首页 >出版文学> The Night-Born>第15章

第15章

  Itthusliesintheverynatureofthings,thatthenumberof
  theadvocatesoftheprotectivesystemmustagainincrease,and
  thoseoffreetradeagaindiminish。Hitherto,thepricesof
  agriculturalproducehavebeenmaintainedatanunusuallyhigh
  level,owingtothepreviousprosperityofthemanufactories,
  throughthecarryingoutofgreatpublicundertakings,throughthe
  demandfornecessariesoflifearisingfromthegreatincreaseof
  theproductionofcotton,alsopartiallythroughbadharvests。One
  may,however,foreseewithcertainty,thatthesepricesinthe
  courseofthenextfewyearswillfallasmuchbelowtheaverageas
  theyhavehithertorangedaboveit。Thegreaterpartofthe
  increaseofAmericancapitalhassincethepassingofthe
  CompromiseBillbeendevotedtoagriculture,andisonlynow
  beginningtobecomeproductive。Whilethusagriculturalproduction
  hasunusuallyincreased,ontheotherhandthedemandforitmust
  unusuallydiminish。Firstly,becausepublicworksarenomorebeing
  undertakentothesameextent;secondly,becausethemanufacturing
  populationinconsequenceofforeigncompetitioncannomore
  increasetoanimportantextent;andthirdly,becausethe
  productionofcottonsogreatlyexceedstheconsumptionthatthe
  cottonplanterswillbecompelled,owingtothelowpricesof
  cotton,toproduceforthemselvesthosenecessariesoflifewhich
  theyhavehithertoprocuredfromtheMiddleandWesternStates。If
  inadditionrichharvestsoccur,thentheMiddleandWesternStates
  willagainsufferfromanexcessofproduce,astheydidbeforethe
  tariffof1828。Butthesamecausesmustagainproducethesame
  results;viz。theagriculturistsoftheMiddleandWesternStates
  mustagainarriveattheconviction,thatthedemandfor
  agriculturalproducecanonlybeincreasedbytheincreaseofthe
  manufacturingpopulationofthecountry,andthatthatincreasecan
  onlybebroughtaboutbyanextensionoftheprotectivesystem。
  Whileinthismannerthepartisansofprotectionwilldaily
  increaseinnumberandinfluence,theoppositepartywilldiminish
  inlikeproportionuntilthecottonplantersundersuchaltered
  circumstancesmustnecessarilycometotheconvictionthatthe
  increaseofthemanufacturingpopulationofthecountryandthe
  increaseofthedemandforagriculturalproduceandrawmaterials
  bothconsistwiththeirowninterestsifrightlyunderstood。
  Because,aswehaveshown,thecottonplantersandthe
  DemocratsinNorthAmericawerestrivingmostearnestlyoftheir
  ownaccordtoplayintothehandsofthecommercialinterestsof
  England,noopportunitywasofferedatthemomentonthissidefor
  MrPoulettThompsontodisplayhisskillincommercialdiplomacy。
  MatterswerequiteinanotherpositioninFrance。Therepeople
  stillsteadilyclungtotheprohibitivesystem。Therewereindeed
  manyStateofficialswhoweredisciplesoftheory,andalso
  deputieswhowereinfavourofanextensionofcommercialrelations
  betweenEnglandandFrance,andtheexistingalliancewithEngland
  hadalsorenderedthisviewtoacertainextentpopular。Buthowto
  attainthatobject,opinionswerelessagreed,andinnorespect
  weretheyquiteclear。Itseemedevidentandalsoindisputablethat
  thehighdutiesontheforeignnecessariesoflifeandraw
  materials,andtheexclusionofEnglishcoalandpig-iron,operated
  verydisadvantageouslytoFrenchindustry,andthatanincreasein
  theexportsofwines,brandy,andsilkfabricswouldbeextremely
  advantageoustoFrance。
  Ingeneral,peopleconfinedthemselvestouniversaldeclamation
  againstthedisadvantagesoftheprohibitivesystem。Buttoattack
  thisinspecialcasesdidnotappearatthetimetobeatall
  advisable。FortheGovernmentofJulyhadtheirstrongest
  supportersamongtherichbourgeoisie,whoforthemostpartwere
  interestedinthegreatmanufacturingundertakings。
  UnderthesecircumstancesMrPoulettThompsonformedaplanof
  operationswhichdoesallhonourtohisbreadthofthoughtand
  diplomaticadroitness。HesenttoFranceamanthoroughlyversedin
  commerceandindustryandinthecommercialpolicyofFrance,well
  knownforhis'liberalsentiments'alearnedmanandavery
  accomplishedwriter,DrBowring,whotravelledthroughthewholeof
  France,andsubsequentlythroughSwitzerlandalso,togatheronthe
  spotmaterialsforargumentsagainsttheprohibitivesystemandin
  favouroffreetrade。DrBowringaccomplishedthistaskwithhis
  accustomedabilityandadroitness。Especiallyheclearlyindicated
  thebefore-mentionedadvantagesofafreercommercialintercourse
  betweenthetwocountriesinrespectofcoal,pig-iron,wines,and
  brandies。Inthereportwhichhepublished,hechieflyconfinedhis
  argumentstothesearticles;inreferencetotheotherbranchesof
  industryheonlygavestatistics,withoutcommittinghimselfto
  proofsorpropositionshowthesecouldbepromotedbymeansoffree
  tradewithEngland。
  DrBowringactedinpreciseaccordancewiththeinstructions
  giventohimbyMrPoulettThompson,whichwereframedwith
  uncommonartandsubtlety,andwhichappearattheheadofhis
  report。IntheseMrThompsonmakesuseofthemostliberal
  expressions。Heexpresseshimself,withmuchconsiderationforthe
  Frenchmanufacturinginterests,ontheimprobabilitythatany
  importantresultwastobeexpectedfromthecontemplated
  negotiationswithFrance。Thisinstructionwasperfectlyadapted
  forcalmingtheapprehensionsrespectingtheviewsofEngland
  entertainedbytheFrenchwoollenandcottonmanufacturing
  interestswhichhadbecomesopowerful。AccordingtoMrThompson,
  itwouldbefollytoaskforimportantconcessionsrespecting
  these。
  Ontheotherhand,hegivesahinthowtheobjectmightmore
  easilybeattainedinrespectof'lessimportantarticles。'These
  lessimportantarticlesarecertainlynotenumeratedinthe
  instruction,butthesubsequentexperienceofFrancehascompletely
  broughttolightwhatMrThompsonmeantbyit,foratthetimeof
  thewritingofthisinstructiontheexportsoflinenyarnandlinen
  fabricsofEnglandtoFrancewereincludedintheterm'less
  important。'
  TheFrenchGovernment,movedbytherepresentationsand
  explanationsoftheEnglishGovernmentanditsagents,andwiththe
  intentionofmakingtoEnglandacomparativelyunimportant
  concession,whichwouldultimatelyproveadvantageoustoFrance
  herself,loweredthedutyonlinenyarnandlinenfabricstosuch
  anextentthattheynolongergaveanyprotectiontoFrench
  industryinfaceofthegreatimprovementswhichtheEnglishhad
  madeinthesebranchesofmanufacture,sothateveninthenextfew
  yearstheexportofthesearticlesfromEnglandtoFranceincreased
  enormously1838,32,000,000francs;andthatFrancestoodin
  danger,owingtothestartwhichEnglandhadthusobtained,of
  losingitsentirelinenindustry,amountingtomanyhundred
  millionsinvalue,whichwasofthegreatestimportanceforher
  agricultureandforthewelfareofherentireruralpopulation,
  unlessmeanscouldbefoundtoputacheckontheEnglish
  competitionbyincreasingtheduties。
  ThatFrancewasdupedbyMrPoulettThompsonwasclearenough。
  Hehadalreadyclearlyseenintheyear1834whatanimpulsethe
  linenmanufactureofEnglandwouldreceiveinthenextfewyearsin
  consequenceofthenewinventionswhichhadbeenmadethere,andin
  thisnegotiationhehadcalculatedontheignoranceoftheFrench
  Governmentrespectingtheseinventionsandtheirnecessary
  consequences。Theadvocatesofthisloweringofdutiesnowindeed
  endeavouredtomaketheworldbelievethatbyittheyonlydesired
  tomakeaconcessiontothebelgianlinenmanufactures。Butdid
  thatmakeamendsfortheirlackofacquaintancewiththeadvances
  madebytheEnglish,andtheirlackofforesightastothe
  necessaryconsequences?
