首页 >出版文学> THE PRINCIPLES OF ECONOMICS>第7章
  PeriodCalculatedonthetotalpopulationRateper1000Comparedwithratein1870-72takenas100
  1870-7236。7100。0
  1880-8235。797。3
  1890-9232。087。2
  1900-0228。881。2
  Calculatedonthefemalepopulation,aged15-45
  yearsRateper1000Comparedwithratein1870-72takenas100
  1870-72143。1100。0
  1880-82140。698。3
  1890-92124。687。1
  1900-02111。477。8
  Rural:112entirelyruralregistrationdistricts,withanaggregatepopulationof1,330,319personsatthedateoftheCensusof1901。
  CalculatedonthetotalpopulationRateper1000Comparedwithratein1870-72takenas100
  1870-7231。6100。0
  1880-8230。395。6
  1890-9227。888。0
  1900-0226。083。3
  Calculatedonthefemalepopulation,aged15-45
  yearsRateper1000Comparedwithratein1870-72takenas100
  1870-72158。9100。0
  1880-82153。596。6
  1890-92135。685。3
  1900-02120。776。0
  ThemovementsofthepopulationofFrancehavebeenstudiedwithexceptionalcare:andthegreatworkonthesubjectbyLevasseur,LaPopulationFran鏰ise,isamineofvaluableinformationasregardsothernationsbesidesFrance。Montesquieu,reasoningperhapsratherapriori,accusedthelawofprimogeniturewhichruledinhistimeinFranceofreducingthenumberofchildreninafamily:andlePlaybroughtthesamechargeagainstthelawofcompulsorydivision。Levasseurl。c。
  Vol。iii,pp。171-7callsattentiontothecontrast。andremarkthatMalthus’expectationsoftheeffectoftheCivilCodeonpopulationwereinharmonywithMontesquieu’sratherthanlePlay’sdiagnosis。ButinfactthebirthratevariesmuchfromonepartofFrancetoanother。Itisgenerallylowerwherealargepartofthepopulationownslandthanwhereitdoesnot。IfhowevertheDepartmentsofFrancebearrangedingroupsinascendingorderofthepropertyleftatdeathvaleurssuccessoralespart阾ed’habitant,thecorrespondingbirth-ratedescendsalmostuniformly,being23perhundredmarriedwomenbetween15and50yearsforthetenDepartmentsinwhichthepropertyleftis48-57fr……and13。2fortheSeine,whereitis412fr。AndinParisitselfthearrondissementsinhabitedbythewell-to-doshowasmallerpercentageoffamilieswithmorethantwochildrenthanthepoorerarrondissementsshow。ThereismuchinterestinthecarefulanalysiswhichLevasseurgivesoftheconnectionbetweeneconomicconditionsandbirth-rate。hisgeneralconclusionbeingthatitisnotdirectbutindirect,throughthemutualinfluenceofthetwoonmannersandthehabitoflifemoeurs。Heappearstoholdthat,howevermuchthedeclineinthenumbersoftheFrenchrelativelytosurroundingnationsmayberegrettedfromthepoliticalandmilitarypointsofview,thereismuchgoodmixedwiththeevilinitsinfluencesonmaterialcomfortandevensocialprogress。
  22。ThuswearetoldthataftertheBlackDeathof1349mostmarriageswereveryfertileRogers,HistoryofAgricultureandPrices,Vol。1,p。301。
  23。ThereisnocertainknowledgetobehadastothedensityofpopulationinEnglandbeforetheeighteenthcentury。butthefollowingestimates,reproducedfromSteffenGeschichtederenglischenLohn-arbeiter,1,pp。463ff。,areprobablythebestasyetavailable。DomesdayBooksuggeststhatin1086thepopulationofEnglandwasbetweentwo,andtwo-and-a-halfmillions。JustbeforetheBlackDeath1348itmayhavebeenbetweenthree-and-a-half,andfour-and-a-halfmillions。andjustafterwardstwo-and-a-halfmillions。Itbegantorecoverquickly。
  butmadeslowprogressbetween1400and1550:itincreasedratherfastinthenexthundredyears,andreachedfive-and-ahalfmillionsin1700。
  IfwearetotrustHarrisonDescriptionofEngland,Bk。II,ch。XVI,themusterofmenableforservicein1574amountedto1,172,674。
  TheBlackDeathwasEngland’sonlyverygreatcalamity。Shewasnot,liketherestofEurope,liabletodevastatingwars,suchastheThirtyYears’War,whichdestroyedmorethanhalfthepopulationofGermany,alosswhichitrequiredafullcenturytorecover。SeeR黰elin’sinstructivearticleonBev鰈kerungslehreinSch鰊berg’sHandbuch。
  24。AdamSmithisjustlyindignantatthis。SeeWealthofNations,Bk。I,ch。X,PartII,andBookIV,ch。II。TheActrecites14CharlesII,c。12,A。D。1662thatbyreasonofsomedefectsinthelaw,poorpeoplearenotrestrainedfromgoingfromoneparishtoanother,andtherebydoendeavourtosettlethemselvesinthoseparisheswherethereisthebeststock,thelargestwastesorcommonstobuildcottages,andthemostwoodsforthemtoburnanddestroy:etc。anditisthereforeorderedthatuponcomplaintmade……withinfortydaysafteranysuchpersonorpersonscoming,soastosettleasaforesaid,inanytenementundertheyearlyvalueoftenpounds……itshallbelawfulforanytwojusticesofthePeace……
  toremoveandconveysuchpersonorpersonstosuchparishwhereheortheywerelastlegallysettled。SeveralActspurportingtosoftenitsharshnesshadbeenpassedbeforeAdamSmith’stime。
  buttheyhadbeenineffective。In1795howeveritwasorderedthatnooneshouldberemoveduntilhebecameactuallychargeable。
  25。SomeinterestingremarksonthissubjectaremadebyEden,HistoryofthePoor,I,pp。560-4。
  26。Butthisincreaseinthefiguresshownispartlyduetoimprovedregistrationofbirths。Farr,VitalStatistics,p。97。
  27。ThefollowingtablesshowthegrowthofthepopulationofEnglandandWalesfromthebeginningoftheeighteenthcentury。
  Thefiguresbefore1801arecomputedfromtheregistersofbirthsanddeaths,andthepollandhearthtaxreturns:thosesince1801
  fromCensusreturns。Itwillbenoticedthatthenumbersincreasednearlyasmuchinthetwentyyearsfollowing1760asintheprecedingsixtyyears。Thepressureofthegreatwarandthehighpriceofcornisshownintheslowgrowthbetween1790and1801。andtheeffectsofindiscriminatepoorlawallowances,inspiteofgreaterpressure,isshownbytherapidincreaseinthenexttenyears,andthestillgreaterincreasewhenthatpressurewasremovedinthedecadeending1821。Thethirdcolumnshowsthepercentagewhichtheincreaseduringtheprecedingdecadewasofthepopulationatthebeginningofthatdecade。
  YearPopulationIncrease000somittedpercent17005,475
  17105,240-4。9
  17205,5656。2
  17305,7964。1
  17406,0644。6
  17506,4676。6
  17606,7364。1
  17707,42810。3
  17807,9537。1
  17908,6759。1
  18018,8922。5
  181110,16414。3
  182112,00018。1
  183113,89715。8
  184115,90914。5
  185117,92812。7
  186120,06611。9
  187122,71213。2
  188125,97414。4
  189129,02211。7
  190132,52711。7
  Thegreatgrowthofemigrationduringrecentyearsmakesitimportanttocorrectthefiguresforthelastthreedecadessoastoshowthenaturalincrease,viz。thatduetotheexcessofbirthsoverdeaths。ThenetemigrationfromtheUnitedKingdomduringthedecades1871-81and1881-91was1,480,000,and1,747,000respectively。
  28。SeeFarr’s17thAnnualReportfor1854asRegistrar-General,ortheabstractofitinVitalStatisticspp。72-5。
  29。Forinstance,representingthepriceofwheatinshillingsandthenumberofmarriagesinEnglandandWalesinthousands,wehavefor1801wheatat119andmarriagesat67,for1803wheatat59andmarriagesat94。for1805thenumbersare90and80,for1807theyare75and84,for1812theyare126and82,for1815
  theyare66and100,for1917theyare97and88,for1822theyare45and99。
  30。Since1820theaveragepriceofwheathasseldomexceeded60s。andnever75s。:andthesuccessiveinflationsofcommercewhichculminatedandbrokein1826,1836-9,1848,1856,1866and1873exercisedaninfluenceonthemarriagerateaboutequalwithchangesinthepriceofcorn。Whenthetwocausesacttogethertheeffectsareverystriking:thusbetween1829and1834,therewasarecoveryofprosperityaccompaniedbyasteadyfallinthepriceofwheatandmarriagesrosefromahundredandfourtoahundredandtwenty-onethousand。Themarriage-rateroseagainrapidlybetween1842and1845whenthepriceofwheatwasalittlelowerthanintheprecedingyears,andthebusinessofthecountrywasreviving。andagainundersimilarcircumstancesbetween1847and1853andbetween1862and1865。
