Itthusliesintheverynatureofthings,thatthenumberof
theadvocatesoftheprotectivesystemmustagainincrease,and
thoseoffreetradeagaindiminish。Hitherto,thepricesof
agriculturalproducehavebeenmaintainedatanunusuallyhigh
level,owingtothepreviousprosperityofthemanufactories,
throughthecarryingoutofgreatpublicundertakings,throughthe
demandfornecessariesoflifearisingfromthegreatincreaseof
theproductionofcotton,alsopartiallythroughbadharvests。One
may,however,foreseewithcertainty,thatthesepricesinthe
courseofthenextfewyearswillfallasmuchbelowtheaverageas
theyhavehithertorangedaboveit。Thegreaterpartofthe
increaseofAmericancapitalhassincethepassingofthe
CompromiseBillbeendevotedtoagriculture,andisonlynow
beginningtobecomeproductive。Whilethusagriculturalproduction
hasunusuallyincreased,ontheotherhandthedemandforitmust
unusuallydiminish。Firstly,becausepublicworksarenomorebeing
undertakentothesameextent;secondly,becausethemanufacturing
populationinconsequenceofforeigncompetitioncannomore
increasetoanimportantextent;andthirdly,becausethe
productionofcottonsogreatlyexceedstheconsumptionthatthe
cottonplanterswillbecompelled,owingtothelowpricesof
cotton,toproduceforthemselvesthosenecessariesoflifewhich
theyhavehithertoprocuredfromtheMiddleandWesternStates。If
inadditionrichharvestsoccur,thentheMiddleandWesternStates
willagainsufferfromanexcessofproduce,astheydidbeforethe
tariffof1828。Butthesamecausesmustagainproducethesame
results;viz。theagriculturistsoftheMiddleandWesternStates
mustagainarriveattheconviction,thatthedemandfor
agriculturalproducecanonlybeincreasedbytheincreaseofthe
manufacturingpopulationofthecountry,andthatthatincreasecan
onlybebroughtaboutbyanextensionoftheprotectivesystem。
Whileinthismannerthepartisansofprotectionwilldaily
increaseinnumberandinfluence,theoppositepartywilldiminish
inlikeproportionuntilthecottonplantersundersuchaltered
circumstancesmustnecessarilycometotheconvictionthatthe
increaseofthemanufacturingpopulationofthecountryandthe
increaseofthedemandforagriculturalproduceandrawmaterials
bothconsistwiththeirowninterestsifrightlyunderstood。
Because,aswehaveshown,thecottonplantersandthe
DemocratsinNorthAmericawerestrivingmostearnestlyoftheir
ownaccordtoplayintothehandsofthecommercialinterestsof
England,noopportunitywasofferedatthemomentonthissidefor
MrPoulettThompsontodisplayhisskillincommercialdiplomacy。
MatterswerequiteinanotherpositioninFrance。Therepeople
stillsteadilyclungtotheprohibitivesystem。Therewereindeed
manyStateofficialswhoweredisciplesoftheory,andalso
deputieswhowereinfavourofanextensionofcommercialrelations
betweenEnglandandFrance,andtheexistingalliancewithEngland
hadalsorenderedthisviewtoacertainextentpopular。Buthowto
attainthatobject,opinionswerelessagreed,andinnorespect
weretheyquiteclear。Itseemedevidentandalsoindisputablethat
thehighdutiesontheforeignnecessariesoflifeandraw
materials,andtheexclusionofEnglishcoalandpig-iron,operated
verydisadvantageouslytoFrenchindustry,andthatanincreasein
theexportsofwines,brandy,andsilkfabricswouldbeextremely
advantageoustoFrance。
Ingeneral,peopleconfinedthemselvestouniversaldeclamation
againstthedisadvantagesoftheprohibitivesystem。Buttoattack
thisinspecialcasesdidnotappearatthetimetobeatall
advisable。FortheGovernmentofJulyhadtheirstrongest
supportersamongtherichbourgeoisie,whoforthemostpartwere
interestedinthegreatmanufacturingundertakings。
UnderthesecircumstancesMrPoulettThompsonformedaplanof
operationswhichdoesallhonourtohisbreadthofthoughtand
diplomaticadroitness。HesenttoFranceamanthoroughlyversedin
commerceandindustryandinthecommercialpolicyofFrance,well
knownforhis'liberalsentiments'alearnedmanandavery
accomplishedwriter,DrBowring,whotravelledthroughthewholeof
France,andsubsequentlythroughSwitzerlandalso,togatheronthe
spotmaterialsforargumentsagainsttheprohibitivesystemandin
favouroffreetrade。DrBowringaccomplishedthistaskwithhis
accustomedabilityandadroitness。Especiallyheclearlyindicated
thebefore-mentionedadvantagesofafreercommercialintercourse
betweenthetwocountriesinrespectofcoal,pig-iron,wines,and
brandies。Inthereportwhichhepublished,hechieflyconfinedhis
argumentstothesearticles;inreferencetotheotherbranchesof
industryheonlygavestatistics,withoutcommittinghimselfto
proofsorpropositionshowthesecouldbepromotedbymeansoffree
tradewithEngland。
DrBowringactedinpreciseaccordancewiththeinstructions
giventohimbyMrPoulettThompson,whichwereframedwith
uncommonartandsubtlety,andwhichappearattheheadofhis
report。IntheseMrThompsonmakesuseofthemostliberal
expressions。Heexpresseshimself,withmuchconsiderationforthe
Frenchmanufacturinginterests,ontheimprobabilitythatany
importantresultwastobeexpectedfromthecontemplated
negotiationswithFrance。Thisinstructionwasperfectlyadapted
forcalmingtheapprehensionsrespectingtheviewsofEngland
entertainedbytheFrenchwoollenandcottonmanufacturing
interestswhichhadbecomesopowerful。AccordingtoMrThompson,
itwouldbefollytoaskforimportantconcessionsrespecting
these。
Ontheotherhand,hegivesahinthowtheobjectmightmore
easilybeattainedinrespectof'lessimportantarticles。'These
lessimportantarticlesarecertainlynotenumeratedinthe
instruction,butthesubsequentexperienceofFrancehascompletely
broughttolightwhatMrThompsonmeantbyit,foratthetimeof
thewritingofthisinstructiontheexportsoflinenyarnandlinen
fabricsofEnglandtoFrancewereincludedintheterm'less
important。'
TheFrenchGovernment,movedbytherepresentationsand
explanationsoftheEnglishGovernmentanditsagents,andwiththe
intentionofmakingtoEnglandacomparativelyunimportant
concession,whichwouldultimatelyproveadvantageoustoFrance
herself,loweredthedutyonlinenyarnandlinenfabricstosuch
anextentthattheynolongergaveanyprotectiontoFrench
industryinfaceofthegreatimprovementswhichtheEnglishhad
madeinthesebranchesofmanufacture,sothateveninthenextfew
yearstheexportofthesearticlesfromEnglandtoFranceincreased
enormously1838,32,000,000francs;andthatFrancestoodin
danger,owingtothestartwhichEnglandhadthusobtained,of
losingitsentirelinenindustry,amountingtomanyhundred
millionsinvalue,whichwasofthegreatestimportanceforher
agricultureandforthewelfareofherentireruralpopulation,
unlessmeanscouldbefoundtoputacheckontheEnglish
competitionbyincreasingtheduties。
ThatFrancewasdupedbyMrPoulettThompsonwasclearenough。
Hehadalreadyclearlyseenintheyear1834whatanimpulsethe
linenmanufactureofEnglandwouldreceiveinthenextfewyearsin
consequenceofthenewinventionswhichhadbeenmadethere,andin
thisnegotiationhehadcalculatedontheignoranceoftheFrench
Governmentrespectingtheseinventionsandtheirnecessary
consequences。Theadvocatesofthisloweringofdutiesnowindeed
endeavouredtomaketheworldbelievethatbyittheyonlydesired
tomakeaconcessiontothebelgianlinenmanufactures。Butdid
thatmakeamendsfortheirlackofacquaintancewiththeadvances
madebytheEnglish,andtheirlackofforesightastothe
necessaryconsequences?
