Chap。II
OftheNatureofObligationstobeperformed,inconsequenceofCreditgiven;andofwhatismeantbythetermsregorgingandstagnatingofmoneyWehavealreadysaid,thatallobligationscontractedwithaviewtobeperformedinfuturetime,consistindoingorgivingsomethinginconsiderationofsomethingdoneorgiven。
Whenactionsonlyarestipulatedincontracts,creditinastrictacceptationofthetermislittleconcerned;becausenoadequatesecuritycanbegivenforperforminganaction:suchcontractsstandwhollyuponthewillingnessandcapacityofacting,whichdependmoreuponthepersonthanuponthefacultiesofthedebtor。Tosupplythisdefect,weseepenaltiesusuallystipulatedinsuchcases;whichreducethosecontractstoanalternativeobligationofeitherdoingorgiving。
Weshallthereforethrowouttheconsiderationofthefirstaltogether,asbeingforeigntoourpurpose;andadheretothelater,whichisthetrueobjectofcredit。Again:
Inallobligationstogiveanyparticularthing,thereisconstantlyimpliedanalternativealso;towit,eitherthethingstipulated,orthevalueidquodinterest,accordingtothelawyers:thismustberelativetomoney;whichisthecommonpriceofallthingsincommerceamongmen。
Thuswehavebroughtcredittotheobjectunderwhichwearetoconsiderit,viz。theobligationtopaymoney,eitherforvaluereceived,orforsomeconsiderationrelativetotheparties,whichmaybethejustgroundofacontract。
Creditanddebtsarethereforeinseparable,becausetheynecessarilyimplyeachother;andveryproperlycometobeexaminedtogetherinthisbook。
Whenmoneyistobepaidatadistantperiodoftime,theobligationmayeitherbe,foroneprecisesum;orforthatsumwithinterest,duringtheintervalbetweencontractingandfulfillingtheobligation。
Thelendingofmoneywithoutinterest,wasverycommonbeforetheintroductionoftradeandindustry。Moneythenwasconsideredasabarrenstock,incapableofproducingfruit;andwheneverthequantityofit,inanycountry,exceededtheusesofcirculation,theremainderwaslockedupintreasures:inwhichcase,theexactingofinterestforitappearedunreasonable。
Thingsarenowchanged:nomoneyiseverlockedup;andwhenborrowed,theregularpaymentofinterestforit,isasessentialtotheobtainingofcredit,astheconfidenceofbeingrepaidthecapital。Theseperiodicalpaymentsareaconstantcorroborationofthisconfidence;sothatitmaybesaidwithtruth,thathewhocangivegoodsecurity,topaytoperpetuity,aregularinterestformoney,willobtaincreditforanysum,althoughitshouldappearevident,thathenevercanbeinacapacitytorefundthecapital。
Thereasonofthismaybegatheredfromtheprinciplesalreadydeduced,andfromtheplanofourmodernoeconomy。
Wehavesaidinthesecondbook,thatthecurrentmoneyofacountryisalwaysinproportiontothetrade,industry,consumption,andalienation,whichregularlytakeplaceinit;
andwhenithappensthatthemoneyalreadyinthecountryisnotsufficientforcarryingonthesepurposes,apartofthesolidproperty,equaltothedeficiency,maybemelteddownaswehavecalleditandmadetocirculateinpaper:thatassoonagainasthispaperaugmentsbeyondthisproportion,apartofwhatwasbeforeincirculation,mustreturnuponthedebtorinthepaper,andberealizedanew。
Letusnowconsiderwhatisunderstoodbyrealized。Bythistermismeant,thattheregorgingpaper,orthatquantityofcurrencywhichanationpossessesoverandabovewhatisnecessaryforitscirculation,mustbeturnedintosomeshapewherebyitmayproduceanincome;foritisnowamaxim,thatnomoneyistobesufferedtoremainuselesstotheproprietorofit。2*
Whenthisregorgingorstagnatingpaperthencomesuponthedebtorinit,ifheshouldpaythevalueofitinhardspecie,howwouldtheconditionofthecreditorbeimproved?
Wesupposethecreditofthepaperequaltothecreditofthecoinwithinthecountry。Wealsosupposethatthepaperhassostagnatedinthehandsofthebearer,thathecanneitherlendit,orpurchasewithitanyspeciesofsolidproperty,withinthecountry,capabletoproduceanincome:forifanywayofdisposingitusefullycanbefound,thiscircumstancewillprovethatcirculationisnotoverstockedatthattime;consequently,themoneydoesnotregorge。Butletussupposethatitdoesregorge:thenhemusteitherobligethedebtorinthepapertopayincoin,thathemaylockitupinhiscofferaswasthecaseofold;orhemustsendhiscointoothercountries,wherecirculationisnotfullystocked,andwhereanincomemaybeboughtwithit。Thisconstantlyhappenswhencirculationiseitheroverstocked,orwhenthequantityofcirculationbeginstodiminishinacountry。
Letmenextsuppose,thatinacountryoverstockedwithmoney,asuddendemandforit,farbeyondtheordinaryrateofcirculation,shalloccur:supposeawartobreakout,whichabsorbs,inashorttime,moremoneythan,perhaps,allthecoinandallthepapercansupply。Thestateuponthisoccasionimposesatax,which,letmesuppose,mayproduceasumequaltotheinterestofthemoneyrequired。Isitnotverycertain,thatsuchpersonswhofoundadifficultyinplacingtheirregorgingcapitals,willbebetterpleasedtopurchaseapartofthisannualinterest,thantolendittoanypersonwhomightpayitbackinashorttime;bywhichrepaymentthelenderwouldagainbethrownintothesameinconvenienceasbefore,offindingaproperout-letforit?Thisisawayofrealizingsuperfluousmoney,moreeffectualthanturningitintogoldorsilver。
WhenIspeak,therefore,ofrealizingpapermoney,I
understandeithertheconvertingofitintogoldandsilver,whichisthemoneyoftheworld;ortheplacingofitinsuchawayastoproduceaperpetualfundofannualinterest。
Werepublicborrowing,therefore,toworktheeffectofbringingthemoneyincirculationbelowtheproportionrequiredforcarryingonalienation,trade,etc。thenanobligationtorepaythecapitalwouldbenecessary,andcomplaintswouldbeheardagainstthestatefornotpayingofftheirdebts;becausetherebytheprogressofindustrywouldbeprevented。Butwhentheoperationsofcreditareallowedtointroduceamethodofcreatingmoneyanew,inproportionastradeandindustryshalldemandit,thenthestatehasnooccasiontopaybackthecapitals;becausethepubliccreditorsenjoyfarbetterconditionsintheirannualincome,thaniftheircapitalswererefunded。
Letmeillustratethisbyanexample。
Wemusttakeitforgranted,thatineverynationinEurope,thereisasumincirculation,nearlyequaltothealienation,trade,etc。whichgoesonactuallyatthetime。Wemustalsotakeitforgranted,thattheamountofalldebtswhatsoever,publicandprivate,payinginteresttotheclassofcreditors,iseverywhereaverygreatsum:nowletussuppose,thattheclassofdebtorsshouldbeenablednomatterbywhatmeanstopayoffwhattheyowe,incoinnewlyacquired;wouldnot,bythesupposition,asumoftheoldcurrencynearlyequaltothiscoinnewlyacquired,immediatelyfallintostagnation,andwoulditnotbeimpossibletodrawanyincomefromthisstagnatedcoin?
Thiswasexactlythecaseofold。Thecoinfarexceededtheusesofcirculation,andstagnatedintreasures。Warsbroughtitout;
becausethencirculationaugmented;peaceagaincuttingofftheseextraordinarydemands,thecoinstagnatedagain,andreturnedtothetreasures。
Whatisthecaseatpresent?
