Chap。XXIII
OfthefirstEstablishmentofMrLaw’sBankinFrance,intheyear1716
Indeducingtheprinciplesofcredit,Ihaveitchieflyinview,tosetinafairlight,thesecurityuponwhichpapermoneyisestablished:andasIimagine,thisimportantbranchofmysubjectwillstillberenderedmoreintelligible,byanexampleoftheabusetowhichthisgreatengineofcommerceisexposed,I
nowproposetogivemyreaderashortaccountofthefamousbankofcirculationfirstestablishedinFrancebyMrLaw;butafterwardsprostitutedwhetherbydesign,orbyfatality,I
shallnotheredeterminetoservetheworstofpurposes;
defraudingthecreditorsofthestate,andamultitudeofprivatepersons。
Sodreadfulacalamitybroughtuponthatnation,bytheabuseofpapercredit,maybeawarningtoallstatestobewareofthelike。Thebestwaytoguardagainstit,istobeapprisedofthedelusionofit,andtoseethroughthespringsandmotivesbywhichtheMissisippibankwasconducted。
AfterthedeathofthelateKingofFrance,LouisXIV,thedebtscontractedbythatMonarchwerefoundtoextendto2000
millionsoflivres,thatis,toupwardsof140millionssterling。
ItwasproposedtotheDukeofOrleans,regentofthekingdom,toexpungethedebtsbyatotalbankruptcy。Thisproposalherejectednobly;and,insteadofit,establishedacommissioncalledtheVisatoinquireintotheclaimsofsuchofthenation’screditorsaswerenotthenproperlyliquidated,norsecuredbytheappropriationofanyfundforthepaymentoftheinterest。
Inthecourseofthiscommission,manyexorbitantfraudswerediscovered;bywhichitappeared,thatvastsumsofdebthadbeencontracted,fornoadequatevaluepaidtotheKing。
Aftermanyarbitraryproceedings,thiscommissionthrewtheKing’sdebts,atlast,intoakindoforder。
Thoseformerlyprovidedforwereallputat4percent。Thecreditorstotheamountofsixhundredmillions,whichhadnotbeenliquidated,norprovidedfor,hadtheirclaimsreduced,bythecommission,totwohundredandfiftymillions。forwhichtheyobtainednotesofstate,Billetsd’閠at,astheywerecalled,
bearinganinterestof4percentalso。
Theseoperationsperformed,thetotaldebtsofthelateKingwerereducedtothesumabovementioned;towit,twothousandmillions;bearinganinterestof4percentoreightymillionperannum。
Fromthenecessitiesofgovernment,andthedistressedsituationofthekingdom,thisinterestwasillpaid;andtherehardlyremained,outofanill-paidrevenue,wherewithtodefraytheexpenceofthecivilgovernment。
Aboutthistime,MrLawpresentedtotheRegenttheplanofabankofcirculation。
Chap。XXV
ContinuationoftheAccountofLaw’sBankThebankaccordinglywasestablishedinfavourofLawandCompany,byletterspatent,ofthe2ndofMay1716。TheCompanywascalled,theGeneralBank;andthenoterunthus:
Thebankpromisestopaytothebeareratsightlivres,incoinofthesameweightandfinenesswiththecoinofthisday,valuereceivedatParis。
Thefirstfundofthisbankconsistedin1200actionsorsharesofonethousandcrownsor5000livresbankmoney;inallsixmillions;thecrownbeingthen5livres,8tothemarc;
silvercoinat40livrespermarc,ashasbeensaid:whichmakesthislivrejustworthoneshillingsterling:consequently,theshareswereworth250l。sterling,andthebankstockworth300,000l。sterling。
Bytheclauseinthenote,bywhichthebankwasobligedtopayaccordingtothethenweightandfinenessofthecoin,thosewhoreceivedtheirpaperweresecuredagainstthearbitrarymeasurescommoninFranceofraisingthedenominationofthecoin;andthebankwassecuredagainsttheloweringofit。Inashorttime,mostpeoplepreferredthenotestothecoin;andaccordinglytheypassedfor1percentmorethanthecoinitself。
Thisbanksubsisted,andobtainedgreatcredit,untilthe1stofJanuary1719:atwhichtimetheKingreimbursedalltheproprietorsoftheshares,andtookthebankintohisownhand,underthenameoftheRoyalBank。
Uponthisrevolution,thetenorofthenotewaschanged。Itranthus:Thebankpromisestopaytothebeareratsight,livres,insilvercoin,valuereceivedatParis。
Bythisalteration,themoneyinthenoteswasmadetokeeppacewiththemoneyinthecoin;andbothwereequallyaffectedbyeveryarbitraryvariationuponit。Thiswascalledrenderingthepapermonnoiefixe;becausethedenominationscontainedinitdidnotvaryaccordingtothevariationsofthecoin:Ishouldhavecalleditmonnoievariable;becauseitwasexposedtochangeswithrespecttoitsrealvalue。
MrLawstrenuouslyopposedthischangeinthebanknotes。Nowonder!itwasdiametricallyoppositetoallprinciplesofcredit。Ittookplace,however;andnobodyseemeddissatisfied:
thenationwasratherpleased:sofamiliarwerethevariationsofthecoininthosedaysthatnobodyeverconsideredanythingwithregardtocoinormoney,butitsdenomination:theconsequencesofthevariationsinthevalueofdenominations,upontheaccomptsbetweendebtorsandcreditors,werenotthenattendedto;andthecreditofthenotesoftheroyalbankcontinuedjustasgoodasthecreditofthoseofMrLaw’shadbeen;althoughthelivresinthiscontainedadeterminatevalue;andthelivresinthatcouldhavebeenreducedatanytimetothevalueofhalfpence,byanactoftheKing’sauthority,whowasthedebtorinthem。Naymore,theyinfactstoodmanyvariationsduringthecourseofthesystem,withoutsufferingthesmallestdiscredit。
Thisappearswonderful;andyetitisafact。5*
PoliticalwritersupontheaffairsofFranceatthisperiod,suchasDeMelon,Savarie,Dutotandothers,abundantlycertifytheincredibleadvantageproducedbytheoperationsofMrLaw’sBank;andthechainofeventswhichfollowed,intheyears1719,and1720,whenitwasintheKing’shands,shewtowhataprodigiousheightcreditaroseuponthefirmfoundationlaidbyMrLaw。6*
Butalas!thesuperstructure,then,becamesofarbeyondtheproportionofthefoundation,thatthewholefabricfelltoruin,andinvolvedanation,justemergingfrombankruptcyandruin,intonewcalamities,almostequaltotheformer。
Aslongasthecreditofthisbanksubsisted,itappearedtotheFrenchtobeperfectlysolid。Thebubblenosoonerbursted,thanthewholenationwasthrownintoastonishmentandconsternation。Nobodycouldconceivefromwhencethecredithadsprung;whathadcreatedsuchmountainsofwealthinsoshortatime;andbywhatwitchcraftandfascinationithadbeenmadetodisappearinaninstant,intheshortperiodofoneday。
VolumeshavebeensincewritteninFrance,bymenofspeculation,inordertoprove,thatitwasawantofconfidenceinthepublic,andnotthewantofapropersecurityforthepaper,whichoccasionedthisdownfal。
This,ifwejudgebywhathasbeenwritten,hasbeenthegeneralopinionofthatnationtothisday:andsinceitwasfoundimpossible,inFrance,tocreateconfidenceincirculatingpaper,whichhadnosecurityforitsvalue,manypeoplethere,andsomeevenamongourselves,conclude,thatagreatpartofthewealthofGreatBritain,whichconsistsinpaper,wellsecured,isfalseandfictitious。
IshallnowproceedtosetbeforemyreaderthegreatlinesoftheroyalMissisippibankofFrance,fromthe1stofJanuary1719,tothetotaloverthrowofallcredit,uponthefatal21stdayofMay1720。Thiswasagoldendream,inwhichtheFrenchnation,andagreatpartofEuropewasplunged,fortheshortspaceof506days。
