IneachcaseStatecraftisanArt,andthefinancialpolicyisanartisticorcreativeworkinwhichquantitiesareusedbutdonotdirectordominate。
Bythislineofargumentitmayappearasifwehadrepudiatedtheentireutilityofascientificcalculus。This,however,isnotthecase。
Forthoughallthedeterminantactsofpolicyorwelfare,performedbyanindividualorasociety,involveorganicunityofdesign,andthequalitativeconsiderationsappertainingthereto,importantandindeednecessaryassistanceisrenderedbythequantitativeanalysisofpastactsexpressedintheformofscientificgeneralisations。Aclearerunderstandingofthenatureandextentofthiscooperationbetweenscienceandartintheconductoflifeenforcesthistruth。
§;11。SciencetakesitsstanduponatwofoldapplicationoftheassumptionoftheuniformityofNature,first,thatalldifferencesofcompositioncanbetreatedasdifferencesofquantityordegree,secondly,thathistoryrepeatsitself。Now,justsofarastheseassumptionsfitthefacts,Scienceisvalidforinterpretationandforguidance。Thisexplainswhyastronomy,physicsandchemistryaremore'exact'sciencesthanbiologyorpsychology,andwhytheyareabletogivemorereliableandauthoritativerulesfortheartsofnavigation,engineeringanddrug-making,thanthelattercanformedicine,forbreedingorforeducation。EdwardCarpenterhasremarkedthatastronomyisthemostexactoftheappliedsciences,becauseweknowleastaboutit,i。e。,becausewetreatitssubject-matteralmostentirelyfromthesinglequantitativestandpointofspacerelations。
Inallartsdealingentirelyormainlywithinorganicmatterscienceoccupiesaseatofhighauthority,becauseofthehighrelativeuniformityofthismatterandthecomparativeregularityofitsbehaviour。Inphysicsorininorganicchemistrytheindividualdifferencesoreccentricitiesofthematerialaresotrivialthattheycanusuallybedisregarded,andhistoryrepeatsitselfwithsomuchregularitythatquantitativelawsapply。
Thepassagefromtheinorganictotheorganicinvolves,aswerecognise,adoubleassertionofthequalitative:first,inrespectoftheunityanduniquenessoftheorganicstructure,andsecondly,byreasonofthenoveltythatattendseachactoforganicchange,vitalmovement,assimilation,growth,reproductionordecay。Theuniquenessoftheindividualorganismandthenoveltyofeachofitschangesareanassertionofthequalitativenatureofthesubject-matter。Sofarasthisqualitativenatureprevailsandcountsfor'conduct,'scientificanalysisisimpotentforinterpretationandadvice。Whenorganicmatterattainsthecharacterofconsciousnessandthestillhighercharacterofself-consciousness,thequalitativeconsiderationsreachamaximum,andtheinterpretationanddirectivepowerofscienceaminimum。Butthatminimummustnotbedisparaged。Itisnotinconsiderable。
Theassistancewhichscientificlawscanrendertothefinestartsofhumanconductisveryimportantandiscapableofconstantaugmentation。Forsofarashumannatureisuniformandstableamongtheunitswhichconstitutethelifewhoseconductandwelfareareinquestion,theinterpretationanddirectionofsciencehasvalidity。Tothisextentautilitariancalculus,baseduponanalysisofpastexperience,canaidthestatesmanorthephilanthropistinworkingouthisdesign。Intheregionofindustrytheextentofthisscientificservicewillbeevengreaterthanintheartsofconductwhosematerialismoreexclusivelyorganicorpsychical。Forindustry,consideredasanartofhumanwelfare,willconsistlargelyintheorderlyandprogressiveadaptationofinorganicmatter,oroforganicmatterwhoseorganicdifferencescanbeignored,tothesatisfactionofthoseneedsofmankindinwhichmenaresimilar。Thatistosay,inindustrythereexistsandwillremainagreatdealofworkandofconsumptionwhichisessentiallyofauniformorroutinecharacter,requiringtobedonebymeasuredrules,anddependingforitsutilityupontheexclusionofallindividualityorquality。Thisapplies,notonlytothoseindustrialprocesseswhichwetermstrictlymechanical,buttoagreatmanyotherswherequalityisamatterofcomparativeindifference。Intheprogressiveeconomyofhumanwelfaremechanicalorroutineproductionwillevenfrequentlydisplaceanartinwhichqualitywasoncedisplayed。Sohome-baking,intowhichnosmalldegreeofculinaryskillcouldgo,hasgivenwaytomachine-bakinginwhichtheelementofpersonalskillplaysadiminishedpart,andonwhichtheindividualtasteoftheconsumerexertslittledirectiveinfluence。Thismaybetakenasatypicalexampleofthedisplacementofqualitativeartbyquantitativemechanism。Itis,ofcourse,ofverywideextension,being,infact,commensuratewiththeapplicationofscientificmethodsintheworldofindustry。Indeed,thesciencesofchemistryandphysics,botanyandbiology,areeverywhereinvadingthe'arts'ofindustryandimposing'rules'uponindustrialprocesses。
Evenmoresignificantistheapplicationofthestillinfantilescienceofpsychologytotheartsofbusinessorganisationandenterpriseandofmarketing。Howcanpsychologyassistinthedelicateartofrecommendinggoodstopossiblepurchasers?Onlyonthesuppositionthatthereissufficientuniformityandstabilityinhumannaturetoenablethemeasuredrulesofpastexperimentuponothermentoholdofthisman。Onlysofarasmenarereallythesamesortofstuff,orsofarasanydifferencesaremeasurableandcalculable。Noveltyalonecanbaffleappliedscience。
Ifitweretrue,assomeappeartothink,thatmachineryandroutinemethodweredestinedcontinuallytoabsorbalargerandlargerproportionofhumanwork,andtodirectalargerandlargershareofhumanlife,economicsciencewithitsquantitativecalculuswouldacquireacontinualincreaseofexactitude,andagrowingcapacityfordirectionintheartofsocialconduct。Butif,asseemsmorereasonable,progressiveindustrymustservetofeedaricherlibertyandnoveltyofindividualandsociallife,thedomainofquantitativecalculus,thoughabsolutelyenlarging,mayberelativelyshrinking。