  Acomparisonofthemarriage-ratewiththeharvestsinSwedenfortheyears1749to1883isgivenbySirRawsonRawsonintheStatisticalJournalforDecember1885。Theharvestdoesnotdeclareitselftillpartoftheyear’staleofmarriagesismadeup。andfurthertheinequalitiesofharvestsaretosomeextentcompensatedforbythestorageofgrain。andthereforetheindividualharvestfiguresdonotcorrespondcloselywiththemarriage-rate。Butwhenseveralgoodorbadharvestscometogether,theeffectinincreasingordiminishingthemarriage-rateisveryclearlymarked。
  31。Statisticsofexportsareamongthemostconvenientindicationsofthefluctuationsofcommercialcreditandindustrialactivity:andinthearticlealreadyquoted,Oglehasshownacorrespondencebetweenthemarriage-rateandtheexportsperhead。ComparediagramsinVol。II,p。12ofLevasseur’sLaPopulationFran鏰ise。andwithregardtoMassachusettsbyWillcoxinthePoliticalScienceQuarterly,Vol。VIII,pp。76-82。Ogle’sinquirieshavebeenextendedandcorrectedinapaperreadbyR。
  H。HookerbeforetheManchesterStatisticalSociety,inJanuary1898。whopointsoutthatifthemarriage-ratefluctuates,thebirth-rateduringanascendingphaseofthemarriage-rateisapttocorrespondtothemarriage-ratenotforthatphase,butfortheprecedingphasewhenthemarriage-ratewasdeclining:andvicevers?Hencetheratioofbirthstomarriagesdeclineswhenthemarriage-rateisrisingandriseswhenthemarriage-ratefalls。Acurverepresentingtheratioofbirthstomarriageswillmoveinverselytothemarriage-rate。Hepointsoutthatthedeclineintheratioofbirthstomarriagesisnotgreat,andisaccountedforbytherapiddeclineofillegitimatebirths。Theratiooflegitimatebirthstomarriagesisnotdecliningperceptibly。
  32。ThefollowingstatementsarebasedchieflyonstatisticsarrangedbythelateSignorBodio,byM。Levasseur,LaPopulationFran鏰ise,andbytheEnglishRegistrar-GeneralinhisReportfor1907。
  33。MuchinstructiveandsuggestivematterconnectedwiththesubjectofthischapteriscontainedintheStatisticalMemorandaandChartsrelatingtoPublicHealthandSocialConditionspublishedbytheLocalGovernmentBoardin1909[Cd。4671]。
  Chapter5
  TheHealthandStrengthofthePopulation1。Wehavenexttoconsidertheconditionsonwhichdependhealthandstrength,physical,mentalandmoral。Theyarethebasisofindustrialefficiency,onwhichtheproductionofmaterialwealthdepends。whileconverselythechiefimportanceofmaterialwealthliesinthefactthat,whenwiselyused,itincreasesthehealthandstrength,physical,mentalandmoralofthehumanrace。
  Inmanyoccupationsindustrialefficiencyrequireslittleelsethanphysicalvigour。thatis,muscularstrength,agoodconstitutionandenergetichabits。Inestimatingmuscular,orindeedanyotherkindofstrengthforindustrialpurposes,wemusttakeaccountofthenumberofhoursintheday,ofthenumberofdaysintheyear,andthenumberofyearsinthelifetime,duringwhichitcanbeexerted。Butwiththisprecautionwecanmeasureaman’smuscularexertionbythenumberoffeetthroughwhichhisworkwouldraiseapoundweight,ifitwereapplieddirectlytothisuse。orinotherwordsbythenumberoffootpoundsofworkthathedoes。1*
  Althoughthepowerofsustaininggreatmuscularexertionseemstorestonconstitutionalstrengthandotherphysicalconditions,yetevenitdependsalsoonforceofwill,andstrengthofcharacter。Energyofthiskind,whichmayperhapsbetakentobethestrengthoftheman,asdistinguishedfromthatofhisbody,ismoralratherthanphysical。butyetitdependsonthephysicalconditionofnervousstrength。Thisstrengthofthemanhimself,thisresolution,energyandself-mastery,orinshortthisvigouristhesourceofallprogress:itshowsitselfingreatdeeds,ingreatthoughtsandinthecapacityfortruereligiousfeeling。2*
  Vigourworksitselfoutinsomanyforms,thatnosimplemeasureofitispossible。Butweareallofusconstantlyestimatingvigour,andthinkingofonepersonashavingmorebackbone,morestuffinhim,orasbeingastrongerman
  thananother。Businessmenevenindifferenttrades,andUniversitymenevenwhenengagedindifferentstudies,gettoestimateoneanother’sstrengthveryclosely。Itsoonbecomesknowniflessstrengthisrequiredtogetafirstclassinonestudythananother。
  2。Indiscussingthegrowthofnumbersalittlehasbeensaidincidentallyofthecauseswhichdeterminelengthoflife:buttheyareinthemainthesameasthosewhichdetermineconstitutionalstrengthandvigour,andtheywilloccupyourattentionagaininthepresentchapter。
  Thefirstofthesecausesistheclimate。Inwarmcountrieswefindearlymarriagesandhighbirth-rates,andinconsequencealowrespectforhumanlife:thishasprobablybeenthecauseofagreatpartofthehighmortalitythatisgenerallyattributedtotheinsalubrityoftheclimate。3*
  Vigourdependspartlyonracequalities:butthese,sofarastheycanbeexplainedatall,seemtobechieflyduetoclimate。4*
  3。Climatehasalsoalargeshareindeterminingthenecessariesoflife。thefirstofwhichisfood。Muchdependsontheproperpreparationoffood。andaskilledhousewifewithtenshillingsaweektospendonfoodwilloftendomoreforthehealthandstrengthofherfamilythananunskilledonewithtwenty。Thegreatmortalityofinfantsamongthepoorislargelyduetothewantofcareandjudgmentinpreparingtheirfood。andthosewhodonotentirelysuccumbtothiswantofmotherlycareoftengrowupwithenfeebledconstitutions。
  Inallagesoftheworldexceptthepresent,wantoffoodhascausedwholesaledestructionofthepeople。EveninLondonintheseventeenthandeighteenthcenturiesthemortalitywaseightpercentgreaterinyearsofdearcornthaninyearsofcheapcorn。5*Butgraduallytheeffectsofincreasedwealthandimprovedmeansofcommunicationaremakingthemselvesfeltnearlyallovertheworld。theseverityoffaminesismitigatedeveninsuchacountryasIndia。andtheyareunknowninEuropeandintheNewWorld。InEnglandnowwantoffoodisscarcelyeverthedirectcauseofdeath:butitisafrequentcauseofthatgeneralweakeningofthesystemwhichrendersitunabletoresistdisease。anditisachiefcauseofindustrialinefficiency。
  Wehavealreadyseenthatthenecessariesforefficiencyvarywiththenatureoftheworktobedone,butwemustnowexaminethissubjectalittlemoreclosely。
  Asregardsmuscularworkinparticularthereisacloseconnectionbetweenthesupplyoffoodthatamanhas,andhisavailablestrength。Iftheworkisintermittent,asthatofsomedocklabourers,acheapbutnutritiousgraindietissufficient。
  Butforveryheavycontinuousstrainsuchasisinvolvedinpuddlers’andthehardestnavvies’work,foodisrequiredwhichcanbedigestedandassimilatedevenwhenthebodyistired。Thisqualityisstillmoreessentialinthefoodofthehighergradesoflabour,whoseworkinvolvesgreatnervousstrain。thoughthequantityrequiredbythemisgenerallysmall。
  Afterfood,thenextnecessariesoflifeandlabourareclothing,house-roomandfiring。Whentheyaredeficient,themindbecomestorpid,andultimatelythephysicalconstitutionisundermined。Whenclothingisveryscanty,itisgenerallywornnightandday。andtheskinisallowedtobeenclosedinacrustofdirt。Adeficiencyofhouse-room,oroffuel,causespeopletoliveinavitiatedatmospherewhichisinjurioustohealthandvigour。andnottheleastofthebenefitswhichEnglishpeoplederivefromthecheapnessofcoal,isthehabit,peculiartothem,ofhavingwell-ventilatedroomsevenincoldweather。
  Badly-builthouseswithimperfectdrainagecausediseaseswhichevenintheirslighterformsweakenvitalityinawonderfulway。
  andovercrowdingleadstomoralevilswhichdiminishthenumbersandlowerthecharacterofthepeople。
  Restisasessentialforthegrowthofavigorouspopulationasthemorematerialnecessariesoffood,clothing,etc。Overworkofeveryformlowersvitality。whileanxiety,worry,andexcessivementalstrainhaveafatalinfluenceinunderminingtheconstitution,inimpairingfecundityanddiminishingthevigouroftherace。
