Astheseprojects,howeveroftenslain,alwaysresuscitate,
itisnotsuperfluoustoexamineoneortwoofthefallaciesby
whichtheschemersimposeuponthemselves。Oneofthecommonest
is,thatapapercurrencycannotbeissuedinexcesssolongaS
everynoteissuedrepresentsproperty,orhasafoundationof
actualpropertytoreston。Thesephrases,ofrepresentingand
resting,seldomconveyanydistinctorwell—definedidea:when
theydo,theirmeaningisnomorethanthis——thattheissuers
ofthepapermusthaveproperty,eitheroftheirown,or
entrustedtothem,tothevalueofallthenotestheyissue:
thoughforwhatpurposedoesnotveryclearlyappear;forifthe
propertycannotbeclaimedinexchangeforthenotes,itis
difficulttodivineinwhatmanneritsmereexistencecanserve
toupholdtheirvalue。Ipresume,however,itisintendedasa
guaranteethattheholderswouldbefinallyreimbursed,incase
anyuntowardeventshouldcausethewholeconcerntobewoundup。
Onthistheorytherehavebeenmanyschemesfor"coiningthe
wholelandofthecountryintomoney"andthelike。
Insofarasthisnotionhasanyconnexionatallwith
reason,itseemstooriginateinconfoundingtwoentirely
distinctevils,towhichapapercurrencyisliable。Oneis,the
insolvencyoftheissuers;which,ifthepaperisgroundedon
theircredit——ifitmakesanypromiseofpaymentincash,
eitherondemandoratanyfuturetime——ofcoursedeprivesthe
paperofanyvaLuewhichitderivesfromthepromise。Tothis
evilpapercreditisequallyliable,howevermoderatelyused;and
againstit,aprovisothatallissuesshouldbe"foundedon
property,"asforinstancethatnotesshouldonlybeissuedon
thesecurityofsomevaluablethingexpresslypledgedfortheir
redemption,wouldreallybeefficaciousasaprecaution。Butthe
theorytakesnoaccountofanotherevil,whichisincidenttothe
notesofthemostsolventfirm,company,orgovernment;thatof
beingdepreciatedinvaluefrombeingissuedinexcessive
quantity。Theassignats,duringtheFrenchRevolutionwerean
exampleofacurrencygroundedontheseprinciples。Theassignats
"represented"animmenseamountofhighlyvaluableproperty,
namelythelandsofthecrown,thechurch,themonasteries,and
theemigrants;amountingpossiblytohalftheterritoryof
France。Theywere,infact,ordersorassignmentsonthismassof
land。Therevolutionarygovernmenthadtheideaof"coining"
theselandsintomoney;but,todothemjustice,theydidnot
originallycontemplatetheimmensemultiplicationofissuesto
whichtheywereeventuallydrivenbythefailureofallother
financialresources。Theyimaginedthattheassignatswouldcome
rapidlybacktotheissuersinexchangeforland,andthatthey
shouldbeabletoreissuethemcontinuallyuntilthelandswere
alldisposedof,withouthavingatanytimemorethanavery
moderatequantityincirculation。Theirhopewasfrustrated:the
landdidnotsellsoquicklyastheyexpected;buyerswerenot
inclinedtoinvesttheirmoneyinpossessionswhichwerelikely
toberesumedwithoutcompensationiftheRevolutionsuccumbed:
thebitsofpaperwhichrepresentedland,becomingprodigiously
multiplied,couldnomorekeepuptheirvaluethantheland
itselfwouldhavedoneifithadallbeenbroughttomarketat
once;andtheresultwasthatitatlastrequiredanassignatof
sixhundredfrancstopayforapoundofbutter。
Theexampleoftheassignatshasbeensaidnottobe
conclusive,becauseanassignatonlyrepresentedlandingeneral,
butnotadefinitequantityofland。Tohavepreventedtheir
depreciation,thepropercourse,itisaffirmed,wouldhavebeen
tohavemadeavaluationofalltheconfiscatedpropertyatits
metallicvalue,andtohaveissuedassignatsupto,butnot
beyond,thatlimit;givingtotheholdersarighttodemandany
pieceofland,atitsregisteredvaluation,inexchangefor
assignatstothesameamount。Therecanbenoquestionaboutthe
superiorityofthisplanovertheoneactuallyadopted。Hadthis
coursebeenfollowed,theassignatscouldneverhavebeen
depreciatedtotheinordinatedegreetheywere;for——asthey
wouldhaveretainedalltheirpurchasingpowerinrelationto
land,howevermuchtheymighthavefalleninrespecttoother
things——beforetheyhadlostverymuchoftheirmarketvalue,
theywouldprobablyhavebeenbroughtintobeexchangedfor
land。Itmustberemembered,however,thattheirnotbeing
depreciatedwouldpresupposethatnogreaternumberofthem
continuedincirculationthanwouldhavecirculatediftheyhad
beenconvertibleintocash。Howeverconvenient,therefore,ina
timeofrevolution,thiscurrencyconvertibleintolandondemand
mighthavebeen,asacontrivanceforsellingrapidlyagreat
quantityoflandwiththeleastpossiblesacrifice;itis
difficulttoseewhatadvantageitwouldhave,asthepermanent
systemofacountry,overacurrencyconvertibleintocoin:while
itisnotatalldifficulttoseewhatwouldbeits
disadvantages;sincelandisfarmorevariableinvaluethangold
andsilver;andbesides,land,tomostpersons,beingratheran
encumbrancethanadesirablepossession,excepttobeconverted
intomoney,peoplewouldsubmittoamuchgreaterdepreciation
beforedemandingland,thantheywillbeforedemandinggoldor
silver。(1*)
4Anotherofthefallaciesfromwhichtheadvocatesofan
inconvertiblecurrencyderivesupport,isthenotionthatan
increaseofthecurrencyquickensindustry。Thisideawasset
afloatbyHume,inhisEssayonMoney,andhashadmanydevoted
adherentssince;witnesstheBirminghamcurrencyschool,ofwhom
Mr。Attwoodwasatonetimethemostconspicuousrepresentative。
Mr。Attwoodmaintainedthatariseofpricesproducedbyan
