricefortheirproduceinproportionthanthosewhicharedistant(otherthingsbeingequal)becausewatertransportislessexpensivethanlandtransport。Ontheotherhandtheproductsandsmallwareswhichcannotbeconsumedinthecapital,becausetheyarenotsuitableorcannotbesentthitheronaccountoftheirbulk,orbecausetheywouldbespoiledontheway,willbeinfinitelycheaperinthecountryanddistantprovincesthaninthecapital,owingtotheamountofmoneycirculatingforthemwhichismuchsmallerinthedistantprovinces。
Soitisthatnewlaideggs,game,freshbutter,woodfuel,etc。willgenerallybemuchcheaperinthedistrictofPoitou,whilstcorn,cattleandhorseswillbedeareratParisonlybythedifferenceofthecostandriskofcarriageandtheduesforenteringthecity。
Itwouldbeeasytomakeaninfinitenumberofinductionsofthesamekindtojustifybyexperiencethenecessityofaninequalityinthecirculationofmoneyinthedifferentprovincesofagreatstateorkingdom,andtoshowthatthisinequalityisalwaysrelativetothebalanceordebtwhichbelongstothecapital。
Ifwesupposethatthebalanceduetothecapitalamountstoonefourthoftheproduceofthelandofalltheprovincesofthestatethebestusethatcanbemadeofthelandwouldbetoemploythecountryborderingonthecapitaltoproducethekindsofproducewhichcouldnotbedrawnfromdistantprovinceswithoutmuchexpenseordeterioration。Thisisinfactwhatalwaystakesplace。Themarketpricesofthecapitalservingasastandardforthefarmerstoemploythelandforsuchorsuchapurposetheyusethenearest,whensuitable,formarketgardens,pasture,etc。
Sofaraspossiblemanufacturesofcloth,linen,lace,etc。oughttobesetupintheremoteprovinces;and,intheneighbourhoodofcoalminesorforest,whichareuselessbytheirdistance,manufacturesoftoolsofiron,tin,copper,etc。Inthiswayfinishedmanufacturescouldbesenttothecapitalwithmuchlesscostofcarriagethantherawmaterialstobeworkedupinthecapitalandthesubsistenceoftheartisanswhowouldworkuponthemthere。Thiswouldsaveaquantityofhorsesandwaggonerswhowouldbebetteremployedforthebenefitofthestate。Thelandwouldservetomaintainonthespotworkmenandusefulmechanics;andamultitudeofhorseswouldbesavedwhoserveonlyuponunnecessarytransport。Inthiswaythedistantlandswouldyieldhigherrentstotheproprietorsandtheinequalityofthecirculationoftheprovincesandthecapitalwouldbebetterproportionedandlessconsiderable。
Neverthelesstosetupmanufacturesinthiswaywouldneednotonlymuchencouragementandcapitalbutalsosomewaytoensurearegularandconstantdemand,eitherinthecapitalitselforinforeigncountries,whoseexportsinreturnmaybeofservicetothecapital,topayforthemerchandisewhichitdrawsfromtheseforeigncountriesorforthereturnofsilverinkind。
Whenthesemanufacturesaresetupperfectionisnotatonceattained。Ifsomeotherprovincehavethembetterorcheaperorowingtothevicinityofthecapitalortheconvenienceofaseaorrivercommunicationhavetheirtransportconsiderablyfacilitated,themanufacturesinquestionwillhavenosuccess。
Allthesecircumstanceshavetobeconsideredinsettingupamanufactory。Ihavenotproposedtotreatoftheminthisessay,butonlytosuggestthatsofaraspracticablemanufacturesshouldbesetupinprovincesdistantfromthecapital,torenderthemmoreconsiderableandtobringaboutthereacirculationofmoneylessdisproportionatetothatofthecapital。
Forwhenadistantprovincehasnomanufactoryandproducesonlyordinaryrawmaterialswithoutwatercommunicationwiththecapitalortheocean,itisastonishinghowscarcemoneyistherecomparedwiththatwhichcirculatesinthecapitalandhowlittlethebestlandsproducetotheprinceandtotheproprietorswhoresideinthecapital。
ThewinesofProvenceandofLanguedocsenttothenorthroundtheStraitsofGibraltarbylonganddifficultnavigation,afterhavingpassedthroughthehandsofseveraldealersyieldverylittletotheParisownersoftheland。
Itishowevernecessarythatthesedistantprovincesshouldsendtheirproduce,inspiteofallthedrawbacksoftransportanddistancetothecapitalorelsewhereeitherinthestateorinforeigncountriesinorderthatthereturnsshouldprovideforpaymentofthebalanceduetothecapital。Buttheseproductswouldbemostlyconsumedonthespotiftherewereworksorfactoriestopaythisbalance,inwhichcasethenumberofinhabitantswouldbemuchlarger。
Whentheprovincepaysthebalanceonlywithitsproducewhichyieldssolittleinthecapitalhavingregardtotheexpensesofdistance,itisevidentthattheproprietorlivinginthecapitalpaystheproduceofmuchlandinthecountrytoreceivelittleinthecapital。Thisarisesfromtheinequalityofmoney,andthisinequalityisowingtotheconstantbalanceduefromtheprovincetothecapital。
Atpresentifastateorkingdomwhichsuppliesallforeigncountrieswithworkofitsownmanufacturedoessomuchofthiscommercethatitdrawseveryyearaconstantbalanceofmoneyfromabroad,thecirculationwillbecomemoreconsiderabletherethaninforeigncountries,moneywillbemoreplentifulthere,andconsequentlylandandlabourwillgraduallybecomedearerthere。Itwillfollowthatinallthebranchesofcommercethestateinquestionwillexchangeasmalleramountoflandandlabourwiththeforeignerforalargeramount,solongasthesecircumstancescontinue。