Wenowseemabletogetamoreaccurateunderstandingofwhatascientificcalculuscandofortheassistanceoftheartofsocialwelfare。Itcandoforthatartwhatitcandoforeveryotherart,viz。,furnishrulesfortheregular。Sofarasthestuffwhichconstitutesorcomposeshumanwelfareisuniform,i。e。,sofarasmenarealikeintheirneeds,andthematerialforthesatisfactionoftheseneedsissimilar,itcansupplyrulesofsocialeconomywhichwillhaveahighdegreeofvalidity。Thoughnotwohumanorganismsareidenticalinstructure,allhumanorganismswithinawiderangeofenvironmentaresosimilarinthekindsoffood,airandothermaterialgoodswhichtheyrequire,thatitissound'socialpolicy'toignoretheirdifferencesandtotreatthemasidenticalinthequalitiesoftheirdemandsanddissimilaronlyinthequantities。Thepracticaleconomyof'markets'standsuponthisbasis,andthequantitativetreatmentfindsitstruejustificationintheutilityofmarkets。Therecanbenomarketforthesingleor'singular'consumer。Amarket,i。e。,apracticalinstrumentformeasurementofeconomicwants,impliesastandardisationofthedesiresofbuyersandsellers。Justsofarasthemembersofaneconomiccommunityarethusstandardisedintheirpreferences,areeconomiclawsapplicable。Thus,forthescientificinterpretationofsuchacommunity,muchdependsupontherelativestrengthandimportanceofthestandardisingandtheindividualisingforces。Inasocietywheretheso-called'arts'
ofindustryandofconsumptionhavealikepassedbyimitationortraditionintofirmconventionsfromwhichtheleasttransgressionisbrandedasanimpietyorawickedness,economiclaws,baseduponasufficientstudyofthepastandpresent,willenableonetopredictthefuturewithconsiderableaccuracy。Primitiveorbackwardcommunitiesareusuallyinthisconservativecondition。Moreover,astheyadvanceandbecomeeconomicallyprogressive,itisobservablethatthemostconservativeandmostcalculablewantsandactivitiesarethoserelatingtothesatisfactionoftheprimarymaterialneeds。Henceitisevidentthatscientificpredictions,basedeitherupongeneralconsiderationsofhumannatureoruponpastmeasurements,willcomenearesttofulfilment,accordingastheyrelatetotheproductionandconsumptionofthosearticlesmostdeeplyembeddedinthestandardofliving。Conveniencesandcomfortsaremorechangeablethannecessaries,andluxuriesmostchangeableofall。Nowthemarginalorleastusefulportionofthosesupplies,whichintheearlierormostusefulincrementssatisfysomeprimeneed,areoftenluxuries。Themarginalportionofthewheatsupplygoesforcakes,oristhrownintothedust-binaswastebread:themarginaloilgoesintomotorrides。Takingexpenditureingeneral,wefindthelasttenpercentofeveryincomemostincalculableinitsoutlay,becauseitrepresentsthosepurchasesinwhichcustomisweakestandindividualtasteoropportunitythestrongest。Inaword,itispreciselyinthoseeconomicactionswhichexpressmarginalpreferences,thepivotofthemechanicalcalculus,thatwefindthemaximumofinstabilityandincalculability。
Foreachofthesenicemarginalpreferencesproceedsdirectlyfromthechangingnatureoftheorganicpersonality。Whereasfiftypercentofaman'sexpendituremayexpressthecommonsatisfactionofthefixedphysicalneedswhichcustomhasembeddedinastandardofsubsistence,thirtypercentthelighterbutfairlystablecomfortsbelongingtohisclass,thelasttwentypercentisthepartinwhichheexpresseshisindividualcharacterandhiscravingsforpersonaldistinctionandvarietyofenjoyment。
Theformalinvalidityofthe'marginalist'methodhasalreadybeendisclosed。Theconsiderationsjustadducedindicateitspracticalfutilityasameansofguidanceforeconomicart。NeitherasadeductivenorasaninductivesciencecanEconomicsfurnishaccuraterulesforcalculatingordirectingfutureeconomicevents。Itcanonlyprophesywithinsuchlimitsasaresetbytheassumptionsofthestabilityofhumannatureandofitsenvironment。Itsrulesor'laws'willbestinterpretandpredictthoseeconomicactionswhicharemostremotefromthemargin,i。e。,thosewhicharemostconservativeorregular。Marginalpreferenceswillthereforebepreciselythosewhichitisprecludedfrominterpretingorpredictingbythenecessarydefectoftheintellectualinstrument。
§;12。Thusthefinalfutilityofthemechanicalmethodofmarginalismliesinitsinsistenceuponapplyingaquantitativemethodofinterpretationtothemostqualitativeportionofthesubject-matter,thatportionwheretheorganicconditionsofpersonalityandnoveltyareofparamountsignificance。
Indeed,itisforthisreasonthateconomicscience,thoughabletosupplyrelevantandimportantevidence,canneversolveconclusivelyanysocial-economicproblem,eveninthatfieldofactionwhereherauthorityismoststronglyasserted。Agivenriseorfallofpricecanneverproducethesameeffectupondemandtwicerunning。Why?Becausethedesiresandbeliefsofthemoreunsettledsectionofbuyers,the'marginal'buyers,willhavechanged。Norcanthisalterationineffectupondemandbecalculated。
Whynot?Becausethechangesindesiresandbeliefsareorganicqualitativechanges。Observationsofpastpricemovementsandlawsbaseduponthemarenottherebyrendereduseless。Fortheseorganicchangeswilloftenbenegligiblesofarasthebulkofthemarketisconcerned。Buttheynegatethepossibilitiesofexactprediction,andoftenofapproximatepredictionsonthemargin。
Thisiswhythe'great'businessmanoftenpreferstoactbyintuitionthanbyexpresscalculation。Herecognisesthat,sofarasthemoredelicatejudgmentsareconcerned,his'feeling'of'howthingswillgo'ismoretrustworthythananyestimate。Hedoesnotactblindly。Hefeedsandfortieshismindwithfactsandfigures,untilheissteepedinfamiliaritywiththesubjectmatter。Buthedoesnotdeliberatelybalanceagainstoneanotherthesemeasuredforcesandcommithimselftotheresultant。Forheisawarethattheproblemisnotoneofmeremechanics,acounting-houseproposition,butoneinvolvingforitssolutionsympathyandimagination。