Bethatasitmay,thismuchisclearlydemonstrated,thatit
wasnecessaryforFrancetoprotectherselfstillmore,under
penaltyoflosingthegreaterpartofherlinenmanufacturingfor
thebenefitofEngland;andthatthefirstandmostrecent
experimentoftheincreaseoffreedomoftradebetweenEnglandand
FranceremainsasanindeliblememorialofEnglishcraftandof
Frenchinexperience,asanewMethuenTreaty,asasecondEden
Treaty。ButwhatdidMrPoulettThompsondowhenheperceivedthe
complaintsoftheFrenchlinenmanufacturersandtheinclinationof
theFrenchGovernmenttorepairthemistakewhichhadbeenmade?He
didwhatMrHuskissonhaddonebeforehim,heindulgedinthreats,
hethreatenedtoexcludeFrenchwinesandsilkfabrics。Thisis
Englishcosmopolitanism。Francemustgiveupamanufacturing
industryofathousandyears'standing,boundupintheclosest
mannerwiththeentireeconomyofherlowerclassesandespecially
withheragriculture,theproductsofwhichmustbereckonedas
chiefnecessariesoflifeforallclasses,andoftheentireamount
ofbetweenthreeandfourhundredmillions,inordertherebyto
purchasetheprivilegeofexportingtoEnglandsomefewmillions
moreinvalueofwinesandsilkmanufactures。Quiteapartfromthis
disproportioninvalue,itmustbeconsideredinwhataposition
Francewouldbeplacedifthecommercialrelationsbetweenboth
nationsbecameinterruptedinconsequenceofawar;incaseviz。
thatFrancecouldnomoreexporttoEnglandhersurplusproductsof
silkmanufacturesandwines,butatthesametimesufferedfromthe
wantofsuchanimportantnecessaryoflifeaslinen。
Ifanyonereflectsonthishewillseethatthelinenquestion
isnotsimplyaquestionofeconomicalwell-being,but,as
everythingiswhichconcernsthenationalmanufacturingpower,is
stillmoreaquestionoftheindependenceandpowerofthenation。
Itseemsindeedasifthespiritofinventionhadsetitself
thetask,inthisperfectingofthelinenmanufacture,tomakethe
nationscomprehendthenatureofthemanufacturinginterest,its
relationswithagriculture,anditsinfluenceontheindependence
andpoweroftheState,andtoexposetheerroneousargumentsof
thepopulartheory。Theschoolmaintains,asiswellknown,that
everynationpossessesspecialadvantagesinvariousbranchesof
production,whichshehaseitherderivedfromnature,orwhichshe
haspartlyacquiredinthecourseofhercareer,andwhichunder
freetradecompensateoneanother。Wehaveinapreviouschapter
adducedproofthatthisargumentisonlytrueinreferenceto
agriculture,inwhichproductiondependsforthemostparton
climateandonthefertilityofthesoil,butthatitisnottrue
inrespecttomanufacturingindustry,forwhichallnations
inhabitingtemperateclimateshaveequalcapabilityprovidedthat
theypossessthenecessarymaterial,mental,social,andpolitical
qualifications。Englandatthepresentdayoffersthemoststriking
proofofthis。Ifanynationswhateverarespeciallyadaptedby
theirpastexperienceandexertions,andthroughtheirnatural
qualifications,forthemanufactureoflinen,thosearethe
Germans,thebelgians,theDutch,andtheinhabitantsoftheNorth
ofFranceforathousandyearspast。TheEnglish,ontheother
hand,uptothemiddleofthelastcentury,hadnotoriouslymade
suchsmallprogressinthatindustry,thattheyimportedagreat
proportionofthelinenwhichtheyrequired,fromabroad。Itwould
neverhavebeenpossibleforthem,withoutthedutiesbywhichthey
continuouslyprotectedthismanufacturingindustry,eventosupply
theirownmarketsandcolonieswithlinenoftheirownmanufacture。
AnditiswellknownhowLordsCastlereaghandLiverpooladduced
proofinParliament,thatwithoutprotectionitwasimpossiblefor
theIrishlinenmanufacturestosustaincompetitionwiththoseof
Germany。Atpresent,however,weseehowtheEnglishthreatento
monopolisethelinenmanufactureofthewholeofEurope,in
consequenceoftheirinventions,notwithstandingthattheywerefor
ahundredyearstheworstmanufacturersoflineninallEurope,
justastheyhavemonopolisedforthelastfiftyyearsthecotton
marketsoftheEastIndies,notwithstandingthatonehundredyears
previouslytheycouldnotevencompeteintheirownmarketwiththe
Indiancottonmanufacturers。Atthismomentitisamatterof
disputeinFrancehowithappensthatEnglandhaslatelymadesuch
immenseprogressinthemanufactureoflinen,althoughNapoleonwas
thefirstwhoofferedsuchagreatrewardfortheinventionofa
machineforspinningcotton,andthattheFrenchmachinistsand
manufacturershadbeenengagedinthistradebeforetheEnglish。
TheinquiryismadewhethertheEnglishortheFrenchpossessed
moremechanicaltalent。Allkindsofexplanationsareoffered
exceptthetrueandthenaturalone。Itisabsurdtoattribute
speciallytotheEnglishgreatermechanicaltalent,orgreater
skillandperseveranceinindustry,thantotheGermansortothe
French。BeforethetimeofEdwardIIItheEnglishwerethegreatest
bulliesandgood-for-nothingcharactersinEurope;certainlyit
neveroccurredtothemtocomparethemselveswiththeItaliansand
BelgiansorwiththeGermansinrespecttomechanicaltalentor
industrialskill;butsincethentheirGovernmenthastakentheir
educationinhand,andthustheyhavebydegreesmadesuchprogress
thattheycandisputethepalmofindustrialskillwiththeir