Chap。XXVI
AccountoftheRoyalMissisippiBankofFrance,establishedonPublicCreditInordertounravelthechaosofthisaffairinapropermanner,itwillnotbeamisstobeginbygivingthereaderanideaoftheplanwhichnaturallymightsuggestitselftotheregentofFrance,fromthehintofMrLaw’sbank。Bythehelpofthisclue,hewillbethebetterabletoconducthimselfthroughtheoperationsofthissystem,astheFrenchcallit。
TheRegentperceived,thatinconsequenceofthecreditofLaw’sbank,peoplegrewfondofpaper-money。Theconsequenceofthis,hesaw,wastobringagreatquantityofcoinintothebank。ThedebtsofFrancewereverygreat,being,ashasbeensaid,above2000millions。Thecoin,atthistime,inFrance,wasreckonedatabout1200millions,at60livresthemarc,or40
millionssterling。TheRegentthought,thatifhecoulddraweitherthewhole,oreventhegreatestpartofthis1200millionsofcoinintohisbank,andreplacetheuseofittothekingdom,byasmuchpaper,secureduponhisword,thatheshouldthenbeabletopayoff,withit,nearonehalfofallthedebtsofFrance:andbythusthrowingbackthecoinintocirculation,inpayingoffthedebts,thatitwouldreturnofitselfintothebank,inthecourseofpaymentsmadetothestate;thatcreditwouldbetherebysupported,asthebankwouldbeenabledtopayincointhenotesastheyhappenedtoreturn,inthecourseofdomesticcirculation。
Thiswasbothaplausibleandanhonestscheme,relativelytoaDukeofOrleans,whomwecannotsupposetohavebeenmasteroftheprinciplesofcredit;andverypracticableinacountrywheretherewassogreataquantityofcoinas40millionssterling,andawell-establishedcreditinthebank,whichpreventedallrunsuponitfromdiffidence。Nothingbutawrongbalanceoftradecouldhaveoccasionedanyrunforcoin;because,forthereasonalreadygiven,thepaperboreforthemostpartapremiumof1percentaboveit。
Accordingly,duringthewholeyear1719,thecreditoftheroyalbankwaswithoutsuspicion,althoughtheregenthad,bythelastdayofDecemberofthatyear,coinedofbankpaper,fornolessasumthan769millions,reckoningin59millionsofpaper,whichhadbeenformerlyissuedbythegeneralbankofLawandcompany;forwhichhehadgivenvaluetotheproprietors,whenhetookthebankintohisownhands,aswehavesaidabove。
Imusthereobserve,thatbythisplanoftheRegent,therewas,inonesense,akindofsecurityforthenotesissued。Sofarastheywereissuedforcoinbroughtinfromtheadvancedvalueofthepaper,thiscoinwasthesecurity:inthesecondplace,whenthecoinwaspaidawaytothecreditorsofthestate,theRegentwithdrewtheobligationswhichhadbeengrantedtothem;andalthoughIallowthattheKing’sownobligationwithdrawn,wasnosecuritytothepublic,whohadreceivedbanknotesforthepaymentofit;yetstilltheinterestformerlypaidtothecreditors,wasafundoutofwhich,upontheprinciplesofpubliccredit,theannualinterestforthenoteswassecured。
Had,indeed,theFrenchnationperceiveduponwhatbottomthesecurityforthepaperstood,duringtheyear1719,perhapsthecreditofthebankmighthavebeenrenderedprecarious;buttheyneithersawitorsoughtafterit:andthemenofspeculationwereallofopinion,thataslongastherewasnomorepaperissuedbythebankthantherewascoininthekingdom,therecouldbenoharmdone。Ofthis,anypersonwhohasreadDutot,DeMelon,Savarie,andothers,willbeperfectlysatisfied。AndI
desirenofartherproofofthetotalignoranceoftheFrenchinmattersofthiskind,thantofindthemagreeing,thatbankpapermustalwaysbegood,providedtherebecoininthenationtorealizeit,althoughthatcoinbenotthepropertyofthebank。
Dutot,p。132,133。Onthecontrary,itisveryevidentfromwhathasbeensaid,thatalthoughthereshouldbeathousandtimesmorecoininacountrythanthebankpaper,stillthatbankpapermustbeameredelusion,and,infact,ofnovaluewhatsoever,exceptsofarasthebankispossessedofthevalueofitinonespeciesofpropertyoranother。
Andontheotherhand,letthebankpaperexceedthequantityofcoinintheproportionofathousandtoone,yetstillitisperfectlygoodandsufficient,providedthebankbepossessedofanequivalentvalueinanyspeciesofgoodproperty。ThisIthrowinheretopointouthowfartheFrenchwere,atleastatthattime,andmanyyearsafter,whenDutotandMelonwrote,fromforminganyjustnotionoftheprinciplesofbanking。And,I
believe,Imayventuretosay,thattheonlyreasonwhybankshaveneverbeenestablishedinFrance,is,becausethewholeoperationisstillamysterytothem。IgroundthisconjectureuponanopinionofM。deMontesquieu,whothinksthatbanksareincompatible,withpuremonarchy;apropositionhewouldneverhaveadvanced,hadheunderstoodtheprinciplesuponwhichtheyareestablished。
Thenextremarkableandinterestingrevolutionmadeuponthisfamousbank,wasbythearretofFebruary22,1720;whichconstitutedtheunionoftheroyalbankwiththecompanyoftheIndies。
Bythisarret,theKingdeliveredtothatcompanythewholemanagementofthebankwithalltheprofitsmadebyhimsincethefirstofJanuary1719,andtobemadeintimetocome。
Notwithstandingthiscession,theKingremainedguaranteeforallthenotes,whichwerenottobecoinedwithoutanorderofcouncil:thecompanywastoberesponsibletotheKingatalltimesfortheiradministration;and,asasecurityfortheirgoodmanagement,theyengagedtolendtheKingnolessthansixteenhundredmillionsoflivres。
Hereistheaeraandbeginningofalltheconfusion。Fromthisloanproceededthedownfalofthewholesystem。
Chap。XXIX
ContinuationoftheAccountoftheRoyalBankofFrance,untilthetimethattheCompanyoftheIndiespromisedaDividendof200LivresperActionThesethingspremised,whatfollowswill,Ihope,beeasilyunderstood。
AssoonastheRegentofFranceperceivedthewonderfuleffectsproducedbyLaw’sbank,heimmediatelyresolvedtomakeuseofthatengine,forclearingtheKing’srevenueofapartoftheunsupportableloadof80millionsofyearlyinterest,due,thoughindeedveryirregularlypaid,tothecreditors。
Itwastocompassthisend,thathebestowedonLawthecompanyoftheWestIndies,andthefarmofthetobacco。
Toabsorb100millionsofthemostdiscreditedarticlesoftheKing’sdebts,200,000actionsorsharesofthiscompanywerecreated。Thesewereratedat500livreseach,andthesubscriptionfortheactionswasorderedtobepaidinbilletsd’閠at,somuchdiscreditedbyreasonofthebadpaymentoftheinterest,that500livres,nominalvalueinthesebillets,wouldnothavesolduponchangeforabove160or170livres。Inthesubscriptiontheyweretakenforthefullvalue。Astheseactionsbecamepartofthecompany’sstock,andastheinterestofthebilletswastobepaidtothecompanybytheKing,thiswaseffectuallyaloanfromthecompanytotheKingof100millionsat4percent。
Thenextstepwastopaytheinterestregularlytothecompany。Uponthistheactionswhichhadbeenboughtfor170
livres,realvalue,mountedtopar,thatis,to500livres。
Thiswasascribedtothewonderfuloperationsofthebank;
whereasitwaswhollyowingtotheregularpaymentoftheinterest。