increaseofpapercurrency,stimulateseveryproducertohis
utmostexertions,andbringsallthecapitalandlabourofthe
countryintocompleteemployment;andthatthishasinvariably
happenedinallperiodsofrisingprices,whentherisewasona
sufficientlygreatscale。Ipresume,however,thattheinducement
which,accordingtoMrAttwood,excitedthisunusualardourin
allpersonsengagedinproduction,musthavebeentheexpectation
ofgettingmorecommoditiesgenerally,morerealwealth,in
exchangefortheproduceoftheirlabour,andnotmerelymore
piecesofpaper。Thisexpectation,however,musthavebeen,by
theverytermsofthesupposition,disappointed,since,all
pricesbeingsupposedtoriseequally,noonewasreallybetter
paidforhisgoodsthanbefore。ThosewhoagreewithMr。Attwood
couldonlysucceedinwinningpeopleontotheseunwonted
exertions,byaprolongationofwhatwouldinfactbeadelusion;
contrivingmattersso,thatbyaprogressiveriseofmoney
prices,everyproducershallalwaysseemtobeintheveryactof
obtaininganincreasedremunerationwhichhenever,inreality,
doesobtain。Itisunnecessarytoadverttoanyotherofthe
objectionstothisplan,thanthatofitstotalimpracticability。
Itcalculatesonfindingthewholeworldpersistingforeverin
thebeliefthatmorepiecesofpaperaremoreriches,andnever
discoveringthat,withalltheirpaper,theycannotbuymoreof
anythingthattheycouldbefore。Nosuchmistakewasmadeduring
anyoftheperiodsofhighprices,ontheexperienceofwhich
thisschoollayssomuchstress。AttheperiodswhichMr。Attwood
mistookfortimesofprosperity,andwhichweresimply(asall
periodsofhighprices,underaconvertiblecurrency,mustbe)
timesofspeculation,thespeculatorsdidnotthinktheywere
growingrichbecausethehighpriceswouldlast,butbecausethey
wouldnotlast,andbecausewhoevercontrivedtorealizewhile
theydidlast,wouldfindhimself,aftertherecoil,in
possessionofagreaternumberofpoundssterling,withouttheir
havingbecomeoflessvalue。If,atthecloseofthespeculation,
anissueofpaperhadbeenmade,sufficienttokeeppricesupto
thepointwhichtheyattainedwhenatthehighest,noonewould
havebeenmoredisappointedthanthespeculators;sincethegain
whichtheythoughttohavereapedbyrealizingintime(atthe
expenseoftheircompetitors,whoboughtwhentheysold,andhad
tosellaftertherevulsion)wouldhavefadedawayintheir
hands,andinsteadofittheywouldhavegotnothingexceptafew
morepaperticketstocountby。
Hume’sversionofthedoctrinedifferedinaslightdegree
fromMr。Attwood’s。Hethoughtthatallcommoditieswouldnot
riseinpricesimultaneously,andthatsomepersonstherefore
wouldobtainarealgain,bygettingmoremoneyforwhattheyhad
tosell,whilethethingswhichtheywishedtobuymightnotyet
haverisen。Andthosewhowouldreapthisgainwouldalwaysbe
(heseemstothink)thefirstcomers。Itseemsobvious,however,
thatforeverypersonwhothusgainsmorethanusual,thereis
necessarilysomeotherpersonwhogainsless。Theloser,if
thingstookplaceasHumesupposes,wouldbethesellerofthe
commoditieswhichareslowesttorise;who,bythesupposition,
partswithhisgoodsattheoldprices,topurchaserswhohave
alreadybenefitedbythenew。Thissellerhasobtainedforhis
commodityonlytheaccustomedquantityofmoney,whilethereare
alreadysomethingsofwhichthatmoneywillnolongerpurchase
asmuchasbefore。If,therefore,heknowswhatisgoingon,he
willraisehisprice,andthenthebuyerwillnothavethegain,
whichissupposedtostimulatehisindustry。Butif,onthe
contrary,thesellerdoesnotknowthestateofthecase,and
onlydiscoversitwhenhefinds,inlayinghismoneyout,thatit
doesnotgosofar,hethenobtainslessthantheordinary
remunerationforhislabourandcapital;andiftheother
dealer’sindustryisencouraged,itshouldseemthathismust,
fromtheoppositecause,beimpaired。
5。Thereisnowayinwhichageneralandpermanentriseof
prices,orinotherwords,depreciationofmoney,canbenefit
anybody,exceptattheexpenseofsomebodyelse。Thesubstitution
ofpaperformetalliccurrencyisanationalgain:anyfurther
increaseofpaperbeyondthisisbutaformofrobbery。
Anissueofnotesisamanifestgaintotheissuers,who,
untilthenotesarereturnedforpayment,obtaintheuseofthem
asiftheywerearealcapital:andsolongasthenotesareno
permanentadditiontothecurrency,butmerelysupersedegoldor
silvertothesameamount,thegainoftheissuerisalosstono
one;itisobtainedbysavingtothecommunitytheexpenseofthe
morecostlymaterial。Butifthereisnogoldorsilvertobe
superseded——ifthenotesareaddedtothecurrency,insteadof
beingsubstitutedforthemetallicpartofit——allholdersof
currencylose,bythedepreciationofitsvalue,theexact
equivalentofwhattheissuergains。Ataxisvirtuallyleviedon
themforhisbenefit。Itwillbeobjectedbysome,thatgainsare
alsomadebytheproducersanddealerswho,bymeansofthe
increasedissue,areaccommodatedwithloans。Theirs,however,is
notanadditionalgain,butaportionofthatwhichisreapedby
theissuerattheexpenseofallpossessorsofmoney。Theprofits
arisingfromthecontributionlevieduponthepublic,hedoesnot
keeptohimself,butdivideswithhiscustomers。Butbesidesthe
benefitreapedbytheissuers,orbyothersthroughthem,atthe
expenseofthepublicgenerally,thereisanotherunjustgain
obtainedbyalargerclass,namelybythosewhoareunderfixed
pecuniaryobligations。Allsuchpersonsarefreed,bya
depreciationofthecurrency,fromaportionoftheburthenof