instructors。IftheEnglishinthelasttwentyyearshavemademore
rapidprogressinmachineryforlinenmanufacturethanother
nations,andespeciallytheFrench,havedone,thishasonly
occurredbecause,firstly,theyhadattainedgreatereminencein
mechanicalskill;secondly,thattheywerefurtheradvancedin
machineryforspinningandweavingcotton,whichissosimilarto
thatforspinningandweavinglinen;thirdly,thatinconsequence
oftheirpreviouscommercialpolicy,theyhadbecomepossessedof
morecapitalthantheFrench;fourthly,thatinconsequenceofthat
commercialpolicytheirhomemarketforlinengoodswasfarmore
extensivethanthatoftheFrench;andlastlythattheirprotective
duties,combinedwiththecircumstancesabovenamed,affordedto
themechanicaltalentofthenationgreaterstimulusandmoremeans
todevoteitselftoperfectingthisbranchofindustry。
TheEnglishhavethusgivenastrikingconfirmationofthe
opinionswhichweinanotherplacehavepropoundedandexplained——
thatallindividualbranchesofindustryhavetheclosest
reciprocaleffectononeanother;thattheperfectingofonebranch
preparesandpromotestheperfectingofallothers;thatnooneof
themcanbeneglectedwithouttheeffectsofthatneglectbeing
feltbyall;that,inshort,thewholemanufacturingpowerofa
nationconstitutesaninseparablewhole。Oftheseopinionsthey
havebytheirlatestachievementsinthelinenindustryoffereda
strikingconfirmation。
NOTES:
1。EvenapartoftheproductionofwoolinEnglandisduetothe
observanceofthismaxim。EdwardIVimportedunderspecial
privileges3,000headofsheepfromSpainwheretheexportof
sheepwasprohibited,anddistributedthemamongvariousparishes,
withacommandthatforsevenyearsnoneweretobeslaughteredor
castrated。EssaisurleCommerced'Angleterre,tomei。p。379。As
soonastheobjectofthesemeasureshadbeenattained,England
rewardedtheSpanishGovernmentforthespecialprivilegesgranted
bythelatter,byprohibitingtheimportofSpanishwool。The
efficacyofthisprohibitionhoweverunjustitmaybedeemedcan
aslittlebedeniedasthatoftheprohibitionsoftheimportof
woolbyCharlesII1672and1674。
2。France,saidPitt,hasadvantagesaboveEnglandinrespectof
climateandothernaturalgifts,andthereforeexcelsEnglandin
itsrawproduce;ontheotherhand,Englandhastheadvantageover
Franceinitsartificialproducts。Thewines,brandies,oils,and
vinegarsofFrance,especiallythefirsttwo,articlesofsuch
importanceandofsuchvalue,thatthevalueofournatural
productscannotbeintheleastcomparedwiththem。But,onthe
otherhand,itisequallycertainthatEnglandistheexclusive
producerofsomekindsofmanufacturedgoods,andthatinrespect
ofotherkindsshepossessessuchadvantagesthatshecandefy
withoutdoubtallthecompetitionofFrance。Thisisareciprocal
conditionandabasisonwhichanadvantageouscommercialtreaty
betweenbothnationsshouldbefounded。Aseachofthemhasits
peculiarstaplecommodities,andeachpossessesthatwhichis
lackingtotheother,sobothshoulddealwithoneanotherliketwo
greatmerchantswhoareengagedindifferentbranchesoftrade,and
byareciprocalexchangeoftheirgoodscanatoncebecomeuseful
tooneanother。Letusfurtheronlycalltomindonthispointthe
wealthofthecountywithwhichwestandinthepositionof
neighbours,itsgreatpopulation,itsvicinitytous,andthe
consequentquickandregularexchange。Whocouldthenhesitatea
momenttogivehisapprovaltothesystemoffreedom,andwhowould
notearnestlyandimpatientlywishfortheutmostpossible
expeditioninestablishingit?Thepossessionofsuchanextensive
andcertainmarketmustgivequiteanextraordinaryimpulsetoour
trade,andthecustomsrevenuewhichwouldthenbedivertedfrom
thehandsofthesmugglerintotheStaterevenuewouldbenefitour
finances,andthustwomainspringsofBritishwealthandof
Britishpowerwouldbemademoreproductive。
3。SinceListwrotetheselines,thedutieswhichforeignsilk
manufacturershadtopayontheimportoftheirgoodsintoEngland
havebeentotallyabolished。Theresultsoftheirabolitionmaybe
learnedfromMrWardle'sreportontheEnglishsilktrade,as
follows:London,in1825,contained24,000loomsand60,000
operativesengagedinsilkmanufacture。Atthepresenttimethese
havedwindledto1,200loomsandlessthen4,000operatives。In
Coventry,in1861,theribbontradeisstatedtohavegiven
subsistenceto40,600persons;whileatthepresenttimeprobably
notmorethan10,000personsaresupportedbyit,andthe
power-loomsatworkinCoventryhavedecreasedfrom1,800to600。
InDerbythenumberofoperativesemployedinsilkmanufacturehas
decreasedfrom6,650in1850to2,400atpresent。Inthe
Congletondistricttheyhavedecreasedfrom5,186in1860to
1,530in1884;whileofthefortysilk-throwsters'workswhich
thatdistrictcontainedin1859onlytwelvenowremain,with
'aboutthree-fourthsoftheirmachineryemployed。'InManchester
thistradehaspracticallydiedout,whileatMiddletonthe
industryis'simplyruined。'TheseresultsstatedbyMrWardle
mayaccountforthedecreaseinEngland'simportsofrawsilk,from
8,000,000poundsin1871tolessthan3,000,000pounds。
Ontheotherhand,sinceListwrote,theUnitedStatesof
Americahaveincreasedandsteadilymaintainedaconsiderable