InMayfollowing1719,theEastIndiacompanywasincorporatedwiththeWestIndiacompany:anditwasstipulatedthatthe200,000actionsformerlycreated,weretobeentitledtoacommonshareoftheprofitsofthejointtrade。
Butasthesaleofthefirst200,000actionshadproducednoliquidvaluewhichcouldbeturnedintotradehavingbeenpaidforinstatebillets,acreationof50,000newactionswasmadeinJune1719,andthesubscriptionopenedat550livrespayableineffectivecoin。
TheconfidenceofthepublicinMrLaw,wasatthistimesogreat,thattheymighthavesoldformuchmore:butitwasjudgedexpedienttolimitthesubscriptionstothissum;leavingthepriceoftheactionstoriseinthemarket,accordingtodemand,infavouroftheoriginalsubscribers。
Thismoneyamountingto27,500,000livresincoin,wastobeemployedinbuildingofships,andotherpreparationsforcarryingonthetrade。
Thehopesofthepublicweresomuchraisedbythefavourableappearanceofamostlucrativetrade,thatmoreactionsweregreedilydemanded。
AccordinglyinamonthafterJuly1719anothercreationwasmadeof50,000actions;andthepriceofthemfixedat1000
livres。
Itmustbeobserved,thatallactionsdeliveredbythecompanyoftheIndies,originallycontainedanobligationonthecompanyfornomorethan4percentuponthevalueof500livres,withaproportionoftheprofitsonthetrade;sothattheriseoftheactionsproceededentirelyfromthehopesofthosegreatprofits,andfromthesinkingoftherateofinterest;aconsequenceoftheplentyofmoneytobelent。
Butbesidesthetrade,whatraisedtheirvalueatthistime,was,thatjustbeforethelastcreationofactions,June10,1719,theKinghadmadeovertheminttothecompanyforaconsiderationof50millionsoflivres;andthisopenedanewbranchofprofittoeveryoneinterested。
Thesaleofthelastcoinedactionstakingplaceat1000
livreseach,sogreatariseseemstohaveengagedtheRegenttoextendhisviewsmuchfartherthanever。Tosaythatheforesawwhatwastohappen,wouldbedoinghimthegreatestinjustice。Heforesawitnot,mostcertainly;fornomancouldforeseesuchcomplicatedevents。Buthadheconductedhimselfuponsolidprinciples;orbytheruleswhich,wenowsay,commonhonestyrequired,hecertainlyneverwouldhavecountenancedthesubsequentoperation。
ThefourthcreationofactionswasinthebeginningofSeptember1719。
Intheintervalbetweenthethirdandthefourthcreation,theRegentmadeoverthegeneralfarmstothecompany,whopaidthreemillionsandahalfadvancedrentforthem。AndthecompanyobligedthemselvestolendtheKingincludingthe100millionsalreadylentuponthefirstcreationofactionstheimmensesumof1600millionsat3percentthatis,for48millionsinterest。
Nowitisveryplain,thatbeforethemonthofSeptember1719,itwasimpossibletheycouldlendtheKingsogreatasum。
Theyhadalreadylenthim,inSeptember1718,100millions,bytakingthebilletsd’閠atforthesubscriptionofthefirstcreationofactions;thesecondcreationhadproducedcoin,laidoutinmercantilepreparations;andthethirdcreationofactions,atthestandardvalue,wasworthnomorethan50
millionsoflivres:thiswastheirwholestock。Wherethencouldtheyfind1500millionsmoretolend?
Ithereforeconclude,thatatthistime,theschemewhichI
amnowtounfold,musthavemoreorless,takenplacebetweentheRegentandthisgreatcompany。
Thepublicwasabundantlypersuadedoftheprodigiousprofitsofthecompany,beforetheygotpossessionofthegeneralfarms。
Nosoonerhadtheygotthisnewsourceofrichesintotheirhands,thantheypromisedadividendofnolessthan200livresoneveryaction,whichwastentimesmorethanwasdividedonthemwhenatfirstcreated。
Theconsequenceofthiswas,thatsupposingthedividendtohavebeenpermanentandsecureanactionthenbecameaswellworth5000livresasatfirstitwasworth500livres;
accordinglyto5000diditrise,uponthepromiseofthisnewdividend。
Butwhatcouldbethemotiveofthecompanytopromisethisdividend,threemonthsonlyaftertheirestablishment?Surely,nottheprofitsuponatradewhichwasnotasyetopened。Surely,nottheprofitsupontheKing’sfarms;fortheseprofitsitwasgreatlytheirinteresttoconceal。
Theirviewslaydeeper。TheRegentperceivedthatthespiritofthenationwastoomuchinflamed,tosufferpeopletoenterintoanexaminationofthewonderfulphaenomenaarisingfromtheestablishmentofthebank,andcompanyoftheIndies。Ifthecompanypromised200livresdividend,thepublicconcludedthattheirprofitswouldenablethemtopayit;andreallyinthisparticularthepublicmightbeexcused。
Theplan,therefore,concertedbetweentheRegentandthecompanyseemstohavebeen,toraisetheactionstothisgreatvalue,inordertokeepupagreaterquantityofnotesincirculation。
Thiswastobeaccomplished,firstbytheRegent’spurchasingtheactionshimselffromthecompany;secondly,byborrowingbackthenoteshehadpaidforthem,inordertofilluptheloanwhichthecompanyhadagreedtomake;thirdly,topayoffallthepubliccreditorswiththosenotessoborrowedback;andfourthly,whenthenationwasoncefilledwithbankpaper,tosellatanadequateprice,theactionshehadpurchasedfromthecompany,towithdrawhisownpaper,andthentodestroyit。
BythisoperationthewholedebtsofFranceweretobeturnedintoactions;andthecompanywastobecomethepublicdebtor,insteadoftheKing,whowouldhavenomoretopaybut48
millionsofinteresttothecompany。
Bythisoperationalso,theRegentwastowithdrawallthebanknoteswhichhehadissuedfornoothervaluebutforthepaymentofdebts;whichnotesweredemandableatthebank:andforthefuture,hewastoissuenomoreIsupposebutforvaluepreserved。
Chap。XXX
InquiryintotheMotivesoftheDukeofOrleansinconcertingthePlanoftheMissisippiNowifweexaminethemotivesoftheRegent,withregardtothisplan,andsupposethatheforsawallthatwastohappeninconsequenceofit;andifwealsosupposethathereallybelievedthatthecompanynevercouldbeinasituationtomakegoodthedividendof200livres,whichtheyhadpromisedupontheiractions;inaword,ifweputtheworstinterpretationuponallhisactions,wemustconcludethatthewholewasamostconsummatepieceofknavery。
Butasthisdoesnotappearevidently,eitherbythesucceedingoperations,orultimateconsequencesofthisscheme,I
amlothtoascribe,tothatgreatman,asentimentsooppositetothatwhichanimatedhim,onhisentranceupontheregency,whenhenoblyrejectedtheplanproposedtohimforexpungingthedebtsaltogether。
Imaythereforesuppose,thathemightbelievethatthecompanytowhomhehadgiventhemint,thetobacco,thefarms,andthetradeofFrance,andtowhomhesoonaftergavethegeneralreceiptofalltherevenue,mightbythesemeansbeenabledtomakegoodtheirengagementstothepublic。Isay,thismaybesupposed;inwhichcasejusticewastobedonetoeveryone;andtheKing’sdebtsweretobereducedto48millionsayear,insteadof80millions。
Thatthisisasupposeablecase,IgatherfromDutot,whogivesusanenumerationoftherevenueofthecompany,Vol。I,p。
162,asfollows:
RevenueoftheCompanyoftheIndies。
Interestpaidtothecompanyperannum……48,000,000
Profitsuponthegeneralfarms……15,000,000