ButifsomeforeignerresideinthestateinquestionhewillbeinaboutthesamesituationandcircumstancesastheproprietoratPariswhohashislandindistantprovinces。
France,sincetheerectionin1646ofmanufactoriesofclothandotherworkssincesetup,appearedtotrade,atleastinpart,inthewaydescribed。SincethedecayofFrance,Englandhastakenpossessionofthistrade;andallstatesappearflourishingonlybythelargerorsmallerparttheyhaveinit。
Theinequalityofthecirculationofmoneyinthedifferentstatesconstitutestheinequalityoftheirrespectivepower,otherthingsbeingequal;andthisinequalityofcirculationisalwaysrespectivetothebalanceofforeigntrade。
Itiseasytojudgefromwhathasbeensaidinthischapterthattheassessmentbytaxesoftheroyaltithe,madebyMrdeVauban,wouldbeneitheradvantageousnorpracticable。Ifthetaxesonlandwereleviedinmoneyproportionabletotherentsoftheproprietors,itwouldbefairer。ButImustnotwanderfrommysubjecttoshowtheinconvenienceandimpossibilityofMrdeVauban’sproposal。
ChapterSixOftheincreaseanddecreaseinthequantityofhardmoneyinaStateIfminesofgoldorsilverbefoundinastateandconsiderablequantitiesofmineralsdrawnfromthem,theproprietorsofthesemines,theundertaker,andallthosewhoworkthere,willnotfailtoincreasetheirexpensesinproportiontothewealthandprofittheymake:theywillalsolendatinterestthesumsofmoneywhichtheyhaveoverandabovewhattheyneedtospend。
Allthismoney,whetherlentorspent,willenterintocirculationandwillnotfailtoraisethepriceofproductsandmerchandiseinallthechannelsofcirculationwhichitenters。
Increasedmoneywillbringaboutincreasedexpenditureandthiswillcauseanincreaseofmarketpricesinthehighestyearsofexchangeandgraduallyinthelowest。
Everybodyagreesthattheabundanceofmoneyoritsincreaseinexchange,raisesthepriceofeverything。ThequantityofmoneybroughtfromAmericantoEuropeforthelasttwocenturiesjustifiesthistruthbyexperience。
MrLockelaysitdownasafundamentalmaximthatthequantityofproduceandmerchandiseinproportiontothequantityofmoneyservesastheregulatorofmarketprice。Ihavetriedtoelucidatehisideaintheprecedingchapters:hehasclearlyseenthattheabundanceofmoneymakeseverythingdear,buthehasnotconsideredhowitdoesso。Thegreatdifficultyofthisquestionconsistsinknowinginwhatwayandinwhatproportiontheincreaseofmoneyraisesprices。
Ihavealreadyremarkedthatanaccelerationorgreaterrapidityincirculationofmoneyinexchange,isequivalenttoanincreaseofactualmoneyuptoapoint。Ihavealsoobservedthattheincreaseordecreaseofpricesinadistantmarket,homeorforeign,influencestheactualmarketprices。Ontheotherhandmoneyflowsindetailthroughsomanychannelsthatitseemsimpossiblenottolosesightofitseeingthathavingbeenamassedtomakelargesumsitisdistributedinlittlerillsofexchange,andthengraduallyaccumulatedagaintomakelargepayments。Fortheseoperationsitisconstantlynecessarytochangecoinsofgold,silverandcopperaccordingtotheactivityofexchange。Itisalsousuallythecasethattheincreaseordecreaseofactualmoneyinastateisnotperceivedbecauseitflowabroad,orisbroughtintothestate,bysuchimperceptiblemeansandproportionsthatitisimpossibletoknowexactlythequantitywhichentersorleavesthestate。
Howeveralltheseoperationspassunderoureyesandeverybodytakespartinthem。Imaythereforeventuretoofferafewobservationsonthesubject,eventhoughImaynotbeabletogiveanaccountwhichisexactandprecise。
Iconsideringeneralthatanincreaseofactualmoneycausesinastateacorrespondingincreaseofconsumptionwhichgraduallybringsaboutincreasedprices。
Iftheincreaseofactualmoneycomesfromminesofgoldorsilverinthestatetheownerofthesemines,theadventurers,thesmelters,refiners,andalltheotherworkerswillincreasetheirexpensesinproportiontotheirgains。Theywillconsumeintheirhouseholdsmoremeat,wine,orbeerthanbefore,willaccustomthemselvestowearbettercloths,finerlinen,tohavebetterfurnishedhousesandotherchoicercommodities。Theywillconsequentlygiveemploymenttoseveralmechanicswhohadnotsomuchtodobeforeandwhoforthesamereasonwillincreasetheirexpenses:allthisincreaseofexpenseinmeat,wine,wool,etc。
diminishesofnecessitytheshareoftheotherinhabitantsofthestatewhodonotparticipateatfirstinthewealthoftheminesinquestion。Thealtercationsofthemarket,orthedemandformeat,wine,wool,etc。beingmoreintensethanusual,willnotfailtoraisetheirprices。Thesehighpriceswilldeterminethefarmerstoemploymorelandtoproducetheminanotheryear:
thesesamefarmerswillprofitbythisriseofpricesandwillincreasetheexpenditureoftheirfamiliesliketheothers。Thosethenwhowillsufferfromthisdearnessandincreasedconsumptionwillbefirstofallthelandowners,duringthetermoftheirleases,thentheirdomesticservantsandalltheworkmenorfixedwage-earnerswhosupporttheirfamiliesontheirwages。Allthesemustdiminishtheirexpenditureinproportiontothenewconsumption,whichwillcompelalargenumberofthemtoemigratetoseekalivingelsewhere。Thelandownerswilldismissmanyofthem,andtherestwilldemandanincreaseofwagestoenablethemtoliveasbefore。Itisthus,approximately,thataconsiderableincreaseofmoneyfromtheminesincreasesconsumption,andbydiminishingthenumberofinhabitantsentailsagreaterexpenseamongthosewhoremain。
Ifmoremoneycontinuestobedrawnfromtheminesallpriceswillowingtothisabundancerisetosuchapointthatnotonlywillthelandownersraisetheirrentsconsiderablywhentheleasesexpireandresumetheiroldstyleofliving,increasingproportionablythewagestheirservants,butthemechanicsandworkmenwillraisethepricesoftheirarticlessohighthattherewillbeaconsiderableprofitinbuyingthemfromtheforeignerwhomakesthemmuchmorecheaply。Thiswillnaturallyinduceseveralpeopletoimportmanyarticlesmadeinforeigncountries,wherefoundverycheap:thiswillgraduallyruinthemechanicsandmanufacturersofthestatewhowillnotbemaintainthemselvestherebyworkingatsuchlowowingtothedearnessofliving。
Whentheexcessivehasdiminishedtheinhabitantsofastate,thosewhoremaintoatoolargeexpenditure,raisedproduceofthelandandthelabourofworkmentoexcessiveprices,ruinedthemanufacturesofthestatebyuseofforeignproductionsonthepartoflandlordsandmineworkers,themoneyproducedbythemineswillnecessarilygoabroadtopayfortheimports:thiswillgraduallyimpoverishthestateandrenderitinsomesortdependentontheForeignertowhomitisobligedtosendmoneyeveryyearasitisdrawnfromthemines。Thegreatcirculationofmoney,whichwasgeneralatthebeginning,ceases:
povertyandmiseryfollowandthelabouroftheminesappearstobeonlytotheadvantageofthoseemployeduponthemandtheForeignerswhoprofitthereby。
ThisisapproximatelywhathashappenedtoSpainsincethediscoveryoftheIndies。AstothePortuguese,sincethediscoveryofthegoldminesofBrazil,theyhavenearlyalwaysmadeuseofforeignarticlesandmanufactures;anditseemsthattheyworkattheminesonlyfortheaccountandadvantageofforeigners。Allthegoldandsilverwhichthesetwostatesextractfromtheminesdoesnotsupplythemincirculationwithmorepreciousmetalthanothers。EnglandandFrancehaveevenmoreasarule。
Nowiftheincreaseofmoneyinthestateproceedsfromabalanceofforeigntrade(i。e。fromsendingabroadarticlesandmanufacturesingreatervalueandquantitythanisimportedandconsequentlyreceivingthesurplusinmoney)thisannualincreaseofmoneywillenrichagreatnumberofmerchantsandUndertakersinthestate,andwillgiveemploymenttonumerousmechanicsandworkmenwhofurnishthecommoditiessenttotheforeignerfromwhomthemoneyisdrawn。Thiswillincreasegraduallytheconsumptionoftheseindustrialinhabitantsandwillraisethepriceoflandandlabour。Buttheindustriouswhoareeagertoacquirepropertywillnotatfirstincreasetheirexpense:theywillwaittilltheyhaveaccumulatedagoodsumfromwhichtheycandrawanassuredinterest,independentlyoftheirtrade。Whenalargenumberoftheinhabitantshaveacquiredconsiderablefortunesfromthismoney,whichentersthestateregularlyandannually,theywill,withoutfail,increasetheirconsumptionandraisethepriceofeverything。Thoughthisdearnessinvolvestheminagreaterexpensethantheyatfirstcontemplatedtheywillforthemostpartcontinuesolongastheircapitallasts;fornothingiseasierormoreagreeablethantoincreasethefamilyexpenses,nothingmoredifficultordisagreeablethantoretrenchthem。
Ifanannualandcontinuousbalancehasbroughtaboutinastateaconsiderableincreaseofmoneyitwillnotfailtoincreaseconsumption,toraisethepriceofeveningandeventodiminishthenumberofinhabitantsunlessadditionalproduceisdrawnfromabroadproportionabletotheincreasedconsumption。
Moreoveritisusualinstateswhichhaveacquiredaconsiderableabundanceofmoneytodrawmanythingsfromneighbouringcountrieswheremoneyisrareandconsequentlyeverythingischeap:butasmoneymustbesentforthisthebalanceoftradewillbecomesmaller。Thecheapnessoflandandlabourintheforeigncountrieswheremoneyisrarewillnaturallycausetheerectionofmanufactoriesandworkssimilartothoseofthestate,butwhichwillnotatfirstbesoperfectnorsohighlyvalued。
Inthissituationthestatemaysubsistinabundanceofmoney,consumeallitsownproduceandalsomuchforeignproduceandoverandaboveallthismaintainasmallbalanceoftradeagainsttheforeigneroratleastkeepthebalancelevelformanyyears,thatisimportinexchangeforitsworkandmanufacturesasmuchmoneyfromtheseforeigncountriesasithastosendthemforthecommoditiesorproductsofthelandittakesfromthem。