  Bethatasitmay,thismuchisclearlydemonstrated,thatit
  wasnecessaryforFrancetoprotectherselfstillmore,under
  penaltyoflosingthegreaterpartofherlinenmanufacturingfor
  thebenefitofEngland;andthatthefirstandmostrecent
  experimentoftheincreaseoffreedomoftradebetweenEnglandand
  FranceremainsasanindeliblememorialofEnglishcraftandof
  Frenchinexperience,asanewMethuenTreaty,asasecondEden
  Treaty。ButwhatdidMrPoulettThompsondowhenheperceivedthe
  complaintsoftheFrenchlinenmanufacturersandtheinclinationof
  theFrenchGovernmenttorepairthemistakewhichhadbeenmade?He
  didwhatMrHuskissonhaddonebeforehim,heindulgedinthreats,
  hethreatenedtoexcludeFrenchwinesandsilkfabrics。Thisis
  Englishcosmopolitanism。Francemustgiveupamanufacturing
  industryofathousandyears'standing,boundupintheclosest
  mannerwiththeentireeconomyofherlowerclassesandespecially
  withheragriculture,theproductsofwhichmustbereckonedas
  chiefnecessariesoflifeforallclasses,andoftheentireamount
  ofbetweenthreeandfourhundredmillions,inordertherebyto
  purchasetheprivilegeofexportingtoEnglandsomefewmillions
  moreinvalueofwinesandsilkmanufactures。Quiteapartfromthis
  disproportioninvalue,itmustbeconsideredinwhataposition
  Francewouldbeplacedifthecommercialrelationsbetweenboth
  nationsbecameinterruptedinconsequenceofawar;incaseviz。
  thatFrancecouldnomoreexporttoEnglandhersurplusproductsof
  silkmanufacturesandwines,butatthesametimesufferedfromthe
  wantofsuchanimportantnecessaryoflifeaslinen。
  Ifanyonereflectsonthishewillseethatthelinenquestion
  isnotsimplyaquestionofeconomicalwell-being,but,as
  everythingiswhichconcernsthenationalmanufacturingpower,is
  stillmoreaquestionoftheindependenceandpowerofthenation。
  Itseemsindeedasifthespiritofinventionhadsetitself
  thetask,inthisperfectingofthelinenmanufacture,tomakethe
  nationscomprehendthenatureofthemanufacturinginterest,its
  relationswithagriculture,anditsinfluenceontheindependence
  andpoweroftheState,andtoexposetheerroneousargumentsof
  thepopulartheory。Theschoolmaintains,asiswellknown,that
  everynationpossessesspecialadvantagesinvariousbranchesof
  production,whichshehaseitherderivedfromnature,orwhichshe
  haspartlyacquiredinthecourseofhercareer,andwhichunder
  freetradecompensateoneanother。Wehaveinapreviouschapter
  adducedproofthatthisargumentisonlytrueinreferenceto
  agriculture,inwhichproductiondependsforthemostparton
  climateandonthefertilityofthesoil,butthatitisnottrue
  inrespecttomanufacturingindustry,forwhichallnations
  inhabitingtemperateclimateshaveequalcapabilityprovidedthat
  theypossessthenecessarymaterial,mental,social,andpolitical
  qualifications。Englandatthepresentdayoffersthemoststriking
  proofofthis。Ifanynationswhateverarespeciallyadaptedby
  theirpastexperienceandexertions,andthroughtheirnatural
  qualifications,forthemanufactureoflinen,thosearethe
  Germans,thebelgians,theDutch,andtheinhabitantsoftheNorth
  ofFranceforathousandyearspast。TheEnglish,ontheother
  hand,uptothemiddleofthelastcentury,hadnotoriouslymade
  suchsmallprogressinthatindustry,thattheyimportedagreat
  proportionofthelinenwhichtheyrequired,fromabroad。Itwould
  neverhavebeenpossibleforthem,withoutthedutiesbywhichthey
  continuouslyprotectedthismanufacturingindustry,eventosupply
  theirownmarketsandcolonieswithlinenoftheirownmanufacture。
  AnditiswellknownhowLordsCastlereaghandLiverpooladduced
  proofinParliament,thatwithoutprotectionitwasimpossiblefor
  theIrishlinenmanufacturestosustaincompetitionwiththoseof
  Germany。Atpresent,however,weseehowtheEnglishthreatento
  monopolisethelinenmanufactureofthewholeofEurope,in
  consequenceoftheirinventions,notwithstandingthattheywerefor
  ahundredyearstheworstmanufacturersoflineninallEurope,
  justastheyhavemonopolisedforthelastfiftyyearsthecotton
  marketsoftheEastIndies,notwithstandingthatonehundredyears
  previouslytheycouldnotevencompeteintheirownmarketwiththe
  Indiancottonmanufacturers。Atthismomentitisamatterof
  disputeinFrancehowithappensthatEnglandhaslatelymadesuch
  immenseprogressinthemanufactureoflinen,althoughNapoleonwas
  thefirstwhoofferedsuchagreatrewardfortheinventionofa
  machineforspinningcotton,andthattheFrenchmachinistsand
  manufacturershadbeenengagedinthistradebeforetheEnglish。
  TheinquiryismadewhethertheEnglishortheFrenchpossessed
  moremechanicaltalent。Allkindsofexplanationsareoffered
  exceptthetrueandthenaturalone。Itisabsurdtoattribute
  speciallytotheEnglishgreatermechanicaltalent,orgreater
  skillandperseveranceinindustry,thantotheGermansortothe
  French。BeforethetimeofEdwardIIItheEnglishwerethegreatest
  bulliesandgood-for-nothingcharactersinEurope;certainlyit
  neveroccurredtothemtocomparethemselveswiththeItaliansand
  BelgiansorwiththeGermansinrespecttomechanicaltalentor
  industrialskill;butsincethentheirGovernmenthastakentheir
  educationinhand,andthustheyhavebydegreesmadesuchprogress
  thattheycandisputethepalmofindustrialskillwiththeir