theirdebtsorotherengagements:inotherwords,partofthe
propertyoftheircreditorsisgratuitouslytransferredtothem。
Onasuperficialviewitmaybeimaginedthatthisisan
advantagetoindustry’。sincetheproductiveclassesaregreat
borrowers,andgenerallyowelargerdebtstotheunproductive(if
weincludeamongthelatterallpersonsnotactuallyinbusiness)
thantheunproductiveclassesowetothem;especiallyifthe
nationaldebtbeincluded。Itisonlythusthatageneralriseof
pricescanbeasourceofbenefittoproducersanddealers;by
diminishingthepressureoftheirfixedburthens。Andthismight
beaccountedanadvantage,ifintegrityandgoodfaithwereofno
importancetotheworld,andtoindustryandcommercein
particular。Notmany,however,havebeenfoundtosaythatthe
currencyoughttobedepreciatedonthesimplegroundofits
beingdesirabletorobthenationalcreditorandprivate
creditorsofapartofwhatisintheirbond。Theschemeswhich
havetendedthatwayhavealmostalwayshadsomeappearanceof
specialandcircumstantialjustification,suchasthenecessity
ofcompensatingforapriorinjusticecommittedinthecontrary
direction。
6。ThusinEngland,formanyyearssubsequentto1819,itwas
pertinaciouslycontended,thatalargeportionofthenational
debt,andamultitudeofprivatedebtsstillinexistence,were
contractedbetween1797and1819,whentheBankofEnglandwas
exemptedfromgivingcashforitsnotes;andthatitisgrossly
unjusttoborrowers,(thatis,inthecaseofthenationaldebt,
toalltax—payers)thattheyshouldbepayinginterestonthe
samenominalsumsinacurrencyoffullvalue,whichwere
borrowedinadepreciatedone。Thedepreciation,accordingtothe
viewsandobjectsoftheparticularwriter,wasrepresentedto
haveaveragedthirty,fifty,orevenmorethanfiftypercent:
andtheconclusionwas,thateitherweoughttoreturntothis
depreciatedcurrency,ortostrikeofffromthenationaldebt,
andfrommortgagesorotherprivatedebtsofoldstanding,a
percentagecorrespondingtotheestimatedamountofthe
depreciation。
Tothisdoctrine,thefollowingwastheanswerusuallymade。
Grantingthat,byreturningtocashpaymentswithoutloweringthe
standard,aninjusticewasdonetodebtors,inholdingthem
liableforthesameamountofacurrencyenhancedinvalue,which
theyhadborrowedwhileitwasdepreciated;itisnowtoolateto
makereparationforthisinjury。Thedebtorsandcreditorsof
to—dayarenotthedebtorsandcreditorsof1819:thelapseof
yearshasentirelyalteredthepecuniaryrelationsofthe
community。,anditbeingimpossiblenowtoascertainthe
particularpersonswhowereeitherbenefitedorinjured,to
attempttoretraceourstepswouldnotberedressingawrong,but
superaddingasecondactofwide—spreadinjusticetotheone
alreadycommitted。Thisargumentiscertainlyconclusiveonthe
practicalquestion;butitplacesthehonestconclusionontoo
narrowandtoolowaground。Itconcedesthatthemeasureof
1819,calledPeel’sBill,bywhichcashpaymentswereresumedat
theoriginalstandardof3l。17s。101/2d。,wasreallythe
injusticeitwassaidtobe。Thisisanadmissionwhollyopposed
tothetruth。Parliamenthadnoalternative;itwasabsolutely
boundtoadheretotheacknowledgedstandard;asmaybeshownon
threedistinctgrounds,twooffact,andoneofprinciple。
Thereasonsoffactarethese。Inthefirstplaceitisnot
truethatthedebts,privateorpublic,incurredduringtheBank
restriction,werecontractedinacurrencyoflowervaluethan
thatinwhichtheinterestisnowpaid。Itisindeedtruethat
thesuspensionoftheobligationtopayinspecie,didputitin
thepoweroftheBanktodepreciatethecurrency。Itistruealso
thattheBankreallyexercisedthatpower,thoughtoafarless
extentthanisoftenpretended;sincethedifferencebetweenthe
marketpriceofgoldandtheMintvaluation,duringthegreater
partoftheinterval,wasverytrifling,andwhenitwas
greatest,duringthelastfiveyearsofthewar,didnotmuch
exceedthirtypercent。Totheextentofthatdifference,the
currencywasdepreciated,thatis,itsvaluewasbelowthatof
thestandardtowhichitprofessedtoadhere。Butthestateof
Europeatthattimewassuch——therewassounusualan
absorptionofthepreciousmetals,byhoarding,andinthe
militarychestsofthevastarmieswhichthendesolatedthe
Continent,thatthevalueofthestandarditselfwasvery
considerablyraised:andthebestauthorities,amongwhomitis
sufficienttonameMrTooke,have,afteranelaborate
investigation,satisfiedthemselvesthatthedifferencebetween
paperandbullionwasnotgreaterthantheenhancementinvalue
ofgolditself,andthatthepaper,thoughdepreciatedrelatively
tothethenvalueofgold,didnotsinkbelowtheordinaryvalue,
atothertimes,eitherofgoldorofaconvertiblepaper。Ifthis
betrue(andtheevidencesofthefactareconclusivelystatedin
Mr。Tooke’sHistoryofPrices)thefoundationofthewholecase
againstthefundholderandothercreditorsonthegroundof
depreciationissubverted。
But,secondly,evenifthecurrencyhadreallybeenlowered
invalueateachperiodoftheBankrestriction,inthesame
degreeinwhichitwasdepreciatedinrelationtoitsstandard,
wemustrememberthatapartonlyofthenationaldebt,orof
otherpermanentengagements,wasincurredduringtheBank
restriction。Alargeparthadbeencontractedbefore1797;a
stilllargerduringtheearlyyearsoftherestriction,whenthe
differencebetweenpaperandgoldwasyetsmall。Totheholders
oftheformerpart,aninjurywasdone,bypayingtheinterest
