首页 >出版文学> An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Econom>第21章
  Bythisoperation,weseehowthetransportationofthebalancemaybecomethebusinessofthecreditorsofthenation-debtor:whichisacircumstancewehavenotasyetattendedto:afewwordswillexplainit。
  Whenthecreditorsofthenation-debtorselltheirbills,theymustpaytheexchange,ashasbeensaid。Whentheydrawbillstotheorderofafriendintheplacewherethebalanceisowing,theysuperaddtheexchange。Thistheirdebtorspay:butthentheythemselvesmustbeatthetroubleandexpenceofbringinghomethemoney。
  Itisfromthisalternativewhichbothpartieshaveofeithersendingwhattheyowetotheircreditorsinbullion,orofallowingthemtodrawforitattheadditionalexpenceofpayingtheexchange,thatacheckisputtotheextravagantprofitofexchangers:andfromthiscircumstanceariseallthedelicateoperationsofdrawingandremitting。
  Intotheseweshallnotinquire:theprincipleonwhichtheydependappearssufficientlyplain,andthisistheprincipalobjectofourattention。
  Iproceednowtoconsiderhowfarthosereciprocalprofitsandlosses,betweenmerchantsinthesamecountry,affectthetradeofitingeneral。
  Whenthebalanceisfavourable,wehavesaidthattheexporterslosetheexchange,andtheimportersgainit;andbothbeingcitizens,thecountrywouldnotbeconcernedintheirrelativeinterests,wereitnotthattheseinterestsareconnectedwiththatofthecountry,whichreapsgreatbenefitfromthetradeofthosewhodealinexportations,andlossfromtheother。
  If,therefore,exchangebefoundtohurtexportation,whenthebalanceisfavourable,inthisrespectthecountryhasaninterestinbringingitaslowaspossible。Butasitmaybesaid,thatsincethereturnofanunfavourablebalancehurtsinitsturntheinterestsofimportation,andfavoursthatofexportation,exchangetherebyoperatesanationalcompensation:I
  must,inthisplace,addonereJectionmore,inordertodestroythestrengthofthisargument。
  Werethispropositionadmitted,asIamsureitcannot,fromwhatwehavealreadysaid,itwouldaffordnoargumentagainstdoingwhatcanbedone,torenderexchangeaslittlehurtfulaspossibletoexportation,duringthefavourablebalance。Butnextastothequestionitselfofnationalcompensation,Icannotallowthatevenexportersandimportersaretherebybroughtonalevelinpointoftrade:forthisreason,thatsinceitisallowed,thatwhenthebalanceoftradeisfavourable,thepriceofexchangeisalosstothemerchantsexporters;thisexchangeinproportionasitaugments,mustdiscouragemanufacturers,whomusthaveregular,andevengrowingprofits,accordingtotheincreaseofdemand。Thesethemerchantexportercannotafford;
  becausehecannotdrawbackfromhisforeigncorrespondents,anyadvanceuponmanufacturesathome,arisingfromdomesticcircumstances。Butwhenuponanunfavourablebalance,themerchantimporterisaffectedbytheexchangeagainsthim;thisadditionalexpencehecandrawback。becausehesellstothosewhoareaffectedbyalldomesticcircumstances。
  Letusthereforedetermine,thatitistheinterestofastatetodisregardthiscompensationwhichissaidtobegiventoexportationduringawrongbalance,whichdoessomuchharm;andtoavoidthediscouragementgiventoitbyarightbalance,whichdoessomuchgood。Theonlywaytocompasstheseends,istokeepexchangeasneartoparaspossible。
  Couldreciprocaldebtsbealwaysexchangedatpar,andcouldtheexpenceofbringinghome,andsendingabalanceabroad,bedefrayedbythestate,Ithinkitwouldproveagreatadvantagetothetradeofanation。Idonotpretendtosaythat,asmattersstand,thethingispracticable;butasthisisaquestionwhichrelatestomysubject,andseemsbothcuriousandinteresting,Ishallhereexamineit。
  Atfirstsight,thisideawillappearchimerical;andsomereadersmaydespiseittoomuch,tobeatthetroubletoreadwhatmaybesaidforit。Ishallthereforesetoutbyinformingthemthattheschemehasbeentried,inagreatkingdominEurope,underagreatminister:IsayitwasattemptedinFrance,intheyear1726,undertheadministrationofCardinalFleuri,andproduceditseffect;althoughitwassoongivenup,foracircumstancewhich,Ithink,nevercanoccurinGreatBritain。
  AfterthelastgeneralcoinageinFrance,1726,exchangebecamesounfavourabletothatkingdom,astooccasionageneraloutcry。TheCardinal,toputastoptotheclamour,andtosetexchangetorights,ashethought,orderedSamuelBernard,atthattimeamanofgreatcredit,togivebillsonHollandatpar,toallthemerchants;andinordertoenablehimtoplacefundsinAmsterdam,forthepaymentofhisbills,theCardinalsuppliedthisexchangerwithsufficientquantitiesoftheoldcoin,thencrieddown,andpaidfortheexportationofittoHolland。
  Uponthis,exchangeonHollandcametopar;andtheexchangersatParislookedontheoperationwithamazement。Theminister,however,inashorttimediscovered,thatbythishewasundoingwithonehand,whathewantedtoestablishwiththeother。Hethereforestoppedinhiscareer,afterhavingpaid,perhaps,tentimesthebalanceduetoHolland。
  Byunfoldingthecombinationofthisoperation,Ishallbebetterabletocastlightonthequestionbeforeus,thaninanyotherway。
  WhenthegeneralcoinagewasmadeinFrance,bythearretofthemonthofJanuary1726,alltheoldcoinwascrieddown,andorderedtoberecoined。Themintpriceoffinegoldpermarcwasfixedat536livres14sols6deniers;thatofthesilverat37
  livres1sol9deniers。Thesewerethepricesatwhichthemintpaidforbullion,whenofferedtobecoined。ButtheKing,asifhehadarightuponthemetalintheoldcoin,commandedittobedeliveredatthemintatnohigherratethan492livresforthemarcoffinegold,andat34livresforthemarcoffinesilver:
  andtocompelthepossessorsofittobringitin,allexportationandmeltingdownwasmadehighlypenal;theavenuesfromFrancewerebesetwithguardstopreventthegoingout;andthemeltingpotswerestrictlywatched。Uponthis,thepossessorsoftheoldcoin,ratherthansellittothemintatsogreatanundervalue,hadrecoursetoexchangersforbillsuponHollandforit:andthesebeingobligedtosenditthitheratagreatexpenceandrisk,exactedaveryhighexchange,which,consequently,affectedthewholetradeofFrance。
  PoliticianspersuadedtheCardinal,thatexchangehadgotupsohigh,notfromthediscreditcastontheoldcoin,butbecauseofthewrongbalanceoftrade,andofthealterationwhichhadbeenmadeatthattimeuponthedenominationofthenewcoin:andthatassoonasthebalanceagainstFrancewaspaid,exchangewouldreturntopar。UponthistheCardinalsetBernardtowork,buthesoondiscoveredhismistake;andbyarretofthe15thofJunethesameyear,raisedthemintpriceoftheoldcoin,andthenexchangebecamefavourable。
  TheseareallfactsmentionedbyDutot,andyetheneverwillascribetheriseofexchangeinFrancetoanyothercausethantothetamperingwiththedenominationsoftheircoin:anoperationwhichmayrobonesetofpeopleinfavourofanother;butwhichhasverylittleeffectuponexchange,whenothercircumstancesdonotconcur,asinthecasebeforeus。
  NowhadthehighexchangeagainstFrancebeenowingtoawrongbalanceuponhertrade,isitnotevidentthattheCardinal’soperationwouldhavesucceeded,thatalldemandsforbillsatSamuelBernard’sofficewouldhavebeenconfinedtotheexactextentofthisbalance;thatthereciprocaldebtswouldhavebeennegociatedbetweenthemerchantsatpar;and,consequently,thatallexpenceuponexchangewouldhavebeensavedtoindividuals,atthesmallchargetogovernmentoftransportingthebalancepaidbythemerchantsatParis,forSamuelBernard’sbills?