  instructors。IftheEnglishinthelasttwentyyearshavemademore
  rapidprogressinmachineryforlinenmanufacturethanother
  nations,andespeciallytheFrench,havedone,thishasonly
  occurredbecause,firstly,theyhadattainedgreatereminencein
  mechanicalskill;secondly,thattheywerefurtheradvancedin
  machineryforspinningandweavingcotton,whichissosimilarto
  thatforspinningandweavinglinen;thirdly,thatinconsequence
  oftheirpreviouscommercialpolicy,theyhadbecomepossessedof
  morecapitalthantheFrench;fourthly,thatinconsequenceofthat
  commercialpolicytheirhomemarketforlinengoodswasfarmore
  extensivethanthatoftheFrench;andlastlythattheirprotective
  duties,combinedwiththecircumstancesabovenamed,affordedto
  themechanicaltalentofthenationgreaterstimulusandmoremeans
  todevoteitselftoperfectingthisbranchofindustry。
  TheEnglishhavethusgivenastrikingconfirmationofthe
  opinionswhichweinanotherplacehavepropoundedandexplained——
  thatallindividualbranchesofindustryhavetheclosest
  reciprocaleffectononeanother;thattheperfectingofonebranch
  preparesandpromotestheperfectingofallothers;thatnooneof
  themcanbeneglectedwithouttheeffectsofthatneglectbeing
  feltbyall;that,inshort,thewholemanufacturingpowerofa
  nationconstitutesaninseparablewhole。Oftheseopinionsthey
  havebytheirlatestachievementsinthelinenindustryoffereda
  strikingconfirmation。
  NOTES:
  1。EvenapartoftheproductionofwoolinEnglandisduetothe
  observanceofthismaxim。EdwardIVimportedunderspecial
  privileges3,000headofsheepfromSpainwheretheexportof
  sheepwasprohibited,anddistributedthemamongvariousparishes,
  withacommandthatforsevenyearsnoneweretobeslaughteredor
  castrated。EssaisurleCommerced'Angleterre,tomei。p。379。As
  soonastheobjectofthesemeasureshadbeenattained,England
  rewardedtheSpanishGovernmentforthespecialprivilegesgranted
  bythelatter,byprohibitingtheimportofSpanishwool。The
  efficacyofthisprohibitionhoweverunjustitmaybedeemedcan
  aslittlebedeniedasthatoftheprohibitionsoftheimportof
  woolbyCharlesII1672and1674。
  2。France,saidPitt,hasadvantagesaboveEnglandinrespectof
  climateandothernaturalgifts,andthereforeexcelsEnglandin
  itsrawproduce;ontheotherhand,Englandhastheadvantageover
  Franceinitsartificialproducts。Thewines,brandies,oils,and
  vinegarsofFrance,especiallythefirsttwo,articlesofsuch
  importanceandofsuchvalue,thatthevalueofournatural
  productscannotbeintheleastcomparedwiththem。But,onthe
  otherhand,itisequallycertainthatEnglandistheexclusive
  producerofsomekindsofmanufacturedgoods,andthatinrespect
  ofotherkindsshepossessessuchadvantagesthatshecandefy
  withoutdoubtallthecompetitionofFrance。Thisisareciprocal
  conditionandabasisonwhichanadvantageouscommercialtreaty
  betweenbothnationsshouldbefounded。Aseachofthemhasits
  peculiarstaplecommodities,andeachpossessesthatwhichis
  lackingtotheother,sobothshoulddealwithoneanotherliketwo
  greatmerchantswhoareengagedindifferentbranchesoftrade,and
  byareciprocalexchangeoftheirgoodscanatoncebecomeuseful
  tooneanother。Letusfurtheronlycalltomindonthispointthe
  wealthofthecountywithwhichwestandinthepositionof
  neighbours,itsgreatpopulation,itsvicinitytous,andthe
  consequentquickandregularexchange。Whocouldthenhesitatea
  momenttogivehisapprovaltothesystemoffreedom,andwhowould
  notearnestlyandimpatientlywishfortheutmostpossible
  expeditioninestablishingit?Thepossessionofsuchanextensive
  andcertainmarketmustgivequiteanextraordinaryimpulsetoour
  trade,andthecustomsrevenuewhichwouldthenbedivertedfrom
  thehandsofthesmugglerintotheStaterevenuewouldbenefitour
  finances,andthustwomainspringsofBritishwealthandof
  Britishpowerwouldbemademoreproductive。
  3。SinceListwrotetheselines,thedutieswhichforeignsilk
  manufacturershadtopayontheimportoftheirgoodsintoEngland
  havebeentotallyabolished。Theresultsoftheirabolitionmaybe
  learnedfromMrWardle'sreportontheEnglishsilktrade,as
  follows:London,in1825,contained24,000loomsand60,000
  operativesengagedinsilkmanufacture。Atthepresenttimethese
  havedwindledto1,200loomsandlessthen4,000operatives。In
  Coventry,in1861,theribbontradeisstatedtohavegiven
  subsistenceto40,600persons;whileatthepresenttimeprobably
  notmorethan10,000personsaresupportedbyit,andthe
  power-loomsatworkinCoventryhavedecreasedfrom1,800to600。
  InDerbythenumberofoperativesemployedinsilkmanufacturehas
  decreasedfrom6,650in1850to2,400atpresent。Inthe
  Congletondistricttheyhavedecreasedfrom5,186in1860to
  1,530in1884;whileofthefortysilk-throwsters'workswhich
  thatdistrictcontainedin1859onlytwelvenowremain,with
  'aboutthree-fourthsoftheirmachineryemployed。'InManchester
  thistradehaspracticallydiedout,whileatMiddletonthe
  industryis'simplyruined。'TheseresultsstatedbyMrWardle
  mayaccountforthedecreaseinEngland'simportsofrawsilk,from
  8,000,000poundsin1871tolessthan3,000,000pounds。
  Ontheotherhand,sinceListwrote,theUnitedStatesof
  Americahaveincreasedandsteadilymaintainedaconsiderable