Butthecrucialinstanceoftheorganicandspiritualnatureofadistinctlyeconomicproblemisinthecaseofcredit。Themathematicalmechanicaltreatmentclaimstofinditssupremejustificationinthepartplayedbymoney,themostabstractofeconomicphenomena。Credit,initsobjectivesense,istheeconomicplenipotentiary,theabsoluterepresentativeofeconomicpower。Forhewhohascredithasthecommandofland,capital,labour,abilityofeverysort,atanytimeandinanyplace。Creditisproductivepowerandpurchasingpower,forhewhopossessesitcanconvertitintoanysortofsupplyordemandhechooses。Itisabsolutelyquantitative,fluid,divisibleandmeasurable。Suchiscredit,treatedobjectivelybyeconomicscience。Butcreditisalsotheheartandbrainsoftheindustrialsystem。Subjectivelyregarded,itisanessentiallyspiritualthing,adelicate,sensitivecreatureofhumanbeliefsanddesires。Itsvolumeanditspowerforpracticalworkareaffectedbythisspiritualnature。Foritsspringsarefear,hope,prestige,superstition,sympathyandunderstanding。
Itstruebasisisneithergold,norgoods,butcredibility。Andthatqualityofcredibilityisfluctuatingallthetimeforeveryindividual,everybusiness,everystate。Newunpredictableeventsareconstantlyaffectingit。Noonecanthereforesaywithanyassuranceofcorrectness"aBankshouldkeep20%ofitsresourcesinreserveoratcall,"orputanysuchrigidlimitfortheoperationsofanyBank。Ifwedosetanysuchquantitativelimit,weshouldrealisethatitisonlyaroughpracticalrule,which,ifinterpretedwithautomaticrigour,leadstowasteanderrorintheactualworkingoffinance。Forbynoplottingofcurvescanyoureckonthefutureflowofhumancredibility,ortheapplicationofagivenamountofconcretecredittotheever-changinggainsandrisksofhumanindustry。TakethecriticalcaseofacollapseofcreditandtherunuponaBank。Topredictwithevenapproximateaccuracythecourseofsucharun,ortocheckitbycalculations,baseduponpastexperienceofsimilarcrisesappliedtotherecordsofpresentassetsandliabilities,wouldbeimpossible。Why?
Chieflybecauseofthepsycho-physicalfactors,theplayoforganicforces。
Youcancalculatewithcloseexactitudethestrainimposeduponabridgeofagivensize,materialandstructurebyagivenweight,distributionandpaceoftraffic。Youcannotcalculatewithequalexactitudethestrainwhichagivenquantityofliabilities,howevercarefullyanalysedandgraded,willimposeuponaBankreserveofagivensize。
Theincalculableelementconsistsoforganicnovelty,thechangesduetohavingtodealwithmatternotdeadandhomogeneousbutlivingandorganised。
Thecitationofsuchinstancesisnotdesignedtoprovethatmonetaryandotherstatisticsarepracticallyuselessforthepredictionandsolutionofsocial-economicproblems。Onthecontrary,theyareexceedinglyuseful。
Buttheformalexactitudewhichtheycarryintheirmethodcanneverbeconveyedintotheworktheyarerequiredtoassistindoing。Themostabundantsupplyofthemostaccuratestatistics,utilisedbythemostapprovedmethodsofeconomicscience,canonlyaffordresultsofarudeapproximatevalidity,expressedintendencies。Thepracticalmaninbusiness,inpolitics,ineverymodeofsocialconduct,willsupplementandcorrecttheapplicationofthescientificrulebytheplayofprivatejudgmentandintuition。***
§;13Ifthisistrueasregardsallpredictionsoffutureeconomichappenings,itistillmoretrueoftheconsciouspurposiveguidanceofthesehappeningsbytheapplicationofahumanstandardofvalues。Thepracticalstatesmanorsocialreformer,confrontedwithaconcretesocialproblem,e。g。,thedemandforastateenforcementofanationalminimumofwages,localoptionfortheclosureofpublichouses,orareferendumforconstitutionalchanges,willfindhimself'payingattention'and'givingweight'toanumberofdiverseandopposingconsiderations。Howwilltheselectionandthe'weighing'oftheseconsiderationsbebroughtabout?
Notdirectlyandconsciouslybytheapplicationofwhatmaybetermedhissocialideal,theimageinhissoulofthesocietywhichseemstohimabsolutelythemostdesirable。Therelationofthatultimateidealtotheparticularschemeunderconsideration,e。g。,anationalminimumwage,maybetoodistantandtoodubioustoaffordvaluationanddirection。Theoperativeidealwillbederivative,oneofarelatedsetofpossible-desirables,limitedandpracticableidealswhichformthemostpotentinstrumentsofhisstatecraft。
SuchanoperativeidealforanEnglishmanatthepresenttimemightbethevisionoftheState,asthecollectivewill,securingbylawaclearlyconceivedstandardofsoundefficientlifefortheordinaryworking-classfamily。Thispresentpracticalideal,derivedfromawiderconceptionofthedutyoftheStateinrelationtotheindividualmembersofacivilisedsociety,woulditselfbeafarwiderschemethantheparticularproposal,thatofnationalminimumwage,whichitwasinvokedtoassess。Thestatesman,enlightenedbythisderivativeideal,wouldapplyitasatestandstandardtotheparticularproposal。Hewouldconsiderit,notmerely'uponitsownmerits'butasincorporatedinthemorecomplexorganicplanofhisnationalminimum。Thisorganicplanandpurposewoulddeterminethe'value'
hegavetothevarious'pros'and'cons,'asforinstancetotheconsiderationhowfarlegalinterventionmightweakentheprivateorganisationofworkmenintheirtrade-unions,sodamagingotherbenefitsoftrade-unionism,ortheconsiderationhowfaritwasbettertowaitandsecureamoredemocraticallyadministeredStatebeforeentrustingitwiththedelicatefunctionofadjustingpecuniaryarrangementsbetweenworkmenandemployers。Thisplanorpurposeofanationalminimum,asapossibledesirable,willofcoursenotremainquitestableinhismind,willnotbearigidstandard。Itwillchangesomewhatinpattern,andindefinitenessofoutline,assomefreshouterorinnerexperiencemakesanypartofit,orthewhole,seemmoreorlessdesirable,ormoreorlesspossible,thanformerly。