  Wereprosperoustradingstates,thereforeconductedbystatesmen,intelligent,capable,anduninfluencedbymotivesofprivateinterest,theywouldmakeitaruletobeattheexpenceofsendingoff,andbringinghomeallbalances,withoutanychargeforexchangetothetraders;buttheconsequenceofeitherneglect,orincapacityinthepersonatthehelm,wouldthenmakeittoodangeroustoattempt,atonce,sogreatachangeinthepresentmethodofpayingbalances:butInevermakeallowancesforsuchdefectsinministers,whileIamdeducingtheprincipleswhichoughttodirecttheconductofastatesman。
  Ishallnextslightlypointoutthebadconsequenceswhich,uponanunfavourablestateofcommerce,mightresultfromsuchaplan:andwithoutrecommendinganythingtopractice,leavethereadertojudgeoftheexpediency。
  Wesee,thatbyastatesman’sgivingbillsatpar,onalloccasions,andbeinghimselfattheexpenceoftransportationandinsurance,inbringinghomeandsendingoffallbalances,exchangewouldofitselfcometopar。
  Thefirstconsequenceofthiswouldbe,thetotalannihilationoftheexchangebusiness;andif,afterthis,anyinterruptionshouldhappenbyneglectinthestatesman,trademightsufferconsiderably。
  Anotherconsequenceis,thatthemostdestructivetradewouldgoforwardwithoutacheck,aslongasmerchantscouldpaytheparofthebillstheydemandeduponforeignparts:andthistheywouldconstantlybeenabledtodo,whiletherewasneithercoinorpaperincirculation,ashasbeenexplainedintreatingbanksofcirculationuponmortgage。
  Theconsequenceofthisagainwouldbe,toobligethestatetopledgetherevenueofthecountrytostrangers,inproportiontothebalanceowing,overandabovetheextentofthemetalstodischargeit。
  Nowthequestionis,andthisIshallleavetothesagacityofmyreadertodetermine,whether,asmattersstand,therebeanycheckproceedingfromhighexchangewhichcanpreventthebadconsequencesheresetforth。Isuspectthereisnone。Weseethemostenormoussumslentbynationstonations;raisingtheexchangeagainstthelenders;turningitinfavouroftheborrowers,butneverpreventingtheloanfromgoingforward。DoesnotGreatBritain,aswellasFrance,oweamazingsumstoothernations,attheexpenceofpayingtheinterestoutoftheirrevenue?Andhavenotallthesesumsbeentransactedbyexchangers,whohavemadegreatfortunesbytheoperation?Arenotthemostunfavourablebalancespaidintheordinarymethod?
  Aretherenot,already,instrumentsinthehandsofallnations,sufficientfortheirundoing?Howthencantheirruinbeacceleratedbythisalterationinthemodeonlyofperformingthesamething?
  Butletitbeobserved,thatourbusiness,inthischapter,istosearchformethodstoadvancetheprosperityofflourishingnations,whohaveabalanceowingtothem;andherewehavebeensettingforththebadconsequenceswhichresultfromthem,tootherswhoareindecay。Everyargument,therefore,drawnagainstthisscheme,infavouroftheidleorprodigal,isanargumentinfavourofit,withrespecttotheindustriousandfrugal。Asallnationsareliabletoalternatevicissitudesofprosperityandadversity,theprinciplesherelaiddown,requiretobecarefullycombinedwithdomesticcircumstances,beforetheybeappliedtopractice。
  Itwaswithaviewtothisdistinction,that,inthetitleofthischapter,Ipointedoutthequestionthereproposed,asbeingrelativetothestateofitinaprosperoustradingnation;andI
  amnotquiteclearhowfaritmightnotbeadvantageousineverycase:butthisquestionIshallnothereenlargeupon。Whathasbeensaid,will,Ihope,besufficienttopointouttheprinciplesuponwhichthedecisiondepends;andifanystatesmaninclinetotrytheconsequencesofitnowandthen,byanexperiment,nothingissoeasyastodoit,withoutanydetriment。ThisisprovedfromtheoperationperformedbytheFrenchcardinal,ontheoccasionofaveryunfavourableandhighexchange。
  Chap。V
  How,whenotherExpedientsproveineffectualforthedischargingofBalances,thesamemaybepaidbytheMeansofCredit,withouttheInterventionofCoinorBullion;andwhoarethosewhooughttoconductthatOperationWehavenowappliedtheprinciplesformerlylaiddown,towardsdiscoveringthemostproperexpedientsforremovingorpalliatingthethreeinconveniencestobestruggledwithinregulatingexchange。First,Howtoestimatethevalueofabalancedue:Secondly,Howtopayitwiththecoinorbullionofthecountry:andlastly,Howtopreventthepriceofexchangefromaffectinganythingmorethanthebalancetobepaid,afterallreciprocaldebtshavebeencompensated。
  Itremainstoinquire,whatarethemostpropermethodstoacquitwhatanationmayowe,afterithasdoneallitcantopaythevalueoftheirbalanceintheotherway。
  Atfirstsight,itmustappearevidentthattheonlymethodhereistogivesecurity,andpayinterestforwhatcannotbepaidinanyothervalue。Thisintheendisconstantlywhatisdonebyeverynation;butastheordinarymethodsofbringingitabout,areveryperplexed,andareattendedwithexpenceswhichraiseexchangetoagreatheight,andtherebyproveaprodigiousdiscouragementtotradeingeneral:itwouldbenosmalladvantage,couldallthislossonexchangebethrownequallyuponeveryclasswithinthestate,insteadofbeingthrownentirelyuponitscommerce。
  Asthisistheexpedienttobeproposed,itwillnotbeamisstoobserve,thatforeignbalancesarisechieflyuponfourarticles。First,Thegreatimportationandconsumptionofforeignproductions。Secondly,Thepaymentofdebtsandinterestduetoforeigners。Thirdly,Thelendingmoneytoothernations。And,Fourthly,Thegreatexpenceofthestate,orofindividuals,abroad。
  Couldallthebadconsequencesarisingfromthesefourcauses,andthehighexchangeoccasionedbythem,becastuponthatinterestalonewhichoccasionsthem,Ishouldnotproposetolaythewholebodyofthenationundercontributionforrepairingtheloss。
  Butiffromthenatureofthething,asmattersstand,thewholebefoundtofallupontrade,withoutapossibilityofpreventingit;inthiscase,Ithinkitwouldbebetterforthenation,incumulo,tolenditsassistance,andtosharetheburden,thantoallowittofalluponthatpartofthebodypoliticfromwhichthewholedrawsitsvigourandprosperity。
  Itcannotbedenied,thatwhenaheavybalanceisduebyanation,ithastheeffectofraisingexchangeuponeverydraughtorremittance。Whenbillsaredemandedtopayaforeignclaim,itcannotbedeterminedfromwhichofthefourarticles,justnowmentioned,theclaimhasarisen。Whetherfornationalpurposesornot,theexchangeisthesame,andequallyaffectsthewholeinterestoftrade。
  Ifthisbeafairstateofthecase,Ithinkwemaydeterminethatsuchbalancesoughttobepaidbytheassistanceandinterventionofastatesman’sadministration。
  Theobjectisnotsogreatasatfirstsight,itmayappear。
  Wedonotproposethatthevalueofthisbalanceshouldbeadvancedbythestate:bynomeans。Theywhoowethebalancemustthen,asatpresent,findavalueforthebillstheydemand。
  NeitherwouldIproposesuchaplanforanynationwhohad,upontheaverageoftheirtrade,abalanceagainstthem;butif,onthewhole,thebalancebefavourable,Iwouldnot,forthesakeofsavingalittletroubleandexpence,sufferthealternatevibrationsofexchangetodisturbtheuniformityofprofits,whichuniformitytendssomuchtoencourageeverybranchofcommerce。
  Wehaveabundantlyexplainedthefataleffectofawrongbalancetobankswhichcirculatepaper;andwehaveshewnhownecessaryitisthattheyshouldperformwhatwehererecommend,tobedonebythestateitself。Thereisthereforenothingnewinthisproposal:itismerelycarryingtheconsequencesofthesameprincipleonestepfarther,andmakingitabranchofpolicy,forgovernmenttobeassistingtotradeinthepaymentofbalances,wherecreditabroadisrequired;andwehaveproposedthatthisassistanceshouldbegivenoutofthepublicmoney。