fortwenty—twoyearsinadepreciatedcurrency:thoseofthe
second,sufferedaninjuryduringtheyearsinwhichtheinterest
waspaidinacurrencymoredepreciatedthanthatinwhichthe
loanswerecontracted。Tohaveresumedcashpaymentsatalower
standardwouldhavebeentoperpetuatetheinjurytothesetwo
classesofcreditors,inordertoavoidgivinganunduebenefit
toathirdclass,whohadlenttheirmoneyduringthefewyears
ofgreatestdepreciation。Asitis,therewasanunderpaymentto
onesetofpersons,andanoverpaymenttoanother。ThelateMr。
Mushettookthetroubletomakeanarithmeticalcomparison
betweenthetwoamounts。Heascertainedbycalculation,thatif
anaccounthadbeenmadeoutin1819,ofwhatthefundholdershad
gainedandlostbythevariationofthepapercurrencyfromits
standard,theywouldhavebeenfoundasabodytohavebeen
losers;sothatifanycompensationwasdueonthegroundof
depreciation,itwouldnotbefromthefundholderscollectively,
buttothem。
Thusitiswiththefactsofthecase。Butthesereasonsof
factarenotthestrongest。Thereisareasonofprinciple,still
morepowerful。Supposethat,notapartofthedebtmerely,but
thewhole,hadbeencontractedinadepreciatedcurrency,
depreciatednotonlyincomparisonwithitsstandard,butwith
itsownvaluebeforeandafter;andthatwewerenowpayingthe
interestofthisdebtinacurrencyfiftyorevenahundredper
centmorevaluablethanthatinwhichitwascontracted。What
differencewouldthismakeintheobligationofpayingit,ifthe
conditionthatitshouldbesopaidwaspartoftheoriginal
compact?Nowthisisnotonlytruth,butlessthanthetruth。The
compactstipulatedbettertermsforthefundholderthanhehas
received。DuringthewholecontinuanceoftheBankrestriction,
therewasaparliamentarypledge,bywhichthelegislaturewasas
muchboundasanylegislatureiscapableofbindingitself,that
cashpaymentsshouldberesumedontheoriginalfooting,at
farthestinsixmonthsaftertheconclusionofageneralpeace。
Thiswasthereforeanactualconditionofeveryloan;andthe
termsoftheloanweremorefavourableinconsiderationofit。
Withoutsomesuchstipulation,theGovernmentcouldnothave
expectedtoborrow,unlessonthetermsonwhichloansaremade
tothenativeprincesofIndia。Ifithadbeenunderstoodand
avowedthat,afterborrowingthemoney,thestandardatwhichit
wascommutedmightbepermanentlylowered,toanyextentwhichto
the"collectivewisdom"ofalegislatureofborrowersmightseem
fit——whocansaywhatrateofinterestwouldhavebeena
sufficientinducementtopersonsofcommonsensetorisktheir
savingsinsuchanadventure?Howevermuchthefundholdershad
gainedbytheresumptionofcashpayments,thetermsofthe
contractinsuredtheirgivingamplevalueforit。Theygavevalue
formorethantheyreceived;sincecashpaymentswerenotresumed
insixmonths,butinasmanyyears,afterthepeace。Sothat
wavingallourargumentsexceptthelast,andconcedingallthe
factsassertedontheothersideofthequestion,the
fundholders,insteadofbeingundulybenefited,aretheinjured
party;andwouldhaveaclaimtocompensation,ifsuchclaims
werenotveryproperlybarredbytheimpossibilityof
adjudication,andbythesalutarygeneralmaximoflawand
policy,"quodinterestreipublicaeutsitfinislitium。"
NOTES:
1。Amongtheschemesofcurrencytowhich,strangetosay,
intelligentwritershavebeenfoundtogivetheirsanction,one
isasfollows:thatthestateshouldreceiveinpledgeor
mortgage,anykindoramountofproperty,suchasland,stock,
&c。,andshouldadvancetotheownersinconvertiblepapermoney
totheestimatedvalue。Suchacurrencywouldnotevenhavethe
recommendationsoftheimaginaryassignatssupposedinthetext:
sincethoseintowhosehandsthenoteswerepaidbythepersons
whoreceivedthem,couldnotreturnthemtotheGovernment,and
demandinexchangelandorstockwhichwasonlypledged,not
alienated。Therewouldbenorefluxofsuchassignatsasthese,
andtheirdepreciationwouldbeindefinite。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter14
OfExcessofSupply
1。Aftertheelementaryexpositionofthetheoryofmoney
containedinthelastfewchapters,weshallreturntoaquestion
inthegeneraltheoryofValue,whichcouldnotbesatisfactorily
discusseduntilthenatureandoperationsofMoneywereinsome
measureunderstood,becausetheerrorsagainstwhichwehaveto
contendmainlyoriginateinamisunderstandingofthose
operations。
Wehaveseenthatthevalueofeverythinggravitatestowards
acertainmediumpoint(whichhasbeencalledtheNaturalValue),
namely,thatatwhichitexchangesforeveryotherthinginthe
ratiooftheircostofproduction。Wehaveseen,too,thatthe
actualormarketvaluecoincides,ornearlyso,withthenatural
value,onlyonanaverageofyears;andiscontinuallyeither
risingabove,orfallingbelowit,fromalterationsinthe
demand,orcasualfluctuationsinthesupply:butthatthese
variationscorrectthemselves,throughthetendencyofthesupply
toaccommodateitselftothedemandwhichexistsforthe
commodityatitsnaturalvalue。Ageneralconvergencethus
resultsfromthebalanceofoppositedivergences。Dearth,or
scarcity,ontheonehand,andover—supply,orinmercantile
language,glut,ontheother,areincidenttoallcommodities。In
thefirstcase,thecommodityaffordstotheproducersor
sellers,whilethedeficiencylasts,anunusuallyhighrateof
profit:inthesecond,thesupplybeinginexcessofthatfor
whichademandexistsatsuchavalueaswillaffordtheordinary
profit,thesellersmustbecontentwithless,andmust,in