Moneyandcoinareneverfoundtosurpasstheusesofcirculationincommercialcountries。Whenwarcomes,whichdemandsanextraordinarysupply,recourseishadtoborrowinguponinterest;nottotreasures:andthedesireofpurchasingthisinterest,whichwecallanannuity,drawstreasuresevenfromtheenemiesofthosenationswhohavethebestcredit。
Again,attheendofawar,inplaceofanemptytreasury,aswasthecaseofold,wefindahugesumofpublicdebts。Asoeconomyfilledthetreasurythen,sooeconomymustpayoffthedebtsnow。
Fromwhathasbeensaid,itplainlyappears,thatinterestisnowbecomesoabsolutelyessentialtocredit,thatitmaybeconsideredastheprincipalrequisiteandbasisonwhichthewholefabricstands:weshallthereforebeginbyexaminingtheoriginandnatureofinterest,andalsotheprincipleswhichinfluencetherate,andregulatethefluctuationsofit。
Chap。III
OftheInterestofMoneyIshallleaveittodivinesandcausiststodeterminehowfartheexactingofinterestformoneyislawful,accordingtotheprinciplesofourreligion。
ItwasforbiddentotheJews,bythelawsofMoses,tolendatinteresttotheirbrethren,butitwaspermittedtolendtostrangers。Deut。chap。xxiii,ver。19,20。Thisisoneofthewisestpoliticalinstitutionstobemetwithinsoremoteantiquity,asweshallhereafterexplain。
Intheprimitiveagesofchristianity,thelendingofmoneyatinterestwascertainlyreputedtobeunlawfulonmostoccasions。Thatspiritofcharitytoallwhowereinwant,wassoworkedinwiththedoctrineofourreligion,thataborrowerwasconstantlyconsideredtobeinthatsituation。Tradewaslittleknown;tradingmenweregenerallyilllookedupon;andthosewhodebatedsofarfromthespiritofthetimes,astothinkofaccumulatingwealthbytheuseoftheirmoney,commonlydegeneratedintousurers。
Inthemiddlecenturies,whenamistakenzealanimatedchristianitywithamostungodlythirstforthebloodofinfidels,theJewswere,ineverynationinEurope,almosttheonlymoney-lenders。Thiscircumstancestillmoreengagedthechurchtodartherthunderagainstthispractice;andtheloanuponinterestnevertookrootamongchristians,untilaspiritoftradeandindustrysprungupinItalyinthetimeoftheLombards,andfromthencespreaditself,throughthechanneloftheHans-towns,overseveralnations。
Thenthechurchbegantoopenhereyesandsawtheexpediencyofintroducingmanymodifications,inordertolimitthegeneralanathemawhichshehaddenouncedagainstthewholeclassofmoney-lenders。Atonetimeitwasdeclaredlawfultolendatinterest,whenthecapitalsharedanyrisqueinthehandsoftheborrower;atanother,itwasfoundallowable,whenthecapitalwasnotdemandablefromthedebtor,whilehepaidtheinterest;
again,itwaspermitted,whenthedebtorwasdeclaredbysentenceofajudge,tobeinmorainacquittinghisobligation:atlast,itwaspermittedonbillsofexchange。Inshort,inmostRomancatholiccountries,interestisnowpermittedineveryinterestforcasealmost,exceptinobligationsincludingastipulationofsumsdemandableatanytimeafterthetermofpayment;anditisasyetnowhereconsideredtobesoessentialtoloan,astobedueonalldebtswhatsoever;notevenuponobligationspayableondemand。
Expediencyandthegoodofsocietypoliticallyspeakingaretheonlyruleforjudging,whentheloanuponinterestshouldbepermitted,whenforbidden。Whilepeopleborrowedinorderonlytoprocureacirculatingequivalentforprovidingtheirnecessaries,untiltheycouldhavetimetodisposeoftheireffects;andwhiletherewasseldomanycertainprofittobemadebytheuseofthemoneyborrowed,asnow,byturningitintotrade,itwasverynaturaltoconsiderthelenderinanunfavourablelight;becauseitwassupposedthathismoney,haditnotbeenlent,musthaveremainedlockedupinhiscoffers。Butatpresent,whenweseesomanypeopleemployedinprovidingstoresofnecessariesforothers,which,withoutmoney,cannotbedone;weretheloanuponinterestforbidden,itwouldhavetheeffectoflockinguptheveryinstrumentmoneywhichisnecessaryforsupplyingthewantsofthesociety。Theloan,therefore,uponinterest,associetynowstandscomposed,isestablished,notinfavourofthelenders,butofthewholecommunity;andtakingthematterinthislight,noone,Isuppose,willpretendthatwhatisbeneficialtoawholesocietyshouldbeforbidden,becauseofitsbeingproportionablyadvantageoustosomeparticularmembersofit。
Ifitbethenallowed,thattheloanuponinterestisagoodpoliticalinstitution,relativelytothepresentsituationofEuropeansocieties,thenextquestionis,todetermineaproperstandardforit,soastoavoidtheoppressionofusurers,ononehand,andontheother,toallowsuchareasonableprofittothelender,asmayengagehimtothrowhismoneyintocirculationforthecommonadvantage。
Thisquestionleadsusdirectlytotheexaminationoftheprincipleswhichregulatetherateofinterest;andifwecandiscoveracertainrule,arisingfromthenatureofthings,andfromtheprinciplesofcommerce,whichmaydirectastatesmanhowtoestablishaproperregulationinthismatter,wemayconcludewithcertaintyconcerningtheexactlimits,betweenunlawfulandpinchingusury,exactedbyavicioussetofmen,whoprofitofthedistressofindividuals;andthatreasonableequivalentwhichmenhavearighttoexpectfortheuseoftheirmoney,lentforcarryingonthecirculationoftrade,andtheemploymentofthelowerclassesofapeoplewhomustsubsistbytheirindustryorlabour。
Chap。IV
OfthePrincipleswhichregulatetheRateofInterestWemustnowrecaltomindtheprinciplesofdemandandcompetition,sofullydeducedinthesecondbook,inordertoanswerthefollowingquestion,viz。
Whatistheprinciplewhichregulates,atalltimes,thejustandadequaterateofinterestformoney,inanyparticularstate?