protectivedutyontheimportationofforeignsilkmanufactures。
TheresultsofthatpolicywerepubliclystatedbyMrRobertP。
PortermemberoftheUnitedStates'TariffCommission,ina
speechin1883,tohavebeenasfollows:
Fivethousandpersonswereemployedinsilkmanufactureinthe
UnitedStatesbeforetheMorilltariff1861。In1880theirnumber
hadincreasedto30,000。Thevalueofsilkmanufacturesproducedin
theStatesincreasedfrom1,200,000l。in1860tomorethan
8,000,000l。in1880。'Yetthecostofthemanufacturedgoodsto
theconsumer,estimatedonagoldbasis,hassteadilydeclinedat
amuchgreaterratethanthecostoftherawmaterial。'After
referencetotheearthenwareandplate-glassmanufactures,Mr
Porteradds:'ThetestimonybeforetheTariffCommissionshowed
unquestionablythatthecompetitionintheUnitedStateshad
resultedinareductioninthecosttotheAmericanconsumer。In
thisway,gentlemen,Icontend,andampreparedtoprove
statistically。thatprotection,sofarastheUnitedStatesare
concerned,hasineverycaseultimatelybenefitedtheconsumer;and
onthisgroundIdefenditandbelieveinit。'——TRANSLATOR。
4。Chaptal,Del'IndustrieFran鏰isevol。ii。,p。147。
Chapter34
TheInsularSupremacyandtheGermanCommercialUnion
Whatagreatnationisatthepresentdaywithoutavigorous
commercialpolicy,andwhatshemaybecomebytheadoptionofa
vigorouscommercialpolicy,Germanyhaslearntforherselfduring
thelasttwentyyears。GermanywasthatwhichFranklinoncesaidof
theStateofNewJersey,'acaskwhichwastappedanddrainedby
itsneighboursoneveryside。'England,notcontentedwithhaving
ruinedfortheGermansthegreaterpartoftheirownmanufactories
andsuppliedthemwithenormousquantitiesofcottonandwoollen
fabrics,excludedfromherportsGermangrainandtimber,nayfrom
timetotimealsoevenGermanwool。Therewasatimewhenthe
exportofmanufacturedgoodsfromEnglandtoGermanywastentimes
greaterthanthattoherhighlyextolledEastIndianEmpire。
Neverthelesstheall-monopolisingislanderswouldnotevengrantto
thepoorGermanswhattheyconcededtotheconqueredHindoos,viz。
topayforthemanufacturedgoodswhichtheyrequiredby
agriculturalproduce。InvaindidtheGermanshumblethemselvesto
thepositionofhewersofwoodanddrawersofwaterforthe
Britons。Thelattertreatedthemworsethanasubjectpeople。
Nations,likeindividuals,iftheyatfirstonlypermitthemselves
tobeill-treatedbyone,soonbecomescornedbyall,andfinally
becomeanobjectofderisiontotheverychildren。France,not
contentedwithexportingtoGermanyenormousquantitiesofwine,
oil,silk,andmillinery,grudgedtheGermanstheirexportsof
cattle,grain,andflax;yes,evenasmallmaritimeprovince
formerlypossessedbyGermanyandinhabitedbyGermans,which
havingbecomewealthyandpowerfulbymeansofGermany,atall
timeswasonlyabletomaintainitselfwithandbymeansof
Germany,barredforhalfagenerationGermany'sgreatestriverby
meansofcontemptibleverbalquibbles。Tofillupthemeasureof
thiscontempt,thedoctrinewastaughtfromahundredprofessorial
chairs,thatnationscouldonlyattaintowealthandpowerbymeans
ofuniversalfreetrade。Thusitwas;buthowisitnow?Germany
hasadvancedinprosperityandindustry,innationalself-respect
andinnationalpower,inthecourseoftenyearsasmuchasina
century。Andhowhasthisresultbeenachieved?Itwascertainly
goodandbeneficialthattheinternaltariffswereabolishedwhich
separatedGermansfromGermans;butthenationwouldhavederived
smallcomfortfromthatifherhomeindustryhadthenceforth
remainedfreelyexposedtoforeigncompetition。Itwasespecially
theprotectionwhichthetariffoftheZollvereinsecuredto
manufacturedarticlesofcommonuse,whichhaswroughtthis
miracle。Letusfreelyconfessit,forDrBowring1*has
incontrovertiblyshownit,thattheZollvereintariffhasnot,as
wasbeforeasserted,imposedmerelydutiesforrevenue——thatit
hasnotconfineditselftodutiesoftentofifteenpercentas
Huskissonbelieved——letusfreelyadmitthatithasimposed
protectivedutiesoffromtwentytosixtypercentasrespectsthe
manufacturedarticlesofcommonuse。
Butwhathasbeentheoperationoftheseprotectiveduties?Are
theconsumerspayingfortheirGermanmanufacturedgoodstwentyto
sixtypercentmorethantheyformerlypaidforforeignonesas
mustbethecaseifthepopulartheoryiscorrect,orarethese
goodsatallworsethantheforeignones?Nothingofthesort。Dr
Bowringhimselfadducestestimonythatthemanufacturedgoods
producedunderthehighcustomstariffarebothbetterandcheaper
thantheforeignones。2*Theinternalcompetitionandthe
securityfromdestructivecompetitionbytheforeignerhaswrought
thismiracle,ofwhichthepopularschoolknowsnothingandis
determinedtoknownothing。Thus,thatisnottrue,whichthe
popularschoolmaintains,thataprotectivedutyincreasesthe
priceofthegoodsofhomeproductionbytheamountofthe
protectiveduty。Forashorttimethedutymayincreasetheprice,
butineverynationwhichisqualifiedtocarryonmanufacturing
industrytheconsequenceoftheprotectionwillbe,thatthe
internalcompetitionwillsoonreducethepriceslowerthanthey
hadstoodatwhentheimportationwasfree。
Buthasagricultureatallsufferedunderthesehighduties?