extremecases,submittoaloss。
Becausethisphenomenonofover—supply,andconsequent
inconvenienceorlosstotheproducerordealer,mayexistinthe
caseofanyonecommoditywhatever,manypersons,includingsome
distinguishedpoliticaleconomists,havethoughtthatitmay
existwithregardtoallcommodities;thattheremaybeageneral
over—productionofwealth;asupplyofcommoditiesinthe
aggregate,surpassingthedemand;andaconsequentdepressed
conditionofallclassesofproducers。Againstthisdoctrine,of
whichMr。MalthusandDr。Chalmersinthiscountry,andM。de
SismondiontheContinent,werethechiefapostles,Ihave
alreadycontendedintheFirstBook;(1*)butitwasnotpossible,
inthatstageofourinquiry,toenterintoacomplete
examinationofanerror(asIconceive)essentiallygroundedona
misunderstandingofthephenomenaofValueandPrice。The
doctrineappearstometoinvolvesomuchinconsistencyinits
veryconception,thatIfeelconsiderabledifficultyingiving
anystatementofitwhichshallbeatonceclear,and
satisfactorytoitssupporters。Theyagreeinmaintainingthat
theremaybe,andsometimesis,anexcessofproductionsin
generalbeyondthedemandforthem;thatwhenthishappens,
purchaserscannotbefoundatpriceswhichwillrepaythecostof
productionwithaprofit;thatthereensuesageneraldepression
ofpricesorvalues(theyareseldomaccurateindiscriminating
betweenthetwo),sothatproducers,themoretheyproduce,find
themselvesthepoorer,insteadofricher;andDrChalmers
accordinglyinculcatesoncapitaliststhepracticeofamoral
restraintinreferencetothepursuitofgain;whileSismondi
deprecatesmachinery,andthevariousinventionswhichincrease
productivepower。Theybothmaintainthataccumulationofcapital
mayproceedtoofast,notmerelyforthemoral,butforthe
materialinterestsofthosewhoproduceandaccumulate;andthey
enjointherichtoguardagainstthisevilbyanample
unproductiveconsumption。
2。Whenthesewritersspeakofthesupplyofcommoditiesas
outrunningthedemand,itisnotclearwhichofthetwoelements
ofdemandtheyhaveinview—thedesiretopossess,orthemeans
ofpurchase;whethertheirmeaningisthatthereare,insuch
cases,moreconsumableproductsinexistencethanthepublic
desirestoconsume,ormerelymorethanitisabletopayfor。In
thisuncertainty,itisnecessarytoexaminebothsuppositions。
First,letussupposethatthequantityofcommodities
producedisnotgreaterthanthecommunitywouldbegladto
consume:isit,inthatcase,possiblethatthereshouldbea
deficiencyofdemandforallcommodities,forwantofthemeans
ofpayment?Thosewhothinksocannothaveconsideredwhatitis
whichconstitutesthemeansofpaymentforcommodities。Itis
simplycommodities。Eachperson’smeansofpayingforthe
productionsofotherpeopleconsistsofthosewhichhehimself
possesses。Allsellersareinevitablyandexviterminibuyers。
Couldwesuddenlydoubletheproductivepowersofthecountry,we
shoulddoublethesupplyofcommoditiesineverymarket;butwe
should,bythesamestroke,doublethepurchasingpower。
Everybodywouldbringadoubledemandaswellassupply:
everybodywouldbeabletobuytwiceasmuch,becauseeveryone
wouldhavetwiceasmuchtoofferinexchange。Itisprobable,
indeed,thattherewouldnowbeasuperfluityofcertainthings。
althoughthecommunitywouldwillinglydoubleitsaggregate
consumption,itmayalreadyhaveasmuchasitdesiresofsome
commodities,anditmayprefertodomorethandoubleits
consumptionofothers,ortoexerciseitsincreasedpurchasing
poweronsomenewthing。Ifso,thesupplywilladaptitself
accordingly,andthevaluesofthingswillcontinuetoconformto
theircostofproduction。Atanyrate,itisasheerabsurdity
thatallthingsshouldfallinvalue,andthatallproducers
should,inconsequence,beinsufficientlyremunerated。Ifvalues
remainthesame,whatbecomesofpricesisimmaterial,sincethe
remunerationofproducersdoesnotdependonhowmuchmoney,but
onhowmuchofconsumablearticles,theyobtainfortheirgoods。
Besides,moneyisacommodity;andifallcommoditiesare
supposedtobedoubledinquantity,wemustsupposemoneytobe
doubledtoo,andthenpriceswouldnomorefallthanvalues
would。
3。Ageneralover—supply,orexcessofallcommoditiesabove
thedemand,sofarasdemandconsistsinmeansofpayment,is
thusshowntobeanimpossibility。Butitmayperhapshesupposed
thatitisnottheabilitytopurchase,butthedesireto
possess,thatfallsshort,andthatthegeneralproduceof
industrymaybegreaterthanthecommunitydesirestoconsume——
thepart,atleast,ofthecommunitywhichhasanequivalentto
give。Itisevidentenough,thatproducemakesamarketfor
produce,andthatthereiswealthinthecountrywithwhichto
purchaseallthewealthinthecountry;butthosewhohavethe
means,maynothavethewants,andthosewhohavethewantsmay
bewithoutthemeans。Aportion,therefore,ofthecommodities
producedmaybeunabletofindamarket,fromtheabsenceof
meansinthosewhohavethedesiretoconsume,andthewantof
desireinthosewhohavethemeans。
Thisismuchthemostplausibleformofthedoctrine,and
doesnot,likethatwhichwefirstexamined,involvea
contradiction。Theremayeasilybeagreaterquantityofany
particularcommoditythanisdesiredbythosewhohavethe
abilitytopurchase,anditisabstractedlyconceivablethatthis
mightbethecasewithallcommodities。Theerrorisinnot
perceivingthatthoughallwhohaveanequivalenttogive,might
befullyprovidedwitheveryconsumablearticlewhichthey
desire,thefactthattheygoonaddingtotheproductionproves