  4。Nextcomethreecloselyalliedconditionsofvigour,namely,hopefulness,freedom,andchange。Allhistoryisfulloftherecordofinefficiencycausedinvaryingdegreesbyslavery,serfdom,andotherformsofcivilandpoliticaloppressionandrepression。6*
  Inallagescolonieshavebeenapttooutstriptheirmothercountriesinvigourandenergy。Thishasbeenduepartlytotheabundanceoflandandthecheapnessofnecessariesattheircommand。partlytothatnaturalselectionofthestrongestcharactersforalifeofadventure,andpartlytophysiologicalcausesconnectedwiththemixtureofraces:butperhapsthemostimportantcauseofallistobefoundinthehope,thefreedomandthechangefulnessoftheirlives。7*
  Freedomsofarhasbeenregardedasfreedomfromexternalbonds。Butthathigherfreedom,whichcomesofself-mastery,isanevenmoreimportantconditionforthehighestwork。Theelevationoftheidealsoflifeonwhichthisdepends,isdueontheonesidetopoliticalandeconomiccauses,andontheothertopersonalandreligiousinfluences。amongwhichtheinfluenceofthemotherinearlychildhoodissupreme。
  5。Bodilyandmentalhealthandstrengtharemuchinfluencedbyoccupation。8*Atthebeginningofthiscenturytheconditionsoffactoryworkwereneedlesslyunhealthyandoppressiveforall,andespeciallyforyoungchildren。ButFactoryandEducationActshaveremovedtheworstoftheseevilsfromfactories。thoughmanyofthemstilllingeraboutdomesticindustriesandthesmallerworkshops。
  Thehigherwages,thegreaterintelligence,andthebettermedicalfacilitiesoftownspeopleshouldcauseinfantmortalitytobemuchloweramongthemthaninthecountry。Butitisgenerallyhigher,especiallywheretherearemanymotherswhoneglecttheirfamilydutiesinordertoearnmoneywages。
  6。Inalmostallcountriesthereisaconstantmigrationtowardsthetowns。9*ThelargetownsandespeciallyLondonabsorbtheverybestbloodfromalltherestofEngland。themostenterprising,themosthighlygifted,thosewiththehighestphysique。andthestrongestcharactersgotheretofindscopefortheirabilities。Anincreasingnumberofthosewhoaremostcapableandhavemoststrengthofcharacter,liveinsuburbs,whereexcellentsystemsofdrainage,watersupplyandlighting,togetherwithgoodschoolsandopportunitiesforopenairplay,giveconditionsatleastasconducivetovigourasaretobefoundinthecountry。andthoughtherearestillmanytowndistrictsonlyalittlelessinjurioustovitalitythanwerelargetownsgenerallysometimeago,yetonthewholetheincreasingdensityofpopulationseemstobeforthepresentadiminishingsourceofdanger。Therecentrapidgrowthoffacilitiesforlivingfarfromthechiefcentresofindustryandtrademustindeedslackenintime。ButthereseemsnosignofanyslackeninginthemovementofindustriesoutwardstosuburbsandeventonewGardenCitiestoseekandtobringwiththemvigorousworkers。
  Statisticalaveragesareindeedundulyfavourabletourbanconditions,partlybecausemanyofthetowninfluenceswhichlowervigourdonotmuchaffectmortality。andpartlybecausethemajorityofimmigrantsintothetownsareinthefullstrengthofyouth,andofmorethanaverageenergyandcourage。whileyoungpeoplewhoseparentsliveinthecountrygenerallygohomewhentheybecomeseriouslyill。10*
  Thereisnobetteruseforpublicandprivatemoneythaninprovidingpublicparksandplaygroundsinlargecities,incontractingwithrailwaystoincreasethenumberoftheworkmen’strainsrunbythem,andinhelpingthoseoftheworkingclasseswhoarewillingtoleavethelargetownstodoso,andtotaketheirindustrieswiththem。11*
  7。Andthereareyetothercausesforanxiety。Forthereissomepartialarrestofthatselectiveinfluenceofstruggleandcompetitionwhichintheearlierstagesofcivilizationcausedthosewhowerestrongestandmostvigoroustoleavethelargestprogenybehindthem。andtowhich,morethananyothersinglecause,theprogressofthehumanraceisdue。Inthelaterstagesofcivilizationtherulehasindeedlongbeenthattheupperclassesmarrylate,andinconsequencehavefewerchildrenthantheworkingclasses:butthishasbeencompensatedforbythefactthatamongtheworkingclassesthemselvestheoldrulewasheld。andthevigourofthenationthatistendingtobedampedoutamongtheupperclassesisthusreplenishedbythefreshstreamofstrengththatisconstantlywellingupfrombelow。ButinFranceforalongtime,andrecentlyinAmerica,andEngland,someoftheablerandmoreintelligentoftheworkingclasspopulationhaveshownsignsofadisinclinationtohavelargefamilies。andthisisasourceofdanger。12*
  Thusthereareincreasingreasonsforfearing,thatwhiletheprogressofmedicalscienceandsanitationissavingfromdeathacontinuallyincreasingnumberofthechildrenofthosewhoarefeeblephysicallyandmentally。manyofthosewhoaremostthoughtfulandbestendowedwithenergy,enterpriseandself-controlaretendingtodefertheirmarriagesandinotherwaystolimitthenumberofchildrenwhomtheyleavebehindthem。
  Themotiveissometimesselfish,andperhapsitisbestthathardandfrivolouspeopleshouldleavebutfewdescendantsoftheirowntype。Butmoreoftenitisadesiretosecureagoodsocialpositionfortheirchildren。Thisdesirecontainsmanyelementsthatfallshortofthehighestidealsofhumanaims,andinsomecases,afewthataredistinctlybase。butafterallithasbeenoneofthechieffactorsofprogress,andthosewhoareaffectedbyitincludemanyofthosewhosechildrenwouldprobablybeamongthebestandstrongestoftherace。
  Itmustberememberedthatthemembersofalargefamilyeducateoneanother,theyareusuallymoregenialandbright,oftenmorevigorousineverywaythanthemembersofasmallfamily。Partly,nodoubt,thisisbecausetheirparentswereofunusualvigour。andforalikereasontheyintheirturnarelikelytohavelargeandvigorousfamilies。Theprogressoftheraceisduetoamuchgreaterextentthanappearsatfirstsighttothedescendantsofafewexceptionallylargeandvigorousfamilies。
  Butontheotherhandthereisnodoubtthattheparentscanoftendobetterinmanywaysforasmallfamilythanalargeone。
  Otherthingsbeingequal,anincreaseinthenumberofchildrenwhoareborncausesanincreaseofinfantilemortality。andthatisanunmixedevil。Thebirthofchildrenwhodieearlyfromwantofcareandadequatemeansisauselessstraintothemotherandaninjurytotherestofthefamily。13*
  8。Thereareotherconsiderationsofwhichaccountoughttobetaken。butsofarasthepointsdiscussedinthischapterareconcerned,itseemsprimafacieadvisablethatpeopleshouldnotbringchildrenintotheworldtilltheycanseetheirwaytogivingthematleastasgoodaneducationbothphysicalandmentalastheythemselveshad。andthatitisbesttomarrymoderatelyearlyprovidedthereissufficientself-controltokeepthefamilywithintherequisiteboundswithouttransgressingmorallaws。Thegeneraladoptionoftheseprinciplesofaction,combinedwithanadequateprovisionoffreshairandofhealthyplayforourtownpopulations,couldhardlyfailtocausethestrengthandvigouroftheracetoimprove。Andweshallpresentlyfindreasonsforbelievingthatifthestrengthandvigouroftheraceimproves,theincreaseofnumberswillnotforalongtimetocomecauseadiminutionoftheaveragerealincomeofthepeople。
  Thusthentheprogressofknowledge,andinparticularofmedicalscience,theever-growingactivityandwisdomofGovernmentinallmattersrelatingtohealth,andtheincreaseofmaterialwealth,alltendtolessenmortalityandtoincreasehealthandstrength,andtolengthenlife。Ontheotherhand,vitalityisloweredandthedeath-rateraisedbytherapidincreaseoftownlife,andbythetendencyofthehigherstrainsofthepopulationtomarrylaterandtohavefewerchildrenthanthelower。Iftheformersetofcauseswerealoneinaction,butsoregulatedastoavoidthedangerofover-population,itisprobablethatmanwouldquicklyrisetoaphysicalandmentalexcellencesuperiortoanythattheworldhasyetknown。whileifthelattersetactedunchecked,hewouldspeedilydegenerate。
