1810
TheHighPriceofBullion,aProofoftheDepreciationofBankNotes。
byDavidRicardoLondon:PrintedforJohnMurray,32,Fleet-Street;AndSoldbyEveryOtherBooksellerinTownandCountry1810
IntroductionThewriterofthefollowingpageshasalreadysubmittedsomereflectionstotheattentionofthepublic,onthesubjectofpaper-currency,throughthemediumoftheMorningChronicle。Hehasthoughtpropertorepublishhissentimentsonthisquestioninaformmorecalculatedtobringittofairdiscussion;andhisreasonsforsodoing,are,thathehasseen,withthegreatestalarm,theprogressivedepreciationofthepaper-currency。Hisfearshavebeenaugmentedbyobserving,thatbyagreatpartofthepublicthisdepreciationisaltogetherdenied,andthatbyothers,whoadmitthefact,itisimputedtoanycausebutthatwhichtohimappearstherealone。Beforeanyremedycanbesuccessfullyappliedtoanevilofsuchmagnitude,itisessentialthatthereshouldbenodoubtastoitscause。Thewriterproposes,fromtheadmittedprinciplesofpoliticaleconomy,toadvancereasons,which,inhisopinion,prove,thatthepaper-currencyofthiscountyhaslongbeen,andnowis,ataconsiderablediscount,proceedingfromasuperabundanceinitsquantity,andnotfromanywantofconfidenceintheBankofEngland,orfromanydoubtsoftheirabilitytofulfiltheirengagements。Hedoesthiswithoutreluctance,beingfullypersuadedthatthecountryisyetinpossessionofthemeansofrestoringthepaper-currencytoitsprofessedvalue,viz。thevalueofthecoins,forthepaymentofwhichitpurportstobeapledge。
HeisawarethathecanaddbutlittletotheargumentswhichhavebeensoablyurgedbyLordKing,andwhichoughtlongbeforethistohavecarriedconvictiontoeverymind;buthetrusts,thatastheevilhasbecomemoreglaring,thepublicwil1notcontinuetoview,withoutinterest,asubjectwhichyieldstonootherinimportance,andinwhichthegeneralwelfareissomateriallyconcerned。
Dec。1,1809。
HighPriceofBullion,aProofoftheDepreciationofBankNotesThepreciousmetalsemployedforcirculatingthecommoditiesoftheworld,previouslytotheestablishmentofbanks,havebeensupposedbythemostapprovedwritersonpoliticaleconomytohavebeendividedintocertainproportionsamongthedifferentcivilizednationsoftheearth,accordingtothestateoftheircommerceandwealth,andthereforeaccordingtothenumberandfrequencyofthepaymentswhichtheyhadtoperform。Whilesodividedtheypreservedeverywherethesamevalue,andaseachcountryhadanequalnecessityforthequantityactuallyinuse,therecouldbenotemptationofferedtoeitherfortheirimportationorexportation。
Goldandsilver,likeothercommodities,haveanintrinsicvalue,whichisnotarbitrary,butisdependentontheirscarcity,thequantityoflabourbestowedinprocuringthem,andthevalueofthecapitalemployedinthemineswhichproducethem。
"Thequalityofutility,beauty,andscarcity,"saysDrSmith,"aretheoriginalfoundationofthehighpriceofthosemetals,orofthegreatquantityofothergoodsforwhichtheycaneverywherebeexchanged。Thisvaluewasantecedentto,andindependentoftheirbeingemployedascoin,andwasthequalitywhichfittedthemforthatemployment。"
Ifthequantityofgoldandsilverintheworldemployedasmoneywereexceedinglysmall,orabundantlygreat,itwouldnotintheleastaffecttheproportionsinwhichtheywouldbedividedamongthedifferentnations-thevariationintheirquantitywouldhaveproducednoothereffectthantomakethecommoditiesforwhichtheywereexchangedcomparativelydearorcheap。Thesmallerquantityofmoneywouldperformthefunctionsofacirculatingmedium,aswellasthelarger。Tenmillionswouldbeaseffectualforthatpurposeasonehundredmillions。
DrSmithobserves,"thatthemostabundantminesofthepreciousmetalswouldaddlittletothewealthoftheworld。Aproduceofwhichthevalueisprincipallyderivedfromitsscarcityisnecessarilydegradedbyitsabundance。"