  Thegreatest,andindeed,Ithink,theonlyobjectiontothisscheme,is,thatbyittheconditionofourforeigncreditors,willbebettered,fornovaluereceivedfromthem。ThisIallowwillbethecasewhenthebalanceisagainstEngland:butitwillbecompensatedtothecreditorsbythelosstheywillsustainwhenthebalanceisinherfavour。Butsupposingthereshouldbeabenefittoforeigncreditors,willnotthiscircumstanceraisetheconfidenceofalltheworldintheEnglishfunds?If,uponaproposaltogovernmenttolowertherateofmoneybyrefundingthedebtswhichbearahigherinterestthanwhatmoneycanbeprocuredfor,thecontinentshouldpourherwealthintooursubscription,mightwenotthenmorereadilyexpectasupplyfromthatquarter?Besides,isnotalltheinterestduetoforeigncreditorspaidinbankpaper?Isnotthisdemandableincoin,andwillnotthiscoinbeexported,ifcreditbenotfound?WerethebankofEnglandtokeepasubscriptionopen,atalltimes,inAmsterdam,formoneytobeborrowedthere,onthepaymentoftheinterestinthatcity,whodoubtsbutloansmightbeprocuredatmuchlessexpencethanatpresent,whenwearebeatingaboutforcrediteverywhere,untilbythereturnofafavourablebalanceuponthetradeofEngland,sheshallbeenabledtofillupthevoid。
  Ifeelmyowninsufficiencytounfoldthemanyintricacieswhichsuchanoperationmustimply。Ithereforeshallnotattemptwhat,atanyrate,Imustleaveimperfect。Whathasbeensaid,togetherwithwhathasbeenthrownoutonthesamesubject,intreatingofothermatters,issufficienttogiveahint,concerningtheexpediencyoftheplaningeneral。Andastotheobjectionwhicharisesfromthepaymentstothepubliccreditorsabroad,IshallreservethemoreamplediscussionofittillI
  cometoconsiderthedoctrineofpubliccredit。
  PartIV
  OfPublicCreditChap。I
  Theprincipleswhichinfluencethedoctrineofpubliccreditarsofew,andsoplain,thatitissurprisingtoseehowcircumstancesshouldpossiblyinvolvethemintheobscurityintowhichwefindthemplungedonmanyoccasions。
  Forthebetterclearingthewaytowardsthemainobject,I
  shallshewfromexperience,andfromtheprogressofpubliccreditinsomenations,thatthetrueprincipleshavebeenoverlooked,andsoconfoundedwithextraneousobjects,astobeentirelylost。
  Thetruemethodofdecyphering,asitwere,thecomplicatedoperationsofstatesmenwithrespecttothisbranchofpolitics,istobringbacktotheirnativesimplicitysuchplansofadministration,as,fromtheinfiniteperplexityofthem,makepeoplebelieve,thattheprincipleswhichinfluencethisdistrictofthescienceliesoinvolved,astorequireapeculiarforceofgeniuseventocomprehendthem。
  Byproceedinginthisplaintrack,andbykeepingprinciplesconstantlyinview,themostperplexedsystemsofborrowing,funding,stock-jobbing,coiningandre-coiningofmoney,changingtheweight,fineness,anddenominationsofspecie,circulatingpaperinconjunctionwithit,imposinguponmankindwithbubblesandbankruptcies,andcallingthemoperationsofpubliccredit,mayberenderedintelligibletothemostslendercapacity。
  Manyofthesetopicshavebeenalreadyexplained,anddismissed。Thiswillenableustocontracttheplanofwhatremainsinproportiontotheobjectsitistocomprehend。
  Publiccreditwehavedefinedtobe,theconfidencereposedinastate,orbodypolitic,borrowingmoney,onconditionthatthecapitalshallnotbedemandable,butthatacertainproportionalpartofthesumshallbeannuallypaid,eitherinlieuofinterest,orinextinctionofpartofthecapital;forthesecurityofwhichpayment,apermanentannualfundisappropriated,withaliberty,however,tothestatetofreeitself,byrepayingthewhole,whennothingtothecontraryisstipulated。
  InthisdefinitionIhaveputinanalternative,ofpayingaperpetualinterestforthemoneyborrowed,orofpayingannuallyasumexceedingtheinterest;whichexcessisintendedtoextinguishthecapitalinacertainnumberofyears。Inbothcases,theannualpaymentiscalledanannuity。Whenitisexactlyequaltotheinterestagreedon,itiscalledperpetual;
  anddeterminate,whenitisgrantedeitherforlife,orforacertainnumberofyears。
  Thesolidityofthissecurityisessentialtotheborrowinguponthecheapestterms:letmesupposeittobeassolidasland-property,andaspermanentasgovernmentitself:whatwilltheconsequencebe?
  Ifwesupposegovernmenttogoonincreasing,everyyear,thesumoftheirdebtsuponperpetualannuities,andappropriating,inproportion,everybranchofrevenueforthepaymentofthem;
  theconsequencewillbe,inthefirstplace,totransfer,infavourofthecreditors,thewholeincomeofthestate,ofwhichgovernmentwillretaintheadministration。Thefartherconsequencesofthisrevolutionwillfurnishmatterforachapterbyitself。
  Iftheborrowingsofastatebeinproportiononlytotheextinctionoftheoldcapitals,orofwhatIhavecalleddeterminateannuities,thenthedebtswillnotincrease。
  Whenastatesman,therefore,establishesasystemofpubliccredit,thefirstobjectwhichshouldfixhisattentionistocalculatehowfartheconstitutionofthestate,anditsinternalcircumstances,renderitexpedienttothrowtherevenueofitintothehandsofamoneyedinterest。Isay,thisisthemostimportantobjectofhisdeliberation;becausethesolidityofhiscreditdependsuponit。
  If,alltheinterestsofthestatedulyconsidered,thatoftradebefoundtopredominate;lessinconveniencewillbefoundinallowingthemoneyedinteresttoswell:butinmonarchies,wherethelandedinterestiscommonly,andoughttobethemostpowerful,itwouldbedangeroustoerectsoformidablearivaltoit。Inpoliticalbodieseveryseparateinterestwillconsultitsown;andinthecontestbetweenthosewhowillbemadetopay,andthosewhoaretoreceivethetaxes,underthedenominationofcreditors,thesecurityofpubliccreditwillbecomeprecarious。
  Fromthiswemayconclude,First,Thatingovernmentswheretheswellingofamoneyedinterestisfoundtothreatenthetranquillityofthestate,careshouldbetakeneithertoestablishasinkingfund,forpayingoff,intimesofpeace,whatmayhavebeenborrowedintimesofwar,ortheplanofborrowingupondeterminateannuitiesmustbeestablished。
  Secondly,Ifnaturalcaresbelefttoworktheirowneffects,withoutasystematicalplanofborrowing,theconsequencewillbeabankruptcyandatotalfailureofpubliccredit,atleastforsometime。
  Thirdly,Ifastateshouldfindthemassoftheirdebtstoamounttosogreatasumastobeinsupportable,theymighthaverecoursetoatotal,orpartialabolitionofthembyanactofpower。
  Fourthly,Iftheyallowtheirdebtstoswellwithoutlimitation,andadheretothefaithoftheirengagements,thewholepropertyofthestatewillbeinconstantcirculation,fromoneclassofmentoanother。
  Fifthly,Ifthedebtscontractedbethepropertyofforeigners,thesewilleitherremoveintothecountry,wheretheirfundsarise,ortheproperty,thatis,thedominiumutileofthecountry,willbetransferredfromthenatives。
  Theseandmanyothercombinationswillarisefromtheextensionofpubliccredit;andanexaminationintothemostnaturalconsequencesuponeverysupposition,willbethebestwaytoacquireadistinctideaofthesubjectingeneral。Topretendtoforetellanyonecertainchainofconsequences,whichmay,infact,resultfromanyparticularcase,is,Iapprehend,impossible;becauseeveryoneofthemwilldependuponcircumstancestotallyunknown。Theseconsequences,inourwayofexaminingmattersofthiskind,arealltobefoundedUpOnsupposition。Tosupplytherefore,insomemeasure,thisdefect,I
  shallfirsthaverecoursetoexamplesofwhathashappenedinthehithertoinfantstateofpubliccredit;andastocaseswhichhavenotasyettakenplace,wemusthaverecoursetoingenuity,andendeavourtoformthemostrationalcombinationswecan。
  Chap。II