§;14。Buttheimportantpointtonoteisthatitisthislargerorganicplanorvision,thecharacterandchangesofwhichareessentiallyqualitative,thatfurnishesthestandardandstampswiththeirrespective'values'thevariousconsiderationswhicharesaidto'determine'thepracticalvalueoftheproposalanditsacceptanceorrejection。Nosocial-economicproposal,howeverdistinctivelyquantitativeitappears,canbehumanlyvaluedinanyotherway。Itisforthisreasonthatamereeconomistisalwaysdisabledfromgivingpracticaladviceinanycourseofconduct。
Taketwoexamples。Politicaleconomycanlegitimatelyapplylawsofvaluesoastoshowthat,undercompetitiveconditions,anationmustproducealargerquantityofmarketablegoodsunderapolicyoffreeimportsthanunderanysortofTariff。ButthatproofinitselfcanneverbesufficientgroundforrejectingeitheraTariffforrevenue,orevenaTariffforprotection。FortheStatesmancannevertakethemaximumofmarketablevaluesashisfinalandsufficienttest。Ifitcouldbeshownthatnationalsecuritywereinvolvedinaprotectivesystemwhichkeptallnecessaryindustrieswithinthenationallimits,hemightplead'defenceismorethanopulence。'Or,ifitcouldbeshownthataprotectivetariffcouldbeoperatedsoastodistributeaslightlyreducedaggregateofwealthinamannermoreconducivetothepopularwelfareandthatthisconsiderationwasnotoffsetbyfearofcorruptionorofimpairedindustrialefficiency,orotherdisadvantages,theStatesmanmightrightlyadoptaTariffintheteethof'economiclaws。'9
Or,takeanotherexample,theproposalforaneighthoursday,securedbylaw。Apurelyeconomicenquirymight,byconsideringtheelasticityoflabourinvariousemployments,arriveattheconclusionthatageneralshorteningofthework-daywouldinvolveapresentreductionoftheproductbysomuchpercentageindifferenttrades,andthatitmightinvolveareductionofprofitsandofwagesandaprobablelossofsomuchexporttradeinvariousindustries。Itmightevenpresentsometentativeestimatesastotheeffectsofthepressureofthisnewcostofproductioninstimulatingimprovedeconomiesinmines,factoriesorrailways。Suchinformationwouldbeusefulandrelevant,butnotauthoritativeuponthejudgmentoftheStatesman。Forthesocialvalueofashorterwork-daywoulddependmainlyupontheorganicreactionsofincreasedleisureuponthewholestandardoflifeoftheworkingfamily,howitaffectedhisexpenditureofhiswages,itseffectuponhishealth,educationandrecreations,thecultivationoffamilyaffection,thebetterperformanceofneighbourlyandcivicduties,andallthatisinvolvedinmorelibertyandalargeroutlookuponlife。
Itisevident,inthefirstplace,thattheseessentialconsiderationslieoutsidethecalculationsoftheeconomist,and,secondly,thattheactualvaluesetoneachofthemwilldependuponandbederivedfromthewholefaithandsocialvisionofthestatesmaninquestion。
Thissocialorhumanvaluationofaso-calledeconomicprocessorgood,involvesthentwodeparturesfromaquantitativecalculus;first,thereductionoftheparticulareconomicfactorsthemselvesfromfinancialorotherquantitativetermstovitalorsubjectiveterms;secondly,therestorationofthisartificiallyseveredeconomicprocesstothelargerintegratedprocessofhumanlifefromwhichitwasabstractedbythescientificspecialismoftheeconomist。
Theeconomistcanfindthefacts,buthecannotfindtheirhumanimportanceorvalue,becauseassigninghumanvaluemeansreferringtoanextra-economicstandard。Itmeansmorethanthis。Itmeansareferencetoanextra-scientificstandard,onewhosedistinctivecharacterconsistsinitsbeingtheexpressionandoperationoftheorganiccomplexofforcescomposingthesocialpersonalityasmirroredintheconsciousorunconsciouseffortsoftheindividualsandoftheSocietywhomakethevaluationsandframetheirconductuponthem。
§;15。Inconclusionitisnecessarytoenforceanexceedinglyimportantdistinctionintheconceptionofsocialorhumanvaluation。Thetermmeanstwothings,theattributionofhumanorsocialvaluebyanindividualandbyasociety。InmostofourillustrationswehavetakenthestandpointoftheStatesmanorthereformer,orofsomeotherperson,andregardedsocialvaluesfromhiseyes。Wehavetakenhisidealasasocialideal。
Soitisinthesenseofbeinghisidealofasociety。Butitisessentialalsotoconsidersocietyasseekingtorealiseitsownideal。'Thewholesuccessionofmenduringmanyages,'saidPascal,'shouldbeconsideredasoneMan,everlivingandconstantlylearning。'Thisisthetrueorganicviewofhumanity,regardedeitherasasinglewholeorinitsseveralraces,nationsorcommunities。Theapophthegmisnotprimarilyofpoliticalorofethicalsignificance,butastatementofnaturalhistory。Itiscorroboratedinastrikingmannerbymodernbiologicalteaching,withitscontinuityofthegerm-plasm,itsembryonicrecapitulationanditsspecificevolution。
Butnotuntilnaturalhistoryisrescuedfromtheexcessivedominationofapurelyphysicalbiology,andisreadinthelanguageofcollectivepsycho-physics,dowegraspthefullbearingoftheorganicconceptioninitsapplicationtoasociety。Forthisconceptionofmankindasworkingoutthehumancareerbytheoperationofitsoriginalsupplyoffacultiesandfeelings,inwhichinstinctivephysicalmotivestakeanincreasingadmixtureofconsciousrationalguidance,isthekeytoanunderstandingoftheascentofman。Thereisnoclearevidenceofthecontinuousascentofmanregardedasindividual,atanyratewithin'historic'times。Thereisevidenceoftheascentofhumansocietytowardsalargerandclosercomplexityofhumanrelationsandaclearerintellectualandmoralconsciousness。