Ifintheprogresstowardswealth,onenationadvancedmorerapidlythantheothers,thatnationwouldrequireandobtainagreaterproportionofthemoneyoftheworld。Itscommerce,itscommodities,anditspayments,wouldincrease,andthegeneralcurrencyoftheworldwouldbedividedaccordingtothenewproportions。Allcountriesthereforewouldcontributetheirsharetothiseffectualdemand。
Inthesamemannerifanynationwastedpartofitswealth,orlostpartofitstrade,itcouldnotretainthesamequantityofcirculatingmediumwhichitbeforepossessed。Apartwouldbeexported,anddividedamongtheothernationstilltheusualproportionswerere-established。
Whiletherelativesituationofcountiescontinuedunaltered,theymighthaveabundantcommercewitheachother,buttheirexportsandimportswouldonthewholebeequal。Englandmightpossiblyimportmoregoodsfrom,thanshewouldexportto,France,butshewouldinconsequenceexportmoretosomeothercountry,andFrancewouldimportmorefromthatcountry;sothattheexportsandimportsofallcountrieswouldbalanceeachother;billsofexchangewouldmakethenecessarypayments,butnomoneywouldpass,becauseitwouldhavethesamevalueinallcountries。
Ifamineofgoldwerediscoveredineitherofthesecountries,thecurrencyofthatcountrywouldbeloweredinvalueinconsequenceoftheincreasedquantityofthepreciousmetalsbroughtintocirculation,andwouldthereforenolongerbeofthesamevalueasthatofothercountries。Goldandsilver,whetherincoinorinbullion,obeyingthelawwhichregulatesallothercommodities,wouldimmediatelybecomearticlesofexportation;
theywouldleavethecountywheretheywerecheap,forthosecountrieswheretheyweredear,andwouldcontinuetodoso,aslongasthemineshouldproveproductive,andtilltheproportionexistingbetweencapitalandmoneyineachcountrybeforethediscoveryofthemine,wereagainestablished,andgoldandsilverrestoredeverywheretoonevalue。Inreturnforthegoldexported,commoditieswouldbeimported;andthoughwhatisusuallytermedthebalanceoftradewouldbeagainstthecountryexportingmoneyorbullion,itwouldbeevidentthatshewascarryingonamostadvantageoustrade,exportingthatwhichwasnowayusefultoher,forcommoditieswhichmightbeemployedintheextensionofhermanufactures,andtheincreaseofherwealth。
Ifinsteadofaminebeingdiscoveredinanycountry,abankwereestablished,suchastheBankofEngland,withthepowerofissuingitsnotesforacirculatingmedium;afteralargeamounthadbeenissuedeitherbywayofloantomerchants,orbyadvancestogovernment,therebyaddingconsiderablytothesumofthecurrency,thesameeffectwouldfollowasinthecaseofthemine。Thecirculatingmediumwouldbeloweredinvalue,andgoodswouldexperienceaproportionaterise。Theequilibriumbetweenthatandothernationswouldonlyberestoredbytheexportationofpartofthecoin。
Theestablishmentofthebankandtheconsequentissueofitsnotestherefore,aswellasthediscoveryofthemine,operateasaninducementtotheexportationeitherofbullionorofcoin,andarebeneficialonlyinasfarasthatobjectmaybeaccomplished。Thebanksubstitutesacurrencyofnovalueforonemostcostly,andenablesustoturnthepreciousmetals(which,thoughaverynecessarypartofourcapital,yieldnorevenue,)
intoacapitalwhichwillyieldone。DrA。Smithcomparestheadvantagesattendingtheestablishmentofabanktothosewhichwouldbeobtainedbyconvertingourhighwaysintopasturesandcorn-fields,andprocuringaroadthroughtheair。Thehighways,likethecoin,arehighlyuseful,butneitheryieldanyrevenue。