Dittouponthegeneralreceiptofothertaxes……1,500,000
Dittouponthetobacco……2,000,000
Dittouponthemint……4,000,000
Dittoupontheirtrade……10,000,000
Inallofyearlyincome……80,500,000
Nowifwesupposetheinterestofmoneyat3percentthissumwouldanswertothecapitalof2664millions,whichwasmorethanallthedebtsofthekingdom,forwhichtheyweretobecomeanswerable。
Uponthisviewofthematter,Isay,itwaspossible,thattheRegentmightformthisplan,withoutanyintentiontodefraudthecreditors;andmoreIdonotpretendtoaffirm。
Ihavesaidthathepurposelymadethecompanyraisethepriceoftheiractions,inordertodrawmorenotesintocirculation。
Tothisitmaybeobjected,thathemightaswellhavepaidoffthecreditorswithbanknotes,withoutgoingthisround-aboutwaytowork;andhaveleftthemtopurchasetheactionsdirectlyfromthecompany。
Ianswer,thatsuchanoperationwouldhaveappearedtoobarefacedandmighthaveendangeredthecreditofthebank。
Whereasinbuyingtheactions,whichweresoughtafterbyeverybody,thestateappeareddesirousonlyofacquiringashareofthevastprofitstobemadebythecompany。Farther:
Asthecompanyappearedwillingtoacceptofbanknotesfromthestate,inpaymentoftheiractions,thismanoeuvregaveanadditionalcreditbothtotheactions,andtothenotes;athingverynecessarytobeattendedto,inaschemewhichwascalculatedtobringaboutatotaltransformationofthesecurityfortheKing’sdebts。
Imusthoweverobserve,thatattheperiodconcerningwhichwearenowspeakingviz。atthetimethecompanypromisedthedividendof200livresperactiontheplanwehavebeendescribingcouldnothavebeencarriedintoexecution。
Therewereatthattimenomorethan400,000actionscreated,ratedat777millions:ofthesewerealreadydisposedofatleast250,000,towit,theoriginal200,000;andthesecondcreationof50,000,soldforcoin。Besides,therewerethenonlycoinedinbanknotesfor520millions。SotherewasnotapossibilityofexecutingtheplanIhavementioned,asmattersthenstood。
Itisfromthesubsequentoperationsofthesystem,thatitappearsevidentthatthisandthisonlycouldbetheintention。
Weshallseehowthenumberofactionsweremultiplied,withoutanyotherviewthantomakethepublicimagine,thatthefundsnecessaryforcarryingonthetradeofthecompanywereimmense。
Thenumberoftheactionssoldtothepublicwasveryinconsiderable,comparedwiththosesoldtotheRegent,andfoundinhishandsattheblowingupofthesystem。
Besides,attheperiodwhenthenumberofactionswascarriedtotheutmost,viz。to624,000,thebanknotesborenoproportiontotheirvalue;for,onthe4thofOctober1719,whenthelastcreationofactionswasmade,thebanknotesdidnotexceedthesumabovespecified,towit,520millions。
Butintracingtheprogressofthesystemuponthepreceedingtable,weperceive,thataftertheactionswereoncecarriedtotheirfullnumberOctober4th1719,thecoiningofbanknoteswentonatamostprodigiousrate:somuchthatbythemonthofMay1720,theywereincreasedfrom520millions,toabove2696
millions;andonthe21stofthatmonth,allthissum,except461
millions,werefoundincirculation。
Farther:Weshallsee,thatwhentheRegentandthecompanymadeouttheiraccompts,therewerefoundintheRegent’shandsnolessthan400,000actions,whichwereburnt;andinconsequenceofthis25millionsofinterestuponthesumofmoneyduebytheKingtothecompany,wereextinguished。
Thesefactsprovebeyondadoubt,thatthese400,000actionshadbeenboughtwiththenotescoinedposteriortothe4thofOctober1719;otherwisetheactionscouldnothavebecomethepropertyofthestate。
Besides,itwasacknowledgedpublicly,thatthenoteswerecoinedforthispurpose。SeeDutot,Vol。I,p。144。Inthenextplace,itisevident,thatthenoteswhichhadbeengivenbythestateinpaymentfortheseactions,musthavebeenpaidbacktothestate,bythecompany,inordertofilluptheloanof1600
millionsoflivres;whichthecompanynevercouldhaveotherwiselenttotheKing。Andinthelastplace,itiscertainthatthepublicdebtswerepaidoffwiththesenotes,soborrowedbackfromthecompany:becauseweshallfindthenotesincirculationattheblowingupofthesystem,onthe21stofMay1720;andweshallseehowtheywerepaidandwithdrawninOctoberfollowing。
Thisdetailis,Iconfess,alittlelong,andperhapstoominute:butIthoughtitnecessarytoprovethesolidityofmyconjecturesconcerningtheRegent’smotivesinconcertingthisplan;whichnoFrenchauthor,thateverIsaw,haspretendedtounfold,exceptbyhintstoodarktobeeasilycomprehended。
Whatisnowtofollow,willstillsetmyconjecturesinafairerlight。Wehaveseenalreadyfromthetable,withwhatrapiditythecreationofactionswentonfromthe13thofSeptembertothe4thofOctober1719。Nolessthan324,000werecreatedinthisinterval。
YetDutot,vol。ii,p。169,etseq。positivelysays,thatonthe4thofOctober,thecompanyhadnotsoldformorethan182,500,000livresoftheiractions。Nowthetotalvalue,astheywereratedwhencreated,extendedto1,797,500,000;sotherewaslittlemorethanonetenthpartofthevaluesoldoff。
Whythereforecreatesuchimmensequantitiesofactions,andsofarbeyondthedemandforthem,buttothrowdustintheeyesofthepublic;tokeepupthespiritofinfatuation;andtopavethewayforthefinalexecutionoftheplan?
Theactionsbeingbrought,byfoursuccessivecreations,ofthe13thand28thofSeptember,the2ndand4thofOctober,totheirfullnumber,thecompany,duringthisinterval,obtainedthegeneralreceiptofthewholerevenue。Thus,saysDutot,vol。
ii,p。197,thecompanywasintrustedwiththewholerevenue,debtsandexpensesofthestate,andallunnecessarychargewasavoidedincollectingandadministeringit。
InthemonthofNovember1719,thecreditofthebank,andofthecompany,wassogreat,thattheactionsroseto10,000
livres。Notwithstanding,saysDutot,vol。ii,p。198,thatthecompanydidwhattheycouldtokeepdowntheprice,bythrowingintothemarket,inoneweek,fornolessthan30millions。Heassignssevendifferentreasonsforthis,which,allputtogether,arenotworthone;towit,thattheRegentwasreadytobuyupeveryonethatlayuponhand,inconcertwiththecompany。
Ifthecompanyhadbeeninclinedtokeepdownthepriceoftheactions,theyhadnothingmoretodothantodeliverpartofthevastnumbertheystillhadunsold,atthestandardvalueof5000livres,atwhichtheywereratedwhencreated;andthiswouldhaveeffectuallypreventedtheirrisingto10,000livres。
ButitwastheinterestoftheRegent,whowasatthattimewellprovidedwithactions,tostock-job,andtobuywithonehand,whilehewassellingwiththeother:theseoperationswerethenaswellknowninthestreetcalledQuinquempoix,asnowinChange-alley。
Asaproofofthejustnessofmyallegation,thattheRegentwasdoingallhecouldtoraisethepriceoftheactions,Dutotinformsus,intheplaceabovecited,thatthebank,atthisverytime,waslendingmoney,uponthesecurityofactions,at2percent。Sincethiswasthecase,howwasitpossiblethatanaction,with200livresdividend,shouldsellforlessthan10,000livres,whichisthecapitalcorrespondingto200livres,at2percent?