Thismeansthatmankind,asawhole,anditsseveralsocieties,isbecomingmorecapableofahumanvaluationandofacollectiveconductofaffairsguidedbythisconsciousprocess。Inpolitics,regardedinitswidermeaning,thistruthhastakenshapeinthemodernconceptionofthegeneralwill,whichinpopularly-governedStatesfunctionsthroughpublicopinionandrepresentativeinstitutions。Followingourexaminationofthelimitsofscienceor'rationalism'intheprocessesofvaluationandofconductonthepartofindividuals,weshallexpecttofindsomecorrespondinglimitsincollectiveman。Inotherwords,thegeneralwillofapeoplecannotberegarded,eitherinitsestimatesoritsdeterminations,asamerelyoramainlycalculativeprocess,workingouttherespectivevaluesofexistingcircumstances,orproposedchanges,intermsofclearly-definedutility。
Itdoesnotevenwithfullerinformation,widereducationandfirmerself-control,tendtowardsthisscientificpolitics。Collectiveself-government,likeindividualself-government,willalwaysremainessentiallyanart,itsdirectionanddeterminantmotivesbeingcreative,qualitative,androotedintheprimalinstinctsofman。
§;16。Itisuponthisconceptionofthecollectiveinstinctsofsocietyregardedasanorganismthatarationalfaithindemocracyisbased。
Theanimalorganism,itselfasocietyofcells,isendowedwithenergyofbodyandmind,operatingthroughanequipmentofinstinctivechannelstowardsitsownsurvivalanddevelopmentandthesurvivalanddevelopmentofitsspecies。Wherethereisdangerlesttoomuchofthisenergyshouldbeconsumeduponindividualends,toolittleonspecificends,thesocialorself-sacrificinginstinctsarestrengthenedintheindividual,andarereinforcedbytheherdorspecificfeelingsofotherindividuals,aswhereplunderersofthecommonstockorshirkersinthecommontasksaredestroyedbythehiveorherd。Theinstinctforthesurvivalanddevelopmentofthehive,herdorspecies,cannotbesatisfactorilyexplainedasbelongingonlytothepsycho-physicalequipmentoftheindividualmembers。Onthisbasis,viz。,thatofattributingasocialnatureonlytotheindividualmembersofasociety,theactsofdevotionandself-sacrifice,andstillmoretheactsofpreparatoryskill,theelaborateperformanceofdeedsthataremeanstothesurvivalandwell-beingofafuturegeneration,becomemerehaphazardmiracles。TakethefamiliarexampleoftheHuntingWasp。
'ThelarvaeofthevariousHuntingWaspsdemandamotionlesspreywhowillnot,bydefensivemovements,endangerthedelicateeggand,afterwards,thetinygrubfixedtoapartofthepreyInaddition,itisnecessarythatthisinertpreyshallbeneverthelessalive;forthegrubwouldnotacceptacorpseasfood。Itsvictualsmustbefreshmeatandnotpreservedprovisions。ThesetwoantagonisticconditionsofimmobilityandlifetheHymenopterarealisesbymeansofparalysis,whichdestroysmovementandleavestheorganicprincipleoflifeintact。Withaskillwhichourmostfamousvivisectorswouldenvy,theinsectdrivesitspoisonstingintothenervecentres,theseatofmuscularstimulation。Theoperatoreitherconfineshimselftoasinglestrokeofthelancet,orelsegivestwo,orthreeormore,accordingtothestructureoftheparticularnervoussystemandthenumberandgroupingofthenervecentres。Theexactanatomyofthevictimguidestheneedle。'10
Suchconductisnotmadeintelligiblebyanyotherhypothesisthanthatofacollectivelifeofthespecies,theindividuallivesbeing,infact,partsofacommonspecificlifetowardswhichtheycontributeinamannersimilartothatinwhichthecells,withtheirparticularlives,contributetothelifeoftheirorganism。Onlybythisapplicationorextensionofthe'organicmetaphor'totherelationsbetweenmembersofanexistinggeneration,andbetweensuccessivegenerations,canweconstructanintelligiblesequenceofcausationbetweenthesepreparatoryactsofindividualinsectsofonegenerationandtheresultsaccruingtootherindividualsofanothergeneration。
This'generalwill'maywenotcallitso?,urgingtheindividualstothefulfilmentofapurposewhichisbutslightlytheirs,andisnotmainlythatoftheexistinggeneration,butwhichembodiesthegeneralpurposeofthespeciesorsomewiderpurposeofastilllargerorganicwhole,canonlyberealisedforthoughtandfeelingasasinglecurrentofwillimplyingandconferringunityoflifeuponthespeciesorthelargerunity。
In'lower'animalsphereswerecognisethisfact。Butthereisatendencytoholdthatman,subjecttosomesuchspecificurgeorinstinctsinhisprimitivestages,hasbecomemoreandmoreindividualisedandhasdonesolargelybybecomingmorerational。Thegradualdisplacementofinstinctbyreason,itiscontended,hasmademanmoreself-sufficient,hislifemoreofthenatureofanend,lessofameanstowardsthelifeofhistribeornation,oreventowardsthatofhumanityasawhole。Isthisso?Therearetwoissuesthatopenhere。Intheprocessofcivilisationamancertainlybecomesmoreindividual。Hediffersincharactermorefromhisfellowsthaninearliertimes;heisabletodevote,anddoesdevote,alargershareofhisenergiesofbodyandmindtoactivitieswhichareprimarilyself-regarding。Moreover,hetendstorelylessexclusivelyorpredominantlyuponwhatwouldbecalledhisinstinctsandmoreuponhisreason。
§;17。The'generalwill,'whichthroughformsoftribalcustomandofgregariousinstinctpulsedsovigorouslyandsoinsistentlyintriballife,seemstohaveweakenedwitheveryexpansionofsocialareaandwiththeadvancingcomplexityofsocialrelations。Theeconomyofhumanenergyallowsindividualstoapplyalargershareofthelife-forcethatflowsthroughthemtowhatappeartothemtheirprivatepurposes,asmallertotheprotectionanddevelopmentofthesocietyorspecies。Ifweweretoassignanyfinalvaliditytotheoppositionofindividualandsociety,thischangemightberegardedasashrinkageofthedominionofthe'generalwill,'thespecificascontrastedwiththeindividualpurpose。Butthoughthenarrowintensetribalwillmaythusappeartohaveyieldedtoabroader,feeblerandlessimperativeformofnationalorsocialwill,itbynomeansfollowsthatthislatterworkslesseffectivelyforthecommongood。Asmanbecomesmoreintelligentandmorereflective,andhasfortifiedhimselfwithlargerandmorereliablerecordsandbettermethodsofcontrollinghisenvironment,theinstinctiveoperationsofthewillofgroupsoftribalanimalsgiveplacetomoreconscious,morerational,purposes。