  OftheriseandProgressofPublicCreditWhilethepolicyofStatesdirectedthemtoformtreasures,therewasnooccasionforpubliccredit。ThispolicyprevaileduntiltheriseoftheRomanempire。Thenallthetreasuresoftheworldwereplundered,andthenationswereinslaved。Onthisrevolution,theexigenciesofthatgreatempireweresuppliedfromtheannualtributespaidbyconquerednations。Undergoodreigns,thisannualsupplyswelledthepublictreasure,untilaprodigalEmperorsquandereditaway;andtooktorapineandextortion,tofillupthevoid。
  UponthetotaldissolutionoftheRomanempire,Europewasoverrunbybarbarousnations,who,withaslittleindustryasever,supportedtheirpowerbythemilitaryservicesofthewholepeople。
  Aftertheestablishmentofthefeudalkingdomsunderthechiefswhofirstlaidthefoundationofthem,arosetheBarons,orprincipalvassals,who,inimitationoftheirchief,erectedsmallprincipalities,whichbydegreesgrewindependent。
  Thisdistributionofpowerintomanyhandshadtheeffectofdestroyingallsystematicplansofgovernment。Princeswereobligedtoactaccordingtotheperpetualfluctuationofcircumstances。until,byarevolutionintheirfavour,thepowerofthevassalswasswallowedup,andconfinedwithinthelimitsofamoreregularauthority。
  InproportionasthisrevolutiontookplaceamongthenationsofEurope,thesystemoftheirgovernmentresumedamorepermanentform。Justicewasadministeredwithmoreuniformity;
  andfromthisinsensiblyaroseabodyoflaws,which,insomecountries,werecalledcustoms:inothers,asinEngland,commonlaw。Warsthenbecamelessfrequent;andthemilitaryservicesnotbeingnecessaryonalloccasions,insensiblybecameconvertedintotaxes,proportionedtotheexigenciesofthetime。
  Duringthisperiod,thecoinandpreciousmetalsofEuropewereinagreatmeasure,lodged,inprivatecoffers。Ifwarsbroughtthemforthforashorttime,theysoonfoundtheirwaybackagain。Princesweregenerallypoor;becausetheyweregenerallyextravagant,andspentmoneyasfastastheygotit。Inproportionasindustryandalienationincreased,thecoincameabroad;theinhabitantsbecameeasyintheircircumstances;thestateflourished,andacquiredreputation。Therichesandpowerofastatebeganthentobeestimated,astheyoughttobe,notbytheirtreasureslockedup,butbywhatwasfoundincirculation;thatis,bytheirindustry。Venice,Genoa,andtheHanstowns,settheexample。TheJews,banishedfromFrance,onaccountoftheirextortionsinthetimeoftheholywars,fled,asitissaid,intoLombardy,andthereinventedtheuseofbillsofexchange,fordrawingtheirrichesfromthosecountriestowhichtheydurstnotresortinordertobringthemoff。Interestformoneybegantobeconsideredaslawfulinmanycases:
  merchantswereprotectedbyPrinces,forthesakeoftheconsequencesoftradeandindustry:andfromsuchsmallbeginningshasthismightyengineofpubliccreditsprung。
  WhilePrincesmortgagedtheirlandsandprincipalities,inordertoobtainasumofmoney,theyactedupontheprinciplesofprivatecredit。Thiswasthecaseinthemoreearlytimes,beforegovernmentacquiredthatsoliditywhichisnecessarytoestablishafirmconfidence。Inproportionasitdrewtowardaregularsystem,thedawnofcreditputonappearancesanalogoustothesolidityofthefunduponwhichitwasestablished。
  Thesecondstepwastoraisemoneyuponabranchoftaxesassignedtothelender,forthereimbursementofhiscapitalandinterest。Weshallshewtheconsequencesofthisplanofcreditfromsomeexamples,whichwillfullypointoutallitsinconveniences。
  Thisplanofadministrationwasattendedwithsomuchabuse,andsomuchoppression,thatstatesmenbegantodespairofcarryingonpublicaffairsbysuchexpedients;andthereforeconcludedthattheonlywaytoobtainmoneyattheleastexpence,wastoraiseitonthesubjectwithintheyear,oruponwhattheycalledshortfunds。
  Atlengthpubliccreditassumeditspresentform。Moneywasborrowedupondeterminateorperpetualannuities:afundwasprovidedforthispurpose:andtherefundingofthecapitalwas,inmanycases,leftintheoptionofgovernment,butneverintheoptionofthecreditor。
  Thisisashortviewoftheprogressofpubliccredit。Theprinciplesuponwhichitisbuiltaresofew,thatwereItoconfinemyselftoabaredeductionofthem,littleneworinterestingcouldbesaid。Ishallthereforesteeranothercourse:Ishallcollectthesentimentsofsomeeminentpoliticians,whohaveeitherwrittenupon,oractedintheadministrationofthisbranchofgovernment;andbyapplyingprinciplesaswegoalong,Ishallbeenabledtopointouttheextraneouscircumstanceswhicharesoapttoinvolvethissubjectinobscurity。Hadwenotbeforeoureyesthenumberlessexamplesofthiskind,itwouldhardlybepossibletoconceivehowsogreatconfusion,andsomanycalamities,couldhavefollowedupontheoperationsofpubliccredit。
  Chap。III
  OfAnticipations,orborrowingMoneyuponAssignmentstoTaxesfortheDischargeofPrincipalandInterest;andoftheSentimentsofDrDavenantonthisSubjectIhavealreadyobserved,thatbythecessationoftheconstantwars,inwhichallEuropewasengagedduringthefeudalgovernmentofthebarons,nationsbegantoenjoysomesortoftranquillity。Uponthisthemilitaryservicesbecameinsensiblyconvertedintotaxes:andasPrincesextendedtheirjurisdictionsoverthecities,whichhadbeenformerlymoreimmediatelyundertheprotectionofthebishopswhoresidedinthem,taxeswereaugmented。Theseimpositionswereveryinconsiderable,withrespecttowhattheybroughtintotheKing’scoffers。Thepolicyinraisingthemwasbad;thefraudsincollectingthemweregreat。
  TheseconsiderationsengagedPrincestobeginbycontractingdebts,withaview,afterwardstopaythembytemporaryassignmentstothetaxesimposed。
  Fromthisagainensuedthemostterribleextortionsonthesideofthetax-gatherers,sooftencomplainedofbythosewhohavewrittenconcerningtheaffairsofFrance,asweshallseeinthefollowingchapter。
  Philiplebel,KingofFrance,wasthefirstwho,in1301,admitted,withgreatpolicy,theinhabitantsofcitiestohaveaseatinthestatesofthekingdom。Heformedthemintoadistinctbody,andcalledthemtiersetat,orthethirdstate,aftertheclergyandthenobility。Hisviewwastofacilitatetherebythejurisdictionhewantedtoestablishoverthosecities,andtoengagethemtoconsenttotheimpositionoftaxesforcarryingonhiswarsinFlanders,andforopposingtheambitiousviewsofBonifaceVIII。Accordingly,thepeoplebegantopaywillingly,whenoncetheyfoundthattheyhadavoteinwhatconcernedthem。
  Itakeitforgranted,thateverytax,aboutthattime,wasimposedforaparticularpurpose,andassignedeithertocreditors,ortopeoplewhoadvancedmoneyuponit:becausewearetoldthatthefirstimpositiongrantedbythestatestoaKingofFranceasapermanentbranchofrevenue,wasanexciseuponspirituousliquorsgrantedtoPhilipdeValois,intheyear1345;atwhichtime,however,accordingtoMrd’Eon’sMemoirespourserviral’HistoiregeneraledesFinances,therewerenotlessthantwentytwodifferenttaxesknowninFrance,whichheenumeratesasfollows:
  Tailles,complaintes,charges,redevances,coutumes,peages,travers,passages,centiemes,cinquantiemes,魌es,chevauch閑s,subventions,exactions,chevaleries,aides,mariages,toultes,impositions,prisons,servitudes,andnouvellettes。
  Thatalltheseimpositionsmusthavebeenmeretrifles,I
  gatherfromacircumstanceinthePoliticalHistoryofFrance,mentionedbytheauthorjustcited,whichbeingitselfexceedinglycuriousandtendinggreatlytoconfirmmanythingswhichIhaveadvancedconcerningthesmallcirculationinformertimes,Ishallherebrieflyrelateit。
  In1356,John,KingofFrance,appliedtotheStatesfor50,000livres,about9165l。sterling,topayhisarmy。TheStates,besidesseveralothertaxesimposedtopaythissum,grantedhim8deniersonthelivre,or31/3percentuponallmeat,drink,andmerchandise,soldinFrancewithintheyear;
  thatistosay,uponthewholealienationsofFrance。Thetax,waslevied,butfellfarshortofthesumrequired,andthedeficiencywasmadeupbyapoll-tax。
  CananyexamplebebettercalculatedforforminganotionofthecirculationofFranceatthattime?