  Asitis,thetwosetsholdoneanotherverynearlyinbalance,theformerslightlypreponderating。WhilethepopulationofEnglandisgrowingnearlyasfastasever,thosewhoareoutofhealthinbodyormindarecertainlynotanincreasingpartofthewhole:therestaremuchbetterfedandclothed,and,exceptinover-crowdedindustrialdistricts,aregenerallygrowinginstrength。Theaveragedurationoflifebothformenandwomenhasbeenincreasingsteadilyformanyyears。
  NOTES:
  1。Thismeasurecanbeapplieddirectlytomostkindsofnavvies’
  andporters’work,andindirectlytomanykindsofagriculturalwork。InacontroversythatwaswagedafterthegreatagriculturallockoutastotherelativeefficiencyofunskilledlabourintheSouthandNorthofEngland,themosttrustworthymeasurewasfoundinthenumberoftonsofmaterialthatamanwouldloadintoacartinaday。Othermeasureshavebeenfoundinthenumberofacresreapedormown,orthenumberofbushelsofcornreaped,etc。:buttheseareunsatisfactory,particularlyforcomparingdifferentconditionsofagriculture:sincetheimplementsused,thenatureofthecropandthemodeofdoingtheworkallvarywidely。Thusnearlyallcomparisonsbetweenmedievalandmodernworkandwagesbasedonthewagesofreaping,mowing,etc。arevaluelessuntilwehavefoundmeanstoallowfortheeffectsofchangesinthemethodsofagriculture。Itcostsforinstancelesslabourthanitdidtoreapbyhandacropthatyieldsahundredbushelsofcorn。becausetheimplementsusedarebetterthantheywere:butitmaynotcostlesslabourtoreapanacreofcorn。becausethecropsareheavierthantheywere。
  Inbackwardcountries,particularlywherethereisnotmuchuseofhorsesorotherdraughtanimals,agreatpartofmen’sandwomen’sworkmaybemeasuredfairlywellbythemuscularexertioninvolvedinit。ButinEnglandlessthanone-sixthoftheindustrialclassesarenowengagedonworkofthiskind。whiletheforceexertedbysteam-enginesaloneismorethantwentytimesasmuchascouldbeexertedbythemusclesofallEnglishmen。
  2。Thismustbedistinguishedfromnervousness,which,asarule,indicatesageneraldeficiencyofnervousstrength。thoughsometimesitproceedsfromnervousirritabilityorwantofbalance。Amanwhohasgreatnervousstrengthinsomedirectionsmayhavebutlittleinothers。theartistictemperamentinparticularoftendevelopsonesetofnervesattheexpenseofothers:butitistheweaknessofsomeofthenerves,notthestrengthoftheothers,thatleadstonervousness。Themostperfectartisticnaturesseemnottohavebeennervous:LeonardodaVinciandShakespeareforexample。Thetermnervousstrength
  correspondsinsomemeasuretoHeartinEngel’sgreatdivisionoftheelementsofefficiencyintoaBody,bReason,andc
  HeartLeib,VerstandundHerz。Heclassifiesactivitiesaccordingtothepermutationsa,ab,ac,abc,acb,b,ba,bc,bca,bac。c,ca,cb,cab,cba:theorderineachcasebeingthatofrelativeimportance,andaletterbeingomittedwherethecorrespondingelementplaysonlyaverysmallpart。
  Inthewarof1870BerlinUniversitystudents,whoseemedtobeweakerthantheaveragesoldier,werefoundtobeabletobearfatiguebetter。
  3。Awarmclimateimpairsvigour。Itisnotaltogetherhostiletohighintellectualandartisticwork:butitpreventspeoplefrombeingabletoendureveryhardexertionofanykindforalongtime。Moresustainedhardworkcanbedoneinthecoolerhalfofthetemperatezonethananywhereelse。andmostofallinplacessuchasEnglandandhercounterpartNewZealand,wheresea-breezeskeepthetemperaturenearlyuniform。ThesummerheatsandwintercoldsofmanypartsofEuropeandAmerica,wherethemeantemperatureismoderate,havetheeffectofshorteningtheyearforworkingpurposesbyabouttwomonths。Extremeandsustainedcoldisfoundtodulltheenergies,partlyperhapsbecauseitcausespeopletospendmuchoftheirtimeincloseandconfinedquarters:inhabitantsoftheArcticregionsaregenerallyincapableoflong-continuedsevereexertion。InEnglandpopularopinionhasinsistedthatawarmYuletidemakesfatchurchyard。butstatisticsprovebeyondquestionthatithastheoppositeeffect:theaveragemortalityishighestinthecoldestquarteroftheyear,andhigherincoldwintersthaninwarm。
  4。Racehistoryisafascinatingbutdisappointingstudyfortheeconomist:forconqueringracesgenerallyincorporatedthewomenoftheconquered。theyoftencarriedwiththemmanyslavesofbothsexesduringtheirmigrations,andslaveswerelesslikelythanfreementobekilledinbattleortoadoptamonasticlife。
  Inconsequencenearlyeveryracehadmuchservile,thatismixedbloodinit:andastheshareofservilebloodwaslargestintheindustrialclasses,aracehistoryofindustrialhabitsseemsimpossible。
  5。ThiswasprovedbyFarr,whoeliminateddisturbingcausesbyaninstructivestatisticaldeviceVitalStatistics,p。139。
  6。Freedomandhopeincreasenotonlyman’swillingnessbutalsohispowerforwork。physiologiststellusthatagivenexertionconsumeslessofthestoreofnervousenergyifdoneunderthestimulusofpleasurethanofpain:andwithouthopethereisnoenterprise。Securityofpersonandpropertyaretwoconditionsofthishopefulnessandfreedom。butsecurityalwaysinvolvesrestraintsonfreedom,anditisoneofthemostdifficultproblemsofcivilizationtodiscoverhowtoobtainthesecuritywhichisaconditionoffreedomwithouttoogreatasacrificeoffreedomitself。Changesofwork,ofscene,andofpersonalassociationsbringnewthoughts,callattentiontotheimperfectionsofoldmethods,stimulateadivinediscontent,
  andineverywaydevelopcreativeenergy。
  7。Byconversewithotherswhocomefromdifferentplaces,andhavedifferentCustoms,travellerslearntoputonitstrialmanyahabitofthoughtoractionwhichotherwisetheywouldhavealwaysacquiescedinasthoughitwerealawofnature。Moreover,ashiftingofplacesenablesthemorepowerfulandoriginalmindstofindfullscopefortheirenergiesandtorisetoimportantpositions:whereasthosewhostayathomeareoftenovermuchkeptintheirplaces。Fewmenareprophetsintheirownland。
  neighboursandrelationsaregenerallythelasttopardonthefaultsandtorecognizethemeritsofthosewhoarelessdocileandmoreenterprisingthanthosearoundthem。ItisdoubtlesschieflyforthisreasonthatinalmosteverypartofEnglandadisproportionatelylargeshareofthebestenergyandenterpriseistobefoundamongthosewhowerebornelsewhere。
  Butchangemaybecarriedtoexcess。andwhenpopulationshiftssorapidly,thatamanisalwaysshakinghimselfloosefromhisreputation,helosessomeofthebestexternalaidstotheformationofahighmoralcharacter。Theextremehopefulnessandrestlessnessofthosewhowandertonewcountriesleadtomuchwasteofeffortinhalfacquiringtechnicalskill,andhalffinishingtaskswhicharespeedilyabandonedinfavourofsomenewoccupation。
  8。Therateofmortalityislowamongministersofreligionandschoolmasters。amongtheagriculturalclasses,andinsomeotherindustriessuchasthoseofwheelwrights,shipwrightsandcoalminers。Itishighinleadandtinmining,infile-makingandearthenwaremanufacture。ButneitherthesenoranyotherregulartradeshowashigharateofmortalityasisfoundamongLondongenerallabourersandcostermongers。whilethehighestofallisthatofservantsininns。Suchoccupationsarenotdirectlyinjurioustohealth,buttheyattractthosewhoareweakinphysiqueandincharacterandtheyencourageirregularhabits。A
  goodaccountoftheinfluenceofoccupationondeath-ratesisgiveninthesupplementtotheforty-fifth1885AnnualReportoftheRegistrar-General,pp。xxv-lxiii。SeealsoFarr’sVitalStatistics,pp。392-411,Humphreys’paperonClassMortalityStatisticsintheStatisticalJournalforJune1887,andtheliteratureoftheFactoryActsgenerally。