  protectivedutyontheimportationofforeignsilkmanufactures。
  TheresultsofthatpolicywerepubliclystatedbyMrRobertP。
  PortermemberoftheUnitedStates'TariffCommission,ina
  speechin1883,tohavebeenasfollows:
  Fivethousandpersonswereemployedinsilkmanufactureinthe
  UnitedStatesbeforetheMorilltariff1861。In1880theirnumber
  hadincreasedto30,000。Thevalueofsilkmanufacturesproducedin
  theStatesincreasedfrom1,200,000l。in1860tomorethan
  8,000,000l。in1880。'Yetthecostofthemanufacturedgoodsto
  theconsumer,estimatedonagoldbasis,hassteadilydeclinedat
  amuchgreaterratethanthecostoftherawmaterial。'After
  referencetotheearthenwareandplate-glassmanufactures,Mr
  Porteradds:'ThetestimonybeforetheTariffCommissionshowed
  unquestionablythatthecompetitionintheUnitedStateshad
  resultedinareductioninthecosttotheAmericanconsumer。In
  thisway,gentlemen,Icontend,andampreparedtoprove
  statistically。thatprotection,sofarastheUnitedStatesare
  concerned,hasineverycaseultimatelybenefitedtheconsumer;and
  onthisgroundIdefenditandbelieveinit。'——TRANSLATOR。
  4。Chaptal,Del'IndustrieFran鏰isevol。ii。,p。147。
  Chapter34
  TheInsularSupremacyandtheGermanCommercialUnion
  Whatagreatnationisatthepresentdaywithoutavigorous
  commercialpolicy,andwhatshemaybecomebytheadoptionofa
  vigorouscommercialpolicy,Germanyhaslearntforherselfduring
  thelasttwentyyears。GermanywasthatwhichFranklinoncesaidof
  theStateofNewJersey,'acaskwhichwastappedanddrainedby
  itsneighboursoneveryside。'England,notcontentedwithhaving
  ruinedfortheGermansthegreaterpartoftheirownmanufactories
  andsuppliedthemwithenormousquantitiesofcottonandwoollen
  fabrics,excludedfromherportsGermangrainandtimber,nayfrom
  timetotimealsoevenGermanwool。Therewasatimewhenthe
  exportofmanufacturedgoodsfromEnglandtoGermanywastentimes
  greaterthanthattoherhighlyextolledEastIndianEmpire。
  Neverthelesstheall-monopolisingislanderswouldnotevengrantto
  thepoorGermanswhattheyconcededtotheconqueredHindoos,viz。
  topayforthemanufacturedgoodswhichtheyrequiredby
  agriculturalproduce。InvaindidtheGermanshumblethemselvesto
  thepositionofhewersofwoodanddrawersofwaterforthe
  Britons。Thelattertreatedthemworsethanasubjectpeople。
  Nations,likeindividuals,iftheyatfirstonlypermitthemselves
  tobeill-treatedbyone,soonbecomescornedbyall,andfinally
  becomeanobjectofderisiontotheverychildren。France,not
  contentedwithexportingtoGermanyenormousquantitiesofwine,
  oil,silk,andmillinery,grudgedtheGermanstheirexportsof
  cattle,grain,andflax;yes,evenasmallmaritimeprovince
  formerlypossessedbyGermanyandinhabitedbyGermans,which
  havingbecomewealthyandpowerfulbymeansofGermany,atall
  timeswasonlyabletomaintainitselfwithandbymeansof
  Germany,barredforhalfagenerationGermany'sgreatestriverby
  meansofcontemptibleverbalquibbles。Tofillupthemeasureof
  thiscontempt,thedoctrinewastaughtfromahundredprofessorial
  chairs,thatnationscouldonlyattaintowealthandpowerbymeans
  ofuniversalfreetrade。Thusitwas;buthowisitnow?Germany
  hasadvancedinprosperityandindustry,innationalself-respect
  andinnationalpower,inthecourseoftenyearsasmuchasina
  century。Andhowhasthisresultbeenachieved?Itwascertainly
  goodandbeneficialthattheinternaltariffswereabolishedwhich
  separatedGermansfromGermans;butthenationwouldhavederived
  smallcomfortfromthatifherhomeindustryhadthenceforth
  remainedfreelyexposedtoforeigncompetition。Itwasespecially
  theprotectionwhichthetariffoftheZollvereinsecuredto
  manufacturedarticlesofcommonuse,whichhaswroughtthis
  miracle。Letusfreelyconfessit,forDrBowring1*has
  incontrovertiblyshownit,thattheZollvereintariffhasnot,as
  wasbeforeasserted,imposedmerelydutiesforrevenue——thatit
  hasnotconfineditselftodutiesoftentofifteenpercentas
  Huskissonbelieved——letusfreelyadmitthatithasimposed
  protectivedutiesoffromtwentytosixtypercentasrespectsthe
  manufacturedarticlesofcommonuse。
  Butwhathasbeentheoperationoftheseprotectiveduties?Are
  theconsumerspayingfortheirGermanmanufacturedgoodstwentyto
  sixtypercentmorethantheyformerlypaidforforeignonesas
  mustbethecaseifthepopulartheoryiscorrect,orarethese
  goodsatallworsethantheforeignones?Nothingofthesort。Dr
  Bowringhimselfadducestestimonythatthemanufacturedgoods
  producedunderthehighcustomstariffarebothbetterandcheaper
  thantheforeignones。2*Theinternalcompetitionandthe
  securityfromdestructivecompetitionbytheforeignerhaswrought
  thismiracle,ofwhichthepopularschoolknowsnothingandis
  determinedtoknownothing。Thus,thatisnottrue,whichthe
  popularschoolmaintains,thataprotectivedutyincreasesthe
  priceofthegoodsofhomeproductionbytheamountofthe
  protectiveduty。Forashorttimethedutymayincreasetheprice,
  butineverynationwhichisqualifiedtocarryonmanufacturing
  industrytheconsequenceoftheprotectionwillbe,thatthe
  internalcompetitionwillsoonreducethepriceslowerthanthey
  hadstoodatwhentheimportationwasfree。
  Buthasagricultureatallsufferedunderthesehighduties?