Ifthestateisamaritimestatethefacilityandcheapnessofitsshippingforthetransportofitsworkandmanufacturesintoforeigncountriesmaycompensateinsomesortthehighpriceoflabourcausedbythetoogreatabundanceofmoney;sothattheworkandmanufacturesofthisstate,dearthoughtheybe,willsellinforeigncountriescheapersometimesthanthemanufacturesofanotherstatewherelabourislesshighlypaid。
Thecostoftransportincreasesagooddealthepricesofthingssenttodistantcountries;butthesecostsareverymoderateinmaritimestates,wherethereisregularshippingtoallforeignportssothatShipsarenearlyalwaysfoundtherereadytosailwhichtakeonboardallcargoesconfidedtothemataveryreasonablefreight。
ItisnotsoinstateswherenavigationdoesnotNourish。
Thereitisnecessarytobuildshipsexpresslyforthecarryingtradeandthissometimesabsorbsalltheprofit;andnavigationthereisalwaysveryexpensive,whichentirelydiscouragestrade。
Englandtodayconsumesnotonlythegreatestpartofitsownsmallproducebutalsomuchforeignproduce,suchasSilks,Wines,Fruit,Lineningreatquantity,etc。whileshesendsabroadonlytheproduceofhermines,herworkandmanufacturesforthemostpart,anddearthoughlabourbeowingtotheabundanceofmoney,shedoesnotfailtosellherarticlesindistantcountries,owingtotheadvantageofhershipping,atpricesasreasonableasinFrancewherethesesamearticlesaremuchcheaper。
Theincreasedquantityofmoneyincirculationinastatemayalsobecaused,withoutbalanceoftrade,bysubsidiespaidtothisstatebyforeignpowers,bytheexpensesofseveralambassadors,oroftravellerswhompoliticalreasonsorcuriosityorpleasuremayinducetoresidethereforsometime,bythetransferofthepropertyandfortuneofsomeFamilieswhofrommotivesofreligiouslibertyorothercausesquittheirowncountrytosettledowninthisstate。Inallthesecasesthesumswhichcomeintothestatealwayscauseanincreasedexpenseandconsumptionthereandconsequentlyraisethepricesofallthingsinthechannelsofexchangeintowhichmoneyenters。
Supposeaquarteroftheinhabitantsofthestateconsumedailymeat,wine,beer,etc。andsupplythemselvesfrequencywithcloths,linen,etc。beforetheincreaseinmoney,butthataftertheincreaseathirdorhalfoftheinhabitantsconsumethesesamethings,thepricesofthemwillnotfailtorise,andthedearnessofmeatwillinduceseveralofthosewhoformedaquarterofthestatetoconsumelessofitthanusual。Amanwhoeatsthreepoundsofmeatadaywillmanagewithtwopounds,buthefeelsthereduction,whiletheotherhalfoftheinhabitantswhoatehardlyanymeatwillnotfeelthereduction。Breadwillintruthgoupgraduallybecauseofthisincreasedconsumption,asIhaveoftensuggested,butitwillbelessdearinproportionthanmeat。Theincreasedpriceofmeatcausesdiminishedconsumptiononthepartofasmallsectionofthepeople,andsoisfelt;buttheofasmallsectionofthepeople,andsoisfelt;buttheincreasedpriceofbreaddiminishestheshareofalltheinhabitants,andsoislessfelt。If100,000extrapeoplecometoliveinastateof10millionsofinhabitants,theirextraconsumptionofbreadwillamounttoonlypoundin100whichmustbesubtractedfromtheoldinhabitants;butwhenamaninsteadof100poundsofbreadconsumes99forhissubsistencehehardlyfeelsthisreduction。
Whentheconsumptionofmeatincreasesthefarmersaddtotheirpasturestogetmoremeat,andthisdiminishesthearablelandandconsequentlytheamountofcorn。ButwhatgenerallycausesmeattobecomedearerinproportionthanBreadisthatordinarilythefreeimportofforeigncornispermittedwhiletheimportofCattleisabsolutelyforbidden,asinEngland,orheavyimportdutiesareimposedasinotherstates。ThisisthereasonwhytherentsofmeadowsandpasturesgoupinEngland,intheabundanceofmoney,tothreetimesmorethantherentsofarableland。
ThereisnodoubtthatAmbassadors,Travellers,andFamilieswhocometosettleinthestate,increaseconsumptionthereandthatpricesriseinallthechannelsofexchangewheremoneyisintroduced。
Astosubsidieswhichthestatehasreceivedfromforeignpowers,eithertheyarehoardedforstatenecessitiesorareputintocirculation。IfwesupposethemhoardedtheydonotconcernmyargumentforIamconsideringonlymoneyincirculation。
Hoardedmoney,plate,Churchtreasures,etc。arewealthwhichthestateturnstoserviceinextremity,butareofnopresentutility。Ifthestateputsintocirculationthesubsidiesinquestionitcanonlybebyspendingthemandthisillverycertainlyincreaseconsumptionandsendupallprices。Whoeverreceivesthismoneywillsetitinmotionintheprincipalaffairoflife,whichisthefood,eitherofhimselforofsomeother,sincetothiseverythingcorrespondsdirectlyorindirectly。
ChapterSevenContinuationofthesamesubjectAsgold,silver,andcopperhaveanintrinsicvalueproportionabletothelandandlabourwhichenterintotheirproductionattheminesaddedtothecostoftheirimportationorintroductionintostateswhichhavenomines,thequantityofmoney,asofallothercommodities,determinesitsvalueinthebargainingofthemarketagainstotherthings。