  9。DavenantBalanceofTrade,A。D。1699,p。20,followingGregoryKing,provesthataccordingtoofficialfiguresLondonhasanexcessofdeathsoverbirthsof2000ayear,butanimmigrationof5000。whichismorethanhalfofwhathecalculates,byaratherriskymethod,tobethetruenetincreaseofthepopulationofthecountry。Hereckonsthat530,000peopleliveinLondon,870,000intheothercitiesandmarkettowns,and4,100,000invillagesandhamlets。Comparethesefigureswiththecensusof1901forEnglandandWales。wherewefindLondonwithapopulationofover4,500,000。fivemoretownswithanaverageofover500,000。andsixty-ninemoreexceeding50,000withanaverageofover100,000。Noristhisall:formanysuburbswhosepopulationisnotcountedin,areoftenreallypartsofthebigtowns。andinsomecasesthesuburbsofseveraladjacenttownsrunintooneanother,makingthemallintoonegigantic,thoughratherscatteredtown。AsuburbofManchesteriscountedasalargetownwith220,000inhabitants。andthesameistrueofWestHam,asuburbofLondonwith275,000。Theboundariesofsomelargetownsareextendedatirregularintervalstoincludesuchsuburbs:andconsequentlythetruepopulationofalargetownmaybegrowingfast,whileitsnominalpopulationgrowsslowlyorevenrecedes,andthensuddenlyleapsforwards。ThusthenominalpopulationofLiverpoolwas552,000in1881。518,000in1891。and685,000in1901。
  Similarchangesaretakingplaceelsewhere。ThusthepopulationofParishasgrowntwelvetimesasfastduringthenineteenthcenturyasthatofFrance。ThetownsofGermanyareincreasingattheexpenseofthecountrybyonehalfpercent。ofthepopulationyearly。IntheUnitedStatestherewasin1800notownwithmorethan75,000inhabitants。in1905therewerethreewhichtogethercontainedmorethan7,000,000andelevenmorewithabove300,000each。MorethanathirdofthepopulationofVictoriaarecollectedinMelbourne。
  Itmustberecollectedthatthecharacteristicsoftownlifeincreaseinintensityforgoodandforevilwitheveryincreaseinthesizeofatown,anditssuburbs。FreshcountryairhastopassovermanymoresourcesofnoisomevapourbeforeitreachestheaverageLondonerthanbeforeitreachestheaverageinhabitantofasmalltown。TheLondonerhasgenerallytogofarbeforehecanreachthefreedomandtherestfulsoundsandsightsofthecountry。Londonthereforewith4,500,000inhabitantsaddstotheurbancharacterofEngland’slifefarmorethanahundredtimesasmuchasatownof45,000inhabitants。
  10。ForreasonsofthiskindWeltonStatisticalJournal,1897
  makestheextremeproposaltoomitallpersonsbetween15and35
  yearsofageincomparingtheratesofmortalityindifferenttowns。ThemortalityoffemalesinLondonbetweentheagesoffifteenandthirty-fiveis,chieflyforthisreason,abnormallylow。Ifhoweveratownhasastationarypopulationitsvitalstatisticsaremoreeasilyinterpreted。andselectingCoventryasatypicaltown,Galtonhascalculatedthattheadultchildrenofartisantownsfolkarelittlemorethanhalfasnumerousasthoseoflabouringpeoplewholiveinhealthycountrydistricts。Whenaplaceisdecaying,theyoungandstrongandheartydriftawayfromit。leavingtheoldandtheinfirmbehindthem,andconsequentlythebirth-rateisgenerallylow。Ontheotherhand,acentreofindustrythatisattractingpopulationislikelytohaveaveryhighbirth-rate,becauseithasmorethanitsshareofpeopleinthefullvigouroflife。Thisisespeciallythecaseinthecoalandirontowns,partlybecausetheydonotsuffer,asthetextiletownsdo,fromadeficiencyofmales。andpartlybecauseminersasaclassmarryearly。Insomeofthem,thoughthedeath-rateishigh,theexcessofthebirth-rateoveritexceeds20perthousandofthepopulation。Thedeathrateisgenerallyhighestintownsofthesecondorder,chieflybecausetheirsanitaryarrangementsarenotyetasgoodasthoseoftheverylargesttowns。
  Prof。HaycraftDarwinismandRaceProgressarguesintheoppositedirection。Helaysjuststressonthedangerstothehumanracewhichwouldresultfromadiminutionofthosediseases,suchasphthisisandscrofula,whichattackchieflypeopleofweakconstitution,andthusexerciseaselectiveinfluenceontherace,unlessitwereaccompaniedbycorrespondingimprovementsinotherdirections。Butphthisisdoesnotkillallitsvictims。thereissomenetgaininadiminutionofitspowerofweakeningthem。
  11。SeeanarticleentitledWheretoHousetheLondonPoorbythepresentwriterintheContemporaryReview,Feb。1884。
  12。IntheSouthernStatesofAmerica,manualworkbecamedisgracefultothewhiteman。sothat,ifunabletohaveslaveshimself,heledapaltrydegeneratelife,andseldommarried。
  Again,onthePacificSlope,therewereatonetimejustgroundsforfearingthatallbuthighlyskilledworkwouldbelefttotheChinese。andthatthewhitemenwouldliveinanartificialwayinwhichafamilybecameagreatexpense。InthiscaseChineseliveswouldhavebeensubstitutedforAmerican,andtheaveragequalityofthehumanracewouldhavebeenlowered。
  13。Theextentoftheinfantmortalitythatarisesfrompreventablecausesmaybeinferredfromthefactsthatthepercentageofdeathsunderoneyearofagetobirthsisgenerallyaboutathirdasmuchagaininurbanasinruraldistricts。andyetinmanyurbandistrictswhichhaveawell-to-dopopulationitislowerthantheaverageforthewholecountryRegistrarGeneral’sReportfor1905,pp。xlii-xlv。Afewyearsagoitwasfoundthat,whiletheannualdeathrateofchildrenunderfiveyearsofagewasonlyabouttwopercentinthefamiliesofpeersandwaslessthanthreepercentforthewholeoftheupperclasses,itwasbetweensixandsevenpercentforthewholeofEngland。OntheotherhandProfLeroyBeaulieusaysthatinFrancetheparentsofbutoneortwochildrenareapttoindulgethem,andbeover-carefulaboutthemtothedetrimentoftheirboldness,enterpriseandendurance。SeeStatisticalJournal,Vol。54,pp。378-9。
  Chapter6
  IndustrialTraining1。Havingdiscussedthecauseswhichgovernthegrowthofanumerousandvigorouspopulation,wehavenexttoconsiderthetrainingthatisrequiredtodevelopitsindustrialefficiency。
  Thenaturalvigourthatenablesamantoattaingreatsuccessinanyonepursuitwouldgenerallyhaveservedhimingoodsteadinalmostanyother。Butthereareexceptions。Somepeople,forinstance,seemtobefittedfrombirthforanartisticcareer,andfornoother。andoccasionallyamanofgreatpracticalgeniusisfoundtobealmostdevoidofartisticsensibility。Butaracethathasgreatnervousstrengthseemsgenerallyable,underfavourableconditions,todevelopinthecourseofafewgenerationsabilityofalmostanykindthatitholdsinspeciallyhighesteem。Aracethathasacquiredvigourinwarorintheruderformsofindustrysometimesgainsintellectualandartisticpowerofahighorderveryquickly。andnearlyeveryliteraryandartisticepochofclassicalandmedievaltimeshasbeenduetoapeopleofgreatnervousstrength,whohavebeenbroughtintocontactwithnoblethoughtsbeforetheyhaveacquiredmuchtasteforartificialcomfortsandluxuries。
  Thegrowthofthistasteinourownagehaspreventedusfromtakingfulladvantageoftheopportunitiesourlargelyincreasedresourcesgiveusofconsecratingthegreaterpartofthehighestabilitiesoftheracetothehighestaims。Butperhapstheintellectualvigouroftheageappearslessthanitreallyis,inconsequenceofthegrowthofscientificpursuits。Forinartandliteraturesuccessisoftenachievedwhilegeniusstillwearsthefascinatingaspectofyouth。butinmodernsciencesomuchknowledgeisrequiredfororiginality,thatbeforeastudentcanmakehismarkintheworld,hismindhasoftenlostthefirstbloomofitsfreshness。andfurthertherealvalueofhisworkisnotoftenpatenttothemultitudeasthatofapictureorpoemgenerallyis。1*Inthesamewaythesolidqualitiesofthemodernmachine-tendingartisanareratedmorecheaplythanthelightervirtuesofthemedievalhandicraftsman。Thisispartlybecauseweareapttoregardascommonplacethoseexcellenceswhicharecommoninourowntime。andtooverlookthefactthatthetermunskilledlabourerisconstantlychangingitsmeaning。