thatthisisnotactuallythecase。Assumethemostfavourable
hypothesisforthepurpose,thatofalimitedcommunity,every
memberofwhichpossessesasmuchofnecessariesandofallknown
luxuriesashedesires:andsinceitisnotconceivablethat
personswhosewantswerecompletelysatisfiedwouldlabourand
economizetoobtainwhattheydidnotdesire,supposethata
foreignerarrivesandproducesanadditionalquantityof
somethingofwhichtherewasalreadyenough。Here,itwillbe
said,isover—production:true,Ireply;over—productionofthat
particulararticle:thecommunitywantednomoreofthat,butit
wantedsomething。Theoldinhabitants,indeed,wantednothing;
butdidnottheforeignerhimselfwantsomething?Whenhe
producedthesuperfluousarticle,washelabouringwithouta
motive?Hehasproduced,butthewrongthinginsteadofthe
right。Hewanted,perhaps,food,andhasproducedwatches,with
whicheverybodywassufficientlysupplied。Thenewcomerbrought
withhimintothecountryademandforcommodities,equaltoall
thathecouldproducebyhisindustry,anditwashisbusinessto
seethatthesupplyhebroughtshouldbesuitabletothatdemand。
Ifhecouldnotproducesomethingcapableofexcitinganewwant
ordesireinthecommunity,forthesatisfactionofwhichsome
onewouldgrowmorefoodandgiveittohiminexchange,hehad
thealternativeofgrowingfoodforhimself;eitheronfresh
land,iftherewasanyunoccupied,orasatenant,orpartner,or
servant,ofsomeformeroccupier,willingtobepartially
relievedfromlabour。Hehasproducedathingnotwanted,instead
ofwhatwaswanted;andhehimself,perhaps,isnotthekindof
producerwhoiswanted;butthereisnoover—production;
productionisnotexcessive,butmerelyillassorted。Wesaw
before,thatwhoeverbringsadditionalcommoditiestothemarket,
bringsanadditionalpowerofpurchase;wenowseethathebrings
alsoanadditionaldesiretoconsume;sinceifhehadnotthat
desire,hewouldnothavetroubledhimselftoproduce。Neitherof
theelementsofdemand,therefore,canbewanting,whenthereis
anadditionalsupply;thoughitisperfectlypossiblethatthe
demandmaybeforonething,andthesupplymayunfortunately
consistofanother。
Driventohislastretreat,anopponentmayperhapsallege,
thattherearepersonswhoproduceandaccumulatefrommere
habit;notbecausetheyhaveanyobjectingrowingricher,or
desiretoaddinanyrespecttotheirconsumption,butfromvis
inertiae。Theycontinueproducingbecausethemachineisready
mounted,andsaveandre—investtheirsavingsbecausetheyhave
nothingonwhichtheycaretoexpendthem。Igrantthatthisis
possible,andinsomefewinstancesprobablyhappens;butthese
donotinthesmallestdegreeaffectourconclusion。For,whatdo
thesepersonsdowiththeirsavings?Theyinvestthem
productively。thatis,expendtheminemployinglabour。Inother
words,havingapurchasingpowerbelongingtothem,morethan
theyknowwhattodowith,theymakeoverthesurplusofitfor
thegeneralbenefitofthelabouringclass。Now,willthatclass
alsonotknowwhattodowithit?Arewetosupposethattheytoo
havetheirwantsperfectlysatisfied,andgoonlabouringfrom
merehabit?Untilthisisthecase;untiltheworkingclasses
havealsoreachedthepointofsatiety—therewillbenowantof
demandfortheproduceofcapital,howeverrapidlyitmay
accumulate:since,ifthereisnothingelseforittodo,itcan
alwaysfindemploymentinproducingthenecessariesorluxuries
ofthelabouringclass。Andwhentheytoohadnofurtherdesire
fornecessariesorluxuries,theywouldtakethebenefitofany
furtherincreaseofwagesbydiminishingtheirwork;sothatthe
over—productionwhichthenforthefirsttimewouldbepossible
inidea,couldnoteventhentakeplaceinfact,forwantof
labourers。Thus,inwhatevermannerthequestionislookedat,
eventhoughwegototheextremevergeofpossibilitytoinventa
suppositionfavourabletoit,thetheoryofgeneral
over—productionimpliesanabsurdity。
4。Whatthenisitbywhichmenwhohavereflectedmuchon
economicalphenomena,andhaveevencontributedtothrownew
lightuponthembyoriginalspeculations,havebeenledto
embracesoirrationaladoctrine?Iconceivethemtohavebeen
deceivedbyamistakeninterpretationofcertainmercantile
facts。Theyimaginedthatthepossibilityofageneraloversupply
ofcommoditieswasprovedbyexperience。Theybelievedthatthey
sawthisphenomenonincertainconditionsofthemarkets,the
trueexplanationofwhichistotallydifferent。
Ihavealreadydescribedthestateofthemarketsfor
commoditieswhichaccompanieswhatistermedacommercialcrisis。
Atsuchtimesthereisreallyanexcessofallcommoditiesabove
themoneydemand:inotherwords,thereisanunder—supplyof
money。Fromthesuddenannihilationofagreatmassofcredit,
everyonedislikestopartwithreadymoney,andmanyareanxious
toprocureitatanysacrifice。Almosteverybodythereforeisa
seller,andtherearescarcelyanybuyers;sothattheremay
reallybe,thoughonlywhilethecrisislasts,anextreme
depressionofgeneralprices,fromwhatmaybeindiscriminately
calledaglutofcommoditiesoradearthofmoney。Butitisa
greaterrortosuppose,withSismondi,thatacommercialcrisis
istheeffectofageneralexcessofproduction。Itissimplythe
consequenceofanexcessofspeculativepurchases。Itisnota
gradualadventoflowprices,hutasuddenrecoilfromprices
extravagantlyhigh:itsimmediatecauseisacontractionof
credit,andtheremedyis,notadilutionofsupply,butthe
restorationofconfidence。Itisalsoevidentthatthistemporary