Notintheleast;ithasgained-gainedtenfoldduringthelastten
years。Thedemandforagriculturalproducehasincreased。The
pricesofiteverywherearehigher。Itisnotoriousthatsolelyin
consequenceofthegrowthofthehomemanufactoriesthevalueof
landhaseverywhererisenfromfiftytoahundredpercent,that
everywherehigherwagesarebeingpaid,andthatinalldirections
improvementsinthemeansoftransportareeitherbeingeffectedor
projected。
Suchbrilliantresultsasthesemustnecessarilyencourageus
toproceedfartheronthesystemwhichwehavecommencedtofollow。
OtherStatesoftheUnionhavealsoproposedtotakesimilarsteps,
buthavenotyetcarriedthemintoeffect;while,asitwould
appear,someotherStatesoftheUniononlyexpecttoattain
prosperitysolelybytheabolitionoftheEnglishdutiesongrain
andtimber,andwhileasitisallegedtherearestilltobe
foundinfluentialmenwhobelieveinthecosmopoliticalsystemand
distrusttheirownexperience。DrBowring'sreportgivesusmost
importantexplanationsonthesepointsaswellasonthe
circumstancesoftheGermanCommercialUnionandthetacticsofthe
EnglishGovernment。Letusendeavourtothrowalittlelighton
thisreport。
Firstofall,wehavetoconsiderthepointofviewfromwhich
itwaswritten。MrLabouchere,PresidentoftheboardofTrade
undertheMelbourneMinistry,hadsentDrBowringtoGermanyfor
thesamepurposeasthatforwhichMrPoulettThompsonhadsenthim
toFranceintheyear1834。Justasitwasintendedtomisleadthe
Frenchbyconcessionsinrespectofwinesandbrandiestoopen
theirhomemarkettoEnglishmanufacturedgoods,soitwasintended
tomisleadtheGermanstodothesamebyconcessionsinrespectof
grainandtimber;onlytherewasagreatdifferencebetweenthetwo
missionsinthisrespect,thattheconcessionwhichwastobe
offeredtotheFrenchhadtofearnooppositioninEngland,while
thatwhichhadtobeofferedtotheGermanshadfirsttobefought
forinEnglandherself。
Hencethetendencyofthesetworeportswasofnecessityof
quiteadifferentcharacter。Thereportonthecommercialrelations
betweenFranceandEnglandwaswrittenexclusivelyfortheFrench;
tothemitwasnecessarytorepresentthatColberthadaccomplished
nothingsatisfactorythroughhisprotectiveregulations;itwas
necessarytomakepeoplebelievethattheEdenTreatywas
beneficialtoFrance,andthatNapoleon'sContinentalsystem,as
wellasthethenexistingFrenchprohibitivesystem,hadbeen
extremelyinjurioustoher。Inshort,inthiscaseitwasnecessary
tostickcloselytothetheoryofAdamSmith;andthegoodresults
oftheprotectivesystemmustbecompletelyandunequivocally
denied。Thetaskwasnotquitesosimplewiththeotherreport,for
inthis,onehadtoaddresstheEnglishland-ownersandtheGerman
Governmentsatoneandthesametime。Totheformeritwas
necessarytosay:See,thereisanationwhichhasalreadyin
consequenceofprotectiveregulationsmadeenormousadvancesinher
industry,andwhich,inpossessionofallnecessarymeansfordoing
so,ismakingrapidstepstomonopoliseherownhomemarketandto
competewithEnglandinforeignmarkets。This,youToriesinthe
HouseofLords——this,youcountrysquiresintheHouseof
Commons,isyourwickeddoing。Thishasbeenbroughtaboutbyyour
unwisecornlaws;forbythemthepricesofprovisionsandraw
materialsandthewagesoflabourhavebeenkeptlowinGermany。By
themtheGermanmanufactorieshavebeenplacedinanadvantageous
positioncomparedtotheEnglishones。Makehaste,therefore,you
fools,toabolishthesecornlaws。Bythatmeansyouwilldoubly
andtreblydamagetheGermanmanufactories:firstly,becausethe
pricesofprovisionsandrawmaterialsandthewagesoflabourwill
beraisedinGermanyandloweredinEngland;secondly,becauseby
theexportofGermangraintoEnglandtheexportofEnglish
manufacturedgoodstoGermanywillbepromoted;thirdly,because
theGermanCommercialUnionhasdeclaredthatitisdisposedto
reducetheirdutiesoncommoncottonandwoollengoodsinthesame
proportioninwhichEnglandfacilitatestheimportofGermangrain
andtimber。ThusweBritonscannotfailoncemoretocrushthe
Germanmanufactories。Butthequestioncannotwait。Everyyearthe
manufacturinginterestsaregaininggreaterinfluenceintheGerman
Union;andifyoudelay,thenyourcorn-lawabolitionwillcometoo
late。Itwillnotbelongbeforethebalancewillturn。Verysoon
theGermanmanufactorieswillcreatesuchagreatdemandfor
agriculturalproducethatGermanywillhavenomoresurpluscornto
selltoforeigncountries。Whatconcessions,then,areyouwilling
tooffertotheGermanGovernmentstoinducethemtolayhandson
theirownmanufactoriesinordertohinderthemfromspinning
cottonforthemselves,andfromencroachinguponyourforeign
marketsinaddition?
Allthisthewriterofthereportwascompelledtomakeclear
tothelandownersinParliament。TheformsoftheBritishState
administrationpermitnosecretGovernmentreports。DrBowring's
reportmustbepublished,mustthereforebeseenbytheGermansin
translationsandextracts。Henceonemustusenoexpressionswhich
mightleadtheGermanstoaperceptionoftheirtrueinterests。
Thereforetoeverymethodwhichwasadaptedtoinfluence
Parliament,anantidotemustbeaddedfortheuseoftheGerman
Governments。Itmustbealleged,thatinconsequenceofthe
protectivesystemmuchGermancapitalhadbeendivertedinto
improperchannels。TheagriculturalinterestsofGermanywouldbe
damagedbytheprotectivesystem。Thatinterestforitspartought
onlytoturnitsattentiontoforeignmarkets;agriculturewasin
Germanybyfarthemostimportantproductiveindustry,for
three-fourthsoftheinhabitantsofGermanywereengagedinit。It
wasmerenonsensetotalkaboutprotectionfortheproducers;the
manufacturinginterestitselfcouldonlythriveunderforeign
competition:publicopinioninGermanydesiredfreedomoftrade。
IntelligenceinGermanywastoouniversalforadesireforhigh
dutiestobeentertained。Themostenlightenedmeninthecountry
wereinfavourofareductionofdutiesoncommonwoollenand
cottonfabrics,incasetheEnglishdutiesoncornandtimberwere
reduced。
Inshort,inthisreporttwoentirelydifferentvoicesspeak,
whichcontradictoneanotherliketwoopponents。Whichofthetwo
mustbedeemedthetrueone-thatwhichspeakstotheParliament,or
thatwhichspeakstotheGermanGovernments?Thereisnodifficulty
indecidingthispoint,foreverythingwhichDrBowringadducesin
ordertoinduceParliamenttolowertheimportdutiesongrainand
timberissupportedbystatisticalfacts,calculations,and
evidence;whileeverythingthatheadducestodissuadetheGerman
Governmentsfromtheprotectivesystemisconfinedtomere
superficialassertions。
LetusconsiderindetailtheargumentsbywhichDrBowring