  Itmaybehereallegedthatthepricesofeverythingwerethensoverylow,thatnojudgmentcanbeformedconcerningthequantityofalienationfromthesmallnessofthesum。Thisobjectionisofnoforce,asIshallpresentlyshew。
  WeknowfromtherecordsofthesellingpriceofgraininFrance,whichwasthenremarkablycheapinproportiontotheyearswhichfollowedandwhichhadpreceded,thatin1356,theseptierofwheat,ornearly4Winchesterbushels,soldfor17
  sols8deniersofthethencurrency,whichwas12livrestothemarcfinesilver,andaFrenchsoldier’sallowanceforbreadtothisday,is3septiers,ornearly12Winchesterbushelsayear。
  Nowletmesuppose,thatthewhole50,000livreshadbeenraisedbythisimpositionof31/3percentor1/30ofthetotalvalueofthesinglearticleofcornsoldatmarket,whichwasfarfrombeingthecase,andthencomparethiswiththenumberofmenwhocouldhavebeensubsistedwithallthecornsoldinFranceatthattime。
  If1/30ofthepricewerethetax,thenbymultiplying50,000
  livresby30,wehavethevalueofthecornsold;towit,1,500,000livres:dividethissumbythevalueofwhatamanconsumesinayear,towit,3septiersat17sols8deniers,whichmake2livres13sols,andthequotientwillbethenumberofportionsforaman,towit,566,037。Since,therefore,the50,000livrescouldnotberaisedinconsequenceofthetax,itfollows,thatthewholealienationofFrance,atthattime,fellfarbelowthevalueofasmuchwheataswouldhavefed566,037
  men。
  WhatapoorideadoesthiscommunicateofthestateofEuropesolatelyas400yearsago!Itwouldbeinvaintoseekforexamplestoillustrateanyprincipleofourcomplicatedmodernoeconomyinthehistoriesofthosetimes:theirtaxes,theircredit,andtheirdebts,resembledoursinnothingbutthename。
  Ishallnowcomenearerhome,andgiveanaccountoftheideasofpubliccreditformedbyDavenant,whoflourishedaboutthetimeoftherevolutionin1688,whichImaytaketobetheaeraofpubliccreditinEngland。
  Nopersonatthattime,whosewritingsIhaveseen,appearstohavesothoroughlyunderstoodthesemattersasDavenant。Hewasamanoftheory,aswellasknowledgeoffacts:hehadanopportunitywhich,andhefewpeoplehave,tobewellinstructedintheoneandtheother;turnedhistalentstothebestadvantageforpromotingtheinterestofhiscountry。Hehaswrittenmanytractsonpoliticalsubjects,which,whencarefullyreadandcomparedwithwhatexperiencehassincetaughtus,castgreatlightuponmanyquestionsrelativetothesubjectofthisinquiry。
  Davenant,likeothergreatmenofhistime,wasofopinionthatborrowingmoneyuponwhathecallsshortfunds,wasmuchpreferabletothatuponperpetualinterest;andhethoughtthemostadviseableplanofall,coulditbeaccomplished,wastoraisethemoneywantedwithintheyear。
  Men,atthattime,hadaterroruponthemincontractingdebtsforthepublic:theyconsideredthenationastheywouldaprivateman,whoseinterestisone,uncompounded,andrelativetohimselfalone:inthislight,creditorsappearedasformidableasenemies;theywerelookeduponbyministersassuch;andthisgeneralopinionononeside,contributed,nodoubt,tomakethemoniedpeoplelessinterestedinthedistressofgovernment,andmorereadytolayholdofeveryopportunityofimprovingsuchoccasions,fortheirownadvantage。
  Governmentwasinconstantwarwithcreditors:whenreadymoneyfailedinEngland,ithadnothingtopaywithbutexchequertallies,uponthetaxesimposed。theseweremuchmoreeasilyissuedthanacquitted。Whenthefirstyear’samountofataxwasengaged,peopleconsideredthesecurityforwhatwastofollowasveryprecarious;consequently,thevalueofitdiminished。
  Thismethod,however,succeededfarbetterinpayingoffdebtsalreadycontracted,thanincontractingnewones;andthehardshipsputuponthosewhohadalreadyadvancedmoneytogovernment,andwhowerepaidbyassignmentsupontaxespreviouslyengaged,madepeopleverydiffidentafterwards,exceptuponpropersecurity。ThelimitedformoftheEnglishgovernment,preventedtheviolentproceedingsofministers,withrespecttothepubliccreditors,whichwerecommoninFrance;andthiscircumstancecontributed,nodoubt,toestablishthecreditoftheformeruponthebetterfooting。Butstillthelongexpectationofpaymentforthecapitalandinterest,uponadistantfund,madeDavenantacknowledgethat700,000l。inreadymoneywouldatanytimegofartherthanamillionintallies;andyethethoughtitwasbetterforthestatetoborrowthemillionuponaplanofdischargingthedebtinthreeorfouryears,thantoobtainthe700,000l。attheexpenceofaperpetualinterestof8percent。
  ThereweremanymoreconsiderationswhichmovedDavenanttopreferwhathecallsshortfundstoperpetualinterest。
  Itwasthegeneralopinioninhistimenothisownindeed,forheendeavouredtoshewthefallacyofitthatmoneyborrowedupontheanticipationofafund,raisedandappropriatedforthedischargeofit,wasnotadebtuponthestate;becauseitdidnotdiminishtheformerrevenue。Wehavearemarkableinstanceoftheprevalenceofthisopinion,inthefamousmemorialpresentedbyM。DesmaretztoPhilipDukeofOrleans,afterthedeathofthelateKingofFrance;whereinheadvanced,thatduringsevencampaigns,from1708tothepeaceofRastad,whilehehadbeenattheheadoftheKing’sfinances,hehadnotincreasedthepublicdebtsbymorethanninemillionsoflivrescapital:andyetwhenhecameintotheadministration,in1708,theKing’sdebtsdidnotamountto700millions;andwehaveseen,thatatthetimeofhisdeath,theywereupwardsof2000millions。ButDesmaretzdidnotreckonthedifference,whichwasnolessthan1300millionsasanydebtatall;becausehehadsettledituponfundsofhisowncreation。Thiswassomuchthelanguageofthetimes,thatnocriticismwasmadeuponit。
  Itisremarkable,thatDavenant,ingivinganaccountofthedebtsofEngland,duringtheperiodofwhichhewrites,thatis,fromtherevolutiondowntothepeaceofRyswick,hardlyevertakesnoticeofthesumspaidforinterestuponthem。Themindsofmenatthattimeweretotallytakenupwiththepaymentofcapitals;andprovidedthesecouldbedischargedinafewyears,itwasnomatter,theythought,whattheycostinthemeantime。
  Aslongasnationsatwarobservethesamepolicyintheirmethodsofraisingmoney,thewaysinwhichtheyproceedareofthelessimportance:butwhenanyonestatemakesanalteration,bywhichmoremoneyisthrownintotheirhandsthantheycouldformerlyobtain;thiscircumstanceobligeseveryotherstatetoadoptthesamemethod。ThuswhilePrincesmadewarwiththeamountoftheirtreasuresandannualincome,thebalanceoftheirpowerdependedonthebalanceofsuchresources:whentheyanticipatedtheirincomeonbothsides,forafewyears,thebalancewasinproportionstill:when,afterwards,theyadoptedlongfundsandperpetualinterest,thesuppliesincreased;butstillthebalancewasdeterminedasformerly。
  Theusefulness,therefore,ofaninquiryintotheprinciplesofpubliccredit,hasnotsomuchforitsobjecttodiscovertheinterestofstatesinadoptingonemodeofcreditpreferablytoanother,astodiscovertheconsequencesofeveryoneinparticular;andtopointoutthemethodsformakingthemseverallyturnouttothebestaccountnotonlyforthestate,consideredasabodypoliticbyitself,butalsofortheindividualswhichcomposeit。
  Whensomanydifferentrelationsaretakenin,thesubjectbecomesmuchmorecomplex,andthereforetheconsequenceswhichcanbeguessedonlyatmustbelessdeterminate:butontheotherhand,itopensthemind,andsuggestsmanyhintswhichwithtimemaybeimprovedforthegoodofsociety。
  Peoplewhobarelyrelatepoliticalfacts,affordonlyanexcercisetothememory:thosewhodeduceprinciples,andtraceachainofreasoningfromthem,giveexercisetotheunderstanding;