Thisisevident;andwereitnecessary,itmaybeprovedtodemonstration,thattheriseoftheactionswasmerelytheconsequenceofapoliticalcontrivance。
Butifmoney,atthattime,cametobearnomorethan2percentandifthecompanywereabletoafford200livresupontheaction;wherewastheiniquityofraisingtheactionsto10,000
livres?IconfessIcanseenone,nordoIperceiveeithertheimpossibilityorimprobabilityofthetwopostulata,hadmattersbeenrightlyconducted。
Astomoney’sfallingto2percentanymanof20yearsoldmayexpecttoseeit,withoutaMissisippi:andasforthepaymentofthedividends,thereneverwereinthehandsofthepublic,norevercouldbe,hadallthecreditorsofthe2000
millionsofpublicdebtsinvestedinactionsat10,000a-piece,onehalfof624,000actionsdisposedof:consequently,the200
livresdividendwouldnothaveamounted,upon312,000actions,tomorethan62,400,000livres;andtherevenueofthecompany,aswehaveseen,exceeded80millionsayear。
ThisstilltendstojustifytheRegentfromthegrossimputationoffraud,intheconductoftheMissisippi。
ButwhatshouldstillmoreexculpatethisPrince,intheeyesofeveryimpartialmanwhoexaminesthewholeconductoftheaffair,istheuniformsentimentsofthemostintelligentmeninFranceconcerningthedoctrineofmoneyandcredit。
WhenwefindDutot,whowroteagainstthearbitrarychangeofthecoin;andDeMelon,theRegent’smanofconfidenceandsecretary,whowroteinfavourofit,twopersonsconsideredinFranceasmostablefinanciers,bothagreeing,thatduringtheoperationsofthesystem,moneyneverwastobeconsideredbutaccordingtodenominations;thattherewasnothingagainstgoodpolicyinchangingthevalueofthesedenominations;andthatpaper-money,whetherissuedforvalue,orfornovalue,orforthepaymentofdebts,wasalwaysgood,providedtherewascoinenoughinFranceforthechangingofit;andthis,althoughthecoinitselfdidnotbelongtothedebtorsinthepaper:whentheseprinciples,Isay,wereadoptedbythemenofpenetrationinFrance;whenwefindthempublishedintheirwritings,manyyearsaftertheRegent’sdeath,asmaximsofwhattheycalltheircreditpublic;IthinkitwouldbethehighestinjusticetoloadtheDukeofOrleanswiththegrossimputationofknavery,intheMissisippischeme。
Lawnodoubtsawitstendency。ButLawsawalso,thatcreditsupporteditselfonthoseoccasions,whereitstoodonthemostticklishbottom;hesawbanknotestotheamountofmorethantwothousandmillions,issuedinpaymentoftheKing’sdebts,withoutoccasioninganyrunuponthebank,orwithoutsuggestinganideatothepublicthatthebankshouldnaturallyhavehadsomefund,tomakethemgood:hesawpeople,whowereinpossessionofavalueinpaperexceeding6000millionsoflivres,60tothemarc,Dutot,vol。i,p。144。lookcalmandunconcerned,when,inoneday,thecoinwasraisedinitsdenominationto80livresinthemarc;bywhichoperation,the6000millionsofthedatebeforelost25percentoftheirrealvalue。Hesawthatthisoperationdidnotintheleastaffectthecreditofthebankpaper;becausepeoplemindednothingbutdenominations。
Hesawfarther,thatbytheoperationproposed,thewholedebtoftheKingwouldbetransferreduponthecompany。Hesawthatthesedebts,beingturnedintobanknotes,wouldnotbesufficienttobuyabove200,000actions,atthevaluetheythensoldfor。HeknewthattheRegent,whohadbought400,000oftheseactionsat5000livresapiece,thatis,athalfprice,wouldremaininpossessionof200,000actions,aftersellingenoughtodrawbackthewholeofthebanknotesissuedforthepaymentofthedebts;andhesawthatthecompanyoftheIndieshadayearlyincomeofabove80millionstoenablethemtomakegoodtheirengagements:besides,hesawapowerintheKingtoraisethedenominationsofthecoinatwill,withoutshockingtheideasofhispeople;bywhichmeanshemighthavepaidthe2000
millionswithonelouisd’or。Putallthesecircumstancestogether,andIcanimaginethatLaw’sbrainwasturned;thathehadlostsightofallhisprinciples;andthathemightbelievethathisformercommonsensewas,atthattime,becomeabsolutenonsenseinFrance。
Thatcommonsensemaybecomenonsense,isathingbynomeanspeculiartoFrance,butquitepeculiartoman。
Ishallofferbutoneargumentmore,toprovethattheDukeofOrleans,andLaw,couldhavenopremeditateddesignofdefraudingthepublic,bythesewonderfuloperations;whichis,thattosupposethecontrary,wouldbetoallowthemanfinitesuperiorityofunderstandingoveralltherestofEurope。
Untilthebubbleburstednobodycouldknowwhereitwastoend:everythingappearedveryextraordinaryindeed;andthefatalcatastrophemighthavebeenexpectedfromthegreatnessoftheundertaking,merely。Buthadtherebeenanyrogueryintheplanitself,itmusthaveappearedpalpablelongbefore;becausethewholeoftheoperationsinwhichonlyitcouldconsist,werepublic。
Allthenoteswerecreatedbypublicactofcouncil;soweretheactions:theloanof1600millionstotheKing,bythecompany,wasapublicdeed;sowasthealienationintheirfavour,of48millionsfortheinterestofthissum。Noteswereavowedlycoinedinordertopurchaseactions,Dutot,VolI,p。
144。thecreditorswereavowedlypaidwithbanknotes,atatimewhenitwasforbiddentohave500livresincoininanyperson’scustody;consequently,itwasalsoforbiddentodemandcoinforbanknotes。
NowallthiswasgoingoninthemonthsofFebruary,March,AprilandthebeginningofMay1720;withoutanysuspicionofanyfailureofcredit。Thecoinalsowassometimesraised,sometimesdiminishedinitsvalue,andstillthefabricstoodfirm。
Underthesecircumstances,tosaytherewasknavery,istosaythatalltheworldwereabsolutelyblockheads,excepttheRegentandJohnLaw:andtothisopinionInevercansubscribe。
ItmayseemsurprisingthatIshouldtakesomuchpainstojustifythetwoprincipalconductorsofthisscheme。Myintentionisnotsomuchtodojusticetotheirreputation,whichhasbeengrosslycalumniatedbymany,whohavewrittenthehistoryofthosetimes,astoprove,thatanill-concertedsystemofcreditmaybringruinonanation,althoughfraudbeoutofthequestion:andifanationbeplungedintoallthecalamitieswhichapublicbankruptcycanoccasion,itisbutasmallconsolationtobeassuredofthegoodintentionsofthosewhowerethecauseofit。
Chap。XXXI
ContinuationoftheAccountoftheRoyalBankofFrance,untilthetotalBankruptcyonthe21stofMay1720
Inowresumethethreadofmystory。WeleftoffatthatperiodwhenthecreditofthecompanyandofthebankwasinallitsgloryNovember1719;theactionssellingat10,000livres,dividend200livresayearperaction,andthebanklendingat2
percent:allthiswasquiteconsistentwiththethenrateofmoney。
Inthisstatedidmatterscontinueuntilthe22ndofFebruary1720,whenthebankwasincorporatedwiththecompanyoftheIndies。
TheKingstillcontinuedguaranteeofallthebanknotes;
noneweretobecoinedbutbyhisauthority:andthecomptroller-generalforthetimebeing,wastohave,atalltimes,togetherwiththePrevotdesmarchandsofParis,readyaccesstoinspectthebooksofthebank。
Astheintention,atthetimeoftheincorporation,wastocoinaverygreatquantityofnotes,inordertobuyuptheactions,andtoborrowbackthemoney,inordertopayoffthecreditors,itwaspropertogathertogetherasmuchcoinaspossible,toguardagainstarunuponthebank:forwhichpurpose,thefamousArretdeConseil,ofthe27thofFebruary1720,waspublished,forbiddinganypersontokeepbythemmorethan500livresincoin。
Thiswasplainlyannullingtheobligationinthebankpaper,topaytothebearerondemandthesumspecified,insilvercoin。
Wasitnotverynatural,thatsuchanarretshouldhave,atonce,putanendtothecreditofthebank?Nosuchthinghoweverhappened。Thecreditremainedsolidafterthisasbefore;andnobodymindedgoldorsilveranymorethanifthedenominationintheirpaperhadhadnorelationtothesemetals。Accordingly,many,whohadcoinandconfidence,broughtitin,andweregladtogetpaperforit。
Thecoinbeingcollectedinaboutaweek’stime,anotherArretdeConseil,ofthe5thofMarch,wasissued,risingthedenominationfrom60livresto80livresthemarc。Thus,I
suppose,thecoinwhichtheweekbeforehadbeentakeninat60
livres,waspaidawayat80:andthebankgained331/3perCent。
uponthisoperation。Didthishurtthecreditofthebankpaper?