Thechangemustnotindeedbeoverstressed。Thevalidityofthegeneralwilldoesnotdependuponthedegreeofconsciousrationalpurposeithasattained。Itremainsto-dayinthemosthighlycivilisedcommunitieswhatitwasinprimitivetriballife,anorganicinstinct。Therationalisationofthisblindfacultyoforganicself-protectionandadvancementhasnotyetgoneveryfar。Indeed,itisexceedinglyimportanttorecognisethatanorganicinstinctofconservationandofprogressunderliesthewisdomofthepeople。Thosewhoconsiderpoliticsarightfulmonopolyoftheeducatedclassesdoublyerr;first,inignoringtheinstinctivewisdomofthepeople,secondlyinclaimingforeducationahighervalueforpoliticaldirectionthanitpossesses。ThepoliticalwisdomoftheRomanorthegermanicpeoplespartakesfarmoreofanaturalsagacitythanofareasonedprocess。Ifthisappliestothegreatstatesman,itisstillmoreapplicabletothebodyofthepeoplewhoseconsentoractivecooperationcontributestotheevolutionofastableandaprogressivestate。Itisimpossibletounderstandortoexplainanylongandcomplexmovementinnationalhistorybypiecingtogethertheconsciousrationaldesignsoftheindividualsorgroupsofmenwhoexecutedtheseveralmovesofwhichthemovementseemedtoconsist。
SuchastructureastheBritishConstitution,suchanepisodeastheFrenchRevolution,cannotbeotherwiseregarded,initsorganicunity,thanasaproductofenergiesofcommonwillandpurpose,wider,deeperandobscurerintheirworkingthantheparticularintelligiblemotivesandaimswhichappearedonthestageofparliamentarydebates,militarycampaignsormobviolence。Everystudentofthe'spirit'ofoneofthesegreatnationaldramasisdriventorecognisesomemouldingordirectinginfluence,someurgeofevents,bywhichtheyseemtounfoldthemselvesinalargerandmorecomplexpatternorconsistencythanisperceivedbyanyoftheagents。
Thereissometimesatendencytogiveamysticalinterpretationtothistruth。SoVictorHugowritesoftheFrenchRevolution:
'Ê;treunmembredelaConvention,c'é;taitê;treunevaguedel'Ocean。Etcecié;taitvraidesplusgrands。Laforced'impulsionvenaitd'enhaut。IlyavaitdanslaConventionunevolonté;quié;taitcelledetouseta'é;taitcelledepersonne。Cettevolonté;
é;taituneidé;e,idé;eindomptableetdé;mesuré;equisoufflaitdansl'ombreduhautduciel。NousappelonscelalaRé;volution。
Quandcetteidé;epassaitelleabattaitl'unetsoulevaitl'autre;
elleemportaitcelui-ciené;cumeetbrisaitcelui-là;auxé;cueils。Cetteidé;esavaitoù;elleallait,etpoussaitlegouffredevantelle。Imputerlaré;volutionauxhommes,c'estimputerlamaré;eauxflots。'11
Theexplanationofourcolonialempireastheresultofacareerofconquestandexpansionconducted'inafitofabsenceofmind'isanexactstatementofthetruth。Forthoughafewgreatempire-builders,suchasWarrenHastings,Molesworth,Elgin,GreyandRhodes,mayhaveplayedtheirpartswithsomemeasureofconsciousdesign,theindividualchannelsofthiscurrentofadventurousandconstructiveenergyembodiedinthegeneralprocesshadaslittleanideaoftheimperialedificeasanyworkingbeeofthegreatsymmetricalstructureofthehive。
§;18。Thissenseof'manifestdestiny'issurelynoillusion。Itistheevolutionarymethodbywhichallorganicprocessisachieved,whetherinthegrowthofanoaktreefromitsacorn,ofamotorcarfromtheearliesthand-barrow,amusicalsymphonyfromasavagetom-tom,oramodernfederalstatefromtheprimitivetribalorder。Ineverycaseanumberofwhatseemseparatelymotivedactionsareseentocarryandexpressthecontinuityofsomecommontendencywhichbringsthemunderthecontrolofasinglecollectivedesign。Thiswiderpurposeisseenoperatinguponthelargerorganicstageofconductinwayscloselyanalogoustotheoperationsofthepoetortheartistinanyhumanfineart。Itexhibitstheurgeofaninnerflowofpsycho-physicalenergyseekingeverfinermodesofexpressionbymouldingthematerialsatitsdisposal。Assoonaswegraspthisideaofthecollectiveartistryofaspeciesoranyotherorganicgroup,werecognisehowlackinginlogicalfinalityistheacceptedantithesisofinstinctandreason。Thereasonoftheorganismwillappearasablindinstinctivedrivetothecellwhoseconductitdirects。Sothespecificpurposewillshowitselfasinstinctintheindividualorganism,thoughitmaybeneitherblindnorunconscioustothespeciestakenastheorganicunit。Nay,wemaygofurtherandsuggestthatadvancingreasonintheindividualanimalmayconsistinagrowingsympathyandsyn-noesiswiththeoperationsofthewiderorganism。Mustnotthisbewhathappenswhenwhatwetermreasonendorsesandreinforcestheinstinctiveactionsofspecificpreservationandwell-being,substitutingreflectionforimpulse,plansforcustoms,orderlyandchanginginstitutionsforblindordinanceswhoseauthorityisgregariousimitationorSuperstitiousprestige?Arewewrongwhenwetraceaninstinctofobediencetoachieftransformedintoareasonedsubmissiontothelaw?Maynotthenthewholeprocessoftherationalisationofmanberegardedasabringingoftheindividualmanintovitalcommunionofthoughtandfeelingwiththethoughtsandfeelingsoftherace,ofhumanity,perhapsofthelargerorganicbeingofthekosmos?Foramanonlybecomesrationalsofarashetakesadisinterestedviewofhimself,hisfellow-menandoftheworldhelivesin,andthewider,closer,keenerthatviewthemorerationalhebecomes。Thustheevolutionofthemindofmanintoafullerrationalitymeansthestrengtheningandclarifyingofthoserelationsoffeelingandthoughtwhichbindhimtohisfellowsandtohisworldandwhicharerootedinthe'blind'instinctsofgregarious,superstitious,curiousman。