  Notintheleast;ithasgained-gainedtenfoldduringthelastten
  years。Thedemandforagriculturalproducehasincreased。The
  pricesofiteverywherearehigher。Itisnotoriousthatsolelyin
  consequenceofthegrowthofthehomemanufactoriesthevalueof
  landhaseverywhererisenfromfiftytoahundredpercent,that
  everywherehigherwagesarebeingpaid,andthatinalldirections
  improvementsinthemeansoftransportareeitherbeingeffectedor
  projected。
  Suchbrilliantresultsasthesemustnecessarilyencourageus
  toproceedfartheronthesystemwhichwehavecommencedtofollow。
  OtherStatesoftheUnionhavealsoproposedtotakesimilarsteps,
  buthavenotyetcarriedthemintoeffect;while,asitwould
  appear,someotherStatesoftheUniononlyexpecttoattain
  prosperitysolelybytheabolitionoftheEnglishdutiesongrain
  andtimber,andwhileasitisallegedtherearestilltobe
  foundinfluentialmenwhobelieveinthecosmopoliticalsystemand
  distrusttheirownexperience。DrBowring'sreportgivesusmost
  importantexplanationsonthesepointsaswellasonthe
  circumstancesoftheGermanCommercialUnionandthetacticsofthe
  EnglishGovernment。Letusendeavourtothrowalittlelighton
  thisreport。
  Firstofall,wehavetoconsiderthepointofviewfromwhich
  itwaswritten。MrLabouchere,PresidentoftheboardofTrade
  undertheMelbourneMinistry,hadsentDrBowringtoGermanyfor
  thesamepurposeasthatforwhichMrPoulettThompsonhadsenthim
  toFranceintheyear1834。Justasitwasintendedtomisleadthe
  Frenchbyconcessionsinrespectofwinesandbrandiestoopen
  theirhomemarkettoEnglishmanufacturedgoods,soitwasintended
  tomisleadtheGermanstodothesamebyconcessionsinrespectof
  grainandtimber;onlytherewasagreatdifferencebetweenthetwo
  missionsinthisrespect,thattheconcessionwhichwastobe
  offeredtotheFrenchhadtofearnooppositioninEngland,while
  thatwhichhadtobeofferedtotheGermanshadfirsttobefought
  forinEnglandherself。
  Hencethetendencyofthesetworeportswasofnecessityof
  quiteadifferentcharacter。Thereportonthecommercialrelations
  betweenFranceandEnglandwaswrittenexclusivelyfortheFrench;
  tothemitwasnecessarytorepresentthatColberthadaccomplished
  nothingsatisfactorythroughhisprotectiveregulations;itwas
  necessarytomakepeoplebelievethattheEdenTreatywas
  beneficialtoFrance,andthatNapoleon'sContinentalsystem,as
  wellasthethenexistingFrenchprohibitivesystem,hadbeen
  extremelyinjurioustoher。Inshort,inthiscaseitwasnecessary
  tostickcloselytothetheoryofAdamSmith;andthegoodresults
  oftheprotectivesystemmustbecompletelyandunequivocally
  denied。Thetaskwasnotquitesosimplewiththeotherreport,for
  inthis,onehadtoaddresstheEnglishland-ownersandtheGerman
  Governmentsatoneandthesametime。Totheformeritwas
  necessarytosay:See,thereisanationwhichhasalreadyin
  consequenceofprotectiveregulationsmadeenormousadvancesinher
  industry,andwhich,inpossessionofallnecessarymeansfordoing
  so,ismakingrapidstepstomonopoliseherownhomemarketandto
  competewithEnglandinforeignmarkets。This,youToriesinthe
  HouseofLords——this,youcountrysquiresintheHouseof
  Commons,isyourwickeddoing。Thishasbeenbroughtaboutbyyour
  unwisecornlaws;forbythemthepricesofprovisionsandraw
  materialsandthewagesoflabourhavebeenkeptlowinGermany。By
  themtheGermanmanufactorieshavebeenplacedinanadvantageous
  positioncomparedtotheEnglishones。Makehaste,therefore,you
  fools,toabolishthesecornlaws。Bythatmeansyouwilldoubly
  andtreblydamagetheGermanmanufactories:firstly,becausethe
  pricesofprovisionsandrawmaterialsandthewagesoflabourwill
  beraisedinGermanyandloweredinEngland;secondly,becauseby
  theexportofGermangraintoEnglandtheexportofEnglish
  manufacturedgoodstoGermanywillbepromoted;thirdly,because
  theGermanCommercialUnionhasdeclaredthatitisdisposedto
  reducetheirdutiesoncommoncottonandwoollengoodsinthesame
  proportioninwhichEnglandfacilitatestheimportofGermangrain
  andtimber。ThusweBritonscannotfailoncemoretocrushthe
  Germanmanufactories。Butthequestioncannotwait。Everyyearthe
  manufacturinginterestsaregaininggreaterinfluenceintheGerman
  Union;andifyoudelay,thenyourcorn-lawabolitionwillcometoo
  late。Itwillnotbelongbeforethebalancewillturn。Verysoon
  theGermanmanufactorieswillcreatesuchagreatdemandfor
  agriculturalproducethatGermanywillhavenomoresurpluscornto
  selltoforeigncountries。Whatconcessions,then,areyouwilling
  tooffertotheGermanGovernmentstoinducethemtolayhandson
  theirownmanufactoriesinordertohinderthemfromspinning
  cottonforthemselves,andfromencroachinguponyourforeign
  marketsinaddition?
  Allthisthewriterofthereportwascompelledtomakeclear
  tothelandownersinParliament。TheformsoftheBritishState
  administrationpermitnosecretGovernmentreports。DrBowring's
  reportmustbepublished,mustthereforebeseenbytheGermansin
  translationsandextracts。Henceonemustusenoexpressionswhich
  mightleadtheGermanstoaperceptionoftheirtrueinterests。
  Thereforetoeverymethodwhichwasadaptedtoinfluence
  Parliament,anantidotemustbeaddedfortheuseoftheGerman
  Governments。Itmustbealleged,thatinconsequenceofthe
  protectivesystemmuchGermancapitalhadbeendivertedinto
  improperchannels。TheagriculturalinterestsofGermanywouldbe
  damagedbytheprotectivesystem。Thatinterestforitspartought
  onlytoturnitsattentiontoforeignmarkets;agriculturewasin
  Germanybyfarthemostimportantproductiveindustry,for
  three-fourthsoftheinhabitantsofGermanywereengagedinit。It
  wasmerenonsensetotalkaboutprotectionfortheproducers;the
  manufacturinginterestitselfcouldonlythriveunderforeign
  competition:publicopinioninGermanydesiredfreedomoftrade。
  IntelligenceinGermanywastoouniversalforadesireforhigh
  dutiestobeentertained。Themostenlightenedmeninthecountry
  wereinfavourofareductionofdutiesoncommonwoollenand
  cottonfabrics,incasetheEnglishdutiesoncornandtimberwere
  reduced。
  Inshort,inthisreporttwoentirelydifferentvoicesspeak,
  whichcontradictoneanotherliketwoopponents。Whichofthetwo
  mustbedeemedthetrueone-thatwhichspeakstotheParliament,or
  thatwhichspeakstotheGermanGovernments?Thereisnodifficulty
  indecidingthispoint,foreverythingwhichDrBowringadducesin
  ordertoinduceParliamenttolowertheimportdutiesongrainand
  timberissupportedbystatisticalfacts,calculations,and
  evidence;whileeverythingthatheadducestodissuadetheGerman
  Governmentsfromtheprotectivesystemisconfinedtomere
  superficialassertions。
  LetusconsiderindetailtheargumentsbywhichDrBowring