provestotheParliamentthatincaseacheckisnotputtothe
progressoftheGermanprotectivesysteminthewaywhichhe
pointedout,theGermanmarketformanufacturedgoodsmustbecome
irrecoverablylosttoEngland。
TheGermanpeopleisremarkable,saysDrBowring,for
temperance,thrift,industry,andintelligence,andenjoysasystem
ofuniversaleducation。Excellentpolytechnicschoolsdiffuse
technicalinstructionthroughouttheentirecountry。
Theartofdesignisespeciallymuchmorecultivatedtherethan
inEngland。Thegreatannualincreaseofitspopulation,ofits
headofcattle,andespeciallyofsheep,proveswhatprogress
agriculturetherehasachieved。Thereportmakesnomentionofthe
improvementinthevalueofproperty,thoughthatisanimportant
feature,noroftheincreaseinthevalueofproduce。Thewagesof
labourhaverisenthirtypercentinthemanufacturingdistricts。
Thecountrypossessesagreatamountofwaterpower,asyetunused,
whichisthecheapestofallmotivepowers。Itsminingindustryis
everywhereflourishing,morethanatanyprevioustime。From1832
upto1837theimportsofrawcottonhaveincreasedfrom118,000
centnersto240,000centners;theimportsofcottonyarnfrom
172,000centnersto322,000centners;theexportsofcottonfabrics
from26,000centnersto75,000centners;thenumberof
cotton-weavingloomsinPrussiafrom22,000in1825to32,000in
1834;theimportsofrawwoolfrom99,000centnersto195,000
centners;theexportsofthesamefrom100,000centnersto122,000
centners;theimportsofwoollenarticlesfrom15,000centnersto
18,000centners;theexportsofthesamefrom49,000centnersto
69,000centners。
Themanufactureoflinenclothscontendswithdifficulty
againstthehighdutiesinEngland,France,andItalyandhasnot
increased。Ontheotherhand,theimportsoflinenyarnhave
increasedfrom30,000centnersin1832to86,000centnersin1835,
chieflythroughtheimportsfromEngland,whicharestill
increasing。Theconsumptionofindigoincreasedfrom12,000
centnersin1831to24,000centnersin1837;astrikingproofof
theprogressofGermanindustry。Theexportsofpotteryhavebeen
morethandoubledfrom1832to1836。Theimportsofstonewarehave
diminishedfrom5,000centnersto2,000centners,andtheexports
ofitincreasedfrom4,000centnersto18,000centners。Theimports
ofporcelainhavediminishedfrom4,000centnersto1,000centners,
andtheexportsofithaveincreasedfrom700centnersto4,000
centners。Theoutputofcoalhasincreasedfrom6,000,000Prussian
tonsin1832to9,000,000in1836。In1816therewere8,000,000
sheepinPrussia;andin1837,15,000,000。
InSaxonyin1831therewere14,000stocking-weavingmachines;
in2836,20,000。From1831to1837,thenumberofmanufactoriesfor
spinningwoollenyarnandofspindleshadincreasedinSaxonyto
morethandoubletheirpreviousnumber。Everywheremachine
manufactorieshadarisen,andmanyofthesewereinthemost
flourishingcondition。
Inshort,inallbranchesofindustry,inproportionasthey
havebeenprotected,Germanyhasmadeenormousadvances,especially
inwoollenandcottongoodsforcommonuse,theimportationof
whichfromEnglandhadentirelyceased。AtthesametimeDrBowring
admits,inconsequenceofatrustworthyopinionwhichhadbeen
expressedtohim,'thatthepriceofthePrussianstuffswas
decidedlylowerthanthatoftheEnglish;thatcertainlyinrespect
ofsomeofthecolourstheywereinferiortothebestEnglish
tints,butthatotherswereperfectandcouldnotbesurpassed;
thatinspinning,weaving,andallpreparatoryprocesses,the
GermangoodswerefullyequaltotheBritish,butonlyinthe
finishadistinctinferioritymightbeobserved,butthatthewant
ofthiswoulddisappearafteralittletime。'
Itisveryeasytounderstandhowbymeansofsuch
representationsasthesetheEnglishParliamentmayatlengthbe
inducedtoabandonitscornlaws,whichhavehithertooperatedas
aprotectivesystemtoGermany。Butitappearstousutterly
incomprehensiblehowtheGermanUnion,whichhasmadesuchenormous
advancesinconsequenceoftheprotectivesystem,shouldbeinduced
bythisreporttodepartfromasystemwhichhasyieldedthemsuch
excellentresults。
ItisverywellforDrBowringtoassureusthatthehome
industryofGermanyisbeingprotectedattheexpenseofthe
agriculturists。Buthowcanweattachanycredencetohis
assurance,whenwesee,onthecontrary,thatthedemandfor
agriculturalproduce,pricesofproduce,thewagesoflabour,the
rents,thevalueofproperty,haveeverywhereconsiderablyrisen,
withouttheagriculturisthavingtopaymorethanhedidbeforefor
themanufacturedgoodswhichherequires?
ItisverywellforDrBowringtogiveusanestimateshowing
thatinGermanythreepersonsareengagedinagriculturetoevery
oneinmanufactures,butthatstatementconvincesusthatthe
numberofGermansengagedinmanufacturingisnotyetinproper
proportiontothenumberofGermanagriculturists。Andwecannot
seebywhatothermeansthisdisproportioncanbeequalised,than
byincreasingtheprotectiononthosebranchesofmanufacturewhich
arestillcarriedoninEnglandforthesupplyoftheGermanmarket
bypersonswhoconsumeEnglishinsteadofGermanagricultural
produce。ItisallverywellforDrBowringtoassertthatGerman
agriculturemustonlydirectitsattentiontoforeigncountriesif
itdesirestoincreaseitssaleofproduce;butthatagreatdemand
foragriculturalproducecanonlybeattainedbyaflourishinghome
manufacturingpoweristaughtusnotalonebytheexperienceof
England,butDrBowringhimselfimplicitlyadmitsthis,bythe
apprehensionwhichheexpressesinhisreport,thatifEngland
delaysforsometimetoabolishhercornlaws,Germanywillthen
havenosurplusofeithercornortimbertoselltoforeign
countries。
DrBowringiscertainlyrightwhenheassertsthatthe
agriculturalinterestinGermanyisstillthepredominantone,but
justfortheveryreasonthatitispredominantitmustaswehave
showninformerchapters,bypromotingthemanufacturing
interests,seektoplaceitselfinajustproportionwiththem,
becausetheprosperityofagriculturedependsonitsbeinginequal
proportionwiththemanufacturinginterest,butnotonitsown
preponderanceoverit。
Further,theauthorofthereportappearstobeutterlysteeped
inerrorwhenhemaintainsthatforeigncompetitioninGerman
marketsisnecessaryfortheGermanmanufacturinginterestitself,
becausetheGermanmanufacturers,assoonastheyareinaposition
tosupplytheGermanmarkets,mustcompetewiththemanufacturers
ofothercountriesforthedisposaloftheirsurplusproduce,which
competitiontheycanonlysustainbymeansofcheapproduction。But
cheapproductionwillnotconsistwiththeexistenceofthe
protectivesystem,inasmuchastheobjectofthatsystemisto
securehigherpricestothemanufacturers。
Thisargumentcontainsasmanyerrorsandfalsehoodsaswords。