IfEnglandbeginsforthefirsttimetomakeuseofgold,silver,andcopperinexchangesmoneywillbevaluedaccordingtothequantityofitincirculationproportionablytoitspowerofexchangeagainstallothermerchandiseandproduce,andtheirvaluewillbearrivedatroughlybythealtercationsofthemarkets。OnthefootingofthisestimationthelandownersandUndertakerswillfixthewagesoftheirDomesticServantsandWorkmenatsomuchadayorayear,sothattheyandtheirfamiliesmaybeabletoliveonthewagestheyreceive。
SupposenowthattheresidenceofAmbassadorsandforeigntravellersinEnglandhaveintroducedasmuchmoneyintothecirculationthereastherewasbefore;thismoneywillatfirstpassintothehandsofvariousmechanics,DomesticServants,Undertakersandotherswhohavehadashareinprovidingtheequipages,amusements,etc。oftheseForeigners;themanufacturers,farmers,andotherUndertakerswillfeeltheeffectofthisincreaseofmoneywhichwillhabituateagreatnumberofpeopletoalargerexpensethanbefore,andthiswillinconsequencesendupmarketprices。EventhechildrenoftheseUndertakersandmechanicswillembarkuponnewexpense:inthisabundanceofmoneytheirFatherswillgivethemalittlemoneyfortheirpettypleasures,andwiththistheywillbuycakesandpatties,andthisnewquantityofmoneywillspreaditselfinsuchawaythatmanywholivedwithouthandlingmoneywillnowhavesome。Manypurchaseswhichusedtobemadeoncreditwillnowbemadeforcash,andtherewillthereforebegreaterrapidityinthecirculationofmoneyinEnglandthantherewasbefore。
FromallthisIconcludethatbydoublingthequantityofmoneyinastatethepricesofproductsandmerchandisearenotalwaysdoubled。ARiverwhichrunsandwindsaboutinitsbedwillnotflowwithdoublethespeedwhentheamountofitswaterisdoubled。
Theproportionofthedearnesswhichtheincreasedquantityofmoneybringsaboutinthestatewilldependontheturnwhichthismoneywillimparttoconsumptionandcirculation。
Throughwhateverhandsthemoneywhichisintroducedmaypassitwillnaturallyincreasetheconsumption;butthisconsumptionwillbemoreorlessgreataccordingtocircumstances。Itwillbedirectedmoreorlesstocertainkindsofproductsormerchandiseaccordingtotheideaofthosewhoacquirethemoney。Marketpriceswillrisemoreforcertainthingsthanforothershoweverabundantthemoneymaybe。InEnglandthepriceofmeatmightbetripledwhilethepriceofcornwentuponlyonefourth。
InEnglanditisalwayspermittedtobringincornfromforeigncountries,butnotcattle。ForthisreasonhowevergreattheincreaseofhardmoneymaybeinEnglandthepriceofcorncanonlyberaisedabovethepriceinothercountrieswheremoneyisscarcebythecostandrisksofimportingcornfromtheseforeigncountries。
ItisnotthesamewiththepriceofCattle,whichwillnecessarilybeproportionedtothequantityofmoneyofferedformeatinproportiontothequantityofmeatandthenumberofCattlebredthere。
Anoxweighing800poundssellsinPolandandHungaryfortwoorthreeouncesofsilver,butcommonlysellsintheLondonmarketformorethan40。YetthebushelofflourdoesnotsellinLondonfordoublethepriceinPolandandHungary。
Increaseofmoneyonlyincreasesthepriceofproductsandmerchandisebythedifferenceofthecostoftransport,whenthistransportisallowed。Butinmanycasesthecarriagewouldcostmorethanthethingisworth,andsotimberisuselessinmanyplaces。Thiscostofcarriageisthereasonwhymilk,freshbutter,salads,game,etc。arealmostgivenawayintheprovincesdistantfromthecapital。
Iconcludethatanincreaseofmoneycirculatinginastatealwayscausesthereanincreaseofconsumptionandahigherstandardofexpense。Butthedearnesscausedbythismoneydoesnotaffectequallyallthekindsofproductsandmerchandise,proportionablytothequantityofmoney,unlesswhatisaddedcontinuesinthesamecirculationasthemoneybefore,thatistosayunlessthosewhoofferinthemarketoneounceofsilverbethesameandonlyoneswhonowoffertwoounceswhentheamountofmoneyincirculationisdoubledinquantity,andthatishardlyeverthecase。Iconceivethatwhenalargesurplusofmoneyisbroughtintoastatethenewmoneygivesanewturntoconsumptionandevenanewspeedtocirculation。Butitisnotpossibletosayexactlytowhatextent。
ChapterEightFurtherReflectionsonthesamesubjectWehaveseenthatthequantityofmoneycirculatinginastatemaybeincreasedbyworkingthemineswhicharefoundinit,bysubsidiesfromforeignpowers,bytheimmigrationofFamiliesofforeigners,bytheresidenceofAmbassadorsandTravellers,butaboveallbyaregularandannualbalanceoftradefromsupplyingmerchandisetoForeignersanddrawingfromthematleastpartofthepriceingoldandsilver。Itisbythislastmeansthatastategrowsmostsubstantially,especiallywhenitstradeisaccompaniedandsupportedbyamplenavigationandbyaconsiderablerawproduceathomesupplyingthematerialnecessaryforthegoodsandmanufacturessentabroad。