Ianswer,Thatatalltimes,thereisineverystateacertainnumberofpersonswhohaveoccasiontoborrowmoney,andacertainnumberofpersonswhodesiretolend:thereisalsoacertainsumofmoneydemandedbytheborrowers,andacertainsumofferedtobelent。Theborrowersdesiretofixtheinterestaslowastheycan;thelendersseek,fromalikeprincipleofself-interest,tocarrytherateofitashighastheycan。
Fromthiscombinationofinterestsarisesadoublecompetition,whichfluctuatesbetweenthetwoparties。Ifmorebedemandedtobeborrowed,thanthereisfoundtobelent,thecompetitionwilltakeplaceamongtheborrowers。Suchamongthemashavethemostpressingoccasionformoney,willofferthehighestinterest,andwillbepreferred。If,onthecontrary,themoneytobelentexceedthedemandoftheborrowers,thecompetitionwillbeupontheotherside。Suchofthelenders,ashavethemostpressingoccasiontodrawaninterestfortheirmoney,willofferitatthelowestinterest,andthisofferwillbeaccepted。
Ineednotlaunchoutintoarepetitionofwhathasbeensaidconcerningtheinfluenceofdoublecompetition,infixingthepriceofcommodities;asIsupposetheseprinciplestobenowwellunderstood,andwellretained,bythosewhoreadthischapter;Ishallthereforeconfinemyselfheretowhatispeculiartothedemandformoney。
Thepriceofcommoditiesisextremelyfluctuating:theyareeveryonecalculatedforparticularuses;moneyserveseverypurpose。Commodities,thoughofthesamekind,differingoodness:moneyisall,oroughttobeallofthesamevalue,relativelytoitsdenominations。Hencethepriceofmoneywhichiswhatweexpressbytheterminterestissusceptibleofafargreaterstabilityanduniformity,thanthepriceofanyotherthing。
Wehaveshewninthe28thchapterofthesecondbook,inexaminingtheprincipleswhichregulatethepriceofsubsistence,thattheonlythingwhichcanfixastandardforit,isfrequentandfamiliaralienation。Thesameholdstrueofmoney。Werewetosupposeastate,whereborrowingandlendingarenotcommon,andwherethelawsfixnodeterminateinterestformoney,itwouldhardlybepossibletoascertaintherateofitatanytime。Thiswasthecaseofold。
BeforethereignofHenryVIIIofEngland,in1545,therewasnostatuteregulatingtherateofinterest,inthatkingdom。Thereasonisveryplain。Inthosedaystherewaslittlecirculation,andtheborrowingofmoneyuponinterestwasconsideredasamortalsin。Theconsequenceofthiswas,thatusurers,havingnothingbutconsciencetorestrainthem,carriedthepriceoftheirmoneytoalevelwiththepressingoccasionofspendthrifts,whileothers,fromfriendship,lentfornointerestatall。Henryfixedtherateofinterestat10percentandhiscontemporary,FrancisIofFrance,in1522,whowasthefirstwhoborrowedmoneyinaregularmanneruponthetownhouseofParisfixedtheinterestatthe12thpenny,thatis,at81/3
percent。
Inthosedays,itwasimpossibleforastatesmantodetermineanyjustrateforinterest;andaccordinglywefindhistoryfilledwiththeextortionofusurers,ononehand,andtheviolenceandinjusticeofprincesandministerstowardsthosewhohadlentthemmoney,ontheother:wasitthenanywonder,thatlendingatinterestwasuniversallycriedoutagainst?Itreallyproducedverylittlegood,andwasthecauseofmanifoldcalamitiestoastate。WhenthePrinceborrowed,itwasinthemosturgentdistress:thosewhohadmoney,foresawthedangerofbeingplunderediftheyrefusedtolendittohim,andofbeingdefraudedassoonasthepublicdistresswasover:forthisreasontheyexactedthemostexorbitantinterest:theconsequencewas,thatthepeoplewereloadedwiththemostgrievoustaxes,andthetax-gathererswerethePrince’screditors,towhomsuchtaxeswereassigned。
Inourdays,trade,industry,andacallformoney,enabletheborrowertoenrichhimself,tosupplythewantsofthestate,andtopayhisinterestregularly。
Ifwecomparethetwosituations,weshallfindeverydisadvantageattendingtheformer,andeveryadvantageconnectedwiththelatter。
Withoutgoodfaiththeircanbenocredit;withoutcredittherecanbenoborrowingofmoney,notrade,noindustry,nocirculation,nobreadforthelowerclasses,noluxury,noteventheconveniencesoflife,fortherich。Underthesecircumstances,therecanbenorulefortherateofinterest;
becauseborrowingcannotbefrequentandfamiliar。
Inproportion,therefore,asborrowingbecomesfrequentandfamiliar,theruleforfixingtherateofalegalinterestbecomesmorepracticabletoastatesman。Letmemakeastepfarther。
Wehavesaid,thatitisthefluctuationofthedoublecompetitionbetweenborrowersandlenders,whichoccasionstheriseandfalloftherateofinterest;Imustnowpointouttheprincipleswhichoccasionthisfluctuation。
Weretheinterestsoftradeandindustrysoexactlyestablished,astoproducethesameprofitoneverybranchofthem,themoneyborrowedforcarryingthemon,wouldnaturallybetakenatthesamerate;butthisisnotthecase:somebranchesaffordmore,somelessprofit。Inproportion,therefore,totheadvantagestobereapedfromborrowedmoney,theborrowersmayoffermoreorlessfortheuseofit。
Besidestheclassofmenwhoborrowinordertoprofitbytheloan,thereisanotherclass,whoborrowinordertodissipate。
Thefirstclassnevercanofferaninterestwhichexceedstheproportionoftheirgains:thesecondclass,findingnothingbutwantofcredittolimittheirexpence,becomeapreytousurers。
Wereitnotthenuponaccountoftheselast,therewouldbenooccasionforastatutetoregulatetherateofinterest。Theprofitsontradewouldstrikeanaverageamongtheindustriousclasses;andthisaveragewouldfallandrise,inproportiontotheflourishingordecayofcommerce。
Letusnextexaminetheprincipleswhichpreventthemoniedmenfromcommittingextortions,andwhichobligethemtolendtheirmoneyforthatrateofinterestwhichisinproportiontotheprofitsupontradeandindustry。
Ineverycountrythereisfoundasumofmoneythatis,ofcirculatingvalue,nomatterwhethercoinorpaperproportionedtothetradeandindustryofit。Howthissumisdetermined,andhowitismadetoaugmentanddiminishinproportiontoindustry,wehavealreadyexplainedinthe26thchapterofthesecondbook:
wearenowtoexaminesomeoftheconsequenceswhichresultfromtheaccidentalstagnationofanypartofittotheprejudiceofalienation;andwemustshewhowtheloanuponinterestisthemeansofthrowingitagainintocirculation。
Thereareineverystatesomewhospendmore,andsomewhospendlessthantheirincome。Whatisnotspentmuststagnate;ormustbelenttothosewhospendmorethantheproduceoftheirownfunds。Werethefirstclassfoundsotopreponderate,astorequiremoremoneytoborrowthanallthatistobelent,theconsequencewouldbe,topreventtheborrowingofmerchants;toraiseinterestsohighastoextinguishtrade;andtodestroyindustry;andtheseresourcescomingtofail,foreigncommoditieswouldbebroughtin,whileexportationwouldbestopped,moneywoulddisappear,andallwouldfallintodecay。
This,Ibelieve,isacasewhichseldomhappens;becausetheriseofinterestasstatesarenowformedhassomuchtheeffectofdepreciatingthevalueofeveryspeciesofsolidproperty,thatspendthriftsarequicklystrippedofit,bythegrowingaccumulationofthatcankerworm,interest;theirruinterrifiesmanyfromfollowingsohurtfulanexample,andtheirpropertyfallingintothehandsoftheotherclass,whospendlessthantheirincome;thesenewpossessorsintroduce,bytheirexample,amorefrugalsetofmanners。Thismaybethecaseincountrieswheretradeandindustryhavebeenintroduced;andwheretheoperationsofcredithavebeenabletodrawintocirculationalargequantityofsolidproperty,accordingtotheprinciplesdeducedinthechapterabovereferredto。Butinnationsofidleness,whocirculatetheircoinonly,andwhoaredeprivedoftheresourceofcredit;highinterestpreventsthemfromemergingoutoftheirsloth,andthelittletradetheyhave,continuestoproducegreatprofits,whichareincompatiblewithforeigncommerce:thismay,indeed,makethecointheyhavetocirculateforhome-consumption,butitcanbringnoaugmentationofwealthfromabroad。