DrBowringcannotdenythatthemanufacturercanofferhisproducts
atcheaperprices,themoreheisenabledtomanufacture——that,
therefore,amanufacturingPowerwhichexclusivelypossessesits
homemarketcanworksomuchthecheaperforforeigntrade。The
proofofthishecanfindinthesametableswhichhehaspublished
ontheadvancesmadebyGermanindustry;forinthesameproportion
inwhichtheGermanmanufactorieshaveacquiredpossessionoftheir
ownhomemarket,theirexportofmanufacturedgoodshasalso
increased。ThustherecentexperienceofGermany,liketheancient
experienceofEngland,showsusthathighpricesofmanufactured
goodsarebynomeansanecessaryconsequenceofprotection。
Finally,Germanindustryisstillveryfarfromentirely
supplyingherhomemarket。Inordertodothat,shemustfirst
manufactureforherselfthe13,000centnersofcottonfabrics,the
18,000centnersofwoollenfabrics,the500,000centnersofcotton
yarn,thread,andlinenyarn,whichatpresentareimportedfrom
England。If,however,sheaccomplishesthat,shewillthenimport
500,000centnersmorerawcottonthanbefore,bywhichshewill
carryonsomuchthemoredirectexchangetradewithtropical
countries,andbeabletopayforthegreaterpartifnotthewhole
ofthatrequirementwithherownmanufacturedgoods。
Wemustcorrecttheviewoftheauthorofthereport,that
publicopinioninGermanyisinfavouroffreetrade,bystating
thatsincetheestablishmentoftheCommercialUnionpeoplehave
acquiredaclearerperceptionofwhatitisthatEnglandusually
understandsbytheterm'freetrade,'for,ashehimselfsays,
'SincethatperiodthesentimentsoftheGermanpeoplehavebeen
divertedfromtheregionofhopeandoffantasytothatoftheir
actualandmaterialinterests。'Theauthorofthereportisquite
rightwhenhesaysthatintelligenceisverygreatlydiffused
amongsttheGermanpeople,butforthatveryreasonpeoplein
Germanyhaveceasedtoindulgeincosmopoliticaldreams。People
herenowthinkforthemselves——theytrusttheirownconclusions,
theirownexperience,theirownsoundcommonsense,morethan
one-sidedsystemswhichareopposedtoallexperience。Theybegin
tocomprehendwhyitwasthatBurkedeclaredinconfidencetoAdam
Smith'thatanationmustnotbegovernedaccordingto
cosmopoliticalsystems,butaccordingtoknowledgeoftheirspecial
nationalinterestsacquiredbydeepresearch。'PeopleinGermany
distrustcounsellorswhoblowbothcoldandhotoutofthesame
mouth。Peopleknowalsohowtoestimateattheirpropervaluethe
interestsandtheadviceofthosewhoareourindustrial
competitors。Finally,peopleinGermanybearinmindasoftenas
Englishoffersareunderdiscussionthewell-knownproverbofthe
presentsofferedbytheDanaidae。
FortheseveryreasonswemaydoubtthatinfluentialGerman
statesmenhaveseriouslygivengroundsforhopetotheauthorof
thereport,thatGermanyiswillingtoabandonherprotective
policyforthebenefitofEngland,inexchangeforthepitiful
concessionofpermissiontoexporttoEnglandalittlegrainand
timber。AtanyratepublicopinioninGermanywouldgreatly
hesitatetoconsidersuchstatesmentobethoughtfulones。Inorder
tomeritthattitleinGermanyinthepresentday,itisnotenough
thatamanshouldhavethoroughlylearnedsuperficialphrasesand
argumentsofthecosmopoliticalschool。Peoplerequirethata
statesmanshouldbewellacquaintedwiththepowersandthe
requirementsofthenation,and,withouttroublinghimselfwith
scholasticsystems,shoulddeveloptheformerandsatisfythe
latter。Butthatmanwouldbetrayanunfathomableignoranceof
thosepowersandwants,whodidnotknowwhatenormousexertions
arerequisitetoraiseanationalindustrytothatstagetowhich
theGermanindustryhasalreadyattained;whocannotinspirit
foreseethegreatnessofitsfuture;whocouldsogrievously
disappointtheconfidencewhichtheGermanindustrialclasseshave
reposedintheirGovernments,andsodeeplywoundthespiritof
enterpriseinthenation;whowasincapableofdistinguishing
betweentheloftypositionwhichisoccupiedbyamanufacturing
nationofthefirstrank,andtheinferiorpositionofacountry
whichmerelyexportscornandtimber;whoisnotintelligentenough
toestimatehowprecariousaforeignmarketforgrainandtimberis
eveninordinarytimes,howeasilyconcessionsofthiskindcanbe
againrevoked,andwhatconvulsionsareinvolvedinaninterruption
ofsuchatrade,occasionedbywarsorhostilecommercial
regulations;who,finally,hasnotlearnedfromtheexampleof
othergreatstateshowgreatlytheexistence,theindependence,and
thepowerofthenationdependsonitspossessionofa
manufacturingpowerofitsown,developedinallitsbranches。
Trulyonemustgreatlyunder-estimatethespiritofnationality
andofunitywhichhasariseninGermanysince1830,ifone
believed,astheauthorofthereportdoesp。26,thatthepolicy
oftheCommercialUnionwillfollowtheseparateinterestsof
Prussia,becausetwo-thirdsofthepopulationoftheUnionare
Prussian。ButPrussia'sinterestsdemandtheexportofgrainand
timbertoEngland;theamountofhercapitaldevotedto
manufacturesisunimportant;Prussiawillthereforeopposeevery
systemwhichimpedestheimportofforeignmanufactures,andall
theheadsofdepartmentsinPrussiaareofthatopinion。
Neverthelesstheauthorofthereportsaysatthebeginningofhis
report:'TheGermanCustomsUnionisanincarnationoftheideaof
nationalunitywhichwidelypervadesthiscountry。IfthisUnionis
wellled,itmustbringaboutthefusionofallGermaninterestsin
onecommonleague。Theexperienceofitsbenefitshasmadeit
popular。Itisthefirststeptowardsthenationalisationofthe
Germanpeople。Bymeansofthecommoninterestincommercial
questions,ithaspavedthewayforpoliticalnationality,andin
placeofnarrow-mindedviews,prejudices,andcustoms,ithaslaid
downabroaderandstrongerelementofGermannationalexistence。'
Now,howdoestheopinionagreewiththeseperfectlytrueprefatory
observations,thatPrussiawillsacrificetheindependenceandthe
futuregreatnessofthenationtoanarrowregardtoherown
supposedbutinanycaseonlymomentaryprivateinterest——that
PrussiawillnotcomprehendthatGermanymusteitherriseorfall
withhernationalcommercialpolicy,asPrussiaherselfmustrise
orfallwithGermany?HowdoestheassertionthatthePrussian
headsofdepartmentsareopposedtotheprotectivesystem,agree
withthefactthatthehighdutiesonordinarywoollenandcotton
fabricsemanatedfromPrussiaherself?Andmustwenotbecompelled
toconjecturefromthesecontradictions,andfromthefactthatthe
authorofthereportpaintsinsuchglowingcoloursthecondition
andtheprogressoftheindustryofSaxony,thathehimselfis
desirousofexcitingtheprivatejealousyofPrussia?