derangementofmarketsisanevilonlybecauseitistemporary。
Thefallbeingsolelyofmoneyprices,ifpricesdidnotrise
againnodealerwouldlose,sincethesmallerpricewouldbe
worthasmuchtohimasthelargerpricewasbefore。Innomanner
doesthisphenomenonanswertothedescriptionwhichthese
celebratedeconomistshavegivenoftheevilofover—production。
Thepermanentdeclineinthecircumstancesofproducers,forwant
ofmarkets,whichthosewriterscontemplate,isaconceptionto
whichthenatureofacommercialcrisisgivesnosupport。
Theotherphenomenonfromwhichthenotionofageneral
excessofwealthandsuperfluityofaccumulationseemstoderive
countenance,isoneofamorepermanentnature,namely,thefall
ofprofitsandinterestwhichnaturallytakesplacewiththe
progressofpopulationandproduction。Thecauseofthisdecline
ofprofitistheincreasedcostofmaintaininglabour,which
resultsfromanincreaseofpopulationandofthedemandfor
food,outstrippingtheadvanceofagriculturalimprovement。This
importantfeatureintheeconomicalprogressofnationswill
receivefullconsiderationanddiscussioninthesucceeding
Book。(2*)Itisobviouslyatotallydifferentthingfromawant
ofmarketforcommodities,thoughoftenconfoundedwithitinthe
complaintsoftheproducingandtradingclasses。Thetrue
interpretationofthemodernorpresentstateofindustrial
economy,is,thatthereishardlyanyamountofbusinesswhich
maynotbedone,ifpeoplewillbecontenttodoitonsmall
profits;andthis,allactiveandintelligentpersonsinbusiness
perfectlywellknow。buteventhosewhocomplywiththe
necessitiesoftheirtime,grumbleatwhattheycomplywith,and
wishthattherewerelesscapital,orastheyexpressit,less
competition,inorderthattheremightbegreaterprofits。Low
profits,however,areadifferentthingfromdeficiencyof
demand;andtheproductionandaccumulationwhichmerelyreduce
profits,cannotbecalledexcessofsupplyorofproduction。What
thephenomenonreallyis,anditseffectsandnecessarylimits,
willbeseenwhenwetreatofthatexpresssubject。
Iknownotofanyeconomicalfacts,exceptthetwoIhave
specified,whichcanhavegivenoccasiontotheopinionthata
generalover—productionofcommoditieseverpresenteditselfin
actualexperience。Iamconvincedthatthereisnofactin
commercialaffairs,which,inordertoitsexplanation,standsin
needofthatchimericalsupposition。
Thepointisfundamental;anydifferenceofopiniononit
involvesradicallydifferentconceptionsofPoliticalEconomy,
especiallyinitspracticalaspect。Ontheoneview,wehaveonly
toconsiderhowasufficientproductionmaybecombinedwiththe
bestpossibledistribution;butontheotherthereisathird
thingtobeconsidered—howamarketcanbecreatedforproduce,
orhowproductioncanbelimitedtothecapabilitiesofthe
market。Besides;atheorysoessentiallyself—contradictory
cannotintrudeitselfwithoutcarryingconfusionintothevery
heartofthesubject,andmakingitimpossibleeventoconceive
withanydistinctnessmanyofthemorecomplicatedeconomical
workingsofsociety。Thiserrorhasbeen,Iconceive,fatalto
thesystems,assystems,ofthethreedistinguishedeconomiststo
whomIbeforereferred,Malthus,Chalmers,andSismondi;allof
whomhaveadmirablyconceivedandexplainedseveralofthe
elementarytheoremsofpoliticaleconomy,butthisfatal
misconceptionhasspreaditselflikeaveilbetweenthemandthe
moredifficultportionsofthesubject,notsufferingonerayof
lighttopenetrate。Stillmoreisthissameconfusedidea
constantlycrossingandbewilderingthespeculationsofminds
inferiortotheirs。Itisbutjusticetotwoeminentnames,to
callattentiontothefact,thatthemeritofhavingplacedthis
mostimportantpointinitstruelight,belongsprincipally,on
theContinent,tothejudiciousJ。B。Say,andinthiscountryto
MrMill;who(besidestheconclusiveexpositionwhichhegaveof
thesubjectinhisElementsofPoliticalEconomy)hadsetforth
thecorrectdoctrinewithgreatforceandclearnessinanearly
pamphlet,calledforthbyatemporarycontroversy,andentitled,
"CommerceDefended;"thefirstofhiswritingswhichattainedany
celebrity,andwhichhepriedmoreashavingbeenhisfirst
introductiontothefriendshipofDavidRicardo,themostvalued
andmostintimatefriendshipofhislife。
NOTES:
1。Supra,vol。i。pp。66—8。
2。Infra,bookiv。chap。4。
ThePrinciplesofPoliticalEconomy
byJohnStuartMill
Book3:Distribution
Chapter15
OfaMeasureofValue
1。Therehasbeenmuchdiscussionamongpoliticaleconomists
respectingaMeasureofValue。Animportancehasbeenattachedto
thesubject,greaterthanitdeserved,andwhathasbeenwritten
respectingithascontributednotalittletothereproachof
logomachy,whichisbrought,withmuchexaggeration,butnot
altogetherwithoutground,againstthespeculationsofpolitical
economists。Itisnecessaryhowevertotouchuponthesubject,if
onlytoshowhowlittlethereistobesaidonit。
AMeasureofValue,intheordinarysenseoftheword
measure,wouldmean,something,bycomparisonwithwhichwemay
ascertainwhatisthevalueofanyotherthing。Whenweconsider
farther,thatvalueitselfisrelative,andthattwothingsare
necessarytoconstituteit,independentlyofthethirdthing
whichistomeasureit;wemaydefineaMeasureofValuetobe
something,bycomparingwithwhichanytwootherthings,wemay
infertheirvalueinrelationtooneanother。
Inthissense,anycommoditywillserveasameasureofvalue
atagiventimeandplace;sincewecanalwaysinferthe