Ontheotherhand,whentradeandindustryflourish,andwhenamoniedinterestisformed,inconsequenceofthemeltingdownofsolidproperty,andstillmoreinconsequenceofaState’scontractinggreatdebts;werethemoney-lenderstoattempttoraisetherateofinteresttothestandardofthespendthrift,thedemandsoftrade,etc,wouldsoonbecutoff:thestagnationwouldthenswellsofastintheirhands,thatitwouldinamannerchoakthem,andinalittletimeinterestwouldfalltonothing。Whereasbycontentingthemselveswiththestandardoftrade,thelargestsuppliesprovidedfortheborrowerseasilyfindavent,withoutraisingtherateofinterestsohighastobehurtfultoanyinterestwithinthestate。
Addtothis,thattheadvantageofrealizing,intolands,sounstableapropertyasmoney,mustnaturallythrowtheproprietorsofthemoneyintoacompetitionforthelandswhichdissipationbringstomarket;thus,byrisingthevalueoflands,themoniedmen,withtheirownhands,defeattheconsequencesofthedissipationofspendthrifts,andhurttheirowninterest,towit,theriseofthepriceofmoney。Fromacombinationofthesecircumstances,lendersbecomeobligedtopartwiththeirmoneyatthatrateofinterestwhichisthemostconsistentwiththatgoodofcommerce。
Wehavehithertopreservedourcombinationsassimpleaspossible。Wehavesuggestednoextrinsicobstacletoborrowingandlending。Ifmoneybetobelent,andifpeoplebefoundwhoinclinetoborrow,wehavetakenitforgranted,thatcirculationwillgoon;andthatthestagnationsinthehandsofthelenders,willfindareadyventbythedissipationoftheotherclass:wemustnowmakestillastepfarther。
Thespendthriftsmusthavecredit;thatis,theymusthaveitintheirpowertorepaywithinterestwhattheyhaveborrowed:
anyimpedimenttocredit,willhavetheeffecteitherofdiminishingthedemandformoney,andconsequentlyofloweringtherateofinterest,orofintroducingunlawfulusury。Ifwesupposetherateofinterestwelldetermined,andusurypreventedbyaregularexecutionofgoodlaws,itisverycertain,thatastatesmanbyhurtingthecreditofextravagantpeople,willkeeptherateofinterestwithinduebounds。
If,therefore,thelawsofanycountry,inourdays,appeardefective,astotheregulationofsecuritiesformoneylentuponthemortgageofsolidproperty,whiletherateofintereststandshigherthanisconsistentwiththegoodoftrade,andwithpubliccredit;weshouldbeslowinfindingfaultwithsuchadefect。
Themotivesofstatesmenlieverydeep;anditisnotalwayspropertoexplainthem。Anexampleofsuchdefectsareentailsuponlands,andthewantofproperregistersformortgages。
Didthedissipationoflandedmentendtopromoteforeigntrade,suchclogswouldbepernicious:butifthetendencyofdissipationbetopromotedomesticluxuryonly,andtherebytoraisethepriceoflabourandindustry,thecaseiswidelydifferent。Thisobservationismerelyincidental:ourobjectatpresentextendsnofartherthantoshew,thatthedissipationoflandedmen,andthecredittheyhavetoborrowmoney,influence,notalittle,therateofinterestineverymodernstate。
Thesearethegeneralprincipleswhich,arisingfromthingsthemselves,withouttheinterpositionofastatesman,tendtoregulatetherateofinterestincommercialnations。
Chap。V
OftheRegulationofInterestbyStatuteFromtheprinciplesdeducedtheprecedingchapter,wehaveseenhow,withouttheaidofanylaw,theinterestofmoney,inatradingnation,becomesdetermined,fromnaturalcauses,andfromtheirresistibleeffectsofcompetition。
Butasthereisnocountryintheworldsoentirelygiventocommerce,asnottocontaingreatnumbersofpeople,whoaretotallyunacquaintedwithit,someregulationwithrespecttotherateofinterestbecomesnecessaryinordertorestrain,ononehand,thefrenzyofthose,who,listeningtonothingbuttheviolenceoftheirpassions,arewillingtoprocuremoneyatanyrateforthegratificationofthem,letthepoliticalconsequencesoftheirdissipationproveeversohurtfultothestate;andontheother,toprotectthosewho,fromnecessity,maybeobligedtosubmittotheheavyoppressionoftheirusuriouscreditors。
Lawsrestrainingusury,aredirectlycalculatedforthesakeofthosetwoclasses,notengagedincommerce,andindirectlycalculatedforcommerceitself;whichotherwisemightreceiveawoundthroughtheirsides。
Inenteringuponthesubjectmentionedinthetitleofthischapter,Ithinkwemayagreeinthis,thathithertoallregulationsmadeconcerninginterest,havebeencalculatedeitherforbringingitdown,orforpreventingitsrise。Thedistresswhichmaycomeuponastate,byitsfallingtoolow,isaphaenomenonwhichhasnotyetmanifesteditselfinanymodernstate,byanysymptomIcanatpresentrecollect。
Nowifitbetrue,asIthinkithasbeenproved,thattheoperationsofdemandandcompetitionworkirresistibleeffectsindeterminingtherateofinterestincommercialstates;thestatesmanwhoisabouttomakearegulation,mustkeeptheseprinciplesconstantlyinhiseye。
Ifweexaminethewritingsofthosewhohavetreatedofthissubjectwithintelligenceamongwhom,Ithink,SirJosiahChildhasarighttostandintheforemostrank,weshallfindverylittleattentionbestoweduponthatmostnecessaryandrulingprinciple,competition。
Helaysitdownasanaxiom,thatlowinterestisthesouloftrade,inwhichheiscertainlyright;butheseemstothink,thatitisinthepowerofalegislature,bystatute,tobringinterestdowntothatlevelwhichismostadvantageoustotrade;
andinthisIdifferfromhim。Imustdohimthejusticetosay,thathenowheredirectlyaffirmsthisproposition;butbysuggestingnoneoftheinconvenienceswhichmayfollowuponanarbitraryreductionofinterestbystatute,heleaveshisreaderatlibertytosuppose,thattheloweringofitissolelyinthehandsofastatesman。
Itisveryplain,fromthehistoryhehasgivenusofthesuccessiveratesofinterestinEngland,from10to6percentthatwithouttheinterpositionofstatutes,suchdiminutionswouldnot,inthatperiod,havetakenplace,fromtheprincipleofcompetition:butIamnotsoclearthat,atthistime,whentradeissowellunderstood,andcreditsogenerallyestablishedinmanynationsofEurope,thatalikeadministrationwouldworkeffectsequallyadvantageous。
ItiswithgreatdiffidenceIpresumetodifferfromChilduponthissubject;andIfindasensiblesatisfactioninperceivingthatuponthewhole,myprinciplesbringmesoveryneartohissentimentsonthismatter。
ThestrongargumentsinfavourofChild’sopinion,aregroundeduponfacts。Hesays,thatwheninterestwasbroughtdownbystatute,1625,from10to8percentinsteadofproducinganybadeffect,ithadthatofbringingitstilllowerimmediatelyafterwards;andthesamethinghappened,anno1650,whenitwasreducedasecondtimebystatute,from8to6percent,atwhichrateitstoodatthetimehewrote。ThesefactsIgivecreditto,andshallnowaccountforthem,fromtheconsequencesofsuddenrevolutions。
Whenalawismadeforthereductionofinterest,alldebtorsimmediatelyprofitbyit。Uponthis,thecreditorsmusteithersubmit,orcallintheircapitals。Iftheysubmit,landimmediatelyrisesinitsvalue。Iftheycallintheircapitals,theymusthaveanoutletforlendingthemagain,beyondthelimitsofthejurisdictionofthelegislature。Nowthisoutletwasnotthentobefound;becausecreditwasnowherewellestablished,exceptinHolland,whereinterestwasstilllower。
Theywere,therefore,obligedtosubmit,andthusinterestwasviolentlybroughtdownbystatute;andagreatadvantageresultedfromittothecommercialinterestsofEngland。
Thesubsequentfallofinterest,inthenaturalway,isthuseasilyaccountedfor。
Theconsequenceofloweringtheinterest,was,thatthepriceoflandroseseveralyearsinpurchase:thelandedmen,whohadlonggroanedundertheheavyinterestof10percentfindingtheirlandsrisefrom12years’purchaseto15,uponreducingtheinterestto8percentsoldoffpartoftheirlands,andclearedthemselves。Thenaturalconsequenceofthiswas,tomakemoneyregorgeinthehandsofthemoniedmen;todiminishthenumberofborrowers;andconsequently,tobringtherateofintereststilllower。
Onesuddenrevolutionproducesanother。Wheninterestisbroughtdownbystatute,thepriceoflandmustrisebyajerk;