§;19。Theupshotoftheseconsiderationsistobreakdowntheabruptnessofthecontrastbetweenreasonandinstinctandtorecogniseinreasonitselfthesubtlestplayofthecreativeinstinct。The'disinterested'
natureofthesearchfortruthhasbeenasubjectofderisionamongsomethinkers,whoseenowaybywhichmantheindividualcandisengagehimselffromtheselfishmotiveswhichseemtorulehimandtodisposealikeofhisemotionalandintellectualenergies。Inmanregardedasindividualitisverydifficulttorecogniseanypossibilityofadisinterestedmotive,becauseallsuchmotivesareruledoutexhypothesi。Butregardtheindividualmanassubjecttothedominantcontrolofsomewiderlifethanhis,thatofrace,society,humanityorkosmos,andthedifficultydisappears。Hebecomescapableof'disinterested'curiosity,'disinterested'love,'self-sacrifices'
ofvariouskinds,becauseheisacentreofwiderintereststhanthoseofhisownparticularself。TheactionofaJapanesewhothrowshimselfupontheRussianbayonetsatthewordofcommand,ofadoctorwhoinoculateshimselfwithadeadlypoisonforthesakeofscience,thesteadylifelongtoilofmillionsofpeasantsgrowingthefoodsupplyforunknownmillionsoftown-dwellers,arenolonger'disinterested'whentheyarelookedatfromthestandpointoftheinterestsofhumanityasawhole。Thiscollectivewillandintelligencecanneverbeconsideredwholly'blind'whenregardedfromthecollectivestandpoint。Everydirectiveinstinctofanorganism,atanyrateintheanimalworld,mustbeaccreditedwithsomerelatedemotion,12
andthisemotion,regardedasafactinconsciousness,mustbeaccreditedwithsomemeasureofintelligence。Thecreaturesubjecttothedriveofanemotionmusthavesomeideaofwhatheisabout,thoughthefullpsycho-biological'purpose'ofhisactionmaybehiddenfromhim。Thisorganicstandpointgivesanintelligiblemeaningtowhatwemaycallthe'naturalwisdomofthepeople。'Theherd,thetribe,thenationisendowedwithinstinctsofself-protectionandofgrowth。Theseinstinctsareaccompaniedbycorrespondingemotionswhich,accordingtothedegreeofintelligencetheycontain,impelittoarightoreconomicaluseofthephysicalandspiritualenvironmentforsurvivaland'progress。'Theinstinctiveandemotionalstreamofthiscommonlifebecomesmore'rational'asthefactorsofintelligenceaccompanyingtheemotionsbecomeclearer,bettercoordinatedandendowedwithlargercapacityofcentraldirection。Intheevolutionofanimalorganismsthisgrowthofrationalityimplies,andiscompassedby,adeclineofthespecialinstinctswithaconsequentweakeningofthespecialemotionsattachedtothem,andthesubstitutionofaflexiblegeneralinstinctoperatingthroughacentralisednervoussystemandcoordinatingthespecialorganicemotionsandactivitiestoserveamoreclearlyconceivedorganicpurposeoftheindividualortherace。Reason,regardedasamotivepowerandnotasamereintellectualorgan,mustbeconsideredasthisgeneralinstinctofsurvivalandgrowth,havingitsrootsintheapparentlyseparateinstinctsofhunger,procreation,shelter,pugnacity,flight,gregariousness,protectionofyoung,curiosity,constructiveness,acquisitivenessandthelike,andutilisingtheemotionspropertotheseseveralinstinctsfortheeconomyofsomemoregeneralplanoflife。Reasoning,asan'intellectualprocess,'
willprobablyderiveitsemotionalfoodandimpetusprincipallyfromtheemotionscarriedbytheinstinctsofflightandpursuit,whichinvolvequickjudgmentintheuseofmeans,andbythecuriosityandconstructivenesswhichimpelthemorereflectivestudyandadaptationofmaterialenvironment。
Itis,however,nopurposeofminetoenterintotheparticularsofthistheoryofthenaturaloriginsofreason。Itissufficienttorecognise;
firstthatpriortothedawnof'reason'inorganicevolution,theinstinctscarryandapplyawisdomofdirectionoftheirown;secondlythatwhenreasontakesovermuchofthisdirectingpoweritoperatesbycoordinating,notbycreating,motivepower。
Sowhenwesubstitutefortheindividualorganismtheherd,thetribe,thenation,ascendingtolargercollectivewholes,sustainedbyaclearerconsciousnessofunityandafulleruseofcentralconsciouspurpose,wefollowthesameeconomyofgovernment。If,asisoftenurged,anation,regardedasanorganism,mustbeclassedasacomparativelyprimitivetype,onalevelratherwiththespongesoralgaethanwiththehigheranimals,weshallexpecttofindthataverylargemeasureofsuch'wisdom'asitpossesseswillbeinstinctiveratherthan'rational。'Theevolutionofageneralwill,whetheroperativebypublicopinionorgovernmentalinstitutions,willonsuchahypothesispossessnogreatdegreeofcentralityorclearconsciousness。Goodgovernmentinsuchasocietycouldnotbecompassedbyanoligarchyorevenarepresentativeassemblyassumingameasureofdetailedandfar-sightedpolicyforwhichthecollectivelifewasnotyetripe。Alargemeasureofwhatfromtherationalstandpointwouldrankas'opportunism'wouldbethetruepolicyatsuchastageofsocialevolution,andthewisestatesmanwouldkeephiseartothegroundsoastolearntheinstinctivemovementsofthepopularmindwhichwouldyieldthebestfreightofpoliticalwisdomathisdisposal。OnlyaseducationandcloserandmorereliablecommunicationselevatedtheorganicstructureofSociety,impartinghigherspirituality,morecentralityandclearerconsciousnesstoitslife,shouldweexpectanyconsiderablerationalisationofthegeneralwill。Meanwhilearisethetemptationanddangeroftheformalinstrumentsofgovernmentfallingintothehandsofalittlehighlyself-consciousgrouporclass,whomayseektoimposeupontheconductofthenationitsclearerplansandfar-sightedpurposes"underthenameandpretextofthecommonwealth。"Theabsoluteoractualwisdomoftheirwilltheywillbeapttorepresentasembodyingtherealityofthegeneralwill。Itiswhattheythink'thepeople'oughttowillandthereforewhatthepeoplewillcometowillassoonastheyarereallycapableofwillingintelligently!