  provestotheParliamentthatincaseacheckisnotputtothe
  progressoftheGermanprotectivesysteminthewaywhichhe
  pointedout,theGermanmarketformanufacturedgoodsmustbecome
  irrecoverablylosttoEngland。
  TheGermanpeopleisremarkable,saysDrBowring,for
  temperance,thrift,industry,andintelligence,andenjoysasystem
  ofuniversaleducation。Excellentpolytechnicschoolsdiffuse
  technicalinstructionthroughouttheentirecountry。
  Theartofdesignisespeciallymuchmorecultivatedtherethan
  inEngland。Thegreatannualincreaseofitspopulation,ofits
  headofcattle,andespeciallyofsheep,proveswhatprogress
  agriculturetherehasachieved。Thereportmakesnomentionofthe
  improvementinthevalueofproperty,thoughthatisanimportant
  feature,noroftheincreaseinthevalueofproduce。Thewagesof
  labourhaverisenthirtypercentinthemanufacturingdistricts。
  Thecountrypossessesagreatamountofwaterpower,asyetunused,
  whichisthecheapestofallmotivepowers。Itsminingindustryis
  everywhereflourishing,morethanatanyprevioustime。From1832
  upto1837theimportsofrawcottonhaveincreasedfrom118,000
  centnersto240,000centners;theimportsofcottonyarnfrom
  172,000centnersto322,000centners;theexportsofcottonfabrics
  from26,000centnersto75,000centners;thenumberof
  cotton-weavingloomsinPrussiafrom22,000in1825to32,000in
  1834;theimportsofrawwoolfrom99,000centnersto195,000
  centners;theexportsofthesamefrom100,000centnersto122,000
  centners;theimportsofwoollenarticlesfrom15,000centnersto
  18,000centners;theexportsofthesamefrom49,000centnersto
  69,000centners。
  Themanufactureoflinenclothscontendswithdifficulty
  againstthehighdutiesinEngland,France,andItalyandhasnot
  increased。Ontheotherhand,theimportsoflinenyarnhave
  increasedfrom30,000centnersin1832to86,000centnersin1835,
  chieflythroughtheimportsfromEngland,whicharestill
  increasing。Theconsumptionofindigoincreasedfrom12,000
  centnersin1831to24,000centnersin1837;astrikingproofof
  theprogressofGermanindustry。Theexportsofpotteryhavebeen
  morethandoubledfrom1832to1836。Theimportsofstonewarehave
  diminishedfrom5,000centnersto2,000centners,andtheexports
  ofitincreasedfrom4,000centnersto18,000centners。Theimports
  ofporcelainhavediminishedfrom4,000centnersto1,000centners,
  andtheexportsofithaveincreasedfrom700centnersto4,000
  centners。Theoutputofcoalhasincreasedfrom6,000,000Prussian
  tonsin1832to9,000,000in1836。In1816therewere8,000,000
  sheepinPrussia;andin1837,15,000,000。
  InSaxonyin1831therewere14,000stocking-weavingmachines;
  in2836,20,000。From1831to1837,thenumberofmanufactoriesfor
  spinningwoollenyarnandofspindleshadincreasedinSaxonyto
  morethandoubletheirpreviousnumber。Everywheremachine
  manufactorieshadarisen,andmanyofthesewereinthemost
  flourishingcondition。
  Inshort,inallbranchesofindustry,inproportionasthey
  havebeenprotected,Germanyhasmadeenormousadvances,especially
  inwoollenandcottongoodsforcommonuse,theimportationof
  whichfromEnglandhadentirelyceased。AtthesametimeDrBowring
  admits,inconsequenceofatrustworthyopinionwhichhadbeen
  expressedtohim,'thatthepriceofthePrussianstuffswas
  decidedlylowerthanthatoftheEnglish;thatcertainlyinrespect
  ofsomeofthecolourstheywereinferiortothebestEnglish
  tints,butthatotherswereperfectandcouldnotbesurpassed;
  thatinspinning,weaving,andallpreparatoryprocesses,the
  GermangoodswerefullyequaltotheBritish,butonlyinthe
  finishadistinctinferioritymightbeobserved,butthatthewant
  ofthiswoulddisappearafteralittletime。'
  Itisveryeasytounderstandhowbymeansofsuch
  representationsasthesetheEnglishParliamentmayatlengthbe
  inducedtoabandonitscornlaws,whichhavehithertooperatedas
  aprotectivesystemtoGermany。Butitappearstousutterly
  incomprehensiblehowtheGermanUnion,whichhasmadesuchenormous
  advancesinconsequenceoftheprotectivesystem,shouldbeinduced
  bythisreporttodepartfromasystemwhichhasyieldedthemsuch
  excellentresults。
  ItisverywellforDrBowringtoassureusthatthehome
  industryofGermanyisbeingprotectedattheexpenseofthe
  agriculturists。Buthowcanweattachanycredencetohis
  assurance,whenwesee,onthecontrary,thatthedemandfor
  agriculturalproduce,pricesofproduce,thewagesoflabour,the
  rents,thevalueofproperty,haveeverywhereconsiderablyrisen,
  withouttheagriculturisthavingtopaymorethanhedidbeforefor
  themanufacturedgoodswhichherequires?
  ItisverywellforDrBowringtogiveusanestimateshowing
  thatinGermanythreepersonsareengagedinagriculturetoevery
  oneinmanufactures,butthatstatementconvincesusthatthe
  numberofGermansengagedinmanufacturingisnotyetinproper
  proportiontothenumberofGermanagriculturists。Andwecannot
  seebywhatothermeansthisdisproportioncanbeequalised,than
  byincreasingtheprotectiononthosebranchesofmanufacturewhich
  arestillcarriedoninEnglandforthesupplyoftheGermanmarket
  bypersonswhoconsumeEnglishinsteadofGermanagricultural
  produce。ItisallverywellforDrBowringtoassertthatGerman
  agriculturemustonlydirectitsattentiontoforeigncountriesif
  itdesirestoincreaseitssaleofproduce;butthatagreatdemand
  foragriculturalproducecanonlybeattainedbyaflourishinghome
  manufacturingpoweristaughtusnotalonebytheexperienceof
  England,butDrBowringhimselfimplicitlyadmitsthis,bythe
  apprehensionwhichheexpressesinhisreport,thatifEngland
  delaysforsometimetoabolishhercornlaws,Germanywillthen
  havenosurplusofeithercornortimbertoselltoforeign
  countries。
  DrBowringiscertainlyrightwhenheassertsthatthe
  agriculturalinterestinGermanyisstillthepredominantone,but
  justfortheveryreasonthatitispredominantitmustaswehave
  showninformerchapters,bypromotingthemanufacturing
  interests,seektoplaceitselfinajustproportionwiththem,
  becausetheprosperityofagriculturedependsonitsbeinginequal
  proportionwiththemanufacturinginterest,butnotonitsown
  preponderanceoverit。
  Further,theauthorofthereportappearstobeutterlysteeped
  inerrorwhenhemaintainsthatforeigncompetitioninGerman
  marketsisnecessaryfortheGermanmanufacturinginterestitself,
  becausetheGermanmanufacturers,assoonastheyareinaposition
  tosupplytheGermanmarkets,mustcompetewiththemanufacturers
  ofothercountriesforthedisposaloftheirsurplusproduce,which
  competitiontheycanonlysustainbymeansofcheapproduction。But
  cheapproductionwillnotconsistwiththeexistenceofthe
  protectivesystem,inasmuchastheobjectofthatsystemisto
  securehigherpricestothemanufacturers。
  Thisargumentcontainsasmanyerrorsandfalsehoodsaswords。