AshoweverthecontinuationofthisCommercegraduallyintroducesagreatabundanceofmoneyandlittlebylittleincreasesconsumption,andastomeetthismuchForeignproducemustbebroughtin,partoftheannualbalancegoesouttopayforit。Ontheotherhandthehabitofspendingincreasingtheemploymentoflabourersthepricesofmanufacturedgoodsalwaysgoup。Withoutfailsomeforeigncountriesendeavourtosetupforthemselvesthesamekindsofmanufactures,andsoceasetobuythoseofthestateinquestion;andthoughthesenewestablishmentsofcraftsandmanufacturesbenotatfirstperfecttheyslackenandevenpreventtheexportationofthoseoftheneighbouringstateintotheirowncountrywheretheycanbegotcheaper。
Thusitisthatthestatebeginstolosesomebranchesofitsprofitabletrade:andmanyofitsworkmenandmechanicswhoseelabourFallenoffleavethestatetofindmoreworkinthecountrieswiththenewmanufacture。Inspiteofthisdiminutioninthebalanceoftradethecustomofimportingvariousproductswillcontinue。Thearticlesandmanufacturesofthestatehavingagreatreputation,andthefacilityofnavigationaffordingthemeansofsendingthematlittlecostintodistantcountries,thestatewillformanyyearskeeptheupperhandoverthenewmanufacturesofwhichwehavespokenandwillstillmaintainasmallBalanceoftrade,oratleastwillkeepiteven。Ifhoweversomeothermaritimestatetriestoperfectthesamearticlesanditsnavigationatthesametimeitwillowingtothecheapnessofitsmanufacturestakeawayseveralbranchesoftradefromthestateinquestion。Inconsequencethisstatewillbegintoloseitsbalanceoftradeandwillbeforcedtosendeveryyearapartofitsmoneyabroadtopayforitsimportations。
Moreover,evenifthestateinquestioncouldkeepabalanceoftradeinitsgreaterabundanceofmoneyitisreasonabletosupposethatthisabundancewillnotarrivewithoutmanywealthyindividualsspringingupwhowillplungeintoluxury。Theywillbuypicturesandgemsfromtheforeigner,willprocuretheirsilksandrareobjects,andsetsuchanexampleofluxuryinthestatethatinspiteoftheadvantageofitsordinarytradeitsmoneywillflowabroadannuallytopayforthisluxury。Thiswillgraduallyimpoverishthestateandcauseittopassfromgreatpowerintogreatweakness。
Whenastatehasarrivedatthehighestpointofwealth(I
assumealwaysthatthecomparativewealthofstatesconsistsprincipallyintherespectivequantitiesofmoneywhichtheypossess)itwillinevitablyfallintopovertybytheordinarycourseofthings。Thetoogreatabundanceofmoney,whichsolongasitlastsformsthepowerofstates,throwsthembackimperceptiblybutnaturallyintopoverty。Thusitwouldseemthatwhenastateexpandsbytradeandtheabundanceofmoneyraisesthepriceoflandandlabour,thePrinceortheLegislatoroughttowithdrawmoneyfromcirculation,keepitforemergencies,andtrytoretarditscirculationbyeverymeansexceptcompulsionandbadfaith,soastoforestallthetoogreatdearnessofitsarticlesandpreventthedrawbacksofluxury。
Butasitisnoteasytodiscoverthetimeopportuneforthis,nortoknowwhenmoneyhasbecomemoreabundantthanitoughttobeforthegoodandpreservationoftheadvantagesofthestate,thePrincesandHeadsofRepublics,whodonotconcernthemselvesmuchwiththissortofknowledge,attachthemselvesonlytomakeuseofthefacilitywhichtheyfindthroughtheabundanceoftheirstaterevenues,toextendtheirpowerandtoinsultothercountriesonthemostfrivolouspretexts。Andallthingsconsideredtheydonotperhapssobadlyinworkingtoperpetuatethegloryoftheirreignsandadministrations,andtoleavemonumentsoftheirpowerandwealth;forsince,accordingtothenaturalcourseofhumanity,thestatemustcollapseofitselftheydobutaccelerateitsfallalittle。Neverthelessitseemsthattheyoughttoendeavourtomaketheirpowerlastallthetimeoftheirownadministration。
Itdoesnotneedagreatmanyyearstoraiseabundancetothehighestpointinastate,stillfewerareneededtobringittopovertyforlackofcommerceandmanufactures。NottospeakofthepowerandfalloftheRepublicofVenice,theHanseaticTowns,FlandersandBrabant,theDutchRepublic,etc。whohavesucceededeachotherintheprofitablebranchesoftrade,onemaysaythatthepowerofFrancehasbeenontheincreaseonlyfrom1646(whenmanufacturesofclothsweresetupthere,whichwereuntilthenimported)to1684whenanumberofProtestantUndertakersandartisansweredrivenoutofit,andthatkingdomhasdonenothingbutrecedesincethislastdate。
Tojudgeoftheabundanceandscarcityofmoneyincirculation。Iknownobettermeasurethantheleasesandrentsoflandowners。Whenlandisletathighrentsitisasignthatthereisplentyofmoneyinthestate;butwhenlandhastobeletmuchloweritshows,otherthingsbeingequal,thatmoneyisscarce。IhavereadinanEtatdelaFrancethattheacreofvineyardwhichwasletin1660nearMantes,andthereforenotfarfromthecapitalofFrance,for200livrestournoisinmoneyoffullweight,onlyletin1700for100livrestournoisinlightermoney,thoughthesilverbroughtfromtheWestIndiesintheintervalshouldnaturallyhavesentupthepriceoflandinEurope。