  andasasmallsparkmayraiseamightyflame,soahintthrownoutbyaslendergeniusmaysetallthegreatmenofanationonaplanofgeneralreformationandimprovement。
  LetusnowtakeaviewofthestateofpubliccreditinEngland,atthepeaceofRyswick;inordertoshewhowDavenantcametobesogreatanenemytolongfunds,andmoreespeciallytoperpetualinterest。Weshallatthesametimepointoutfromwhatcausesproceedsthegreatchangeofsentimentsatpresent。
  AtthepeaceofRyswick,thedebtsofEngland,accordingtoDavenant,inhisfifthdiscourseuponthepublicrevenuesandtradeofEngland,stoodat17,552,544l。sterling;callit17
  millionsandahalf,aswehavenooccasiontocalculatewithexactness。
  Ofthisdebtthecapitalof31/2millionswassunk,ashecallsit;because1,300,000l。wasonlivesat14percentandwhatwasovertomakeupthe31/2millions,wasintendedtoremainaperpetualburthenonthenation。
  Forpayingtheinterestofthissum,nolessthan400,000l。
  ayearwasnecessary,whichmakesonthewholeabove11percent。
  Butthenitmustbeobserved,thatmorethanonethirdofthesumwasuponlivesat14percent:thedebtduetothebank,ofwhichwehavespokeninanotherplace,was1,200,000l。forwhichwaspaid100,000l。ayear,including4000l。allowedforthechargeofmanagement:theremainingmillionwasuponlotterytickets,bearingabout8percentthepriceatwhichthebankhadlent。
  Thesecondbranchofdebtswasnear11millions,which,hesays,wereincourseofpayment;becausetheyweresecureduponbranchesofrevenueengagedfordischargingthem。Apartofthisclassofdebtswastobeextinguishedintheyear1700:andwheneverthiswasdone,thenaproportionoftheappropriatedtaxes,amountingyearlytoaboveamillionsterling,wasimmediatelytobetakenoff。
  Thethirdclassofdebtswerethosenotprovidedforatall;
  whichintheplacereferredto,hemakestoamounttonomorethan3,200,000l。butheafterwardsfindshismistake,andthattheyinfactamountedtoabove5millionsandahalf,whichmakesthedebtsofEnglandatthepeaceofRyswick,tohavebeennear20millions。
  Wasitthenanywonder,thatamanwhowishedwelltohiscountry,shouldpreferborrowinguponshortfundsatanyexpencewhateverinthemeantime,ratherthanatperpetualinterest,whenhefoundthatparliamentscouldnotbeprevailedupontoallowanytaxtosubsistoneinstantafterthedischargeofthedebtsforthepaymentofwhichithadbeenappropriated?
  Besides,therewasverylittletobegainedbyborrowinguponlongfundsandperpetualinterest,aslongasthelendersconsideredtheiradvantagetoconsistprincipallyingettingtheircapitalsrefunded。
  Theplainmatteroffactwas,thattradeatthattimewasonlybeginningtotakerootinEngland,anddemandedfundstocarryiton。Theuseofbanksforturningpropertyintomoney,hadnotthenbeendiscovered。Circulation,consequently,wasconfinedtothecoin;andprofitsontradewereverygreat。Allthesecircumstancesrenderedcapitalsofessentialuse;andtheconsequencewas,toraiseinteresttoanexcessiveheight。
  Comparethissituationwiththepresent。Werethecapitalof140millionssterlingthrownbyGreatBritain,inafewyears,intothehandsofthepresentcreditors;wereFrance,ontheotherhand,tothrowinasmuch,whattradecouldabsorbit?
  Capitalsnowareofvalue,inproportiononlytotheinteresttheybring;andsolongastheinterestpaidonpublicdebtsissufficienttokeepcirculationfull,andnomore,interestwillstandasitis:whenthisceasestobethecase,asintimeofwar,weseeinterestbeginstorise;andwhen,ontheotherhand,theinterestpaid,provesmorethansufficientfortheusesofcirculation,asuponareturnofpeace,then,fromthesameprinciples,interestmustdiminish。
  Davenant,likeanablepolitician,whohadthestateoffactsbeforehim,reasonedaccordingtoactualcircumstances。Whateverwasborrowedonlongfunds,waschargedonthestandingrevenueofthestate,whichparliamentwasveryunwillingtoincreaseinproportiontothechargeslaiduponit。This,ofitself,wasargumentsufficientwithhimtocasthisviewuponshortappropriations,oruponhisfavouriteobject,ofraisingmoneywithintheyear,tosupplytheexigenciesofthestate。
  Butinthisoperationhefoundgreatdifficulties。Inhistreatiseofwaysandmeans,articleexcises,whereheissearchingforexpedientstoprovidemoneyforthewar,heplainlyshewsathoroughknowledgeofthisimposition。IthadtakenplaceinEnglandasfarbackasthegreatcivilwar,andformedattherevolutionabout1/3ofalltherevenue:butwhatisveryextraordinary,andwhichatpresentwillhardlybecredited,theexcisehadatthattimetheeffectofsinkingthepriceofthesubjectexcised,insteadofraisingthepriceofwhatwasproducedfromit。Thustheexciseuponmalt,aftertherevolution,hadtheeffectofloweringthepriceofbarley,insteadofraisingthepriceofbeer。
  ThiseffectofexcisesDavenantsaw;fromwhichhe,andsincehim,manymorehaveconcluded,thatallexcisesfallultimatelyupontheland。
  Thiscircumstance,togetherwithafeelingfortheinterestofthegreatnumberofidlepooratthattime,whomustconstantlysufferbyexcises,engagedDavenanttoproposehavingrecoursetotheland-propertyandpoll-taxes,forraising,withintheyear,thesumsrequiredforcarryingonthewar。
  Accordingtohisproposal,therewastobenolessthan3
  millionsraisedbyalandtax,besideshalfamillionbyaquarterlypoll,whichmadetogether,above100,000l。morethanallthepermanenttaxesofEnglandputtogether。
  AproposalofthiskindcomingfromDavenant,shewsthedifferenceofsituationbetweenthosetimesandthepresent。Onthissubjectmoreistobelearnedbycomparingfacts,thanbyallthereasoningintheworld。
  WehaveseenhowcreditstoodinEnglandduringthereignofWilliamIII。Itwastheninitsinfancy,andwassetupontheprinciplesofafreeandlimitedauthority,exercisedbyministersofstate,atalltimesresponsibletoparliamentattheriskoftheirheads,incaseofanyopenviolationofthepublicfaith。Thisisthebestofallsecuritiesagainstthebadexerciseofpower。
  WhoeverreadstheadmirablewritingsofDavenant,andcompareshisideaswithwhatexperiencehassincetaughtus,concerningthenatureoftaxesandpubliccredit,willplainlydiscoverthatthegreatdistressofEnglandatthattime,proceededfromthefollowingcauses。
  Thewartheywereengagedin,wasfarbeyondtheirpowertoSUppOrt,althoughtheyhadthegreatestpartofEuropetoassistthem。
  ThebraveryoftheBritishnationwasillsupportedwithmoney,thesinewsofwar。
  Thecoinsoonaftertherevolutionfellintothegreatestdisorder,whichsentitaway;noexpedientwasfoundtosupplyitsplacefortheusesofdomesticcirculation;and,consequently,thefixedrevenuecouldnotbepaid,norindustrycarriedon。
  Thepeoplewereunaccustomedtotaxes,tunnageandpoundage,thebranchwithwhichtheywerebestacquainted,andwhichtheyborewiththeleastmurmuring,becauseitwaslittlefeltbyindividuals,togetherwiththeexciseuponbeerandale,thehearthmoney,theposthouse,andwine-licences,composedthewholeofthepermanentrevenueofthestate,andamountedtoaboutonemillionandahalfsterling:besideswhich,theparliamenthadgrantednewcustomsalltoceasebefore1690totheamountofabouthalfamillionmore,uponwines,tobacco,sugar,andFrenchlinnen。Thiswasthestateoftherevenueattherevolution。
  OnewouldimaginethatEngland,undersosmallaburthen,mighthavebeenabletomakethegreatestefforts。
  WerewenowtograpplewithFrance,undersuchcircumstances,whatsanguinehopesshouldwenotformofsuccess!Thecaseturnedoutwidelydifferent:thefirstbenefitthenationexpectedinconsequenceoftheirlibertyrestored,wasanabolitionofthehearthmoney;ataxwhichraisedoverthewholekingdom,245,000l。Thiswasconsideredasaninsupportableburthen。