Notintheleast。
Assoonasthecoinwaspaidaway,whichwasnotalongoperation,foritwasoverinlessthanaweek;anotherArretdeConseil,ofthe11thofthesamemonthofMarch,cameout,declaringthat,bythefirstofApril,thecoinwastobeagainreducedto70livresthemarc,andonthefirstofMayto65
livres。Uponthis,thecoin,whichhadbeenpaidawaytheweekbefore,camepouringintothebank,forfearofthediminutionwhichwastotakeplacethefirstofApril。Inthisperiodofaboutthreeweeks,thebankreceivedincoinabout44millionsoflivres;andthosewhobroughtitinthoughttheywerewellridofit。
ItwasduringthemonthsofFebruary,March,andApril1720,thatthegreatoperationsofthesystemwerecarriedon。
Wemayseebythechronologicalanecdotesinthe28thchapter,whatprodigioussumsofbanknoteswerecoined,andissuedduringthattime。Itwasduringthisperiodalso,thatafinalconclusionwasputtothereimbursingallthepubliccreditorswithbanknotes:inconsequenceofwhichpayment,theformersecuritiesgrantedtothembytheKing,undertheauthorityoftheparliamentofParis,werewithdrawnandannulled。
Herethenwehaveconductedthisschemetothelastperiod。
Thereremainedonlyonesteptobemadetoconcludetheoperation;towit,thesaleoftheactions,whichtheRegenthadinhiscustodytothenumberof400,000。
Theseweretobesoldtothepublic,whowereatthistimeinpossessionofbanknotestothevalueof2,235,083,590livres。
Seetheforegoingtable。
Hadthesaleoftheactionstakenplace,thenoteswouldallhavereturnedtothebank,andtherehavebeendestroyed:bywhichoperation,thecompanywouldhavebecomedebtortothepublicforthedividendsofalltheactionsintheirhands,andtotheKingforallthosewhichmighthaveremainedinthehandsoftheRegent。Theseproportionswecannotbringtoanycalculation,asitwouldhavedependedentirelyonthepriceoftheactionsduringsogreatanoperation;andontheprivateconventionsbetweentheparties,theRegentandthecompany。
Butalas!allthisisavainspeculation。Thesystem,whichhithertohadstooditsgroundinspiteofthemostviolentshocks,wasnowtotumbleintoruinfromachildishwhim。
Inordertosetthisstrokeofpoliticalarithmeticinthemostludicrouslightpossible,ImustdoitinDutot’sownwords,utteredwithasoreheartandinsobersadness。
Hehadsaidbefore,thatthecoinofFrancewasequalto1200
millionsoflivresat60livresthemarc。Thismarcwasnowat65
livresinMay1720,asabovesothenumeraryvalue,ashecallsit,thatisthedenomination,ofthecoinwasnowrisento1,300,000,000;butthebanknotescirculatinginthemonthofMaywerecarriedto2,696,400,000;thenheadds,’The1300millionsofcoinwhichwereinFrance,wereveryfarfrom2696millionsofnotes。Inthatcasethesumofnoteswastothesumofcoin,nearlyas22/27areto1;thatistosay,that207livres8sols17/8denierinnotes,wasonlyworth100livresincoin;orotherwise,thatabanknoteof100livreswasonlyworth48livres4sols5deniersincoin,orthereabouts。’WouldnotanymortalconcludefromthiscalculationofDutot’s,thatthewholesumof1300millionshadbeeninthebank,astheonlyfundforthepaymentofthepaper?
Thisisalabouredequation,andfromitwehaveaspecimenofthisgentleman’smethodofcalculatingthevalueofbankpaper:butletushearhimout。
’Thisprodigiousquantityofmoneyincirculation’,sayshe,’hadraisedthepriceofeverythingexcessively:soinordertobringdownprices,itwasjudgedmoreexpedienttodiminishthedenominationofthebanknotes,thantoraisethedenominationofthecoin;becausethatdiminishedthequantityofmoney,thisaugmentedit。’
Thiswasthegrandpointunderdeliberation,beforethefamousarretofthe21stofMaywasgiven,viz。whetheritwerebettertoraisethevalueofthecoin,whichdidnotbelongtothebank,buttotheFrenchnation,todoublethedenominationitboreatthistime,thatis,to130livresthemarc,bywhichmeansthe1300millionswouldhavemade2600millions,ortoreducethe2600millionsofbanknotestoonehalf,thatis,to1300millions,thetotaldenominationofthecoin。
Tosomepeopleitwouldhaveappearedmorerationaltorejectboththealternatives,andtoallowmatterstostandastheywere,aslongastheywouldstand,atleastuntiltheactionshadbeenallsoldoff;butthiswasnotthoughtproper。Afteramostlearneddeliberation,itwasresolvedtoreducetoonehalf,thedenominationofallthepaperofFrance,banknotesaswellasactions,insteadofraisingthedenominationofthecoin;andthisbecausethepricesofcommoditiesweresupposedtobeinproportiontothequantityofthedenominationsofmoney。
Thearretwasnosoonerpublishedthanthewholepaperfabricfelltonothing。Thedayfollowing,the22ndofMay,amanmighthavestarvedwithahundredmillionsofpaperinhispocket。
Thiswasacatastrophethelikeofwhich,Ibelieve,neverhappened:itissoridiculousthatitisasubjectfitonlyforafarce。
HereDutot’slamentationsandregretsareinimitable。
Inoneplacehesays,’Creditwastoofarfetchedtobesolid。Itwasthereforepropertosacrificeonepart,togiveasoliditYtotheother。Eventhiswasdone;buttheconsequencesdidnotcorrespondtotheintention。Confidence,whichisthesoulofcredit,eclipseditself,andthelossofthebanknote,drewonthelossoftheaction。’
Inanotherplacehesays,’Thisarretofthe21stofMay,whichaccordingtosomeblessoitl’閝uit*,’averymildexpression!’destroyedallconfidenceinthepublic;becausetheKinghaddiminishedonehalfofthatpapermoneythebanknotes
whichhadbeendeclaredfixed。’
Isitnotathousandpitiesthatconfidenceshouldhavedisappeareduponsoslightawoundgiventoequity,onlyintheopinionofsome?ForDutotthoughttheoperationperfectlyconsistentwiththeprinciplesofpubliccredit。
Hetellsus,thataletterwaswrittentocalmthemindsofthepeople,andtoshewthemhowabsurditwas,toallowthepapertobefixed,whilethecoinvaried;but,sayshe,’astherewasarevenueattachedtotheaction,thevalueofthatpaperdidnotdependsomuchuponthecapital,asonthesumoftheinterest。’Veryjust。Butwerethedividendstostandat200
livres,withoutsufferingthesamediminutionastheaction?Andhowwasconfidencetosubsistinacounty,wherethedenominationsofboththepaperandthecoinwereatthedisposalofaminister?
Thediminutionuponthepaper,bythearretofthe21stofMay,raisedamostterribleclamour;andLawbecametheexecrationofFrance,insteadofbeingconsideredasitssaviour。
Hewasbanished,andreducedtobeggarythesameday。
WhatprofitcouldeithertheRegent,orLaw,havereapedfromthesuccessofsuchanoperation?Hadthecoinbeenraisedto130
livresthemarc,nohurtwouldprobablyhaveensued,andthesameeffectwouldhavebeenproduced。
Hadmattersbeenleftwithoutanychangeatall,nobadconsequenceswouldhavefollowed:theseexistedonlyintheheadsoftheFrenchtheorists。Therewas,indeed,twiceasmuchmoneyinbanknotesasincoin,inthewholekingdomofFrance:andwhatthen?
WhentheRegentsawthefataleffectsofhisarretofthe21stofMay,herevokeditonthe27thofthesamemonth。Onthe29th,heraisedthecointo82livres10solsinthemarc,andre-establishedallthepaperatitsformerdenomination:but,asDutothassaid,confidencewasgone,andwasnomoretoberecalled。Nothingsurprisesme,butthatshelivedsolongundersuchroughmanagement。
Dutot,intalkingofthisaugmentationofthecoin,onthe29thofMay,to82livres10sols,says,’Thisoperationwasconsistentwiththeprinciplesofpubliccredit,andadvantageous。Theywouldhavedonebetterhadtheypushedtheaugmentationto135livresthemarc;whichwouldhavemadethespecieofFranceequaltothesumofbanknotes。’Thesearehiswords,p。165。
Arenottheseverysensibleprinciples,comingfromamanwhohaswrittenabook,whichindeedfewpeoplecanunderstand,inordertoprovethegreathurtoftamperingwiththecoinofFrance?