Somepeoplemightbealarmedatthespecieleavingthecountry,andmightconsiderthatasadisadvantageoustradewhichrequiredustopartwithit;indeedthelawsoconsidersitbyitsenactmentsagainsttheexportationofspecie;butaverylittlereflectionwillconvinceusthatitisourchoice,andnotournecessity,thatsendsitabroad;andthatitishighlybeneficialtoustoexchangethatcommoditywhichissuperfluous,forotherswhichmaybemadeproductive。
Theexportationofthespeciemayatalltimesbesafelylefttothediscretionofindividuals;itwillnotbeexportedmorethananyothercommodity,unlessitsexportationshouldbeadvantageoustothecounty。Ifitbeadvantageoustoexportit,nolawscaneffectuallypreventitsexportation。Happilyinthiscase,aswellasinmostothersincommercewherethereisfreecompetition,theinterestsoftheindividualandthatofthecommunityareneveratvariance。
Wereitpossibletocarrythelawagainstmeltingorexportingofcoinintostrictexecution,atthesametimethattheexportationofgoldbullionwasfreelyallowed,noadvantagecouldaccruefromit,butgreatinjurymustarisetothosewhomighthavetopay,possibly,twoouncesormoreofcoinedgoldforoneofuncoinedgold。Thiswouldbearealdepreciationofourcurrency,raisingthepricesofallothercommoditiesinthesameproportionasitincreasedthatofgoldbullion。Theownerofmoneywouldinthiscasesufferaninjuryequaltowhataproprietorofcornwouldsuffer,werealawtobepassedprohibitinghimfromsellinghiscornformorethanhalfitsmarketvalue。Thelawagainsttheexportationofthecoinhasthistendency,butissoeasilyevaded,thatgoldinbullionhasalwaysbeennearlyofthesamevalueasgoldincoin。
Thusthenitappearsthatthecurrencyofonecountrycanneverforanylengthoftimebemuchmorevaluable,asfarasequalquantitiesofthepreciousmetalsareconcerned,thanthatofanother;thatexcessofcurrencyisbutarelativeterm;thatifthecirculationofEnglandweretenmillions,thatofFrancefivemillions,thatofHollandfourmillions,etc。etc。whilsttheykepttheirproportions,thoughthecurrencyofeachcountryweredoubledortrebled,neithercountrywouldbeconsciousofanexcessofcurrency。Thepricesofcommoditieswouldeverywhererise,onaccountoftheincreaseofcurrency,buttherewouldbenoexportationofmoneyfromeither。ButiftheseproportionsbedestroyedbyEnglandalonedoublinghercurrency,whilethatofFrance,Holland,etc。etc。continuedasbefore,weshouldthenbeconsciousofanexcessinourcurrency,andforthesamereasontheothercountrieswouldfeeladeficiencyintheirs,andpartofourexcesswouldbeexportedtilltheproportionsoften,five,four,etc。wereagainestablished。
IfinFranceanounceofgoldweremorevaluablethaninEngland,andwouldthereforeinFrancepurchasemoreofanycommoditycommontobothcountries,goldwouldimmediatelyquitEnglandforsuchpurpose,andweshouldsendgoldinpreferencetoanythingelse,becauseitwouldbethecheapestexchangeablecommodityintheEnglishmarket;forifgoldbedearerinFrancethaninEngland,goodsmustbecheaper;weshouldnotthereforesendthemfromthedeartothecheapmarket,but,onthecontrary,theywouldcomefromthecheaptothedearmarket,andwouldbeexchangedforourgold。
TheBankmightcontinuetoissuetheirnotes,andthespeciebeexportedwithadvantagetothecountry,whiletheirnoteswerepayableinspecieondemand,becausetheycouldneverissuemorenotesthanthevalueofthecoinwhichwouldhavecirculatedhadtherebeennobank。(1*)