  SuchsentimentsanddispositionsintheEnglishnation,mighthavebeenasufficientindicationofwhatwastobeexpectedfromthewar;theconsequencesofwhichhad,before1695,producedthefollowingchangesintherevenue。
  Thetunnageandpoundage,whichattherevolutionproduced600,000l。wasbythistimereducedto286,687l。
  Theexciseuponbeerandale,from666,383l。wasreducedto391,275l。
  Thehearthmoneywasabolished。
  Thepost-house,from65,000l。wasreducedto63,517l。
  Thewine-licences,from10,000l。to5000l。
  Thetemporarycustomswhichsubsistedattherevolution,werenowexpired,andhadbeeneithercontinuedbynewgrants,orbyothersofthesamenatureintroducedintheirstead。Theformerhadproduced415,472l。thenewproduced373,839l。
  Thelastandmostimportantgrantofall,wasanadditionalexciseuponbeerandale,whichproduced450,000l。
  Therevenueattherevolutionproduced,clearofallcharges,2,001,855l。sterling。Arevenueestablishedatprettymuchthesamerate,andnearlyonthesameobjects,withanadditionofanewexcise,whichproduced450,000l。producednetin1694,nomorethan1,570,318l。sothat,deductingthenewexcise,theoldrevenuewasdiminishedinitsproduce,nolessthan1,081,527l。
  oraboveonehalf,infiveyearstime。
  InacountrylikeEngland,atthattime,taxeswereoflittleusetothestate,andwereanexcessiveburthenonthepeople。
  Whatcouldtheybepaidoutof?Notoutofthevalueinthehandsofthepeople;becausetherewasnowayprovidedforturningthisvalueintomoney。Thewholeofthemoneycoinedbeforetheendofthewarin1697,didnotamountto81/2
  millions。Itwasnottobeexpectedthatduringthewar,foreigncoinwastocomein,exceptinconsequenceofborrowing;andwemaybeverycertain,thatallthatwasborrowed,andagreatpartofwhathadbeencoinedathome,hadgoneoutfromtheyear1695
  to1697。underthesecircumstances,theexchequerissuedtalliesofwood,anotablyexpedientforfacilitatingcirculation!AndthebankofEnglandlentnotonefarthinguponmortgage。allthatwaspossibletoberaisedonthelandandonthepeople,bypound-rate,assessment,andpoll-tax,wasimposed。
  Nowletusrecallourprinciplesconcerningcirculation,alienation,andbankinguponmortgage,andcombinethesewithwhatwehavesofrequentlyrepeated,andIthinkdemonstrated,viz。thatinproportiontotheextentofalienation,andthedemandsformoney,acirculatingequivalentshouldbeprovided,soastobereadyatthehandofeverypersonwhohaspropertytopledgeforit;andthendecidewhetheritwasanywonderthatcreditinEnglandshouldhavebeenatsolowanebbatthepeaceofRyswick;thattaxesshouldhavediminishedintheirproduce;
  thatinterestshouldhaverisentosuchanextravagantheight;
  thatthepeopleshouldhavegroanedunderaloadfromwhichtheycouldnotrelievethemselves。
  Undersuchcircumstances,Englandappearstomeinthelightofadumbmanputtothetortureinordertoextortaconfession。
  Wereeightorninemillionssterlingincoin,andafewwoodensticks,thetallies,constantlysoldatagreatdiscount,acirculatingvaluesufficienttosupplytheexigenciesofastatewhichwasspendingannuallyattherateoffiveorsixmillions?
  Theconsequenceofthistotaldrainofmoney,was,thatpeoplecouldneitherconsumeexciseablecommodities,orpaythetaxeslaidupontheirpersonsandsolidproperty。
  Theexcisesfailed,becausethebodyofthepeople,whopaidthem,wereinterruptedintheirindustry,forwantofmoneytocarryonalienation。Thosewhowereliabletothearbitraryimpositions,suchasthelandlords,couldnotpay;becausewhattheyhad,theirland,couldnotbegiveninpayment。
  FromwhatIhaveherelaidtogether,wemaydetermine,thatasalienationsamongindividualscannotexceedtheproportionofthecirculatingequivalentofacountry,soastatesmanwhenheintendssuddenlytoaugmentthetaxesofhispeople,withoutinterruptingtheirindustry,whichthenbecomesstillmorenecessarythanever,shouldaugmentthecirculatingequivalentinproportiontotheadditionaldemandforit。
  This,accordingtomynotions,cannotbesowellcompassedas,1。byestablishingbanksofcirculationuponmortgage:2。byrelievingthosecompaniesoftheloadofpayingforeignbalancesbygivingbillsatpar,oratasmallexchange:and3。byprovidingfundsabroadforthepaymentofthem,accordingtotheprinciplesabovededuced。
  Suchexpedientswillworktheireffect,inanationwherethepublicfaithstandsuponthesolidsecurityofanhonestparliament,anduponthatresponsibilitywhichisfixeduponthosewhoaretrustedwiththeexertionsoftheroyalauthority。
  IthinkImayillustratethisoperationbyasimile。
  Agentlemanchoosestoformacascadeofthewaterwhichservestoturnhiscorn-mill;consequently,themillstops;butinitsstead,heimmediatelyerectsanotherwhichturnswiththewind。Coinisthewater,bankpaperisthewind,andbothareequallywellcalculatedfortheusetheyareputto。
  Chap。V
  OfthePresentStateofPublicCreditinGreatBritainWehave,inapreceedingchapter,givenageneralviewofthestateofpubliccreditinEngland,attheendofthelastcentury。Inthis,Ishallbrieflyrunthroughthemostremarkablerevolutions,bothinsentimentsandevents,whichhavesucceededsincethattime。
  AttherevolutiontherevenueofEnglandwasabouttwomillionsterling,affectedbytwodebts。Thefirstwascalledthebankersdebt,contractedbyCharlesIIand,byletterspatent,chargeduponhishereditaryexcise,totheamountofupwardsof1,300,000l。Thisdebtwasarbitrarilyreducedtoonehalf,inthelastyearsofKingWilliam,andputat6percentperpetualannuity,tocommencenosoonerthan1706。Theotherwasadebtof60,000l。duetothatPrince’sservants,neglectedtobepaidbyhissuccessor,anddischargedaftertherevolution。
  AtthepeaceofRyswick,thenationaldebtamountedtoabout20millions。Thebranchesoftaxessubsistingattherevolution,andcontinuedtillthen,producednomorethanabout800,000l。;
  butbyadditionaltaxeslaidoninthereignofKingWilliam,thewholerevenueextendedto3,355,499l。ofwhichaboveonemillionwastoceasebefore1700,ashasbeensaid。Thisreducedtherevenue,atthebeginningofQueenAnne’sreign,tonearlywhatithadbeenattherevolution:outofwhichifwededucttheinterestofthenationaldebtthensubsisting,andtheexpenceofthecivillist,weshalldiscovertheextentofthefundspreparedforengaginginthewarwithFrance;andthenbycomparingthestateofthenationatheraccession,withwhatitwasatherdeath,weshallformageneralnotionoftheprogressofcreditatthatperiod。
  TherevenueofEnglandattheaccessionofQueenAnnemaybestatedatabout——2,272,000
  Thedebtssubsistingonthe31stofDecember1701,were——6,748,780
  Uponwhichtheannualinterestwas——566,165
  QueenAnne’scivillist——600,000
  Whichtwosumsamountingto——1,166,165
  Beingdeductedfromtherevenue,therewillremainforthecurrentserviceofthestate——1,105,835
  WhattheexactamountoftherevenueofEnglandwasatthedeathoftheQueen,Icannotjustlysay。Butasitmaybecomprehendedunderthethreegeneralbranchesofcustoms,excises,andotherinlandduties,wemayformaguessatit,thoughimperfectly,Iallow,fromthenumberofarticlesineach。
  Atheraccession,thecustomscomprehendedfifteenarticles;
  atherdeath,theyamountedtothirty-seven:atheraccession,theexcisescomprehendedtenarticles;atherdeath,theyamountedtotwenty-seven:atheraccession,theotherinlanddutiescomprehendedeightarticles;atherdeath,theyamountedtosixteen,includingthelandtax,thenbecomeinamannerperpetual,althoughlaidonfromyeartoyear。