Theauthor[oftheEtat]attributesthisfallinrenttodefectiveconsumption。AnditseemsthathehadinfactobservedthattheconsumptionofWinehaddiminished。ButIthinkhehasmistakentheeffectforthecause。ThecausewasagreaterrarityofmoneyinFrance,andtheeffectofthiswasnaturallyafallingoffinconsumption。InthisEssayIhavealwayssuggested,onthecontrary,thatabundantmoneynaturallyincreasesconsumptionandcontributesaboveeverythingtothecultivationofland。Whenabundantmoneyraisesproducetorespectablepricestheinhabitantsmakehastetoworktoacquireit;buttheyarenotinthesamehurrytoacquireproduceormerchandisebeyondwhatisneededfortheirmaintenance。
Itisclearthateverystatewhichhasmoremoneyincirculationthanitsneighbourshasanadvantageoverthemsolongasitmaintainsthisabundanceofmoney。
Inthefirstplaceinallbranchesoftradeitgiveslesslandandlabourthanitreceives:thepriceoflandandlabourbeingeverywherereckonedinmoneyishigherinthestatewheremoneyismostabundant。Thusthestateinquestionreceivessometimestheproduceoftwoacresoflandinexchangeforthatofoneacre,andtheworkoftwomenforthatofonlyone。ItisbecauseofthisabundanceofmoneyincirculationinLondonthattheworkofoneEnglishembroiderercostsmorethanthatof10
Chineseembroiderers,thoughtheChineseembroidermuchbetterandturnoutmoreworkinaday。InEuropeoneisastonishedhowtheseIndianscanlive,workingsocheap,andhowtheadmirablestuffswhichtheysenduscostsolittle。
Inthesecondplace,therevenuesofthestatewheremoneyabounds,areraisedmoreeasilyandincomparativelymuchlargeramount。Thisgivesthestate,incaseofwarordispute,themeanstogainallsortsofadvantagesoveritsadversarieswithwhommoneyisscarce。
IfoftwoPrinceswhowaruponeachotherforthesovereigntyorconquestofastateonehavemuchmoneyandtheotherlittlemoneybutmanyestateswhichmaybeworthtwiceasmuchasallthemoneyofhisenemy,thefirstwillbebetterabletoattachtohimselfGeneralsandOfficersbygiftsofmoneythanthesecondwillbebygivingtwicethevalueinlandsandestates。Grantsoflandaresubjecttochallengeandrevocationandcannotberelieduponsowellasthemoneywhichisreceived。
Withmoneymunitionsofwarandfoodareboughtevenfromtheenemiesofthestate。Moneycanbegivenwithoutwitnessesforsecretservice。Lands,Produce,merchandisewouldnotserveforthesepurposes,notevenjewelsordiamonds,becausetheyareeasilyrecognised。Afterallitseemstomethatthecomparativepowerandwealthofstatesconsist,otherthingsbeingequal,inthegreaterorlessabundanceofmoneycirculatinginthemhicetnunc。
ItremainstomentiontwoothermethodsofincreasingtheamountofmoneyinactivecirculationinastateThefirstiswhenUndertakersandprivateindividualborrowmoneyfromtheirforeigncorrespondentsainterest,orindividualsabroadsendtheirmoneyintothestatetobuysharesorgovernmentstocksthere。ThisoftenamountstoveryconsiderablesumsuponwhichthestatemustannuallypayinteresttotheseforeignersThesemethodsofincreasingthemoneyinthestatemakeitmoreabundantthereanddiminishtherateofinterest。BymeansofthismoneytheUndertakersinthestatefinditpossibletoborrowmorecheaplytosetpeopleonworkandtoestablishmanufactoriesinthehopeofprofit。TheArtisansandallthosethroughwhosehandsthismoneypasses,consumemorethantheywouldhavedoneiftheyhadnotbeenemployedbymeansofthismoney,whichconsequentlyincreasespricesjustasifitbelongedtothestate,andthroughtheincreasedconsumptionorexpensethuscausedthepublicrevenuesderivedfromtaxesonconsumptionareaugmented。Sumslenttothestateinthiswaybringwiththemmanypresentadvantages,buttheendofthemisalwaysburdensomeandharmful。Thestatemustpaytheinteresttotheforeignerseveryyear,andbesidesthisisatthemercyoftheforeignerswhocanalwaysputitintodifficultywhentheytakeitintotheirheadstowithdrawtheircapital。Itwillcertainlyarrivethattheywillwanttowithdrawitatthemomentwhenthestatehasmostneedofit,aswhenpreparationsforwarareinhandandahitchisfeared。Theinterestpaidtotheforeignerisalwaysmuchmoreconsiderablethantheincreaseofpubicrevenuewhichhismoneyoccasions。Theseloansofmoneyareoftenseentopassfromonecountrytoanotheraccordingtotheconfidenceofinvestorsinthestatestowhichtheyaresent。Buttotellthetruthitmostcommonlyhappensthatstatesloadedwiththeseloans,whohavepaidheavyinterestonthemformanyyears,fallatlengthbybankruptcyintoinabilitytopaythecapital。Assoonasdistrustisawakenedthesharesorpublicstocksfall,theforeignshareholdersdonotliketorealisethematalossandprefertocontentthemselveswiththeinterest,hopingthatconfidencewillrevive。Butsometimesitneverrevives。Instateswhichdeclineintodecaytheprincipalobjectofministersisusuallytorestoreconfidenceandsoattractforeignmoneybyloansofthiskind。Forunlesstheministryfailstokeepfaithandtoobserveitsengagementsthemoneyofthesubjectswillcirculatewithoutinterruption。Itisthemoneyoftheforeignerswhichhasthepowerofincreasingthecirculatingcurrencyinthestate。