Iftheyattemptedtoexceedthisamount,theexcesswouldbeimmediatelyreturnedtothemforspecie;becauseourcurrency,beingtherebydiminishedinvalue,couldbeadvantageouslyexported,andcouldnotberetainedinourcirculation。Thesearethemeans,asIhavealreadyexplained,bywhichourcurrencyendeavourstoequalizeitselfwiththecurrenciesofothercounties。Assoonasthisequalitywasattained,alladvantagearisingfromexportationwouldcease;butiftheBankassuming,thatbecauseagivenquantityofcirculatingmediumhadbeennecessarylastyear,thereforethesamequantitymustbenecessarythis,orforanyotherreason,continuedtore-issuethereturnednotes,thestimuluswhicharedundantcurrencyfirstgavetotheexportationofthecoinwouldbeagainrenewedwithsimilareffects;goldwouldbeagaindemanded,theexchangewouldbecomeunfavourable,andgoldbullionwouldrise,inasmalldegree,aboveitsmintprice,becauseitislegaltoexportbullion,butillegaltoexportthecoin,andthedifferencewouldbeaboutequaltothefaircompensationfortherisk。
InthismanneriftheBankpersistedinreturningtheirnotesintocirculation,everyguineamightbedrawnoutoftheircoffers。
Iftosupplythedeficiencyoftheirstockofgoldtheyweretopurchasegoldbullionattheadvancedprice,andhaveitcoinedintoguineas,thiswouldnotremedytheevil,guineaswouldbestilldemanded,butinsteadofbeingexportedwouldbemeltedandsoldtotheBankasbullionattheadvancedprice。
"TheoperationsoftheBank,"observedDrSmith,alludingtoananalogouscase,"wereuponthisaccountsomewhatlikethewebofPenelope,theworkthatwasdoneinthedaywasundoneinthenight。"ThesamesentimentisexpressedbyMrThornton:-
"Findingtheguineasintheircofferstolesseneveryday,theymustnaturallybesupposedtobedesirousofreplacingthembyalleffectualandnotextravagantlyexpensivemeans。Theywillbedisposed,toacertaindegree,tobuygold,thoughatalosingprice,andtocoinitintonewguineas;buttheywillhavetodothisattheverymomentwhenmanyareprivatelymeltingwhatiscoined。Theonepartywillbemeltingandsellingwhiletheotherisbuyingandcoining。Andeachofthesetwocontendingbusinesseswillnowbecarriedon,notonaccountofanactualexportationofeachmeltedguineatoHamburgh,buttheoperationoratleastagreatpartofitwillbeconfinedtoLondon;thecoinersandthemelterslivingonthesamespot,andgivingconstantemploymenttoeachother。
"TheBank,"continuesMrThornton,"ifwesupposeit,aswenowdo,tocarryonthissortofcontestwiththemelters,isobviouslywagingaveryunequalwar;andeventhoughitshouldnotbetiredearly,itwillbelikelytobetiredsoonerthanitsadversaries。"
TheBankwouldbeobligedthereforeultimatelytoadopttheonlyremedyintheirpowertoputastoptothedemandforguineas。Theywouldwithdrawpartoftheirnotesfromcirculation,tilltheyshouldhaveincreasedthevalueoftheremaindertothatofgoldbullion,andconsequentlytothevalueofthecurrenciesofothercountries。Alladvantagefromtheexportationofgoldbullionwouldthencease,andtherewouldbenotemptationtoexchangebank-notesforguineas。
Inthisviewofthesubject,then,itappears,thatthetemptationtoexportmoneyinexchangeforgoods,orwhatistermedanunfavourablebalanceoftrade,neverarisesbutfromaredundantcurrency。ButMrThornton,whohasconsideredthissubjectverymuchatlarge,supposesthataveryunfavourablebalanceoftrademaybeoccasionedtothiscountrybyabadharvest,andtheconsequentimportationofcorn;andthattheremaybeatthesametimeanunwillingnessinthecountry,towhichweareindebted,toreceiveourgoodsinpayment;thebalanceduetotheforeigncountrymustthereforebepaidoutofthatpartofourcurrency,consistingofcoin,andthathencearisesthedemandforgoldbullionanditsincreasedprice。HeconsiderstheBankasaffordingconsiderableaccommodationtothemerchants,bysupplyingwiththeirnotesthevoidoccasionedbytheexportationofthespecie。
AsitisacknowledgedbyMrThornton,inmanypartsofhiswork,thatthepriceofgoldbullionisratedingoldcoin;andasitisalsoacknowledgedbyhim,thatthelawagainstmeltinggoldcoinintobullionandexportingitiseasilyevaded,itfollows,thatnodemandforgoldbullion,arisingfromthisoranyothercause,canraisethemoneypriceofthatcommodity。Theerrorofthisreasoningproceedsfromnotdistinguishingbetweenanincreaseinthevalueofgold,andanincreaseinitsmoneyprice。