  Atheraccession,thepublicdebtsamountedasabovetonearsevenmillions,atherdeaththeyexceededfiftymillions。
  Infourteenyears,fromtherevolutiontoheraccession,themoneygrantedbyparliament,partlyraisedonthesubject,andpartlyborrowed,ortakencreditfor,accordingtothecustomofthetimes,amountedtoabovefifty-fivemillions。Duringthe13
  yearsofQueenAnne,themoneygrantedbyparliamentraisedonthesubject,orborrowedasabove,amountedtoupwardsof80
  millions。
  BythisgeneralsketchIdonotmeantoenterintoexactdetails:factsmustbesoughtforinbookswhichtreatoffacts:
  ourchiefobjectistoexaminetheprinciplesuponwhichthepubliccreditwassupported,lettheexactsumofmoneyraisedbewhatitwill。
  TheexpencesoftheFrenchwarfirstengagedthenationtorevivethosetaxeswhichhadbeensuppressed;andtoimposemanyothersforaconsiderablenumberofyears,inproportiontothemoneyborroweduponthem,accordingtotheprinciplesoftheformerreign。
  In1702,interestwassolow,thatgovernmentgotmoneyat5
  percent。Itcontinuedsotill1704,whensomeloansbegantobemadeat6percentandatthisrateitstoodduringthewar。
  Butin1706,theexigenciesofgovernmentwerefargreaterthanwhatallthemoneytobeborrowed,orraisedonthesubject,couldsupply。Thisopenedadoortotheabuseofpayingthegrowingdeficienciesuponthetaxeswithexchequerbills,chargeableondistantfunds。Thesefellconstantlytogreatdiscount;andtheunhappyservantsofthestate,whoreceivedtheminpayment,wereobligedtodisposeofthemtopeoplewhocouldwaitforanusuriousreimbursementbyparliament。
  Whentheseexchequerbillshadoncegotintothehandsofthemoniedpeople,theyhadinterestwithgovernmenttoengagethebanktocirculatethemat6percentinterest:butasthefundsuponwhichtheyweresecuredhappenedatthattime,1706,tobeengagedfordischargingdebtspreviouslycontracted,thebank,duringthatinterval,couldreceivenopaymentofthisinterestof6percentsotheexpedientfallenupon,wastopaythebankcompoundinterestforallthetalliesandbillstheyweretodiscount,untilthefundsappropriatedshouldberelieved。
  Thisexpedient,badasitwas,andburdensometothestateinthehighestdegree,provedofinfiniteservice,bothinestablishingthecreditofexchequerbills,andrelievingthosewhoreceivedpaymentinthem。
  Thisoperationwasquitesimilartothoseofbanksofcirculationuponmortgage。ThebankofEnglandwashereemployedinconvertingintomoneyexchequerbills,secureduponthefaithofgovernment。Banksuponmortgageconvertintomoneythepropertyofindividualsuponprivatesecurity。Had,therefore,banksuponmortgagebeenestablishedinEnglandatthistime,allthosewhohadpropertywouldhavegotcreditsfromthem,andwouldhavebeenenabledtherebytopaytheirtaxes,andcarryontheirindustry,withoutdiminishingtheirconsumption。Theexchequerwouldthenhavehadnooccasiontoissuediscreditedbillsandtalliesformakingupdeficiencies;becausetaxeswouldhavebeenproductive,andthestatewouldhavebeenrelievedofthisexcessiveburdenofinterestat6percentaccumulatedquarterlyinfavourofthebank。
  Whatextraordinaryprofitmusthaveaccruedtothebankbythisoperation,everyonemustperceive。Theywerenothereprocuringfundstolendatagreatexpence;alltheydidwastoaugmentthequantityoftheirpaperupongovernmentsecurity;
  whichtheyknewwellwouldremaincurrentinthecommoncircleofpaymentswithinthecountry;andthepublicborrowingsweresufficienttofurnishcreditforthesumssentoutofthecountry。Inthisviewwemayconclude,thatalmostthewholeaccumulatedinterestpaid,becameapureprofittothebank,aswellasagreataugmentationofthenationaldebt。
  Thisoperationofthebankin1706,didnotpreventsubsequentdeficiencies,inthepaymentofthenavy,army,ordnance,andofmanyotherarticles。In1710,theyamountedtoaboveninemillionssterling。Thiswastoogreatasumtobeborrowed;andthebankdurstnotventuretodiscountmorethanwhatdomesticcirculationcouldsupport:sothatafterthisgreatdebthadcirculateduponthediscreditedobligationswhichhadbeenissuedforit,andinthiswayhadfallenagainintothehandsofmoniedpeople,at30and40percentbelowpar,thenewproprietorsofitwereallincorporatedintoonegreatcompany,withagovernoranddirectors,whogot6percentforthewholecapital,withanallowanceof8000l。ayearforchargesofmanagement。
  Thusalltheoriginalcreditorsforthesedeficiencieslostthediscount;themoniedpeoplegainedit,andthepublicpaidforall。
  Whencreditisinthislanguidstate,everyexpenceofgovernmentmustriseinproportiontothediscreditofthepaperwithwhichtheypay,tillatlastthewholesum,withinterest,accumulation,andexpence,fallsuponthestate,asifeveryfarthingofithadbeenfrugallyexpendedinreadymoney。
  ThisisageneralviewofthestateofcreditinQueenAnne’sreign。
  Governmenthadnot,asintheformerwar,theinconveniencesflowingfromthedisorderinthecointocombatwith。Thesecontributedmorethananyothercircumstance,toraisethecapitalofthedebtsatthepeaceofRyswick。Circulation,too,wasconsiderablyaugmented,inconsequenceoftheincreaseoftaxes,publicdebts,andtheoperationofthebankincirculatingexchequerbillsandtallies。Yetmoneywasstillscarce,incomparisonofwhatitnighthavebeen,hadpropermethodsbeencontrivedtopreserveituponalevelwiththeoccasionsforit。
  Theincorporation,also,ofninemillionscapitalinthehandsofacorporation,whichafterwardswascalledtheSouthSeaCompany,wasanassistancetopubliccredit,byincreasingamoniedinterest,theprincipalviewofwhichwastofillthegovernmentloans,onthelucrativeconditionsofferedforthem。
  Andlastofall,thestrictlyadheringtothepublicfaithofengagements,withoutseeking,byactsofpower,toindemnifythestateforthelossesithadbeenobligedtoincur,fromthecircumstancesofthetimes,laidthesolidbasisofnationalcreditforthefuture。
  Althoughthemanytaxesaddedtotheformerrevenue,didnotincreaseitinanyproportiontotheloadlaiduponthesubjectduringthiswar,theyserved,however,asagoodfoundationforimprovement,assoonastheeffectsofpeacerestoredthemtotheirfullproduction。Butthesecuritiesaffectingthesetaxeshavingbecomeeveryyeargreater,governmentwasobligedtoengagecertainfundsforthirty-twoyearstocome,andsometimeslonger;andmanybranchesoftaxes,whichformerlyhadbeengrantedforshortterms,werethenmadeperpetual。AfterthepeaceofUtrecht,theexpencesofthestateweregreatlydiminished,andmoneybegantoregorge:sothatintheyear1716,thefirstfoundationofthesinkingfundwaslaid,byopeningasubscriptionforpayingoffabouttenorelevenmillionssterling,atthattime,chargeduponseveralbranchesoftaxes,theproduceofwhichamountedannuallyto724,849l。sterling。
  Theproprietorsofthesedebtswereallowedtosubscribeintothisnewfund,ataninterestof5percentredeemablebyparliament:andincasethewholesubscriptionshouldnotfillatthatrate,thebankandSouthSeacompanybecameboundtomakeitup,uponreceivingalikeannuityinproportiontotheirsubscriptions。
  Thebankers’debt,ofwhichwehavespoken,theonlypublicdebtowingattherevolution,madepartofthosewhichweretobesubscribedfor。
  Thetaxeswhichhadbeenappropriatedforthedischargeofthosecapitals,fromtemporary,weremadeperpetual;withaclauseadded,thatwhenthesurplusofthefund,afterpaymentoftheinterest,haddischargedthecapitalsofallthenationaldebtduethe25thofDecemberinthatyear,thewholeproduceofthefunditselfshouldremainatthedisposalofparliament。