proportioninwhichthingsexchangeforoneanother,whenweknow
theproportioninwhicheachexchangesforanythirdthing。To
serveasaconvenientmeasureofvalueisoneofthefunctionsof
thecommodityselectedasamediumofexchange。Itisinthat
commoditythatthevaluesofallotherthingsarehabitually
estimated。Wesaythatonethingisworth2l。,another3l。;and
itisthenknownwithoutexpressstatement,thatoneisworth
two—thirdsoftheother,orthatthethingsexchangeforone
anotherintheproportionof2to3。Moneyisacompletemeasure
oftheirvalue。
Butthedesideratumsoughtbypoliticaleconomistsisnota
measureofthevalueofthingsatthesametimeandplace,buta
measureofthevalueofthesamethingatdifferenttimesand
places:somethingbycomparisonwithwhichitmaybeknown
whetheranygiventhingisofgreaterorlessvaluenowthana
centuryago,orinthiscountrythaninAmericaorChina。Andfor
thisalso,money,oranyothercommodity,willservequiteas
wellasatthesametimeandplace,providedwecanobtainthe
samedata;providedweareabletocomparewiththemeasurenot
onecommodityonly,butthetwoormorewhicharenecessaryto
theideaofvalue。Ifwheatisnow40s。thequarter,andafat
sheepthesame,andifinthetimeofHenrytheSecondwheatwas
20s。,andasheep10s。,weknowthataquarterofwheatwasthen
worthtwosheep,andisnowonlyworthone,andthatthevalue
thereforeofasheep,estimatedinwheat,istwiceasgreatasit
wasthen;quiteindependentlyofthevalueofmoneyatthetwo
periods,eitherinrelationtothosetwoarticles(inrespectto
bothofwhichwesupposeittohavefallen),ortoother
commodities,inrespecttowhichweneednotmakeany
supposition。
Whatseemstobedesired,however,bywritersonthesubject,
issomemeansofascertainingthevalueofacommoditybymerely
comparingitwiththemeasure,withoutreferringitspeciallyto
anyothergivencommodity。Theywouldwishtobeable,fromthe
merefactthatwheatisnow40s。thequarter,andwasformerly
20s。,todecidewhetherwheathasvariedinitsvalue,andin
whatdegree,withoutselectingasecondcommodity,suchasa
sheep,tocompareitwith;becausetheyaredesirousofknowing,
nothowmuchwheathasvariedinvaluerelativelytosheep,but
howmuchithasvariedrelativelytothingsingeneral。
Thefirstobstaclearisesfromthenecessaryindefiniteness
oftheideaofgeneralexchangevalue——valueinrelationnotto
someonecommodity,buttocommoditiesatlarge。Evenifweknew
exactlyhowmuchaquarterofwheatwouldhavepurchasedatthe
earlierperiod,ofeverymarketablearticleconsidered
separately,andthatitwillnowpurchasemoreofsomethingsand
lessofothers,weshouldoftenfinditimpossibletosaywhether
ithadrisenorfalleninrelationtothingsingeneral。Howmuch
moreimpossible,whenweonlyknowhowithasvariedinrelation
tothemeasure。Toenablethemoneypriceofathingattwo
differentperiodstomeasurethequantityofthingsingeneral
whichitwillexchangefor,thesamesumofmoneymustcorrespond
atbothperiodstothesamequantityofthingsingeneral,that
is,moneymustalwayshavethesameexchangevalue,thesame
generalpurchasingpower。Now,notonlyisthisnottrueof
money,orofanyothercommodity,butwecannotevensupposeany
stateofcircumstancesinwhichitwouldbetrue。
2。Ameasureofexchangevalue,therefore,beingimpossible,
writershaveformedanotionofsomething,underthenameofa
measureofvalue,whichwouldbemoreproperlytermedameasure
ofcostofproduction。Theyhaveimaginedacommodityinvariably
producedbythesamequantityoflabour;towhichsuppositionit
isnecessarytoadd,thatthefixedcapitalemployedinthe
productionmustbearalwaysthesameproportiontothewagesof
theimmediatelabour,andmustbealwaysofthesamedurability:
inshort,thesamecapitalmustbeadvancedforthesamelength
oftime,sothattheelementofvaluewhichconsistsofprofits,
aswellasthatwhichconsistsofwages,maybeunchangeable。We
shouldthenhaveacommodityalwaysproducedunderoneandthe
samecombinationofallthecircumstanceswhichaffectpermanent
value。Suchacommoditywouldbebynomeansconstantinits
exchangevalue;for(evenwithoutreckoningthetemporary
fluctuationsarisingfromsupplyanddemand)itsexchangevalue
wouldbealteredbyeverychangeinthecircumstancesof
productionofthethingsagainstwhichitwasexchanged。Butif
thereexistedsuchacommodity,weshouldderivethisadvantage
fromit,thatwheneveranyotherthingvariedpermanentlyin
relationtoit,weshouldknowthatthecauseofvariationwas
notinit,butintheotherthing。Itwouldthusbesuitedto
serveasameasure,notindeedofthevalueofotherthings,but
oftheircostofproduction。Ifacommodityacquiredagreater
permanentpurchasingpowerinrelationtotheinvariable
commodity,itscostofproductionmusthavebecomegreater;and
inthecontrarycase,less。Thismeasureofcost,iswhat
politicaleconomistshavegenerallymeantbyameasureofvalue。
Butameasureofcost,thoughperfectlyconceivable,canno
moreexistinfact,thanameasureofexchangevalue。Thereisno
commoditywhichisinvariableinitscostofproduction。Goldand
silveraretheleastvariable,buteventheseareliableto
changesintheircostofproduction,fromtheexhaustionofold
sourcesofsupply,thediscoveryofnew,andimprovementsinthe
modeofworking。Ifweattempttoascertainthechangesinthe
costofproductionofanycommodityfromthechangesinitsmoney
price,theconclusionwillrequiretobecorrectedbythebest
allowancewecanmakefortheintermediatechangesinthecostof
theproductionofmoneyitself。