andlandedmenwillsuddenlyprofitofthechangeintheirfavour。Whenitfallsgently,byanaturalrevolutioninthestateofdemand,theeffectsaremoreinsensible;thesharpersightedonlyprofitofit;others,fromexpectationofastillgreaterriseinthepriceoftheirlands,neglecttosellintheproperpointoftime;andmayperhapsbedisappointedfromanewfluctuationinfavourofmoney。ThisisatpresentactuallythecaseinGreatBritain,sincethepeaceof1762。Iwritein1764。
ThesefactsspeakstronglyinfavourofChild’sopinion,namely,thatitisexpedienttohaverecoursedirectlytothestatute,wheneverthereisaprospectofadvancingtheinterestsoftradebyareductionofinterest。
Itisimpossibletoreplytomattersoffact:all,therefore,Ihavetoallegeinfavourofmyownopinion,is,thatitismoreconsistentwiththeveryprinciplesinwhichbothChildandI
agree;itimpliesnosuddenrevolution,andwill,inashorttime,operatethesameeffect。
Themethodofproceeding,accordingtomyprinciples,isshortlythis:
Sinceitisagreedonallhands,thatlowinterestisthesouloftrade,andthefirmestbasisofpubliccredit;thatitrisesinproportiontothedemandofborrowers,andsinksinproportionasmoneyismadetoregorgeinthehandsofthemoniedinterest;
Thestatesmanshouldsetoutbysuchstepsofadministrationaswilldiscourageborrowinginthosewhoemploytheirmoneyinprodigalityanddissipation,asfarasmaybeconsistentwiththeinterestofthelowerclassesemployedinsupplyinghomeconsumption,accordingtotheprincipleslaiddowninthesecondbook。Heshouldabstainfromborrowinghimself,andevenfromcreatingnewoutletsformoney,exceptfromthemostcogentmotives。Bythishewill,inashorttime,gentlyreducetherateofinterest。Thenbystatutehemaybringitdownalittle,butnotsoverylowastheforegoingoperationsmayhavereducedit;
contentinghimselfwithhavingfartherrestrictedtheextentoftheordinaryfluctuations。
Asforexample:letussupposeinterestlimitedbylawto5
percent。andthatbygoodmanagementthestatemaybeenabledtoborroweasilyat3percent。Ibelievetherewouldresultanotableadvantage,inreducingthelegalrateto4percentandwereitbroughtdownto3percenttheremightfollowaverygreatinconveniencetolandedmen,incaseawarshouldsuddenlyoccasionarevolutioninfavourofmoney。
ThedifferencethenbetweenChildandme,is,thatIammorescrupulousthanhe,inintroducingrestraintintopoliticaloeconomy;andmyonlyreasonagainstapplyingthestatute,asheproposes,isforfearoftheimmediatebadeffectswhichmightfollowinmanywaysimpossibletobeforeseenuponasuddenandviolentrevolution,inapointsoexcessivelydelicateaspubliccredit。
Inhisdays,creditwasnotsowellestablished,norwasitstretchedasatpresent:itwasmoreaccustomedtoviolentshocks,andcouldbeararoughertreatment。Butinordertocomethebettertoathoroughknowledgeofthismatter,letusexaminewhatmightbetheconsequence,ifGreatBritainshould,atthistime,bringdown,bystatute,therateofinterestbelowthelevelofthestocks,whichItaketobethebestrulefordeterminingthepresentvalueofmoney;andthisisalsothebestmethodofexaminingtheexpediencyofChild’smethodofreducinginterest,underthepresentstateofallourpoliticalcircumstances。
Chap。VI
WhatwouldbetheConsequenceofreducing,byaBritishStatue,thelegalInterestofMoneybelowthepresentleveloftheStocks?
WhenGreatBritainborrowsmoneyuponthepublicfaith,therateofinterestisalwaysstipulated,andthesestipulationsmustbereligiouslyfulfilled,orcreditwillbeatanend。
Theregulationsthenproposedtobemade,mustrefertocontractsofloanenteredintobyprivatepartiesonly。
Thecurrentvalueofmoney,Ithink,isbesttobedeterminedbythepriceofstocks。Ifa4percentsellsatpar,moneymaybesaidtobethenat4percent。Ifthesamestockfallto89,thenthevalueofmoneyrisestonear41/2:ifthesamestockriseto114,thenthevalueofmoneyfallstoabout31/2;andsoinproportion。
According,therefore,asstockisfoundtorise,thepriceofmoneyfalls,andviceversa。
Suppose,then,thepriceofmoneytobeat4percentandthatgovernmentshouldpassalaw,forbiddinganymantolendatabove3percentwhatwouldbetheconsequence?ThisisexactlytheexpedientproposedbyChild:moneythenwasat6percentandheproposes,byalaw,tobringit,allatonce,to4percentwithoutallegingthatmoneywasthencommonlygotbyprivateconventionatsolowarate。
Wouldnottheconsequencebe,thatthecreditorsofprivatepeoplewoulddemandtheirmoney,inordertoget4percentinbuyingstock,andwouldnotthisadditionaldemandforstocksmakethemrise?Ianswerintheaffirmative,unlessmoneycouldbeemployedabroad,soastoproduceatleast4percenttothelenders,freeofallchargeofcommission,etc。Ifitcouldnot,Ihavelittledoubt,butthatmoneywouldsoonfalltothelegalinterestof3percentlandwouldriseto40yearspurchase;andlandedmenwouldprofitoftherise,asChildsayswasthecaseinhistime。Thewholeinconveniencewouldbelimitedtotheimmediateeffectsofthesuddenrevolution;whichwouldoccasionsogreatademanduponthelandedinterestforthecapitalsduebythemastoreducethemtoanutterincapacityofansweringit。
Thismightbe,insomemeasure,prevented,byaclauseintheact,allowingacertaintimefortheliquidationoftheirdebts。
Butwhowillpretendtoforetelltheimmediateconsequencesofsogreatastagnationofcredit,andborrowingonlandsecurity?Thepursesofallmoniedpeople,would,forsometimeatleast,befastshutagainsttheirdemand。Whatashockagain,wouldthisbetoallinlandtrade,whatadiscouragementtoallthemanufacturinginterest,whatdistressuponallcreditorsforaccountsfurnished,anduponthosewhosupplydailywants!I
think,thatalthoughinayearortwo,thefirsteffectsmightcometodisappear,andanotableadvantageresult,inthemain,tothecommercialinterestofGreatBritain,yetthedistressintheintervalmightprovesohurtful,astorenderitquiteintolerable。Thecommonpeoplewholivebytheluxuryoftherich,inthecityofLondon,andwhoareconstantlyactuatedbytheimmediatefeelingsofpresentinconveniences,mightloseallpatience;andbeingblownintoaferment,bytheaddressofthemoniedinterestwhoseconditionwouldbemadetosufferbytheschememightthrowthestateintoconfusion,andevenimpressthenationwithabelief,thathighinterestformoney,insteadofbeinghurtful,wasessentialtotheirprosperity。
Ihavesaidabove,thatifwesupposethatthemoneydrawnfromdebtors,couldnotbeplacedabroad,freeofalldeductions,atarateequaltothethenvalueofmoneysupposedforthesakeofanexample,tobeat4percent,thenmoneywouldfallto3
percentandthestockswouldriseinproportion。
Butletussupposewhatperhapsisthematteroffactthattheextensiveoperationsoftradeandcredit,doactuallyfixanaverageforthepriceofstocks,fromthevalueofmoneyinothernationsinEurope。Wouldnotthentheconsequenceofbringingdowntherateoflegalinterest,belowthislevel,be,tosendoutofthekingdomallthemoneynowcirculatingonprivatesecurity,realandpersonal?Wouldnotthisdestroyallprivatecreditatoneblow?Woulditnothavetheeffectofpreventing,amongindividuals,theloanuponinterestaltogether?WhatwouldbecomeofthebankofEngland,andallotherbanks,whosepaperincirculationisallinthehandsofprivatepeople?Isnoteverymanwhohasabanknote,acreditoronthebank?Andwouldnotthesameinterestwhichmovedothercreditorstoexacttheirdebts,undersuchcircumstances,alsomovemanyholdersofbanknotestodemandpaymentofthem?Wouldnotarunofthisnature,forafewweeksonly,throwthewholenationintothemostdreadfuldistress?Maywenotevensuppose,thatuponsuchanoccasion,themoniedinterestfromacertaintyofdisappointingtheintentionofgovernmentinmakingthelawmightformaconcertamongthemselvestolockuptheirmoney,evenalthoughitshouldremaindeadintheirhandsforafewmonths?Whatwouldthenbecomeoftheimprovementofland?Isthereanindustriousfarmeranywheretobemetwith,whodoesnotborrowmoney,whichhecansoprofitablyturntoaccountuponhisfarm,eventhoughhereceiveitatthehighestlegalinterest?Theseandmanymoreinconveniencesmightmanifestthemselves,weregovernmenttoforcedownthevalueofmoney,beyondtheordinaryoperationsofdemandandcompetition:andtowhatpurposehaverecoursetoauthority,whenitismostcertain,thatwithoutanysuchexpedientthesameendmaybecompassed?