Iftherewereagreatdemandforcornitsmoneypricewouldadvance;because,incomparingcornwithmoney,weinfactcompareitwithanothercommodity;andforthesamereason,whenthereisagreatdemandforgolditscornpricewillincrease;
butinneithercasewillabushelofcornbeworthmorethanabushelofcorn,oranounceofgoldmorethananounceofgold。
Anounceofgoldbullioncouldnot,whateverthedemandmightbe,whilstitspricewasratedingoldcoin,beofmorevaluethananounceofcoinedgold,or3l。17s。101/2d。
Ifthisargumentshouldnotbeconsideredasconclusive,I
shouldurge,thatavoidinthecurrency,asheresupposed,canonlybeoccasionedbytheannihilationorlimitationofpapercurrency,andthenitwouldspeedilybefilledbyimportationsofbullion,whichitsincreasedvalue,inconsequenceofthediminutionofcirculatingmedium,wouldinfalliblyattracttotheadvantageousmarket。Howevergreatthescarcityofcornmightbe,theexportationofmoneywouldbelimitedbyitsincreasingscarcity。Moneyisinsuchgeneraldemand,andinthepresentstateofcivilizationissoessentialtocommercialtransactions,thatitcanneverbeexportedtoexcess;eveninawarsuchasthepresent,whenourenemyendeavourstointerdictallcommercewithus,thevaluewhichthecurrencywouldbear,fromitsincreasingscarcity,wouldpreventtheexportationofitfrombeingcarriedsofarastooccasionavoidinthecirculation。
MrThorntonhasnotexplainedtous,whyanyunwillingnessshouldexistintheforeigncountrytoreceiveourgoodsinexchangefortheircorn;anditwouldbenecessaryforhimtoshow,thatifsuchanunwillingnessweretoexist,weshouldagreetoindulgeitsofarastoconsenttopartwithourcoin。
Ifweconsenttogivecoininexchangeforgoods,itmustbefromchoice,notnecessity。Weshouldnotimportmoregoodsthanweexport,unlesswehadaredundancyofcurrency,whichitthereforesuitsustomakeapartofourexports。Theexportationofthecoiniscausedbyitscheapness,andisnottheeffect,butthecauseofanunfavourablebalance;weshouldnotexportit,ifwedidnotsendittoabettermarket,orifwehadanycommoditywhichwecouldexportmoreprofitably。Itisasalutaryremedyforaredundantcurrency;andasIhavealreadyendeavouredtoprove,thatredundancyorexcessisonlyarelativeterm,itfollows,thatthedemandforitabroadarisesonlyfromthecomparativedeficiencyofthecurrencyoftheimportingcountry,whichtherecausesitssuperiorvalue。
Itresolvesitselfentirelyintoaquestionofinterest。IfthesellersofthecorntoEngland,totheamountIwillsupposeofamillion,couldimportgoodswhichcostamillioninEngland,butwouldproduce,whensoldabroad,morethanifthemillionhadbeensentinmoney,goodswouldbepreferred;ifotherwise,moneywouldbedemanded。
Itisonlyafteracomparisonofthevalueintheirmarketsandinourown,ofgoldandothercommodities,andbecausegoldischeaperintheLondonmarketthanintheirs,thatforeignersprefergoldinexchangefortheircorn。Ifwediminishthequantityofcurrency,wegiveanadditionalvaluetoit:thiswillinducethemtoaltertheirelection,andpreferthecommodities。IfIowedadebtinHamburghof100l。Ishouldendeavourtofindoutthecheapestmodeofpayingit。IfIsendmoney,theexpenceattendingitstransportationbeingIwillsuppose5l。todischargemydebtwillcostme105l。IfI
purchaseclothhere,which,withtheexpencesattendingitsexportation,willcostme106l。andwhichwill,inHamburgh,sellfor100l。itisevidentlymoretomyadvantagetosendthemoney。Ifthepurchaseandexpencesofsendinghardwaretopaymydebt,willtake107l。Ishouldprefersendingclothtohardware,butIwouldsendneitherinpreferencetomoney,becausemoneywouldbethecheapestexportablecommodityintheLondonmarket。