  DrBowringcannotdenythatthemanufacturercanofferhisproducts
  atcheaperprices,themoreheisenabledtomanufacture——that,
  therefore,amanufacturingPowerwhichexclusivelypossessesits
  homemarketcanworksomuchthecheaperforforeigntrade。The
  proofofthishecanfindinthesametableswhichhehaspublished
  ontheadvancesmadebyGermanindustry;forinthesameproportion
  inwhichtheGermanmanufactorieshaveacquiredpossessionoftheir
  ownhomemarket,theirexportofmanufacturedgoodshasalso
  increased。ThustherecentexperienceofGermany,liketheancient
  experienceofEngland,showsusthathighpricesofmanufactured
  goodsarebynomeansanecessaryconsequenceofprotection。
  Finally,Germanindustryisstillveryfarfromentirely
  supplyingherhomemarket。Inordertodothat,shemustfirst
  manufactureforherselfthe13,000centnersofcottonfabrics,the
  18,000centnersofwoollenfabrics,the500,000centnersofcotton
  yarn,thread,andlinenyarn,whichatpresentareimportedfrom
  England。If,however,sheaccomplishesthat,shewillthenimport
  500,000centnersmorerawcottonthanbefore,bywhichshewill
  carryonsomuchthemoredirectexchangetradewithtropical
  countries,andbeabletopayforthegreaterpartifnotthewhole
  ofthatrequirementwithherownmanufacturedgoods。
  Wemustcorrecttheviewoftheauthorofthereport,that
  publicopinioninGermanyisinfavouroffreetrade,bystating
  thatsincetheestablishmentoftheCommercialUnionpeoplehave
  acquiredaclearerperceptionofwhatitisthatEnglandusually
  understandsbytheterm'freetrade,'for,ashehimselfsays,
  'SincethatperiodthesentimentsoftheGermanpeoplehavebeen
  divertedfromtheregionofhopeandoffantasytothatoftheir
  actualandmaterialinterests。'Theauthorofthereportisquite
  rightwhenhesaysthatintelligenceisverygreatlydiffused
  amongsttheGermanpeople,butforthatveryreasonpeoplein
  Germanyhaveceasedtoindulgeincosmopoliticaldreams。People
  herenowthinkforthemselves——theytrusttheirownconclusions,
  theirownexperience,theirownsoundcommonsense,morethan
  one-sidedsystemswhichareopposedtoallexperience。Theybegin
  tocomprehendwhyitwasthatBurkedeclaredinconfidencetoAdam
  Smith'thatanationmustnotbegovernedaccordingto
  cosmopoliticalsystems,butaccordingtoknowledgeoftheirspecial
  nationalinterestsacquiredbydeepresearch。'PeopleinGermany
  distrustcounsellorswhoblowbothcoldandhotoutofthesame
  mouth。Peopleknowalsohowtoestimateattheirpropervaluethe
  interestsandtheadviceofthosewhoareourindustrial
  competitors。Finally,peopleinGermanybearinmindasoftenas
  Englishoffersareunderdiscussionthewell-knownproverbofthe
  presentsofferedbytheDanaidae。
  FortheseveryreasonswemaydoubtthatinfluentialGerman
  statesmenhaveseriouslygivengroundsforhopetotheauthorof
  thereport,thatGermanyiswillingtoabandonherprotective
  policyforthebenefitofEngland,inexchangeforthepitiful
  concessionofpermissiontoexporttoEnglandalittlegrainand
  timber。AtanyratepublicopinioninGermanywouldgreatly
  hesitatetoconsidersuchstatesmentobethoughtfulones。Inorder
  tomeritthattitleinGermanyinthepresentday,itisnotenough
  thatamanshouldhavethoroughlylearnedsuperficialphrasesand
  argumentsofthecosmopoliticalschool。Peoplerequirethata
  statesmanshouldbewellacquaintedwiththepowersandthe
  requirementsofthenation,and,withouttroublinghimselfwith
  scholasticsystems,shoulddeveloptheformerandsatisfythe
  latter。Butthatmanwouldbetrayanunfathomableignoranceof
  thosepowersandwants,whodidnotknowwhatenormousexertions
  arerequisitetoraiseanationalindustrytothatstagetowhich
  theGermanindustryhasalreadyattained;whocannotinspirit
  foreseethegreatnessofitsfuture;whocouldsogrievously
  disappointtheconfidencewhichtheGermanindustrialclasseshave
  reposedintheirGovernments,andsodeeplywoundthespiritof
  enterpriseinthenation;whowasincapableofdistinguishing
  betweentheloftypositionwhichisoccupiedbyamanufacturing
  nationofthefirstrank,andtheinferiorpositionofacountry
  whichmerelyexportscornandtimber;whoisnotintelligentenough
  toestimatehowprecariousaforeignmarketforgrainandtimberis
  eveninordinarytimes,howeasilyconcessionsofthiskindcanbe
  againrevoked,andwhatconvulsionsareinvolvedinaninterruption
  ofsuchatrade,occasionedbywarsorhostilecommercial
  regulations;who,finally,hasnotlearnedfromtheexampleof
  othergreatstateshowgreatlytheexistence,theindependence,and
  thepowerofthenationdependsonitspossessionofa
  manufacturingpowerofitsown,developedinallitsbranches。
  Trulyonemustgreatlyunder-estimatethespiritofnationality
  andofunitywhichhasariseninGermanysince1830,ifone
  believed,astheauthorofthereportdoesp。26,thatthepolicy
  oftheCommercialUnionwillfollowtheseparateinterestsof
  Prussia,becausetwo-thirdsofthepopulationoftheUnionare
  Prussian。ButPrussia'sinterestsdemandtheexportofgrainand
  timbertoEngland;theamountofhercapitaldevotedto
  manufacturesisunimportant;Prussiawillthereforeopposeevery
  systemwhichimpedestheimportofforeignmanufactures,andall
  theheadsofdepartmentsinPrussiaareofthatopinion。
  Neverthelesstheauthorofthereportsaysatthebeginningofhis
  report:'TheGermanCustomsUnionisanincarnationoftheideaof
  nationalunitywhichwidelypervadesthiscountry。IfthisUnionis
  wellled,itmustbringaboutthefusionofallGermaninterestsin
  onecommonleague。Theexperienceofitsbenefitshasmadeit
  popular。Itisthefirststeptowardsthenationalisationofthe
  Germanpeople。Bymeansofthecommoninterestincommercial
  questions,ithaspavedthewayforpoliticalnationality,andin
  placeofnarrow-mindedviews,prejudices,andcustoms,ithaslaid
  downabroaderandstrongerelementofGermannationalexistence。'
  Now,howdoestheopinionagreewiththeseperfectlytrueprefatory
  observations,thatPrussiawillsacrificetheindependenceandthe
  futuregreatnessofthenationtoanarrowregardtoherown
  supposedbutinanycaseonlymomentaryprivateinterest——that
  PrussiawillnotcomprehendthatGermanymusteitherriseorfall
  withhernationalcommercialpolicy,asPrussiaherselfmustrise
  orfallwithGermany?HowdoestheassertionthatthePrussian
  headsofdepartmentsareopposedtotheprotectivesystem,agree
  withthefactthatthehighdutiesonordinarywoollenandcotton
  fabricsemanatedfromPrussiaherself?Andmustwenotbecompelled
  toconjecturefromthesecontradictions,andfromthefactthatthe
  authorofthereportpaintsinsuchglowingcoloursthecondition
  andtheprogressoftheindustryofSaxony,thathehimselfis
  desirousofexcitingtheprivatejealousyofPrussia?