Ifitbetrue,asIbelieveitis,thatthefunds,orpublicdebtsofastatewherecreditiswellestablished,arecommonlynegotiatedabroad;theremust,fromsuchnegotiationsresultanaverageforthevalueofmoney,bytheoperationsofcreditoverthecommercialworld:andifitbetrue,thatnolawcanbeframedsoastorestrainmercantilepeople,andthosewhotradeinmoney,fromturningittothebestaccount;thenallthatshouldbeproposedbygovernment,is,topreservethevalueofitathome,withinthisstandard。Forwhichpurpose,nothingmoreisnecessarythantopreventthecompetitionofthedissipatingclassofinhabitants,fromdisturbingtheratewhichcommercemayestablishfromtimetotime。Thisisaccomplishedbythemethodsabovehintedat,andwhichinthenextchaptershallbemorelargelyinsistedon。If,byprudentmanagement,theconventionalrateofinterest,canthusbebroughtbelowthelegal,thentheremaybenoharmindiminishingthelatterbystatue,nothoweverquitesolowastheconventionalstandard;butsoastoleaveareasonablelatitudeforgentlefluctuationsaboveit。FromwhatI
havesaid,IstillthinkIhadreasontoobjecttoChild’splanforforcingdowntheinterestofmoneybystatute:andhadhelivedtothepresenttime,Iampersuadedhewouldhavecomeintothisopinion。
Chap。VII
MethodsofbringingdowntheRateofInterest,inConsequenceofthePrinciplesofDemandandCompetitionIhopetheargumentsusedintheforegoingchapterwillnotbeconstruedasanapologyforthehighinterestofmoney。
IentirelyagreewithSirJosiahChild,thatlowinterestisthesouloftrade;themostactiveprincipleforpromotingindustry,andtheimprovementofland;andarequisite,withoutwhichitishardlypossiblethatforeigncommercecanlongbesupported。
ThispropositionItaketobeatthistimeuniversallyadmittedtobetrue;anddidthereremain,concerningit,theleastdoubtinthemindofanyone,thewritingsofmany,muchbetterqualifiedthanIcanpretendtobe,andamongtherestthoseoftheauthorjustnowcited,aresufficientlycapabletoremoveit。Ishallnotthereforetroublemyreaderwithachapteruponthishead,butonlyobserve,thatthetermshighandlowareconstantlyrelative。Heretherelationmustbeunderstoodtoregardotherstates,becausewhenwespeakofarateofinterest,wearesupposedtomeansomethinggeneralinthecountrywearespeakingof:accordingly,ifwecouldsupposethat,withinthesamestate,therateofinterestshouldbelowerinonecitythananywhereelse,thiscircumstancewouldgiveanadvantagetosuchacityinallitsmercantileoperations。
Imustfartherobserve,forthesakeofconnectingthispartofoursubjectwithourgeneralplan,thatthelowinterestformoneyismostessentialtosuchstatesascarryonthemostextensiveforeigncommerce。
Intheinfancyofindustry,andbeforetradecomestobeestablished,itisverynaturalthatthecoinofthecountryshouldbefoundinagreatmeasurelockedupintreasures:highinteresttendstobringitforth,andinthisrespectworksagoodeffect。
Inproportionasalienationaugments,moneymaybemultiplied,bythemeltingdownofsolidproperty,ashasbeenexplained;andthenthebusinessofastatesmanwillbetocontriveexpedientsforbringingtherateofitaslowaspossible,inordertosupportforeigntrade,andtorivalallneighbouringnations,whereinterestishigher。Whenforeigntradeagaincomestodecline,fromthemultiplicationofabusesintroducedbyluxury,lowintereststillcontinuestobeuseful,forsupportingpubliccredit,sonecessaryfordefendinganationagainstherenemies。
Ifmoneyconsistedmerelyinthepreciousmetals,whicharenottobefoundineverycountry,butmustbepurchasedwiththeproduceofindustry,andbroughtfromfar;andifnootherexpedientcouldbefallenupontosupplytheirplacefortheusesofcirculation;thenthepossessorsofthesemetalswouldinamannerbemasterstoestablishfortheuseofthemwhatrateofinteresttheythoughtfit。
Butifthisbenotthecase,andifmoneycanbemadeofpaper,tothevalueofallthesolidpropertyofanation,asfarasoccasionisfoundforit,bytheownersofthatproperty,
theuseofthemetalswillbeinamannerreducedtothatofservingasastandard,forascertainingthevalueofthedenominationsofmoneyofaccompt;perhapsforfacilitatingthecirculationofsmallsums,andforpayingabalanceoftradetoothernations。
Whenthiscomestobethecase,astatesmanhasitinhispowertoincreaseordiminishtheextentofcreditandpapermoneyincirculation,byvariousexpedients,whichgreatlyinfluencetherateofinterest。
Theprogressofcredithasbeenveryrapidsincethebeginningofthiscentury。Thishasbeenalmostentirelyowingtothemechanicalcontrivancesoftradingmen。Lawgivershavehithertohadbutimperfectnotionsconcerningthenatureofit;
andtherestillremains,inthewombofnature,somemightygenius,borntogovernacommercialnation,whoalonewillbeabletosetitonitstrueprinciples。Letusinthemeantimespeculateconcerningthem。
Wehavesaid,andeveryonefeels,thatinterestfallsinproportiontotheredundancyofmoneytobelent。
Nowwhatisthismoneybutproperty,ofonekindorother,thrownintocirculation?Ispeakoftradingnations,whoarenotconfinedtothequantityoftheirspeciealone。
Whenamanofpropertywantsmoney,mayhenotgotoabank,whichlendsuponmortgage,andbypledginghissecurity,receivemoney,whichisinthesameinstantcreatedforhisuse?Donotthosenotescirculateaslongastheyarefoundnecessaryforcarryingontheaffairsofthenation?thatistosay,theaccomptsofdebtorsandcreditorsofalldenominations;andassoonasthequantityofthemexceedsthisproportion,theystagnate,andreturnonthedebtorsinthem,thebank,whoisenabledtorealizethem,becausetheoriginalsecurityisstillintheirhands,whichwasatfirstpledgedwhenthenoteswereissued。Thisrealizationiscommonlymadeinthemetals;becausetheyarethemoneyoftheworld:theyarerealandtrueriches,asmuchasland;andtheyhavethisadvantageoverland,thattheyaretransportableeverywhere。
Now,doesitnotappearevident,thatwhatwehavebeendescribingisaround-aboutoperation,whichitispossibletoshorten?