Buttheresourceoftheseborrowingswhichgivesapresenteasecomestoabadendandisafireofstraw。Toreviveastateitisneedfultohaveacaretobringabouttheinfluxofanannual,aconstantandarealbalanceoftrade,tomakeflourishingbyNavigationthearticlesandmanufactureswhichcanalwaysbesentabroadcheaperwhenthestateisinalowconditionandhasashortageofmoney。Merchantsarefirsttobegintomaketheirfortunes,thenthelawyersmaygetpartofit,thePrinceandthefarmersoftherevenuegetashareattheexpenseofthese,anddistributetheirgracesastheyplease。
Whenmoneybecomestooplentifulinthestate,luxurywillinstalitselfandthestatewillfallintodecay。
Suchisapproximatelythecirclewhichmayberunbyaconsiderablestatewhichhasbothcapitalandindustriousinhabitants。Anableministerisalwaysabletomakeitrecommencethisround。Notmanyyearsareneededtoseeittriedandsucceed,atleastatthebeginningwhichisitsmostinterestingposition。Theincreasedquantityofmoneyincirculationwillbeperceivedinseveralwayswhichmyargumentdoesnotallowmetoexaminenow。
Asforstateswhichhavenotmuchcapitalandcanonlyincreasebyaccidentsandconjunctureitisdifficulttofindmeanstomakethemflourishbytrade。NoministerscanrestoretheRepublicsofVeniceandHollandtothebrilliantsituationfromwhichtheyhavefallen。ButastoItaly,Spain,France,andEngland,howeverlowtheymaybefallen,theyarealwayscapableofbeingraisedbygoodadministrationtoahighdegreeofpowerbytradealone,provideditbeundertakenseparately,forifallthesestateswereequallywelladministeredtheywouldbegreatonlyinproportiontotheirrespectivecapitalandtothegreaterorlessindustryoftheirpeople。
ThelastmethodIcanthinkoftoincreasethequantityofmoneyactuallycirculatinginastateisbyviolenceandarmsandthisisoftenblendedwiththeothers,sinceinallTreatiesofPeaceitisgenerallyprovidedtoretainthetradingrightsandprivilegeswhichithasbeenpossibletoderivefromthem。Whenastateexactscontributionsormakesseveralotherstatestributarytoit,thisisaverysuremethodofobtainingtheirmoney。Iwillnotundertaketoexaminethemethodsofputtingthisdeviceintopractice,butwillcontentmyselfwithsayingthatallthenationswhohaveflourishedinthiswayhavenotfailedtodecline,likestateswhohavenourishedthroughtheirtrade。TheancientRomansweremorepowerfulinthiswisethanalltheotherpeoplesweknowof。YetthesesameRomansbeforelosinganinchofthelandoftheirvaststatesfellintodeclinebyluxuryandbroughtthemselveslowbythediminutionofthemoneywhichhadcirculatedamongthem,butwhichluxurycausedtopassfromtheirgreatEmpireintoorientalcountries。
SolongastheluxuryoftheRomans(whichdidnotbegintillafterthedefeatofAntiochus,KingofAsiaaboutA。U。C。
564)wasconfinedtotheproduceofthelandandlabourofallthevastestatesoftheirdominion,thecirculationofmoneyincreasedinsteadofdiminishing。Thepublicwasinpossessionofalltheminesofgold,silver,andcopperintheEmpire。TheyhadthegoldminesofAsia,Macedonia,AquilaeaandtherichminesbothofgoldandsilverofSpainandothercountries。Theyhadseveralmintswheregold,silverandcoppercoinswerestruck。
TheconsumptionatRomeofallthearticlesandmerchandisewhichtheydrewfromtheirvastProvincesdidnotdiminishthecirculationofthecurrency,anymorethanpictures,statuesandjewelswhichtheydrewfromthem。Thoughthepatricianslaidoutexcessiveamountsfortheirfeastsandpaid15,000ouncesofsilverforasinglefish,allthatdidnotdiminishthequantityofmoneycirculatinginRome,seeingthatthetributeoftheProvincesregularlybroughtitback,tosaynothingofwhatPraetorsandGovernorsbroughtthitherbytheirextortions。TheamountsannuallyextractedfromtheminesmerelyincreasedthecirculationatRomeduringthewholereignofAugustus。Luxurywashoweveralreadyonaverygreatscale,andtherewasmucheagernessnotonlyforcuriositiesproducedintheEmpirebutalsoforjewelsfromIndia,pepperandspices,andalltheraritiesofArabia,andthesilkswhichwerenotmadewithrawmaterialsoftheEmpirebegantobeindemandthere。ThemoneydrawnfromtheminesstillexceededhoweverthesumssentoutoftheEmpiretobuyallthesethings。NeverthelessunderTiberiusascarcityofmoneywasfelt。ThatEmperorhadshutupinhisTreasury2milliardsand700millionsofsesterces。Torestoreabundanceofcirculationhehadonlytoborrow300millionsonthemortgageofhisestates。CaligulainlessthanoneyearspentallthistreasureofTibetiusafterhisdeath,anditwasthenthattheabundanceofmoneyincirculationwasatitshighestinRome。Thefuryofluxurykeptonincreasing。InthetimeofPliny,thehistorian,therewasexportedfromtheEmpire,asheestimated,atleast100millionsofsestercesannually。Thiswasmorethanwasdrawnfromthemines。UnderTrajanthepriceoflandhadfallenbyone-thirdormore,accordingtotheyoungerPliny,andmoneycontinuedtodecreaseuntilthetimeoftheEmperorSeptimusSeverus。ItwasthensoscarceatRomethattheEmperormadeenormousgranaries,beingunabletocollectlargetreasureforhisenterprises。ThustheRomanEmpirefellintodeclinethroughthelossofitsmoneybeforelosinganyofitsestates。Beholdwhatluxurybroughtaboutandwhatitalwayswillbringaboutinsimilarcircumstances。