  Bethatasitmay,itisverystrangethatDrBowringattaches
  suchgreatimportancetotheprivatestatementsofheadsof
  departments,heanEnglishauthorwhooughttobewellawareofthe
  powerofpublicopinion——whooughttoknowthatinourdaysthe
  privateviewsofheadsofdepartmentseveninunconstitutional
  statescountforverylittleiftheyareopposedtopublicopinion,
  andespeciallytothematerialinterestsofthewholenation,and
  iftheyfavourretrogradestepswhichendangerthewhole
  nationality。Theauthorofthereportalsofeelsthiswellenough
  himself,whenhestatesatpage98thatthePrussianGovernmenthas
  sufficientlyexperienced,astheEnglishGovernmenthasdonein
  connectionwiththeabolitionoftheEnglishcornlaws,thatthe
  viewsofpublicofficialscannoteverywherebecarriedintoeffect,
  thathenceitmightbenecessarytoconsiderwhetherGermangrain
  andtimbershouldnotbeadmittedtotheEnglishmarketseven
  withoutpreviousconcessionsonthepartoftheGermanUnion,
  becausebythatverymeansthewaymightbepavedfortheadmission
  oftheEnglishmanufacturedgoodsintotheGermanmarket。Thisview
  isinanycaseacorrectone。DrBowringseesclearlythatthe
  Germanindustrywouldneverhavebeenstrengthenedbutforthose
  laws;thatconsequentlytheabolitionofthecornlawswouldnot
  onlycheckthefurtheradvancesofGermanindustry,butmustcause
  itagaintoretrogradegreatly,providedalwaysthatinthatcase
  theGermancustomslegislationremainsunchanged。Itisonlyapity
  thattheBritishdidnotperceivethesoundnessofthisargument
  twentyyearsago;butnow,afterthatthelegislationofEngland
  hasitselfundertakenthedivorceofGermanagriculturefrom
  Englishmanufactures,afterthatGermanyhaspursuedthepathof
  perfectingherindustryfortwentyyears,andhasmadeenormous
  sacrificesforthisobject,itwouldbetokenpoliticalblindnessif
  Germanywerenow,owingtotheabolitionoftheEnglishcornlaws,
  toabstaininanydegreefrompursuinghergreatnationalcareer。
  Indeed,wearefirmlyconvincedthatinsuchacaseitwouldbe
  necessaryforGermanytoincreaseherprotectivedutiesinthesame
  proportioninwhichtheEnglishmanufactorieswouldderive
  advantagefromtheabolitionofthecornlawsascomparedwith
  thoseofGermany。Germanycanforalongtimefollownoother
  policyinrespecttoEnglandthanthatofalessadvanced
  manufacturingnationwhichisstrivingwithallherpowertoraise
  herselftoanequalpositionwiththemostadvancedmanufacturing
  nation。Everyotherpolicyormeasurethanthat,involvesthe
  imperillingoftheGermannationality。IftheEnglishareinwant
  offoreigncornortimber,thentheymaygetitinGermanyorwhere
  elsetheyplease。Germanywillnotonthataccountanytheless
  protecttheadvancesinindustrywhichshehasmadeuptothis
  time,orstriveanythelesstomakefutureadvances。Ifthe
  BritishwillhavenothingtodowithGermangrainandtimber,so
  muchthebetter。Inthatcasetheindustry,thenavigation,the
  foreigntradeofGermanywillraisetheirheadssomuchthe
  quicker,theGermaninternalmeansoftransportwillbesomuchthe
  soonercompleted,theGermannationalitywillsomuchthemore
  certainlyrestonitsnaturalfoundation。PerhapsPrussiamaynot
  inthiswaysosoonbeabletosellthecornandtimberofher
  BalticprovincesathighpricesasiftheEnglishmarketswere
  suddenlyopenedtoher。Butthroughthecompletionoftheinternal
  meansoftransport,andthroughtheinternaldemandfor
  agriculturalproducecreatedbythemanufactories,thesalesof
  thoseprovincestotheinteriorofGermanywillincreasefast
  enough,andeverybenefittotheseprovinceswhichisfoundedon
  thehomedemandforagriculturalproducewillbegainedbythemfor
  allfuturetime。Theywillnevermorehavetooscillateas
  heretoforebetweencalamityandprosperityfromonedecadeto
  another。Butfurther,asapoliticalpowerPrussiawillgaina
  hundred-foldmoreinconcentratedstrengthintheinteriorof
  Germanybythispolicythanthematerialvalueswhichshe
  sacrificesforthemomentinhermaritimeprovinces,orrather
  investsforrepaymentinthefuture。
  TheobjectoftheEnglishministryinthisreportisclearlyto
  obtaintheadmissionintoGermanyofordinaryEnglishwoollenand
  cottonfabrics,partlythroughtheabolitionoratleast
  modificationofchargingdutiesbyweight,partlythroughthe
  loweringofthetariff,andpartlybytheadmissionoftheGerman
  grainandtimberintotheEnglishmarket。Bythesemeansthefirst
  breachcanbemadeintheGermanprotectivesystem。Thesearticles
  ofordinaryuseaswehavealreadyshowninaformerchapterare
  byfarthemostimportant,theyarethefundamentalelementofthe
  nationalindustry。Dutiesoftenpercentadvalorem,whichare
  clearlyaimedatbyEngland,would,withtheassistanceofthe
  usualtricksofunderdeclarationofvalue,sacrificethegreater
  partoftheGermanindustrytoEnglishcompetition,especiallyif
  inconsequenceofcommercialcrisestheEnglishmanufacturerswere
  sometimesinducedtothrowonthemarkettheirstocksofgoodsat
  anyprice。Itisthereforenoexaggerationifwemaintainthatthe
  tendencyoftheEnglishproposalsaimsatnothinglessthanthe
  overthrowoftheentireGermanprotectivesystem,inorderto
  reduceGermanytothepositionofanEnglishagriculturalcolony。
  Withthisobjectinviewitisimpressedon。thenoticeofPrussia
  howgreatlyheragriculturemightgainbythereductionofthe
  Englishcornandtimberduties,andhowunimportanther
  manufacturinginterestis。Withthesameview,theprospectis
  offeredtoPrussiaofareductionofthedutiesonbrandy。Andin
  orderthattheotherstatesmaynotgoquiteemptyawayafiveper
  centreductionofthedutiesonN黵embergwares,children'stoys,
  eaudeCologne,andothertrifles,ispromised。Thatgives
  satisfactiontothesmallGermanstates,andalsodoesnotcost
  much。