Ibegofmyreader,toattendtoonething;namely,thatIamnotheretreatingof,orproposingaplan,butlabouringtodeduceprinciplesinanintricatesubject。
Isay,whenlandedmengotosuchabank,andreceivepaperforalandsecurity,thatthisoperationmaybeshortened。
Donotthenoteshegetsstandthoughthisbenotexpressed
uponthesecurityofhisland?Now,cananymanassignanyotherreasonbutcustom,whyhisownnotes,caringexpresslyintheirbosomthesamesecurity,mightnotbeissued,withouthisbeingobligedtointerposethebankbetweenthepublicandhimself:Andforwhatdoeshepaythisinterest?Notbecausehehasgratuitouslyreceivedanyvaluefromthebank,sinceinhisobligationhehasgivenafullequivalentforthenotes;buttheobligationhehasgivencarriesinterest,andthenotescarrynone。Why?Becausetheonecirculateslikemoney,theotherdoesnot。Forthisadvantage,therefore,ofcirculation,notforanyadditionalvalue,doesthelandedmanpayinteresttothebank。
Hadlandedmen,andnotmerchants,inventedthismethodofturningtheirpropertyintocirculation,andhadtheybeenallassembledinonebody,withalegislativeauthority,Iimaginetheywouldhavehadwitenoughtofindoutthatalandbankwasathingpracticableinitsnature。
Supposetheyshouldagreethatalltheirlandsshouldbeletbytheacre,andthatlandpropertyshouldbeesteemedatacertainnumberofyearspurchase,inproportiontotherateofinterestatthetime,wherewouldbethegreatdifficultyinpayinginlands?
Thisismerelyahint,towhichathousandobjectionsmaybemade,asmattersstand:allIsay,is,thatthereisnothinghereagainstprinciples;andthoughinconveniencesmightresulttothelandedinterest,ineverywaysuchaplancouldbelaiddown;yetstilltheseinconvenienceswouldhardlycounterbalancethatoflandedmen’sbeingobligedtopayinterestforeverypennytheyborrow。
Itisdemanded,whatadvantagewouldresulttothenationfromsucharegulation?
Ianswer,thatbyitalltheborrowingsoflandedmenwouldbestruckoutofthecompetitionatthemoney-market。Themoniedinterestalonewouldborrowamongthemselvesforthepurposesoftrade,formoniedmendonotborrowtosquander,andlandedmenwouldconsequentlypaywiththeirownpaper,ineverycase,wherenowtheyborrowinordertopay。Thusinterestwouldberegulatedbythedemandsoftrade,andtherateofitwouldnotbedisturbedbythecompetitionofspendthrifts。
Whocansayhowfartheconsequencesofsuchaschememightreach?Mightnotlandedmenbeginintimetoissuenotesbywayofloan,ataveryinconsiderableinterest?ButIamnotdisposedtocarrymyspeculationsfarther:perhapswhathasbeensaidmayappearsufficientlyaerial。
Ifastatesmanshallfindeverymodificationofthisideaimpracticable;eitherfromhisownwantofpower,orofskill,or,whichismoreprobable,fromtheoppositionofthemoniedinterest;hemusttakeothermeasuresforstrikingout,asmuchaspossible,thecompetitionofspendthriftsinthemoney-market。
Entails,andlamesecurities,aregoodexpedients;thoughtheyareproductiveofmanyinconveniences。Hisownfrugaloeconomyinstateaffairswillgomuchfartherthananysuchtriflingexpedients。
Didanationenjoyingpeace,althoughindebtedperhaps140
millionssterling,beginbypayingoffbut2percentoftheircapitalyearly,besidesthecurrentinterest;whilenoneighbouringstatewasborrowingany;whatwouldinterestfalltoinashorttime!Itmaybeanswered,thattheconsequencewouldbe,toenrichothernations;becausethemoneyregorgingathome,wouldbesentabroad。TowhichIreply,byaskinghowanystatecanbeenrichedbytheirborrowing?Andinwhatdoessuchlendingtoforeignersdifferfromthenation’spayingofftheirforeigncreditors?Willnotthereturnofinterestfromabroadcompensate,protanto,thesumssentoutforthelikepurpose?
Butifitbesaid,thattheconsequencewillbetoenableothernationstobringdowntheirownrateofinterest;Iallowittobeso;andsomuchthebetter,aslongasitremainsproportionallylowerwithus;whichitmustdo,aslongaswecanlendabroad。Wehavesaid,andIbelievewithtruth,thatascreditisnowextended,ageneralaverageisstruckeverywhereuponthevalueofmoneywellsecured,consequently,thelowerthatinterestisreducedabroad,thelowerstillwillitremainathome,aslongasmerchantsandexchangersdosubsist。
Fromthiscircumstanceoftheaverageontherateofinterest,theDutchmust,Ithink,havelostthegreatadvantagetheyformerlyenjoyed,fromthelowrateofitinHolland,relativelytoothernations。
InChild’stime,theDutchwerefamiliarlybuyingupsugarsinLondon,abovethepricepaidbyEnglishsugar-bakers;and,notwithstandingtheadditionalfreightandcharges,theygrewrichbytheirtrade,whiletheotherswerehardlymakinganyprofit。Thisheaccountsforfromthelowrateoftheirinterest。
HesupposesbothDutchandEnglishtohavecarriedonthistradewithborrowedmoney;forwhichthefirstpaid3percentandtheother6percent。
Butatpresent,wereitpossibletoget6percentformoneyinLondon,whatDutchmanwouldlendhisfatherashillingat3
percent?TheEnglishstocksareascurrentlyboughtandsold,nay,allthestockjobbingtricksarepractisedwiththesamesubtletyatAmsterdamasinChange-Alley:fromwhichIconclude,thatagreatpartoftheadvantageoflowinterestisnowlosttothatnation;andIconcludefarther,thatitisthecommoninterestofalltradingnationstobringinterestaslowaspossibleeverywhere。
Anothercauseofhighinterestproceedsfromcertainclogslaiduponcirculation,whichflowmerelyfromcustomandprejudice。Ofthisnatureistheobligationlaidupondebtorstopayinthemetals,nothingbutcoinbeingalegaltender。
Theonlyreasonforsucharegulationwastheprecariousnessofcreditinformertimes。Wereallthecirculatingpaperinanationsecuredbylaw,eitheruponthelandsorrevenueofthecountryappropriatedforthatpurpose,therecouldbenoinjusticeorinconvenienceinmakingpapersosecuredalegaltenderinallpayments。Again,howextraordinarymustitappeartoanyreasonableman,thatthesamepaperwhichpassesononesideofariver,runningthroughthesamecountry,shouldnotpassonitsoppositebank?
Thereasonofthisisindeedveryplain:thesubalternjurisdictionsoneachsidearedifferent;andthedebtorsinthepaperaredifferent:butifthepaperofbothstooduponasecurityequallygood,whatistohinderbothtobereceivedasalegaltenderinallpaymentsoverthekingdom?Shouldnotlittleprivateobjectsofprofitamongbankerswhoaretheservantsofthestate,andwhoaresowellpaidfortheirservicebeover-ruled,whentheconsequencesoftheirdisputesarefoundtobesohurtful?Butofthismore,whenwecometospeakofbanks。
Theonlyoccasionwherealargequantityofcoinisnecessaryintheliquidationofpaper,isforpaymentofthebalanceoftradewithforeignnations。Ofthisalsoweshalltreatmoreatlarge,whenwecometothedoctrineofexchange。Butsurelynothingcanbesoilljudged,astocreateanimaginarybalancewithinthesamestate;orrather,topermitmoney-jobberstocreateit;attheexpenceofraisinginterest,andhurtingtrade,intheveryplaceswhereitstandsmostinneedofencouragement。
Fromtheseprinciples,andotherswhichnaturallyflowfromthem,mayastatesmansteeraverycertaincourse,towardsbringingtherateofinterestaslowastheprosperityoftraderequires,ortheprinciplesofdoublecompetitionbetweenborrowersandlenderswillpermit。
Chap。VIII
IstheRateofInterestthecertainmeasureoftheStateofCommerce?