  2。Verybackwardracesareunabletokeeponatanykindofworkforalongtime。andeventhesimplestformofwhatweregardasunskilledworkisskilledworkrelativelytothem。fortheyhavenottherequisiteassiduity,andtheycanacquireitonlybyalongcourseoftraining。Butwhereeducationisuniversal,anoccupationmayfairlybeclassedasunskilled,thoughitrequiresaknowledgeofreadingandwriting。Again,indistrictsinwhichmanufactureshavelongbeendomiciled,ahabitofresponsibility,ofcarefulnessandpromptitudeinhandlingexpensivemachineryandmaterialsbecomesthecommonpropertyofall。andthenmuchoftheworkoftendingmachineryissaidtobeentirelymechanicalandunskilled,andtocallforthnohumanfacultythatisworthyofesteem。Butinfactitisprobablethatnotone-tenthofthepresentpopulationsoftheworldhavethementalandmoralfaculties,theintelligence,and,theself-controlthatarerequiredforit:perhapsnotone-halfcouldbemadetodotheworkwellbysteadytrainingfortwogenerations。Evenofamanufacturingpopulationonlyasmallpartarecapableofdoingmanyofthetasksthatappearatfirstsighttobeentirelymonotonous。Machine-weaving,forinstance,simpleasitseems,isdividedintohigherandlowergrades。andmostofthosewhoworkinthelowergradeshavenotthestuffinthem
  thatisrequiredforweavingwithseveralcolours。Andthedifferencesareevengreaterinindustriesthatdealwithhardmaterials,wood,metals,orceramics。
  Somekindsofmanualworkrequirelong-continuedpracticeinonesetofoperations,butthesecasesarenotverycommon,andtheyarebecomingrarer:formachineryisconstantlytakingoverworkthatrequiresmanualskillofthiskind。Itisindeedtruethatageneralcommandovertheuseofone’sfingersisaveryimportantelementofindustrialefficiency。butthisistheresultchieflyofnervousstrength,andself-mastery。Itisofcoursedevelopedbytraining,butthegreaterpartofthismaybeofageneralcharacterandnotspecialtotheparticularoccupation。justasagoodcricketersoonlearnstoplaytenniswell,soaskilledartisancanoftenmoveintoothertradeswithoutanygreatandlastinglossofefficiency。
  Manualskillthatissospecializedthatitisquiteincapableofbeingtransferredfromoneoccupationtoanotherisbecomingsteadilyalessandlessimportantfactorinproduction。
  Puttingasideforthepresentthefacultiesofartisticperceptionandartisticcreation,wemaysaythatwhatmakesoneoccupationhigherthananother,whatmakestheworkersofonetownorcountrymoreefficientthanthoseofanother,ischieflyasuperiorityingeneralsagacityandenergywhicharenotspecializedtoanyoneoccupation。
  Tobeabletobearinmindmanythingsatatime,tohaveeverythingreadywhenwanted,toactpromptlyandshowresourcewhenanythinggoeswrong,toaccommodateoneselfquicklytochangesindetailoftheworkdone,tobesteadyandtrustworthy,tohavealwaysareserveofforcewhichwillcomeoutinemergency,thesearethequalitieswhichmakeagreatindustrialpeople。Theyarenotpeculiartoanyoccupation,butarewantedinall。andiftheycannotalwaysbeeasilytransferredfromonetradetootherkindredtrades,thechiefreasonisthattheyrequiretobesupplementedbysomeknowledgeofmaterialsandfamiliaritywithspecialprocesses。
  Wemaythenusethetermgeneralabilitytodenotethosefacultiesandthatgeneralknowledgeandintelligencewhichareinvaryingdegreesthecommonpropertyofallthehighergradesofindustry。whilethatmanualdexterityandthatacquaintancewithparticularmaterialsandprocesseswhicharerequiredforthespecialpurposesofindividualtradesmaybeclassedasspecializedability。
  3。Generalabilitydependslargelyonthesurroundingsofchildhoodandyouth。Inthisthefirstandfarthemostpowerfulinfluenceisthatofthemother。2*Nextcomestheinfluenceofthefather,ofotherchildren,andinsomecasesofservants。3*
  Asyearspassonthechildoftheworkingmanlearnsagreatdealfromwhatheseesandhearsgoingonaroundhim。andwhenweinquireintotheadvantagesforstartinginlifewhichchildrenofthewell-to-doclasseshaveoverthoseofartisans,andwhichtheseintheirturnhaveoverthechildrenofunskilledlabourers,weshallhavetoconsidertheseinfluencesofhomemoreindetail。Butatpresentwemaypasstoconsiderthemoregeneralinfluencesofschooleducation。
  Littleneedbesaidofgeneraleducation。thoughtheinfluenceevenofthatonindustrialefficiencyisgreaterthanitappears。Itistruethat。thechildrenoftheworkingclassesmustveryoftenleaveschool,whentheyhavebutlearnttheelementsofreading,writing,arithmeticanddrawing。anditissometimesarguedthatpartofthelittletimespentonthesesubjectswouldbebettergiventopracticalwork。Buttheadvancemadeatschoolisimportantnotsomuchonitsownaccount,asforthepoweroffutureadvancewhichaschooleducationgives。
  Foratrulyliberalgeneraleducationadaptsthemindtouseitsbestfacultiesinbusinessandtousebusinessitselfasameansofincreasingculture。thoughitdoesnotconcernitselfwiththedetailsofparticulartrades:thatisleftfortechnicaleducation。4*
  4。Technicaleducationhasinlikemannerraiseditsaimsinrecentyears。Itusedtomeanlittlemorethanimpartingthatmanualdexterityandthatelementaryknowledgeofmachineryandprocesseswhichanintelligentladquicklypicksupforhimselfwhenhisworkhasbegun。thoughifhehaslearntitbeforehand,hecanperhapsearnafewshillingsmoreatstartingthanifhehadbeenquiteignorant。Butsuchso-callededucationdoesnotdevelopfaculties。itratherhindersthemfrombeingdeveloped。A
  lad,whohaspickeduptheknowledgeforhimself,haseducatedhimselfbysodoing。andheislikelytomakebetterprogressinthefuturethanonewhohasbeentaughtinaschoolofthisold-fashionedkind。Technicaleducationishoweveroutgrowingitsmistakes。andisaiming,firstly,atgivingageneralcommandovertheuseofeyesandfingersthoughtherearesignsthatthisworkisbeingtakenoverbygeneraleducation,towhichitproperlybelongs。andsecondlyatimpartingartisticskillandknowledge,andmethodsofinvestigation,whichareusefulinparticularoccupations,butareseldomproperlyacquiredinthecourseofpracticalwork。Itishowevertoberememberedthateveryadvanceintheaccuracyandversatilityofautomaticmachinerynarrowstherangeofmanualworkinwhichcommandoverhandandeyeisatahighpremium。andthatthosefacultieswhicharetrainedbygeneraleducationinitsbestformsareeverrisinginimportance。5*
  AccordingtothebestEnglishopinions,technicaleducationforthehigherranksofindustryshouldkeeptheaimofdevelopingthefacultiesalmostasconstantlybeforeitasgeneraleducationdoes。Itshouldrestonthesamebasisasathoroughgeneraleducation,butshouldgoontoworkoutindetailspecialbranchesofknowledgeforthebenefitofparticulartrades。6*OuraimshouldbetoaddthescientifictraininginwhichthecountriesofWesternEuropeareaheadofustothatdaringandrestlessenergyandthosepracticalinstincts,whichseldomflourishunlessthebestyearsofyoutharespentintheworkshop。recollectingalwaysthatwhateverayouthlearnsforhimselfbydirectexperienceinwell-conductedworks,teacheshimmoreandstimulateshismentalactivitymorethanifitweretaughthimbyamasterinatechnicalschoolwithmodelinstruments。7*
  Theoldapprenticeshipsystemisnotexactlysuitedtomodernconditionsandithasfallenintodisuse。butasubstituteforitiswanted。Withinthelastfewyearsmanyoftheablestmanufacturershavebeguntosetthefashionofmakingtheirsonsworkthrougheverystageinsuccessionofthebusinesstheywillultimatelyhavetocontrol。butthissplendideducationcanbehadonlybyafew。Somanyandvariousarethebranchesofanygreatmodernindustrythatitwouldbeimpossiblefortheemployerstoundertake,astheyusedtodo,thateveryyouthcommittedtotheircareshouldlearnall。andindeedaladofordinaryabilitywouldbebewilderedbytheattempt。Butitdoesnotseemimpracticabletorevivetheapprenticeshipsysteminamodifiedform。8*
  Thegreatepoch-makinginventionsinindustrycametillrecentlyalmostexclusivelyfromEngland。Butnowothernationsarejoiningintherace。TheexcellenceofthecommonschoolsoftheAmericans,thevarietyoftheirlives,theinterchangeofideasbetweendifferentracesamongthem,andthepeculiarconditionsoftheiragriculturehavedevelopedarestlessspiritofinquiry。whiletechnicaleducationisnowbeingpushedonwithgreatvigour。Ontheotherhand,thediffusionofscientificknowledgeamongthemiddleandeventheworkingclassesofGermany,combinedwiththeirfamiliaritywithmodernlanguagesandtheirhabitsoftravellinginpursuitofinstruction,hasenabledthemtokeepupwithEnglishandAmericanmechanicsandtotaketheleadinmanyoftheapplicationsofchemistrytobusiness。9*