Chap。XXXII
ConclusionoftheMississippiSchemeTheRegent,persuadedthattheblunderofthe21stofMaywasabsolutelyirreparable,felltoworknexttoclearaccomptswiththecompany。
Heowedthem1600millionscapital,and48millionsayearofinterestuponit。
Ontheotherhand,hehadinhispossessionnolessthan400,000actions,whichat200livresdividend,whichthecompanywasobligedtopay,amountedto80millionsayear。
HowtheRegentandthecompanysettledmattersIdonotknowprecisely。This,however,iscertain,thatbythearretofthe3dofJune1720,thenumberof400,000actions,belongingtotheRegent,wereburnt;and24,000more,whichhadbeencreatedbyhisparticularorder,the4thofOctober1719,andneverdeliveredtothecompany,weresuppressed。
Ontheotherhand,thecompanyceded25millionsayear,ofthe48millionswhichhadbeentransferredtothem。
Thissumwasconstitutedanewuponthetown-houseofParis,asafundtobesubscribedforbytheproprietorsofbanknotes,attherateof21/2percentorastheFrenchcallitatthe40thpenny。Dutot,p。168。Inconsequenceofthis,530millionsofbanknotesweresubscribedfor,andpaidin,inthemonthofJune1720。
Afterthedestructionofthe400,000actions,thecreditofthebanknoteslanguisheduntilthe10thofOctober1720。
Theobjectforwhichtheywerecreatedwasnowgone。ThewholeschemeoftransferringtheKing’sdebtsuponthecompanyvanishedintheconflagrationoftheactions。Whatwasthentobedone?
Thebankwasatanend:2235millionsofdiscreditedbanknotesincirculation,andasmallsumofcointomakethemgood,wasasituationwhichnoauthoritycouldlongsupport。
Theresolutionthenwastakentoputafinalconclusiontothisgreataffair;tobidalongfarewelltocreditandconfidence;andtoreturntotheoldsystemofrentsuponthetown-houseofParis;andofcomingatmoneyinthebestwaytheycould。
InthislightIseetheMissisippischeme。Imay,nodoubt,bemistakeninmanythings:thelights,orrathertheglimmerings,bywhichIhavebeenconductedthroughthisinquiry,mustpleadmyexcuse。
Butitisnotfactssomuchasprinciples,Ihavebeeninvestigatingthroughthiswholedisquisition;andtheimperfectaccountIhavebeenabletogiveoftheformer,willatleastpointout,Ihope,thenotionswhichtheFrenchnation,atthattime,hadofthelatter。IfthecontrastbetweenFrenchprinciples,andthoseIhavelaiddown,tendtocastanylightuponthesubjectofpapercreditingeneral,myendisaccomplished:iftheyeverproveofusetomankind,Ishallnotthinkmylabourlost。
Chap。XXXIII
WhyCreditfell,andhowitmighthavebeensupportedIshallnowmakeafewgeneralobservationsuponthetotalandsuddenfallofcreditinFranceinMay1720:andIshallsuggestthemeansbywhich,Ithink,itmighthavebeensustained,evenafteralltheprecedingmismanagement。
WasitanywonderthattheFrenchshouldbeastonishedatthisprodigiousrevolution,atthisimmensevalueofpaperonthe21stofMay,andatthetotaldiscreditofeverybitofittheverydayfollowing?
Iftherehadbeenavalue,saidthey,whatbecameofit?Ifthereneverwasanyvalue,howcouldanationbesodeceived?
Thisphaenomenonhaspuzzledmanyahead;butthenatureandprinciplesofcreditfurnishaneasysolutionofit。
Indeducingtheprinciplesofcredit,wehaveshewnthatapermanentandwellsecuredfundofinterestisalwaysequalinvaluetoacorrespondingcapital。
Thedifferencebetweenapermanentandwellsecuredfund,andaprecariousandillsecuredfund,consistsinthis,thatthefirstnevercandisappear,andtheothermay。
Nowthefund,inthiscase,wasatfirstrealanddidexist;
butitwasrenderedprecarious,byablunderingadministration:
thencreditfiled,andinthatconvulsion,thefundofinterestwasfraudulentlydiminishedbyanactofpower。
HadthetrueprinciplesofcreditbeenunderstoodinFrance,thebanknotesandactionsmighthavebeensupported,evenafterthearretofthe21stofMay:andallthemonstrousvalueofpaper,risedsohighbythelowrateofinterest,mighthavebeenpreferred:consequentlythisvalue,incapital,reallyexistedrelativelytotherateofinterest。
AstheobjectofthepresentdisquisitionintotheprinciplesuponwhichtheMissisippischemewasconducted,isonlyintendedasanillustrationoftheprinciplesofcreditingeneral;I
shallfirstaccountforthewonderfulphaenomenonabovementionedandthenshewhow,inthegreatestofalltheFrenchdistress,theircreditmighthavebeenreestablishedinamoresolidmannerthanever。
Astothewonderfulphaenomenonoftheprodigiouswealthcreatedbythesystem,andannihilatedinoneday,Ianswer,thattherehadbeennocreationofwealthatall,exceptinconsequenceofthefallofinterest。
First,WehaveseenthatatthedeathofthelateKingofFrance,theinterestofhisdebtsamountedto80millions。Wasnotthisafundwhichoughttohavebeenmadesolidandpermanent?Willanymansay,thataregularplanofpayingthisinterestwasameansofcreatingnewwealth?Certainlynot。
Secondly,Thesedebtsweremostlysecuredbycontractsofconstitutionofannualrentsuponthetown-houseofParis:asecuritytakeninthenameofaparticularcreditor,whichrequiresaformoflawtotransfer。
Bytheschemewehavebeenexplaining,allthesesecuritieswerechanged:andinsteadofconstitutionsofrent,banknotes,inwhichtheKingwasequallydebtor,weregiven。
Willanymansay,thatthiswasthemeansofeitherincreasingordiminishingthewealthofFrance?Certainlynot。A
manwhohasagoodbondinhispocketisasrichbeforeitispaidwithbanknotesasafter:buthehasnotsomuchmoneyinhishands;becausethebondisnotmoney,andthenotesare。
Thirdly,WehavesaidthattheinterestoftheKing’sdebtsamountedto80millionsayear,at4percent。
WehaveseenhowthecompanyoftheIndieswereprovidedwithafundequaltothissum,arisingfromthe48millionswhichtheKingpaidfortheloanofthepaperwithwhichthedebtsweretobepaid,andfrommanyotherlucrativebranchesofrevenue;whichinsteadofbeingburthensometotheKing,were,onthecontrary,themeansofaugmentinghisincome,bytheadvancedrentthecompanygaveforthedifferentfarmswhichproducedthem。
Hadthepubliccreditors,therefore,vestedtheirclaimsinactions,theywould,inconsequenceofthatoperation,havebecomesharersinthefundof80millionsayear,administeredbythemselves,andtheywouldthenhavebeenthecompanyopentobeimprovedbytradeabroad,andbyagoodadministrationathome。
Hadthissystembeencarriedoninaplaineasyway,consistentlywithcommonsense,thepubliccreditorswouldhavebeenpaid;theKing’srevenueaugmented;anditwouldhavebeenputunderagoodandacheapadministration。
But,when,bytheabsurdoperationsofchangingthedenominationsofcoinandpaper,andwantonlyplayingwitheveryman’sproperty,thecreditorssawthemselvesstandingonthebrinkofaprecipice;andfinding,insteadofagoodcontractonthetown-houseofParis,abanknoteputintotheirhands,whichmightbediminishedinitsvaluebyonehalfeverymonth,whileatthesametimethecoinmightberaisedtodouble,itwasverynaturaltosuppose,thattheintentionoftheKing’sministerswastowithdrawfromthemtotallythese80millions,towhichtheywereentitled:inwhichcase,therewasanannihilationindeedofallthenotes;buttherewasnoannihilationofwealth:
forinthatcase,thewealthwasstillthesame,onlyitwastransferredfromthecreditorstotheKingthedebtor:thatis,thecreditorsweredefrauded。
Ontheotherhand,stoodtheproprietorsoftheactionssold。
Thesehadbeenusedtomakeatrafficofbuyingandsellingthe200,000actionswhichhadbeenintheirhandseversinceSeptember1717,whentheywerefirstcreated。Forwehaveshewn,thattheposteriorcreationofactionsbytheunitedcompany,wasameredelusion,astheywereallfoundinthecustodyoftheRegent。Theactions,Isay,wereimmediatelyputintoastateofstagnation;becauseofthediscreditcastuponthebanknotes,withwhichithadbeenusualtobuythem。