Somepoliticalwritersarefondofeveryexpedienttoreducewithinanarrowcompassmanyquestions,whichbeinginvolvedincombinations,cannotbereducedtooneprinciple。ThisthrowsthemintowhatIcallsystems;ofwhichwehaveanexampleinthequestionnowbeforeus。
Thereisnothingmoredifficultthantodeterminehowfarcommercerunsfavourably,andhowfarunfavourablyforanation。
Thiswouldnotbethecase,weretherateofinterestthecertainmeasureofit。Ihavefoundithoweveradvanced,thatnothingmoreisnecessarytobeknown,inordertoestimatetherelativeprofitsupontheforeigntradeoftwonations,thantocomparethecommonrateofinterestinboth,andtodecidethepreferenceinfavourofthatnationwhereitisfoundtobelowest。
Wemaysayconcerningthisproposition,asconcerningthecourseofexchange;thatthelownessofinterestandofthepriceofexchangearebothexceedinglyfavourabletotrade;buttheyarenoadequatemeasureoftheprofitsarisingfromit。
Thebestargumentinfavourofthisopinionwithregardtointerestis,thatthenationwhichsellsthecheapestatforeignmarketsisconstantlypreferred;and,consequently,wheretheuseofmoneyisthelowest,themerchantcansellthecheapest。
Ianswer,thatthisconsequencewouldbejust,werealltradecarriedonwithborrowedmoney,werethedifferenceofthepriceofthematerialsorfirstmatter,theeaseofprocuringthem,thepromptitudeofpayments,theindustryofthemanufacturer,andhisdexterity,allreckonedfornothing。Butsuchadvantagesarefrequentlyfoundinthesearticles,astobemorethansufficienttocounterbalancetheadditionalinterestwhichmaybepaidforthemoneyemployedintrade。Thisissotrue,thatweseethedexterityaloneoftheworkmanlivinginanexpensivecapital,wherethechargeoflivingmaybedoubleofwhatitisinthecountryenablinghimtoundersellhiscompetitorseverywhere:
thesamemaybetruewithregardtotheotherarticles。Farther,howabsurdisittosay,thatalltradeiscarriedonwithborrowedmoney?Averyinconsiderablepartoftradeiscarriedonwithborrowedmoney,inanycountryinEurope;andthatpart,whichiscarriedonwithborrowedmoney,isnotsomuchcloggedbythehighrateofinterest,asbywantofpunctualityinpayments。Amerchantwhocanturnhismoneyinthreemonths,borrowsascheaplyat6percentasanotherwhoturnshisinsixmonths,whenheborrowsat3percent。
Theobjectoftradeisproduceandmanufacture。Thesearepreparedforthemarketbyfarmersandtradesmen。Letuscomparethevalueofthem,whensoldatmarkettothemerchant,withtheinterestofthemoneyborrowedbythefarmersandtradesmen,inordertocarryontheirindustry,andweshallfindthattheinterestpaidbythem,bearshardlyanyproportionatall,tothevalueofwhattheyproduce。Example。Asheepborrowsnomoneyinordertoproducewool;spinnersandweaversborrownomoneyinordertoenablethemtospinandtoweave。Thusthewholemanufacturecomestomarketwithoutanychargeforinterest。
Dowenotseeeveryday,thatingeniousworkmen,whoobtaincreditforverysmallsums,aresoonenabled,bythemeansoftheirownindustry,toproduceasurprisingvalueinmanufactures,andnotonlytosubsist,buttoincreaseinriches?
Theinteresttheypayforthemoneyborrowedisinconsiderable,whencomparedwiththevalue,createdasitwerebytheproperemploymentoftheirtimeandtalents。
Ifitbesaid,thatthisisavagueassertion,supportedbynoproof;Ianswer,thatthevalueofaman’sworkmaybeestimatedbytheproportionbetweenthemanufacturewhenbroughttomarket,andthefirstmatter。Nothingbutthefirstmatter,andtheinstrumentsofmanufacture,canbeconsideredastheobjectsofborrowedmoney;unlesswegosofarastoestimatethenourishment,andeveryexpenceofthemanufacturer,andsupposethatthesearealsosuppliedfromborrowedmoney。Toaffirmthis,wouldbeturningargumentsintocavil。
Theobject,therefore,ofborrowedmoneyforcarryingontrade,ismorerelativetothemerchantthantothemanufacturer。
Borrowingisnecessaryforcollectingallthisproductandmanufactureintothehandsofmerchants。This,nodoubt,isverycommonlytheoperationofcredit:interestofmoney,here,comesin,toindemnifythegiverofcredit,fortheuseofhismoney:
butthisinterestisduefromthetimeonly,whentheborrowerpaysthosefromwhomhecollects,tothetimehereceivespaymentfromthosetowhomhesells。Thisintervalitisofthehighestimportancetothemerchanttoshorten。Inproportionasitislong,andinproportiontotherateofinterest,hemustraisehisprofits;andinproportionaspaymentsarequickandregular,andinterestlow,hemaydiminishthem。Whethermerchantsdoregulatetheirprofits,inallcommercialnations,accordingtotheexactproportionoftherespectiveratesofinterest,andpromptitudeofpaymentsamongthem;orwhetherthesearedeterminedbythecircumstancesofdemandandcompetitionintheseveralforeignmarketswherethetradeiscarriedon,Ileavetomerchantstodetermine。AllIshallremarkis,thatawellfoundedcredit,andpromptpayments,willdomoreservicetotrade,thananyadvantagetradingmencanreapfromthedifferentrateofinterestindifferentcountries。
Itmustnotbeconcludedfromthis,thatlowinterestisnotaverygreatadvantagetotrade;allIcontendfor,is,thatitisnotthemeasureofit。
Anothercircumstancewhichputsnations,inourdays,muchmoreonalevelthantheywereinformertimes,Ihavealreadyhintedat。Itisthatgeneralaveragewhichthegreatloadsofnationaldebts,andtheextensionofcredit,throughtheseveralnationsofEurope,whopayannuallylargesumsofinteresttotheircreditors,hasestablished。LetmesupposetheDutch,forexample,tohavefixed,byplacard,therateoftheirinterestat3percent。Isay,thatassoonasthegeneralaverageofinterestcomestostandabovethisrate,fromthepriceofpublicfundsinEnglandandFrance,wemaysafelyconclude,thattheirtradecannolongerbecarriedonwithanyveryconsiderablesumofmoneyborrowedat3percent。Theconsequencethenmustbe,tosendthemoneywhichregorgesinthehandsofthefrugalDutch,intoothercountries,whereitcanproduceabetterreturn,exclusiveofallexpencesofremittinganddrawing。WhattheconsequencesofthislendingtoforeignersmaybetoHolland,shallbeafterwardsexamined。
Toconclude;Ireckonitwillbefound,thatwhathadledsometobelievethatlowinterestisthemeasureofcommerce,hasbeenowingtothis;thatinsomeofthemostcommercialcountriesandcitiesinteresthasbeenfoundtobelowerthaningreatkingdoms:butthis,Iimagine,isentirelyowingtothefrugalityoftheirmanners,whichcutsofftheborrowingoftherichforthesakeofdissipation。Whenthisisaccomplished,tradealonewillabsorbthestagnationsofthefrugal,andthepriceofinterestwillfalltothatratewhichisthebestproportionedtotheprofitsuponcommerce;butthisalsowillbelessandlessthecaseeveryday,inproportiontothecreditandcirculationofpublicfundsindifferentnations。