Bethatasitmay,itisverystrangethatDrBowringattaches
suchgreatimportancetotheprivatestatementsofheadsof
departments,heanEnglishauthorwhooughttobewellawareofthe
powerofpublicopinion——whooughttoknowthatinourdaysthe
privateviewsofheadsofdepartmentseveninunconstitutional
statescountforverylittleiftheyareopposedtopublicopinion,
andespeciallytothematerialinterestsofthewholenation,and
iftheyfavourretrogradestepswhichendangerthewhole
nationality。Theauthorofthereportalsofeelsthiswellenough
himself,whenhestatesatpage98thatthePrussianGovernmenthas
sufficientlyexperienced,astheEnglishGovernmenthasdonein
connectionwiththeabolitionoftheEnglishcornlaws,thatthe
viewsofpublicofficialscannoteverywherebecarriedintoeffect,
thathenceitmightbenecessarytoconsiderwhetherGermangrain
andtimbershouldnotbeadmittedtotheEnglishmarketseven
withoutpreviousconcessionsonthepartoftheGermanUnion,
becausebythatverymeansthewaymightbepavedfortheadmission
oftheEnglishmanufacturedgoodsintotheGermanmarket。Thisview
isinanycaseacorrectone。DrBowringseesclearlythatthe
Germanindustrywouldneverhavebeenstrengthenedbutforthose
laws;thatconsequentlytheabolitionofthecornlawswouldnot
onlycheckthefurtheradvancesofGermanindustry,butmustcause
itagaintoretrogradegreatly,providedalwaysthatinthatcase
theGermancustomslegislationremainsunchanged。Itisonlyapity
thattheBritishdidnotperceivethesoundnessofthisargument
twentyyearsago;butnow,afterthatthelegislationofEngland
hasitselfundertakenthedivorceofGermanagriculturefrom
Englishmanufactures,afterthatGermanyhaspursuedthepathof
perfectingherindustryfortwentyyears,andhasmadeenormous
sacrificesforthisobject,itwouldbetokenpoliticalblindnessif
Germanywerenow,owingtotheabolitionoftheEnglishcornlaws,
toabstaininanydegreefrompursuinghergreatnationalcareer。
Indeed,wearefirmlyconvincedthatinsuchacaseitwouldbe
necessaryforGermanytoincreaseherprotectivedutiesinthesame
proportioninwhichtheEnglishmanufactorieswouldderive
advantagefromtheabolitionofthecornlawsascomparedwith
thoseofGermany。Germanycanforalongtimefollownoother
policyinrespecttoEnglandthanthatofalessadvanced
manufacturingnationwhichisstrivingwithallherpowertoraise
herselftoanequalpositionwiththemostadvancedmanufacturing
nation。Everyotherpolicyormeasurethanthat,involvesthe
imperillingoftheGermannationality。IftheEnglishareinwant
offoreigncornortimber,thentheymaygetitinGermanyorwhere
elsetheyplease。Germanywillnotonthataccountanytheless
protecttheadvancesinindustrywhichshehasmadeuptothis
time,orstriveanythelesstomakefutureadvances。Ifthe
BritishwillhavenothingtodowithGermangrainandtimber,so
muchthebetter。Inthatcasetheindustry,thenavigation,the
foreigntradeofGermanywillraisetheirheadssomuchthe
quicker,theGermaninternalmeansoftransportwillbesomuchthe
soonercompleted,theGermannationalitywillsomuchthemore
certainlyrestonitsnaturalfoundation。PerhapsPrussiamaynot
inthiswaysosoonbeabletosellthecornandtimberofher
BalticprovincesathighpricesasiftheEnglishmarketswere
suddenlyopenedtoher。Butthroughthecompletionoftheinternal
meansoftransport,andthroughtheinternaldemandfor
agriculturalproducecreatedbythemanufactories,thesalesof
thoseprovincestotheinteriorofGermanywillincreasefast
enough,andeverybenefittotheseprovinceswhichisfoundedon
thehomedemandforagriculturalproducewillbegainedbythemfor
allfuturetime。Theywillnevermorehavetooscillateas
heretoforebetweencalamityandprosperityfromonedecadeto
another。Butfurther,asapoliticalpowerPrussiawillgaina
hundred-foldmoreinconcentratedstrengthintheinteriorof
Germanybythispolicythanthematerialvalueswhichshe
sacrificesforthemomentinhermaritimeprovinces,orrather
investsforrepaymentinthefuture。
TheobjectoftheEnglishministryinthisreportisclearlyto
obtaintheadmissionintoGermanyofordinaryEnglishwoollenand
cottonfabrics,partlythroughtheabolitionoratleast
modificationofchargingdutiesbyweight,partlythroughthe
loweringofthetariff,andpartlybytheadmissionoftheGerman
grainandtimberintotheEnglishmarket。Bythesemeansthefirst
breachcanbemadeintheGermanprotectivesystem。Thesearticles
ofordinaryuseaswehavealreadyshowninaformerchapterare
byfarthemostimportant,theyarethefundamentalelementofthe
nationalindustry。Dutiesoftenpercentadvalorem,whichare
clearlyaimedatbyEngland,would,withtheassistanceofthe
usualtricksofunderdeclarationofvalue,sacrificethegreater
partoftheGermanindustrytoEnglishcompetition,especiallyif
inconsequenceofcommercialcrisestheEnglishmanufacturerswere
sometimesinducedtothrowonthemarkettheirstocksofgoodsat
anyprice。Itisthereforenoexaggerationifwemaintainthatthe
tendencyoftheEnglishproposalsaimsatnothinglessthanthe
overthrowoftheentireGermanprotectivesystem,inorderto
reduceGermanytothepositionofanEnglishagriculturalcolony。
Withthisobjectinviewitisimpressedon。thenoticeofPrussia
howgreatlyheragriculturemightgainbythereductionofthe
Englishcornandtimberduties,andhowunimportanther
manufacturinginterestis。Withthesameview,theprospectis
offeredtoPrussiaofareductionofthedutiesonbrandy。Andin
orderthattheotherstatesmaynotgoquiteemptyawayafiveper
centreductionofthedutiesonN黵embergwares,children'stoys,
eaudeCologne,andothertrifles,ispromised。Thatgives
satisfactiontothesmallGermanstates,andalsodoesnotcost
much。
第15章