Fourthly,Imustobserve,thatthestagnationofapaperwhichcarriesnointerest,isequaltoatemporaryannihilation。
Theholderthenisdeprivedoftheuseofhismoney;andheisnotpaidforthelosshesustains。
If,therefore,ithadbeenpossibletohavegivenanewactivitytothisbankpaper,withoutallowingittodieaway,asitwere,inthistemporaryfitoffainting,creditwouldhaverevived:allaccomptswouldhavebeenkeptclear,forthisistheuseofpapermoney,andsoshortashockwouldhardlyhavebeenfelt。
Butthegreatdamageresultingtothepublic,uponeveryoccasionofthiskind,proceedsfromthedelayinapplyingtheproperremedy。Whenanypaperisdiscredited,itimmediatelyfallsinitsvalue。Thepersonthenwhoistheoriginalandrealcreditorforthewholevalue,andinwhosehandsthepaperiswhenitsuffersthediscredit,sellsatdiscount:thisisanirretrievablelosstohim;andwhenthepaperrecoversitscreditagain,eitherinpart,oronthewhole,theprofitthenbelongstothepersonwhohadboughtitatdiscount,anddoesnotgotoindemnifytherealsufferer。
ThiswasthecasewithrespecttothenotesoftheFrenchbank:theywereallowedtolanguishfromthe21stofMaythattheywerediscredited,untilthe10thofOctober,whentheirfatewasdecided,ashasbeensaid。
Farther,wehaveseen,thatthiswholemovementofcredithadforitsbasis80millionsayear,originallypaidtothecreditorsfortheirinterest。Thissumansweredtothecapitalof2000millions;becauseattheoldKing’sdeath,interestwasfixedat4percent。
When,bytheoperationsofthesystem,allthiscapitalwasturnedintomoney,thatis,banknotes,theregorgingplentyofitmadeinterestfallto2percentconsequently,thecapital,whichconstantlydrawsitsvaluefromtheinterestpaidforit,roseto4000millions。Wehavesaidthatthetotalvalueofthepaperroseto6000millions,butwemustreflect,thatabove2000
millionsofthese6000millionswasinbanknotes,andemployedinbuyingofactions。Sothatboththenotesandtheactionsmustnotbereckonedasexistingtogether。
HadtheRegentsoldtheactions,hewouldhaveburnt2000
millionsofbanknotes,andthusthevalueinpaperwouldhaveremainedat4000millions,solongasinterestremainedat2percent;andhadinterestfallenstilllower,anddividendsremainedat200livresperaction,thevalueofactions,andconsequentlyofthiscapitalof4000millions,wouldhaveriseninproportion,justasthevalueofthecapitalofthedebtsofGreatBritainrisesandfallsaccordingtotherateofmoney;althoughthesamesumofinterestbepaidtothecreditorsatalltimes。
Thisaugmentation,therefore,uponthevalueofallcapitals,duringtheMissisippi,oflandsaswellasactions,wasinconsequenceofthefallofinterest,andfromnootherartificewhatever。LandsinFrance,atthattime,soldat80and100yearspurchase。Dutot,vol。II,p。200。
Whencreditfailed,andwhenallthecirculatingpaperwasthrownintoastateofstagnation,interestrose,inproportiontothedeficiencyofthesupplyforthedemandsofborrowers。Thevalueofcapitalsthendiminished。Butthismighthavehappenedfromanothercause,hadtherebeennobankruptcy,orintentiontodefraudthecreditors:awarmighthaveproducedit;oranycircumstancewhichmighthaveraisedtherateofinterest。
Therise,therefore,uponcapitals,fromthefallofinterest,Iconsiderhereasnoacquisitionofwealth:Ireckonwealthtobethatwhichistheannualproduceofthecapitals。
Somuchfortheresolutionofthiswonderfulphaenomenon。
Imustnowshewthatintheheightofthedistress,theconfidenceofthepublicwasstilltoberegained,andcreditrecovered,evenafterthefatalarretofthe21stofMay1720。
Ilayitdownasaprinciple,thatwhoeverhasasufficientfund,andpaysinterestregularlyforthemoneyheowes,runsnoriskoflosinghiscredit。
Sosoon,therefore,astheRegentfoundthatbyhisarretofthe21stofMay,allcredithaddisappeared;hadhe,uponthe27thofthesamemonth,oratthetimeheraisedthecointo82
livres10solspermarc,orderedallbanknotespresentedtothebank,eithertobepaidincoin,ormarkedinthebooksofthebankasbearinginterestat2percent。Isay,creditwouldnothavesufferedinanycomparisontowhatitdid。Nobodythenwouldhavesoldanoteatdiscount;and,haditbeennecessary,hemighthaveorderedtheinteresttobepaidmonthly。
TheauthorityIhaveforthisopinionisDutot,whosays,thatuponopeningthesubscriptionof25millionsinthemonthofJune,thenotesfellintheirvalue111/2percentonly。
Nowtherateofthissubscriptionwasat21/2percentaswehaveseen;consequently,if100livresofnoteslostbut111/2
percenttheywereworth881/2livresincoin;butthese100
livresinnoteswereworth21/2percentbecausethesubscriptionwasopenatthatrate:consequently881/2livresincoinwasalsoworth2livres10solsperannum:consequentlyinterest,atthattime,wasat2。825percentthatis,below3
percentevenafterthebankruptcy。
Wherethenwasthegreatharm?Wherewastheoccasiontoflyimmediatelytothedestructionofactions,whichwereintheRegent’sownhand?Alittlepatience,andgoodmanagement,wouldhavesetalltorights。
Ishould,therefore,haveleftthenotesincirculationunderthisregulation,viz。thatsuchasshouldbepresentedtothebankshouldhavehadatransferof2percentpaidquarterly;oravalue,inactions,at10,000livresperaction;whichisthecapitalansweringadividendof200livresat2percentattheoptionoftheholder:andincaseinteresthadcometofallstilllower,thepriceofactionsmighthavebeenaugmented。
Ishouldhavesetbeforethepublicafullandexactaccountofthecompany’sfunds。Ishouldhavebanishedallmysteryfromtheaffairsofcredit。Ishouldhaveregisteredadeclarationinparliament,settingforth,First,Thatallfuturechangeseitheruponthedenominationsofpaperorcoin,werecontrarytothemaimsofgoodgovernment。
Secondly,ThatallstipulationsbetweentheKingandhiscreditors,weretobeinviolable。And,Thirdly,ThattheparliamentofParisshouldforeverremaininvestedwithanexclusiverighttowatchovertheseregulationsintimetocome;andIshouldhaveboundtheparliamentbyaspecialoathforthispurpose。IshouldevenhavehadtheKingtotakethesameoath:andhemighthaveratifieditathiscoronationin1725。
BythesestepsIshouldhavevestedanewpowerintheKingsofFrancewhichtheyneverhadbefore:apowerofhavingmoneyfromtheirsubjects,fromtheirallies,andfromtheirenemies:apowertheyhavenot,noreverwillhave,untiltheprinciplesofcreditbebetterunderstoodamongthem。
Hadsuchaplanbeenfollowed,Ihavenottheleastdoubt,butthat,first,Theactionswouldhavebeensoldataverygreatadvancedvalueabovethestandardof5000livres,atwhichtheRegenthadboughtthem:secondly,Thatmoneywouldhavecomebackto2percentandthen,thirdly,Hadbanksbeenestablisheduponaproperplan,ease,withindustry,wouldlongerenowhaveappearedineverycornerofthatkingdom。
Howfinitelymoreeasywouldithavebeentoestablishsuchaplanin1720thanatpresent?Atthattimethemostdifficultpartofthewholewasexecuted。Thecreditorshadtakennotesfortheirclaims:thecreditthenwasgivenandaccepted。Therewasnothingtobedonebuttosupportit。Thecreditorswerethenatthemercyofthestate:atpresentthestateisatthemercyofthecreditors。Weresuchoperationsoncointotakeplaceatpresent,aswerethenfamiliar;weretheKingatpresenttoattempttoturntheconstitutionsofrent,perpetualandlife-annuities,intoanyotherformthanwhattheyhave,thecreditofFrancewouldbeundoneforalongtime;andwhoknowswhatviewsofambitionasituationsodeplorablemightnotstirupincertaincourtsofEurope。
Whatstatewouldpayitsdebts,ifitdurstdootherwise?Andwhatstatecandiminishitsdebtsinanyotherwaythanbyloweringtheinterestuponthem?Butofthismoreinitsproperplace。