  5。Itistruethattherearemanykindsofworkwhichcanbedoneasefficientlybyanuneducatedasbyaneducatedworkman:
  andthatthehigherbranchesofeducationareoflittledirectuseexcepttoemployersandforemenandacomparativelysmallnumberofartisans。Butagoodeducationconfersgreatindirectbenefitsevenontheordinaryworkman。Itstimulateshismentalactivity。itfostersinhimahabitofwiseinquisitiveness。itmakeshimmoreintelligent,moreready,moretrustworthyinhisordinarywork。itraisesthetoneofhislifeinworkinghoursandoutofworkinghours。itisthusanimportantmeanstowardstheproductionofmaterialwealth。atthesametimethat,regardedasanendinitself,itisinferiortononeofthosewhichtheproductionofmaterialwealthcanbemadetosubserve。
  Wemusthoweverlookinanotherdirectionforapart,perhapsthegreaterpart,oftheimmediateeconomicgainwhichthenationmayderivefromanimprovementinthegeneralandtechnicaleducationofthemassofthepeople。Wemustlooknotsomuchatthosewhostayintherankandfileoftheworkingclasses,asatthosewhorisefromahumblebirthtojointhehigherranksofskilledartisans,tobecomeforemenoremployers,toadvancetheboundariesofscience,orpossiblytoaddtothenationalwealthinartandliterature。
  Thelawswhichgovernthebirthofgeniusareinscrutable。Itisprobablethatthepercentageofchildrenoftheworkingclasseswhoareendowedwithnaturalabilitiesofthehighestorderisnotsogreatasthatofthechildrenofpeoplewhohaveattainedorhaveinheritedahigherpositioninsociety。Butsincethemanuallabourclassesarefourorfivetimesasnumerousasallotherclassesputtogether,itisnotunlikelythatmorethanhalfthebestnaturalgeniusthatisbornintothecountrybelongstothem。andofthisagreatpartisfruitlessforwantofopportunity。Thereisnoextravagancemoreprejudicialtothegrowthofnationalwealththanthatwastefulnegligencewhichallowsgeniusthathappenstobebornoflowlyparentagetoexpenditselfinlowlywork。Nochangewouldconducesomuchtoarapidincreaseofmaterialwealthasanimprovementinourschools,andespeciallythoseofthemiddlegrades,provideditbecombinedwithanextensivesystemofscholarships,whichwillenablethecleversonofaworkingmantorisegraduallyfromschooltoschooltillhehasthebesttheoreticalandpracticaleducationwhichtheagecangive。
  TotheabilitiesofchildrenoftheworkingclassesmaybeascribedthegreaterpartofthesuccessofthefreetownsintheMiddleAgesandofScotlandinrecenttimes。EvenwithinEnglanditselfthereisalessonofthesamekindtobelearnt:progressismostrapidinthosepartsofthecountryinwhichthegreatestproportionoftheleadersofindustryarethesonsofworkingmen。Forinstance,thebeginningofthemanufacturingerafoundsocialdistinctionsmorecloselymarkedandmorefirmlyestablishedintheSouththanintheNorthofEngland。IntheSouthsomethingofaspiritofcastehasheldbacktheworkingmenandthesonsofworkingmenfromrisingtopostsofcommand。
  andtheoldestablishedfamilieshavebeenwantinginthatelasticityandfreshnessofmindwhichnosocialadvantagescansupply,andwhichcomesonlyfromnaturalgifts。Thisspiritofcaste,andthisdeficiencyofnewbloodamongtheleadersofindustry,havemutuallysustainedoneanother。andtherearenotafewtownsintheSouthofEnglandwhosedecadencewithinlivingmemorycanbetracedinagreatmeasuretothiscause。
  6。Educationinartstandsonasomewhatdifferentfootingfromeducationinhardthinking:forwhilethelatternearlyalwaysstrengthensthecharacter,theformernotunfrequentlyfailstodothis。Neverthelessthedevelopmentoftheartisticfacultiesofthepeopleisinitselfanaimoftheveryhighestimportance,andisbecomingachieffactorofindustrialefficiency。
  Wearehereconcernedalmostexclusivelywiththosebranchesofartwhichappealtotheeye。Forthoughliteratureandmusiccontributeasmuchandmoretothefulnessoflife,yettheirdevelopmentdoesnotdirectlyaffect,anddoesnotdependupon,themethodsofbusiness,theprocessesofmanufactureandtheskillofartisans。
  TheartisanofEuropeintheMiddleAges,andofeasterncountriesnow,hasperhapsobtainedcreditformoreoriginalitythanhehasreallypossessed。Easterncarpets,forinstance,arefullofgrandconceptions:butifweexamineagreatmanyexamplesoftheartofanyoneplace,selectedperhapsfromtheworkofseveralcenturies,weoftenfindverylittlevarietyintheirfundamentalideas。Butinthemoderneraofrapidchanges——somecausedbyfashionandsomebythebeneficialmovementsofindustrialandsocialprogress——everyonefeelsfreetomakeanewdeparture,everyonehastorelyinthemainonhisownresources:thereisnoslowlymaturedpubliccriticismtoguidehim。10*
  Thisishowevernottheonly,perhapsnotthechiefdisadvantageunderwhichartisticdesignlaboursinourownage。
  ThereisnogoodreasonforbelievingthatthechildrenofordinaryworkmenintheMiddleAgeshadmorepowerofartisticoriginationthanthoseofordinaryvillagecarpentersorblacksmithsofto-day。butifoneamongtenthousandhappenedtohavegenius,itfoundventinhisworkandwasstimulatedbythecompetitionofthegildsandinotherways。Butthemodernartisanisapttobeoccupiedinthemanagementofmachinery。andthoughthefacultieswhichhedevelopsmaybemoresolidandmayhelpmoreinthelongruntowardsthehighestprogressofthehumanrace,thandidthetasteandfancyofhismedievalpredecessor,yettheydonotcontributedirectlytowardstheprogressofart。Andifheshouldfindinhimselfahigherorderofabilitythanamonghisfellows,hewillprobablyendeavourtotakealeadingpartinthemanagementofatrades-unionorsomeothersociety,ortocollecttogetheralittlestoreofcapitalandtoriseoutofthattradeinwhichhewaseducated。Thesearenotignobleaims。buthisambitionwouldperhapshavebeennoblerandmorefruitfulofgoodtotheworld,ifhehadstayedinhisoldtradeandstriventocreateworksofbeautywhichshouldliveafterhehadgone。
  Itmusthoweverbeadmittedthathewouldhavegreatdifficultiesindoingthis。Theshortnessofthetimewhichweallowourselvesforchangesintheartsofdecorationisscarcelyagreaterevilthanthewidthoftheareaoftheworldoverwhichtheyarespread。forthatcausesafurtherdistractionofthehastyandhurriedeffortsofthedesigner,bycompellinghimtobealwayswatchingtheworldmovementsofthesupplyofanddemandforartproducts。Thisisataskforwhichtheartisan,whoworkswithhisownhands,isnotwellfitted。andinconsequencenow-a-daystheordinaryartisanfindsitbesttofollowandnottolead。EventhesupremeskilloftheLyonsweavershowsitselfnowalmostexclusivelyinaninheritedpowerofdelicatemanipulation,andfineperceptionofcolour,thatenablehimtocarryoutperfectlytheideasofprofessionaldesigners。
  Increasingwealthisenablingpeopletobuythingsofallkindstosuitthefancy,withbutasecondaryregardtotheirpowersofwearing。sothatinallkindsofclothingandfurnitureitiseverydaymoretruethatitisthepatternwhichsellsthethings。TheinfluenceofthelateWilliamMorrisandothers,combinedwiththeleadwhichmanyEnglishdesignershavederivedfromOrientalandespeciallyPersianandIndianmastersofcolourisacknowledgedbyFrenchmenthemselvestohaveattainedthefirstrankforcertainclassesofEnglishfabricsanddecorativeproducts。ButinotherdirectionsFranceissupreme。SomeEnglishmanufacturerswhoholdtheirownagainsttheworldwould,itissaid,bedrivenoutofthemarketiftheyhadtodependonEnglishpatterns。ThisispartlyduetothefactthatParishavingtheleadinfashions,astheresultofaninheritedquickandsubtletasteinwomen’sdress,aParisiandesignislikelytobeinharmonywiththecomingfashionsandtosellbetterthanadesignofequalintrinsicworthfromelsewhere。11*