Itis,however,exceedinglyimportanttotryandrecognisetheinstinctivewisdomofthepeople,inorderthatamisrepresentativegovernmentmaybepreventedfromignoringitandsubstitutingtherationalismofsomelittleconsciousclass。
Thisdoesnotmeanthatagovernmentmustalwaysgovernandadaptitslawstothelevelofthecurrentfeelings,desiresandaspirationsoftheaverageman,givinghimnoleadorstimulustohigherrationality。Suchacoursewouldbetoignorethatcapacityforprogressandthatsusceptibilitytoproximateidealswhicharethemselvesimplantedintheinstinctsofmankind。Butitdoesrequirethatagovernmentshallkeepitselfintheclosestsympathywiththeconcretefeelingsandideasofthepeople,maintainingsuchcontactsasshallenableitsactsofpolicytorankassubstantiallycorrectinterpretationsofthegeneralwill,notasthedesignsofasupremegoverningcasteorgroupofinterests,pumpeddownthroughsomeartfullycontrivedelectoralmachinerysoastoreceivethefalseformalimpressof'thegeneralwill。'
Thesereflectionsuponthenatureofpopulargovernmentmayappeartohavecarriedusfarafield。Buttheyhavebeennoirrelevantexcursion。
Foruponourviewofthenatureandmeasureofrationalitytobeimputedtotheprocessesofreformorprogressinnationallifemustdependourviewofthepartwhichcanbeplayedbythesocialscienceswhichareinvokedasthechiefinstrumentsofconsciouscollectiveconduct。
Recognisingthatsocialprogressinallitsdepartmentsremainsalwaysacollectiveart,inspiredandsustainedbycreativeimpulseswhichoweneithertheiroriginortheirvaliditytoscience,weshallregardthesocialsciencesasservantsratherthandirectorsofsocialprogress。Weshallbeconcernedtoask,Whataretheproperandparticularservicessuchsciencescanrender?Howcantheyassistapeopleinutilisingitshumanandnaturalresourcesfortheattainmentofthebestconditionsofhumanlife,individualandsocial?
Thisworkiswrittenasapartialandillustrativeanswertothesequestions。Takingindustry,thatdepartmentofsocialconductmostsusceptibleofthequantitativemeasurementwhichistheinstrumentofscience,wehaveendeavoredtoconstructandapplyanorganonofhumanvaluationtoitsactivitiesandachievements。Recognisingthatindustry,regardedfromtheindividualorthesocialstandpoint,wasanorganicactivity,involvingcontinualreactionsuponthewholelifeoftheindividualandthesociety,weinsistedthatthestandardofvaluationmustbeconstructedintermsoforganicwell-being。Inotherwords,industry,bothfromitsproductiveanditsconsumptiveside,mustbevaluedintermsofindividualandsocialhealth,thattermbeingselectedastheonewhichbestexpressestheconditionsofconservationandofprogressuniversallyrecognisedastheessentialsofa'valuable'life。Intheactualinterpretationofthisorganicwelfare,wetookforourvaluer'enlightened'common-sense。Therootsofthiscommon-sensewefindlaidinthesilent,instinctiveorganicstrivingsofmankind。Itisthebusinessofscience,ororganisedknowledge,todirectthesestrivingssoastoenablethemtoattaintheirendsmoreeconomically。Itdoesthisbyinterpretingexperienceandsupplyingtheinterpretationintheshapeof'laws'toenlightencommon-senseandsoenableittochooseitspaths。
Fortheeconomyofblindinstinctsisonlyaccommodatedtosimpleactivitiesinastableenvironment,andiseventhensubjecttoenormousvitalwastes。
Forcomplicatedactivitiesinarapidlychangingandcomplexenvironment,ageneralinstinctofadaptabilityofmeanstoends,involvingconsciousreflection,isrequired。Reasonisthisgeneralinstinctandscienceisitsinstrument。Society,asitsprocessesofevolutionbecomemoreconscious,willbeabletousemoreprofitablytheservicesofscience。Thoseservicesconsistnotinauthoritativelegislationforsocialconduct,forlawsbaseduponexperienceofthepastcanhavenofullauthoritytobindthefuture。
Faithandrisk-taking,involvinglargeelementsoftheincalculable,areinherentinorganicprocesses,andaretheverysapofspiritualinterestinlife。Theycanneverbebroughtunderthedominionofascientificeconomy。
Butthemainstapleineveryartofconductisrepetitionandconsideredadaptation,restinguponacontinuityofconditions。Forthispartofsocialconductscience,whensufficientlyequipped,canandwillofferauthoritativeadvice。Throughoutallnaturetheartsofconservationandcreationruntogether。Theartofconservationisthepracticalfunctionofscience:
theartofcreationeverremainsaregionofbeckoningliberty,continuallyannexedbyscience,andyetundiminishedinitssizeandtsappeal。
'ForallexperienceisanarchwherethroughGleamsthatuntravelledlandwhosemarginfadesForeverandforeveraswemove。'
NOTES:
1。ItwaspreciselyonthisrockthatJ。S。Mill'sutilitarianismsplit。
HetriedtoincorporateinthequantitativecalculusofBenthamitepleasureandpaindistinctionsofthequalityorworthofdifferentsortsofpleasureandpain,andfailedtofurnishanymethodofreducingthemtocommonterms。
2。Wicksteed,CommonSenseofPoliticalEconomy
7。Thisolderdoctrineofmarginalism,concernedwiththecomparisonofmarginalutilities,ormarginalcosts,intheapplicationofexpenditureofproductiveenergy,mustnotbeconfusedwiththenoveldoctrinewhichwediscussedinChapterXIinrelationtowages。Inthenewerdoctrineanyunitofasupplymayberegardedasthemarginalunitandeveryunitasequallyproductiveoruseful。Accordingtotheolderdoctrineeachunithasadifferentcostorutility。
8。ProfessorPigouinhisWealthandWelfarediscusseswithskillandprecisionthemeasurableinfluencesofanincreaseofthegeneraldividendupongeneralwelfare,butomitstotakeintoconsiderationthe'cost'factorswhichenterinto'welfare,'howeverthattermbedefined。
9。Protectionistscanseldom,ifever,pleadsuccessfullyeitherofthesecases。ByreducingthecommunityofeconomicinterestsbetweennationsProtectionnormallyincreasesthechancesofwar,whilelesseningthenationalresourceswhicharethesinewsofwar。So,likewise,itsnormaltendencyistoworsenthedistributionofWealthwithinthenation。