  Technicaleducation,then,thoughitcannotaddmuchdirectlytothesupplyofgeniusinart,anymorethanitcaninscienceorinbusiness,canyetsavemuchnaturalartisticgeniusfromrunningtowaste。anditiscalledontodothisallthemorebecausethetrainingthatwasgivenbytheolderformsofhandicraftcanneverberevivedonalargescale。12*
  7。Wemaythenconcludethatthewisdomofexpendingpublicandprivatefundsoneducationisnottobemeasuredbyitsdirectfruitsalone。Itwillbeprofitableasamereinvestment,togivethemassesofthepeoplemuchgreateropportunitiesthantheycangenerallyavailthemselvesof。Forbythismeansmany,whowouldhavediedunknown,areenabledtogetthestartneededforbringingouttheirlatentabilities。Andtheeconomicvalueofonegreatindustrialgeniusissufficienttocovertheexpensesoftheeducationofawholetown。foronenewidea,suchasBessemer’schiefinvention,addsasmuchtoEngland’sproductivepowerasthelabourofahundredthousandmen。Lessdirect,butnotlessinimportance,istheaidgiventoproductionbymedicaldiscoveriessuchasthoseofJennerorPasteur,whichincreaseourhealthandworkingpower。andagainbyscientificworksuchasthatofmathematicsorbiology,eventhoughmanygenerationsmaypassawaybeforeitbearsvisiblefruitingreatermaterialwell-being。AllthatisspentduringmanyyearsinopeningthemeansofhighereducationtothemasseswouldbewellpaidforifitcalledoutonemoreNewtonorDarwin,ShakespeareorBeethoven。
  TherearefewpracticalproblemsinwhichtheeconomisthasamoredirectinterestthanthoserelatingtotheprinciplesonwhichtheexpenseoftheeducationofchildrenshouldbedividedbetweentheStateandtheparents。Butwemustnowconsidertheconditionsthatdeterminethepowerandthewilloftheparentstobeartheirshareoftheexpense,whateveritmaybe。
  Mostparentsarewillingenoughtodofortheirchildrenwhattheirownparentsdidforthem。andperhapseventogoalittlebeyonditiftheyfindthemselvesamongneighbourswhohappentohavearatherhigherstandard。Buttodomorethanthisrequires,inadditiontothemoralqualitiesofunselfishnessandawarmthofaffectionthatareperhapsnotrare,acertainhabitofmindwhichisasyetnotverycommon。Itrequiresthehabitofdistinctlyrealizingthefuture,ofregardingadistanteventasofnearlythesameimportanceasifitwerecloseathanddiscountingthefutureatalowrateofinterest。thishabitisatonceachiefproductandachiefcauseofcivilization,andisseldomfully。developedexceptamongthemiddleandupperclassesofthemorecultivatednations。
  8。Parentsgenerallybringuptheirchildrentooccupationsintheirowngrade,andthereforethetotalsupplyoflabourinanygradeinonegenerationisinagreatmeasuredeterminedbythenumbersinthatgradeintheprecedinggeneration,yetwithinthegradeitselfthereisgreater。mobility。Iftheadvantagesofanyoneoccupationinitriseabovetheaverage,thereisaquickinfluxofyouthfromotheroccupationswithinthegrade。Theverticalmovementfromonegradetoanotherisseldomveryrapidoronaverylargescale。but,whentheadvantagesofagradehaverisenrelativelytothedifficultyoftheworkrequiredofit,manysmallstreamsoflabour,bothyouthfulandadult,willbegintoflowtowardsit。andthoughnoneofthemmaybeverylarge,theywilltogetherhaveasufficientvolumetosatisfybeforelongtheincreaseddemandforlabourinthatgrade。
  Wemustdefertoalaterstageafullerdiscussionoftheobstacleswhichtheconditionsofanyplaceandtimeopposetothefreemobilityoflabour,andalsooftheinducementswhichtheyoffertoanyonetochangehisoccupationortobringuphissontoanoccupationdifferentfromhisown。Butwehaveseenenoughtoconcludethat,otherthingsbeingequal,anincreaseintheearningsthataretobegotbylabourincreasesitsrateofgrowth。or,inotherwords,ariseinitsdemandpriceincreasesthesupplyofit。Ifthestateofknowledge,andofethical,socialanddomestichabitsbegiven。thenthevigourofthepeopleasawholeifnottheirnumbers,andboththenumbersandvigourofanytradeinparticular,maybesaidtohaveasupplypriceinthissense,thatthereisacertainlevelofthedemandpricewhichwillkeepthemstationary。thatahigherpricewouldcausethemtoincrease,andthatalowerpricewouldcausethemtodecrease。Thuseconomiccausesplayapartingoverningthegrowthofpopulationasawholeaswellasthesupplyoflabourinanyparticulargrade。Buttheirinfluenceonthenumbersofthepopulationasawholeislargelyindirect。andisexertedbywayoftheethical,socialanddomestichabitsoflife。Forthesehabitsarethemselvesinfluencedbyeconomiccausesdeeply,thoughslowly,andinwayssomeofwhicharedifficulttotrace,andimpossibletopredict。13*
  NOTES:
  1。Inthisconnectionitisworthwhiletonoticethatthefullimportanceofanepoch-makingideaisoftennotperceivedinthegenerationinwhichitismade:itstartsthethoughtsoftheworldonanewtrack,butthechangeofdirectionisnotobviousuntiltheturning-pointhasbeenleftsomewaybehind。Inthesamewaythemechanicalinventionsofeveryageareapttobeunderratedrelativelytothoseofearliertimes。Foranewdiscoveryisseldomfullyeffectiveforpracticalpurposestillmanyminorimprovementsandsubsidiarydiscoverieshavegatheredthemselvesaroundit:aninventionthatmakesanepochisveryoftenagenerationolderthantheepochwhichitmakes。Thusitisthateachgenerationseemstobechieflyoccupiedinworkingoutthethoughtsoftheprecedingone。whilethefullimportanceofitsownthoughtsisasyetnotclearlyseen。
  2。AccordingtoGaltonthestatementthatallgreatmenhavehadgreatmothersgoestoofar:butthatshowsonlythatthemother’sinfluencedoesnotoutweighallothers。notthatitisnotgreaterthananyoneofthem。Hesaysthatthemother’sinfluenceismosteasilytraceableamongtheologiansandmenofscience,becauseanearnestmotherleadsherchildtofeeldeeplyaboutgreatthings。andathoughtfulmotherdoesnotrepress,butencouragesthatchildishcuriositywhichistherawmaterialofscientifichabitsofthought。
  3。Therearemanyfinenaturesamongdomesticservants。Butthosewholiveinveryrichhousesareapttogetself-indulgenthabits,tooverestimatetheimportanceofwealth,andgenerallytoputtheloweraimsoflifeabovethehigher,inawaythatisnotcommonwithindependentworkingpeople。Thecompanyinwhichthechildrenofsomeofourbesthousesspendmuchoftheirtime,islessennoblingthanthatoftheaveragecottage。Yetintheseveryhouses,noservantwhoisnotspeciallyqualified,isallowedtotakechargeofayoungretrieverorayounghorse。
  4。Theabsenceofacarefulgeneraleducationforthechildrenoftheworkingclasses,hasbeenhardlylessdetrimentaltoindustrialprogressthanthenarrowrangeoftheoldgrammar-schooleducationofthemiddleclasses。Tillrecentlyindeeditwastheonlyonebywhichtheaverageschoolmastercouldinducehispupilstousetheirmindsinanythinghigherthantheabsorptionofknowledge。Itwasthereforerightlycalledliberal,becauseitwasthebestthatwastobehad。Butitfailedinitsaimoffamiliarizingthecitizenwiththegreatthoughtsofantiquity。itwasgenerallyforgottenassoonasschool-timewasover。anditraisedaninjuriousantagonismbetweenbusinessandculture。Nowhowevertheadvanceofknowledgeisenablingustousescienceandarttosupplementthecurriculumofthegrammar-school,andtogivetothosewhocanafforditaneducationthatdevelopstheirbestfaculties,andstartsthemonthetrackofthoughtswhichwillmoststimulatethehigheractivitiesoftheirmindsinafter-life。Thetimespentonlearningtospellisalmostwasted:ifspellingandpronunciationarebroughtintoharmonyintheEnglishlanguageasinmostothers,aboutayearwillbeaddedtotheeffectiveschooleducationwithoutanyadditionalcost。
  5。AsNasmythsays。ifalad,havingdroppedtwopeasatrandomonatable,canreadilyputathirdpeamidwayinalinebetweenthem,heisonthewaytobecomeagoodmechanic。CommandovereyeandhandisgainedintheordinaryEnglishgames,nolessthanintheplayfulworkoftheKinder-garten。Drawinghasalwaysbeenontheborderlinebetweenworkandplay。